ACUS11 KWNS 082014
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082014
KSZ000-COZ000-082215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1866
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0314 PM CDT Sat Aug 08 2026

Areas affected...East-central CO into west-central/northwest KS

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 082014Z - 082215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated severe downbursts are possible this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Isolated high-based thunderstorms are evolving along a northeast/southwest-oriented surface boundary/wind shift extending
from northwest KS into east-central CO this afternoon. Downstream of
these storms, deep inverted-V profiles (around 65 deg T/Td spreads)
will be favorable for isolated severe downbursts, despite the
presence of weak buoyancy. Around 25-30 kt of west-northwesterly
steering flow (per the GLD VWP) will allow this activity to continue
spreading into western KS, where a continued risk of locally severe
wind gusts will persist this afternoon.

..Weinman/Hart.. 08/08/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-nDvzyMEWH2yV3O0HUtEdBipz-5Z54J0hF-nyDSBfgp5yCThqvVDmq-4dMRSDbA_NLowuGI0ox84XworpV-8oTr5YTk$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...

LAT...LON 39090251 39350228 39750182 39860151 39830129 39600114
39240127 38510187 38240232 38210271 38320298 38520312
38800309 39090251

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.
--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)