• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1298

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, June 24, 2026 22:48:41
    ACUS11 KWNS 242248
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 242247=20
    NMZ000-COZ000-242345-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1298
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0547 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

    Areas affected...portions of eastern New Mexico into southeastern
    Colorado

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388...

    Valid 242247Z - 242345Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A threat for severe gusts and perhaps hail continues
    across portions of the Southern Plains for at least a few more
    hours.

    DISCUSSION...Multicells and supercells have developed and
    intensified across portions of far southeastern CO into eastern NM,
    where MRMS MESH suggests that 1-2 inch hail has been falling with
    these storms. 40+ kts of effective bulk shear and up to 2000 J/kg
    MLCAPE precede these storms, so a severe gust/hail threat should
    persist with the stronger, longer lived storms.

    ..Squitieri.. 06/24/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7rJAfBwPxQQ2j10cTA-BmVFaPHvyHor-F41REVigiCRg6q7bFbEt-pz_bxKJU-zLya1rMAWNo= VSeLxj7UXhdqbWjtyA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 34240551 38140501 38910456 38620372 36250342 34990314
    34250331 33940364 33920464 34240551=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)