ACUS11 KWNS 231042
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231041=20
NEZ000-231345-

Mesoscale Discussion 1268
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0541 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Areas affected...west-central Nebraska

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 231041Z - 231345Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A narrow corridor of hail and damaging wind potential may
persist for a few hours this morning.

DISCUSSION...An intense cluster of cells has developed near the
surface trough over northern NE, under the influence of the upper
wave moving across the Dakotas. Temperature aloft are relatively
cool, with midlevel westerlies around 40 kt aiding deep-layer shear
for storm longevity. Surface temperatures are cool and in the low
60s F, but stronger south/southwest winds just off the surface are
likely aiding destabilization and storm relative inflow within the
850 mb theta-e gradient.

Given the relatively large size of the complex and favorable
elevated influx of moisture out of the south/southwest, it seems
likely that hail and locally damaging wind potential will persist
within a narrow zone immediately to the southeast. Trends will
continue to be monitored for any additional expansion in threat
area, and watch potential could be reconsidered at that time.

..Jewell/Gleason.. 06/23/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4CpjRn6J90gJVU7bciQHyskNpkmwskpLeFzhMeVvXUuvKs9LuidYhRfxHqemMN96WR8Echxdz= weczcSoGS1zb8DrqXw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...

LAT...LON 42100254 42290209 42430162 41900056 41189969 40629974
40350093 40660145 40990188 41740236 42100254=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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