ACUS11 KWNS 141844
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141843=20
TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-142015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1140
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0143 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Areas affected...portions of the mid-Tennessee River Valley

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 141843Z - 142015Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will pose a risk for damaging wind
gusts this afternoon across portions of the mid-Tennessee River
Valley

DISCUSSION...An uptick in convective coverage has been noted across
portions of the mid-Tennessee River Valley over the past 30-60
minutes with a broken broken band of developing thunderstorms noted
per regional radar imagery. This activity is occurring along a
remnant outflow boundary from overnight convection immediately
downstream of a subtle mid-level MCV. Modestly enhanced mid-level
westerly flow (30+ kts sampled above 1.5-2 km AGL by the HTX VWP and
40+ kts sampled by OHX) is contributing to 20-30 kts of effective
shear. Coupled with a moderately unstable environment in place ahead
of these storms, some potential exists for a marginally more
organized multicell cluster/band to evolve eastward this afternoon,
with an attendant risk for damaging wind gusts. Watch issuance
remains uncertain at this time, but a targeted Severe Thunderstorm
Watch may be considered should a corridor of greater severe
potential become evident.

..Chalmers/Mosier.. 06/14/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5uhDRybWn-bx_EBw6Jhhe71qzTL0Ron2lhdWD23oPfo_eL4he9OSU7AWNdQ7VzQmHRDxF2Qm8= r6ZsVnV01iZNpY6PnY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON 34168659 34228728 34288776 34378807 34538834 34688840
35008828 35218813 35648770 36028720 36168693 36258657
36188580 36118535 35988519 35758506 35398500 35128505
34738526 34448552 34228600 34168659=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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