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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1132

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, June 14, 2026 01:05:49
    ACUS11 KWNS 140105
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 140105=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-140300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1132
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0805 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

    Areas affected...Northeastern Kansas into Western Missouri

    Concerning...Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Watches 327...329...

    Valid 140105Z - 140300Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm
    Watches 327, 329 continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat for WW 327 and WW 329 continues into
    this evening. While all hazards (including tornadoes) remain
    possible, the threat is transitioning to primarily damaging
    straight-line winds.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells has grown upscale and completed
    the transition to a primarily linear convective mode across much of northeastern Kansas, where wind gusts in the outflow have been
    measured in the 60-70 MPH range. This will be the primary hazard
    heading into the early evening hours, with a focused corridor of
    short-term damaging wind threat evident in the vicinity of Kansas
    City.=20

    Strong deep layer shear and increasing hodograph curvature with the
    onset of the nocturnal low-level jet will continue to support a
    tornado threat this evening and after sunset, but the overall
    messiness and linear nature of the current convection leaves
    uncertainty on where and when such a threat could materialize.
    Still, line embedded mesocyclones and tornadoes are still possible
    into the early evening.=20

    A downstream severe thunderstorm watch will be needed later this
    evening.

    ..Halbert.. 06/14/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_cGshijr4FNch4WdQingTyHkI3u_30Nd_GoY2fnBfooaUy5LKXTy9ZfmDHZIOSUrV1NBoXYKS= Ag1mghRVjfIX98ennY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

    LAT...LON 38749778 38959711 39249622 39599563 39729526 39629435
    39399393 38859397 38029426 37669511 37779649 37999724
    38269779 38429792 38539787 38749778=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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