ACUS11 KWNS 061739
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061739 NHZ000-VTZ000-MAZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-DCZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-061945-

Mesoscale Discussion 1841
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1239 PM CDT Thu Aug 06 2026

Areas affected...portions of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 061739Z - 061945Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage to increase through the afternoon
with potential for a few isolated instances of damaging wind.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to steadily increase
through the afternoon, aided by daytime heating and moistening near
the surface trough and ascent near the higher terrain. Steep
low-level lapse rates, 20-30 kts of deep layer shear, and moderate
instability will support potential for a few isolated stronger clusters/segments spreading east with potential for wet downbursts.
This threat is expected to remain too localized to warrant watch
issuance.

..Thornton/Gleason.. 08/06/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!89zZGnsHxeZeBuu2xppDL_00KAzsBjlgpWu1773jxeJzX3lf-NazymMMVmW3uOpaWzqfek0P-05BjXU9pbcRvr3oeds$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...AKQ... BUF...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...

LAT...LON 39077944 42927651 44967308 44417171 42617233 38487694
38187753 38047837 37917900 38117950 38207953 39077944

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)