ACUS11 KWNS 061807
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061806
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-062000-

Mesoscale Discussion 1842
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0106 PM CDT Thu Aug 06 2026

Areas affected...portions of the Carolinas and southern Virginia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 061806Z - 062000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms to increase in coverage
through the afternoon with localized damaging wind potential.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage though the
afternoon across the Carolinas into southern Virginia. Daytime
heating has allowed for temperatures in the mid 80s to 90s F. This
is contributing to steepening low-level lapse rates and moderate
instability. Though deep layer flow is weak, the steep low-level
lapse rates and very moist profiles may support a few instances of
wet microbursts. Overall, this potential is expected to remain
fairly isolated, precluding the need for a watch.

..Thornton/Gleason.. 08/06/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!6O1pq1W_HiOiw3ieD-sVr48VMRIWxvvhIBLln0rtQK_eKAtIhrIkpoZW62qVsp9vhNQcQVrShjXuugMjTwRToiNw29k$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...RLX...CAE... GSP...MRX...FFC...

LAT...LON 36348196 38278016 38057920 37727812 37427773 37117750
34897896 33208063 33328176 33758266 35028317 36348196

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


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--- scorpsmtpd
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