ACUS11 KWNS 012344
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012344
OHZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-020145-

Mesoscale Discussion 1819
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0644 PM CDT Sat Aug 01 2026

Areas affected...Parts of eastern IN/KY...western
OH...middle/eastern TN

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 012344Z - 020145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A threat for a brief tornado or two and/or locally
damaging wind may continue through dusk.

DISCUSSION...An arc of thunderstorms is ongoing this evening from
eastern IN into southwest OH, eastern KY, and middle TN, in
association with a broad deep-layer clone over IL/IN and surface
trough that trails into the OH/TN Valleys. Multiple cells within
convective arc have developed brief/transient rotation over the last
1-2 hours, aided by low-level vorticity near the surface cyclone and
some SRH enhancement noted on the KILN VWP. Rich low-level moisture
is supporting MLCAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg, though poor lapse rates may
continue to temper updraft intensity and the longevity of the severe
threat with any particular storm. The strongest cells through dusk
will remain capable of producing a brief tornado or two and/or
locally damaging winds.

..Dean/Hart.. 08/01/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!_HUkGY6UIlmoXhj6qSLepViDluz_ei1YCLYUz9VkA2ESVZ8VK-kgmebVZQLFpw2woyCFDJOicu1xkEU71ih9DI5u3io$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...OHX...IND...

LAT...LON 40158575 40508445 40428362 40058303 39198303 37968341
37018369 36298411 35658475 35598531 35638557 35758612
35988613 36678568 37878514 39618506 40158575

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)