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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1277

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, June 23, 2026 19:43:02
    ACUS11 KWNS 231942
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 231942=20
    TXZ000-OKZ000-232145-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1277
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0242 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

    Areas affected...Northwest Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 380...

    Valid 231942Z - 232145Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 380
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A cluster of severe thunderstorms will likely persist
    through late afternoon and early evening across parts of northwest
    Texas. Downstream watch issuance will be needed shortly.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar imagery from KFDR and KLUB shows continue south/southeastward propagation of a cluster of strong/severe
    thunderstorms with a history of producing severe wind gusts.
    Although portions of this cluster are starting to become outflow
    dominant, additional development is noted on the west/southwest
    flank of the complex into a very unstable air mass. Given the
    persistence through late morning/early afternoon, probability seems
    high that the cluster will continue to pose a severe threat through
    the diurnal heating maximum when buoyancy will be maximized.
    Consequently, some severe wind and hail risk should continue
    downstream into the Rolling Plains of northwest Texas for the next
    several hours. Downstream watch issuance will be needed to address
    this concern.

    ..Moore.. 06/23/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5neMX0Imj2PlSQNSX528JA1yVKBolln0tMMEO-ytGVHW_EzrZAqtkuKkdGb1-Kifcrr8FHSJ0= iwOx1A_u2kFV3080ZA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

    LAT...LON 33990029 34269987 34369945 34169899 33139838 32779853
    32529930 32529971 32700018 32880043 33990029=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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