ACUS11 KWNS 081908
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081908
MDZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-082045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1864
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0208 PM CDT Sat Aug 08 2026

Areas affected...Northern Virginia into the DelMarVa

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 081908Z - 082045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated wind damage is possible this afternoon where
low-level lapse rates remain steep south of convective outflow. A
watch is not anticipated this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Isolated cells near the Blue Ridge will continue
eastward this afternoon. Pockets of steep low-level lapse rates will
promote potential for isolated strong/damaging wind gusts. The main
corridor or risk will occur along and south of an outflow boundary
that is currently near Washington DC eastward into central/southern
Delaware. 0-6 km shear off of the KLWX VAD is around 35 kts which
would support marginally organized storms. The threat is likely to
remain isolated unless clustering can occur.

..Wendt/Hart.. 08/08/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!4deRVhe4RHgX3z26ueqX7fjU7-_54vpPJvCF63DklgqXZ9ZWBPgfsXL1Y169PY0UwXBcXf9U9K3yow254K5ziccGb1Q$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...

LAT...LON 39097834 39387816 39327721 38777643 38497600 38367533
37697566 37687627 37817699 38097787 38517872 39097834

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


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