ACUS11 KWNS 012343
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012343=20
AZZ000-020145-

Mesoscale Discussion 2026
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0643 PM CDT Mon Sep 01 2025

Areas affected...portions of southern Arizona

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 012343Z - 020145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity will continue south and westward
through the evening with potential for strong to severe wind.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity is ongoing this afternoon along
and south of the Mogollon Rim and White Mountains in
northern/central Arizona. This activity will continue to drop
southward into the lower deserts where temperatures have crested 100
F and dew point spreads around 40-50 degrees. In addition, steep low
to mid-level lapse rates are noted with deeply mixed profiles. New
activity is forming along a southwestward moving outflow boundary
east of the Phoenix Metro. This may support a few instances of
strong to severe wind and low visibility from blowing dust this
evening.

..Thornton/Hart.. 09/01/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9RHsD4qpP0YyXmSoC_ouFVms6RtLhlyidCAMER5p1_RL3l7PlLBziKUTae3B37SYOW0reWbZ5= a0abhHMzgWFhKYsv-4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR...

LAT...LON 34131168 34251118 34181116 34061115 33931099 33761074
33611044 33511014 33420971 33190983 33011007 32811073
32851119 32991161 33241197 33381214 33561215 34131168=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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