1. Forum
  2. FidoNET
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1146

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, June 14, 2026 22:22:51
    ACUS11 KWNS 142222
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 142222=20 NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-150015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1146
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0522 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

    Areas affected...Parts of the Mid Atlantic

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 335...

    Valid 142222Z - 150015Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 335
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The damaging-wind threat may increase into this evening.
    Additional watch issuance is probable.

    DISCUSSION...Widely scattered strong storms are ongoing early this
    evening from south-central VA into western MD and eastern PA.
    Moderate buoyancy resides across parts of VA/MD, within a very
    warm/moist environment, while continued low-level moisture transport
    may allow for some additional destabilization with time into NJ and
    eastern PA. Effective shear of 30-40 kt will continue to support
    potential for organized convection, and an increase in storm
    coverage is expected as a midlevel shortwave trough approaches the
    region from the Ohio Valley.=20

    Ongoing semi-discrete convection will pose a threat of damaging wind
    and perhaps marginal hail, and a brief tornado cannot be ruled out.
    The anticipated increase in storm coverage could lead to modest
    upscale growth and one or more localized swaths of damaging wind
    through the evening. Additional watch issuance is probable to the
    northeast of WW 335 in response to these threats.

    ..Dean/Gleason.. 06/14/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-hozqQq3yqGatqUK0pX1CFVX4OZhMnDShXSDKcYCcihK-QZr0Wr26VN1w1ihAJTltUm6Lud-5= Am9Wa8X1l8a0mTDPHA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...

    LAT...LON 41637443 40007441 37837547 37177643 37267874 37967839
    39237784 41247674 41727642 42257591 42117514 41637443=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)