• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1170

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, June 17, 2026 22:56:43
    ACUS11 KWNS 172256
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 172255=20
    WIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-180030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1170
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0555 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

    Areas affected...Parts of southwest WI and vicinity

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 346...

    Valid 172255Z - 180030Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 346 continues.

    SUMMARY...Ongoing tornado potential may continue through early
    evening. Isolated hail and damaging wind are also possible.

    DISCUSSION...A noticeable uptick in storm organization has recently
    occurred across extreme northeast IA, with supercell evolution and
    development of a relatively long-lived tornado. The embedded
    supercell is now moving into southwest WI. While instability remains
    rather modest, favorable deep-layer shear and proximity to low-level
    vorticity in the vicinity of a surface low has helped to increase
    tornado potential, and some tornado threat may spread across a
    larger portion of southwest WI through early evening, where some
    modest airmass recovery has occurred. A Tornado Watch was recently
    issued in order to address the short-term tornado threat. Isolated
    hail and damaging wind also remain possible.

    ..Dean.. 06/17/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7B0BuN7Dv0P1tcgMExWeX6JgJkpejzwt6yIhMYMliLolw-BccagXEbd6wsB4dIX2BdczZPLlC= pTyZyMjMxE9YfFrjH4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MKX...DVN...ARX...

    LAT...LON 43069104 43269065 43279013 43028970 42728970 42428985
    42449025 42479053 42549074 42629096 42739122 42909125
    43069104=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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