• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1303

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, June 25, 2026 01:07:18
    ACUS11 KWNS 250107
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 250106=20
    INZ000-ILZ000-250230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1303
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0806 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

    Areas affected...portions of northeastern Illinois into northwestern
    Indiana

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387...

    Valid 250106Z - 250230Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat will gradually diminish over the next
    1-2 hours. Isolated large hail, damaging wind gusts, and perhaps a
    brief tornado remain possible in the meantime.

    DISCUSSION...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain ongoing
    across portions of northeastern Illinois and are beginning to spread
    into northwestern Indiana as of 0100 UTC. A mixed storm mode of
    supercells and clusters has produced sporadic large hail and
    damaging wind reports over the past 1-2 hours, and this threat is
    expected to persist east-southeastward into far northwestern
    Indiana, with isolated large hail, damaging wind gusts, and perhaps
    a brief tornado remaining possible. Objective analysis indicates
    that available buoyancy decreases rapidly with eastward extent,
    however. Coupled with the onset of low-level nocturnal
    cooling/stabilization and the eastward progression of the attendant
    mid-level shortwave trough, this will result in a gradually
    diminishing severe threat over the next couple of hours. A local
    watch extension could be needed should a stronger storm or two
    persist through the expiration time of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 387
    at 0300 UTC, but additional watch issuance is not anticipated at
    this time.

    ..Chalmers.. 06/25/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5x9w7IjwtYpiz6zjy3HI4RA16T7CiouzXxVk5znVJ8KZ4KnQ4HmphZzb9-Ku7CCGvX7lFgpU5= JKhHeIIOiPUSbSvPSQ$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...IWX...LOT...DVN...

    LAT...LON 42278925 42438890 42418821 42168719 41788692 41298688
    40878710 40708750 40778834 41138912 41808957 42098950
    42278925=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)