ACUS11 KWNS 232331
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232331=20
TXZ000-240030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1283
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0631 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Areas affected...portions of the Texas Panhandle and South Plains

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 383...

Valid 232331Z - 240030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 383
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe wind and hail (including 2+ inch diameter and 75+
mph gusts) will remain possible with the stronger, longer-lived
storms over the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...Multiple splitting and right-moving supercells have
developed along a convective outflow boundary across the TX
Panhandle over the past couple of hours. These storms have been
accompanied by up to baseball sized hail per reports and MRMS mosaic
MESH data. With over 3000 J/kg MLCAPE and 60+ kts of effective bulk
shear present, supercells that remain discrete should continue to
produce severe hail (some stones exceeding 2 inches in diameter)
over the next few hours. A few severe gusts may also occur,
especially where cold-pool mergers may take place.

..Squitieri.. 06/23/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7MbxgkhoGIyv4SI1hwLvVOzCxaZcmfFIN28_Ed9wx3L9SEkN4AQUYLcJ9xTkcNQKZb7jFSUJf= MfMprnhxbiyxe8mdnY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON 33970075 33460101 33220114 33030141 32970193 32980230
33370265 34180270 35030276 35420264 35570224 35490174
35040111 34450078 33970075=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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