• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2046

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, September 06, 2025 21:34:54
    ACUS11 KWNS 062134
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 062134=20
    NJZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-062230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2046
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0434 PM CDT Sat Sep 06 2025

    Areas affected...eastern MD to southeast NJ

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 607...

    Valid 062134Z - 062230Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 607
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Limited threat for strong gusts should diminish before 00Z
    near the southeast portion of remaining WW 607.

    DISCUSSION...Convection has largely congealed into a southwest/northeast-oriented broken band from the northern
    Chesapeake into central NJ. This alignment is closely paralleling
    the deep-layer shear vector and likely is a mitigating factor to
    more organized potential for strong gusts. Still, a ribbon of mid to
    upper 80s surface temperatures remains across a portion of eastern
    MD into southeast NJ. This could support a few sporadic strong
    gusts, mainly in the 40-60 mph range, for another hour or two before
    this warm pocket is overturned close to sunset.

    ..Grams.. 09/06/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9uXgQUQltP5QnMsvCIMbf7LGDvA7-oKdrs8c3JHQfmigdA78wwABuHn6GhEQFAFAqoLR7WlR-= 8bNcYPO54TBgmkpf1o$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...

    LAT...LON 39847438 39717415 39277448 38517514 38307599 38537631
    38817648 38977644 39347557 39767477 39897448 39847438=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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