1. Forum
  2. FidoNET
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2051

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, September 09, 2025 00:31:38
    ACUS11 KWNS 090031
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 090031=20
    OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-090330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2051
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0731 PM CDT Mon Sep 08 2025

    Areas affected...far southwest Kansas into the northern Texas
    Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 608...

    Valid 090031Z - 090330Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 608
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Scattered storms producing damaging hail may persist for
    several more hours from far northwest Oklahoma into the Texas
    Panhandle.

    DISCUSSION...Severe storms producing hail, some with a history of
    sizes > 2-3", continue to affect a small portion of southwest KS,
    northwest OK, and the northeast TX Panhandle this evening. Isolated
    activity also extends into north-central OK, though these storms are
    weaker and will be mitigated by increasing CIN and cooler upstream
    surface temperatures.

    The more robust storms, situated on the warm side of the KS outflow
    boundary and extending southwestward near the surface thermal ridge,
    are expected to have greater longevity as capping will be slower to
    increase there. A modest low-level jet up to 40 kt will also help to
    maintain boundary layer mixing/warmth, further supporting a narrow
    corridor of persistent threat well into the evening and west of the
    larger CIN.

    ..Jewell.. 09/09/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6JEkhdnnBoFDAAf7flaGFjS1gGeZyUjo95KKf-UUUOoPy_INFKhmWP0oZTUU15m1lvg8aJWe2= siOjFo7Tats2eLRRZ4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...

    LAT...LON 35780200 37190019 37299974 37169900 36979830 36749786
    36589774 36469766 36359775 35979857 35559988 35530117
    35570205 35780200=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)