ACUS11 KWNS 240303
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240303=20
COZ000-240430-

Mesoscale Discussion 1287
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1003 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Colorado

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385...

Valid 240303Z - 240430Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385
continues.

SUMMARY...An uptick in severe hail is expected over the next several
hours. A few severe gusts are also possible.

DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have recently initiated and matured
across portions of central into northeastern Colorado amid an
increase in 700 mb WAA. MRMS mosaic radar imagery suggests severe
hail is falling with these storms, with some stones potentially
reaching the 2-4 inch diameter range in Morgan County. 02Z
mesoanalysis depicts 3000-4000 J/kg MLCAPE and 60+ kts of effective
bulk shear in proximity to these storms, so the ambient environment
supports an increase in the production of significant-severe hail
and perhaps some severe gusts for any supercells that can become
sustained.

..Squitieri.. 06/24/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4-4SdcurPlVPuzDV0Hv4isaDCeQ2YJ455xlPFxTDY5L3P9x7tE30Kk2aZHrwG7A5Eh5fQ7PFM= Onfwrz7IyNK69H7F0w$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON 38180420 38830460 39680476 40220470 40560447 40700397
40530312 39980261 39110227 38430234 38130338 38180420=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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