ACUS11 KWNS 142020
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142020=20
MEZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-142215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1143
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0320 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Areas affected...portions of the Northeast

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 142020Z - 142215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few stronger storms may produce strong to severe gusts
and marginal hail this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Widely scattered shower and thunderstorm activity is
ongoing across portions of the Northern Adirondacks in New York to
Kennebec Valley in Maine. Through much of the morning and early
afternoon, this area has been under mid-level cloud cover which has
reduced daytime heating. As a result of this and ongoing showery
activity, very marginal instability is in place. This is observed
from the 18z ALB and GYX soundings. Though instability remains weak,
deep layer shear around 40-45 kts may support a few stronger
updrafts capable of strong to severe wind and marginally severe
hail. Given the spatially limited nature of this risk, a watch is
unlikely at this time.

..Thornton/Mosier.. 06/14/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5UTr-llomYvdtkMw3CJ_tYavdLAG6h2De2Dsylma8Hu8HrjuDISfTU3bDWEB9nHBH3RhorMN6= N7uNC7QddsEkQBl69A$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BTV...ALY...

LAT...LON 44027480 44397524 45027445 45057255 45317090 46006931
46066927 45726880 45446851 45246850 44866846 43807144
43757267 43647305 44027480=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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