• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1193

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, June 19, 2026 01:59:53
    ACUS11 KWNS 190159
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 190159=20
    FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-190400-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1193
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0859 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

    Areas affected...Far southern MS...south AL...western FL Panhandle

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 354...

    Valid 190159Z - 190400Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 354 continues.

    SUMMARY...Redeveloping storms may pose a threat of a brief tornado
    and/or locally damaging wind through late evening.

    DISCUSSION...A small storm cluster with a history of producing a
    brief tornado is moving across the western FL Panhandle at 0155 UTC
    this evening. This cluster is moving along the trailing outflow from
    earlier convection, with relatively enhanced low/midlevel flow still
    noted on the KEVX VWP. A brief tornado and/or locally damaging wind
    could still accompany this system through late evening, as it
    approaches the southwest portion of WW 354.=20

    Farther west, storms continue to redevelop near/west of Mobile. This
    trend may continue into late evening, as moist low-level
    southwesterly flow continues to impinge on the remnant outflow.
    While there may be a tendency for the bulk of convection in this
    area to be slightly elevated, occasional supercell development could
    be accompanied by a threat for locally damaging wind and a brief
    tornado, especially where any modest outflow modification can occur.

    ..Dean.. 06/19/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4xbFvqTj7Li5KUtztuO9saZlLIk6S8i2GzlWcwDj9KaOmOljVLIareARnFIOHQ1h3KEBkrMDt= MWfh_ROTtIoyw3q8pM$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...LIX...

    LAT...LON 30798864 30948803 30938738 30938649 30888623 30678562
    30568543 30298537 30128540 30128578 30208622 30228664
    30218703 30188783 30158835 30258861 30438880 30508886
    30798864=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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