ACUS11 KWNS 222034
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222034=20
MDZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-222200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1259
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0334 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Areas affected...portions of northern/central VA

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 375...

Valid 222034Z - 222200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 375
continues.

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm clusters may pose an increasing risk for
damaging winds across portions of northern and central Virginia over
the next 1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm clusters moving over the Blue Ridge
Mountains and into northern/central VA may pose an increasing risk
for damaging wind gusts the next 1-2 hours. These storms will
continue tracking east/northeast into a hot airmass with steep 0-3
km lapse rates around 7.5-8.5 C/km. Sufficient instability
(1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE) and 30 kt effective shear magnitudes should
support at least transient storm organization and some increase in
intensity in the short term.

..Leitman.. 06/22/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6GLgByd6hUr_YQGlKVx7kge1fjK86pxgoouTusOPySXdjLic-oRTfiERuaeW6fN64btJ6oR53= pF4OvccNchtfbkA8P4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...

LAT...LON 38717862 38977780 39107696 39037667 38677663 38217684
37907707 37467759 37297868 37327878 37437899 37837913
38267904 38547890 38717862=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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