• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1297

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, June 24, 2026 22:28:39
    ACUS11 KWNS 242228
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 242228=20
    WIZ000-MIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-250000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1297
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0528 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

    Areas affected...portions of the western Great Lakes region

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387...

    Valid 242228Z - 250000Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The risk for primarily large hail and damaging wind gusts
    continues across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387. A brief tornado or
    two also remain possible.

    DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery depicts widely scattered
    thunderstorms ongoing from northern Wisconsin southward into
    northern Illinois, with a mixed mode of supercells and clusters
    noted as of 2220 UTC. This convection has produced several reports
    of large hail (up to 1.25" in diameter) over the past 1-2 hours,
    with sporadic reports of wind damage and brief funnel clouds also
    received. This risk will persist over the next couple of hours as
    convection evolves east-southeastward towards Lake Michigan.=20

    The greatest severe potential appears to exist across the southern
    half of the Severe Thunderstorm Watch area, where greater buoyancy
    exists within the hail growth zone, which may promote an instance or
    two of large hail approaching golf ball size. Modestly steeper
    low-level lapse rates will also continue to promote the potential
    for damaging wind gusts. Lastly, a brief tornado or two cannot be
    ruled out, especially where low-level SRH is modestly enhanced in
    the vicinity of the lake breeze.

    ..Chalmers.. 06/24/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4Af03odl3LuUsXcrY0FpbyZTK2vmTX8XZpkWcydmv7haMP3Qo9XIdEz5dqUX_ttGM3KMOhKCs= eXT7aan3MldwQP21N4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...LOT...MKX...DVN...DLH...ARX...

    LAT...LON 41858754 41708792 41628917 41758991 41889014 41989025
    42779068 43559071 44849050 44929046 45908958 46168843
    46138778 45798742 44658746 43248770 42078742 41858754=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)