ACUS11 KWNS 021645
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021645
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-021845-

Mesoscale Discussion 1820
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM CDT Sun Aug 02 2026

Areas affected...portions of Georgia...South Carolina...and western
North Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 021645Z - 021845Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Sporadic, locally strong wind gusts are possible through
the afternoon. Overall severe risk is expected to remain limited and
a severe thunderstorm watch is not anticipated.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm clusters are developing within a
destabilizing and very moist airmass early this afternoon. While
moderate instability will overlie the region, aided by upper 70s
dewpoints, lapse rates will remain poor and vertical shear weak. As
a result, only transient organized cells/multi-cell clusters are
expected. Nevertheless, the rich boundary layer moisture and PW
values over 2 inches amid 1000-2500 J/kg MLCAPE will support some
potential for isolated strong wind gusts through the afternoon. The
overall severe risk is expected to remain limited, and a watch is
not anticipated.

..Leitman/Mosier.. 08/02/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-oJH8XMpac9tv30QajEnJINFtOkoKB-NV7CBMetwu5N8Whsf2-JzZBVOB0p02rWjgGjxOIIJgfIAZCWArwhgiUEkjsI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON 32288462 34508382 35528293 35928230 36118180 36068130
35828109 34998061 34058072 33118111 32158211 31648336
31608407 31788446 32288462

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)