ACUS11 KWNS 140102
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140102=20
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-140230-

Mesoscale Discussion 1131
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0802 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

Areas affected...ENortheast Oklahoma...Southeast Kansas...Northwest
Arkansas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 330...

Valid 140102Z - 140230Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 330 continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated supercell storms will persist this evening, while
more widespread severe threat approaches from the northwest.

DISCUSSION...Recent radar imagery shows three large supercell storms
affecting the region. One is in Kay county OK, one in Benton County
AR, and one in Butler county KS. All three storms have a history of
large hail. The KS storm has begun to weaken at it tracks away from
the outflow boundary, while the other two cells remain anchored near
the boundary and in a favorable CAPE/shear parameter space for
occasional large hail and damaging winds. The low-level jet will
begin strengthening soon, which could also maintain/raise the risk
of a tornado or two.

A cluster of thunderstorms to the west of Wichita is also
approaching this region, and is likely to congeal into a bowing line
segment during the next 1-2 hours. This would increase the risk of
damaging winds through 04z. However, there is uncertainty regarding
how the westward-surging outflow from the Kay county supercell will
affect this scenario.

..Hart.. 06/14/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5avCpbe24dHrcNTv9pTlJ34BiGlko75Ia2NmhWqiPlUPrBncOtkiZXKRcLXQdrPngitBovRuU= cQtXwtS6RgXZ7qRsfc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON 37489734 37849618 36849576 36369368 35959358 35989456
36429740 36919764 37489734=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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