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OUTLOOK: Tropical Weather Outlook
From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Sunday, October 18, 2026 18:32:44
ABNT20 KNHC 181728
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Off the East Coast of the United States:
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is expected to form
later today or tonight off the southeast coast of the United States.
This low is likely to move slowly and erratically through the middle
of this week, and some subtropical development is possible during
that time. Regardless of development, this system will cause high
winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous surf along portions of the
U.S. East Coast. Please consult statements and warnings from local
National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center
for more information, along with High Seas Forecasts and Storm
Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Beven
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
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From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Monday, October 19, 2026 11:12:54
ABNT20 KNHC 191152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Off the East Coast of the United States:
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is located along a
frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeast coast of the
United States. This low is likely to move slowly and erratically
over the next couple of days. If the low remains over the Gulf
Stream and becomes detached from the front, it could briefly acquire
some subtropical cyclone characteristics during the middle to latter
portions of the week. The system is expected to begin to move
northeastward away from the the eastern United States later this
week, and environmental conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for development by the weekend. Regardless of the
status of the system, high winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous
surf are expected along portions of the U.S. East Coast during the
next few days. Please consult statements and warnings from local
National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center
for more information, along with High Seas Forecasts and Storm
Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Pasch
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
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From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Tuesday, October 20, 2026 08:38:38
ABNT20 KNHC 201150
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 20 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Off the East Coast of the United States (AL93):
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred
miles off the North Carolina coast is producing some shower and
thunderstorm activity primarily west of its center. However,
overnight satellite wind data indicated the low was still attached
to an occluded front. Over the next couple of days, the low could
develop some organized deep convection and gradually lose its
frontal features while it moves slowly north-northeastward over the
Gulf Stream, allowing the system to briefly develop subtropical characteristics. By the end of the week, the system is expected to
accelerate northeastward away from the the eastern United States,
where environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable
for additional subtropical or tropical development.
Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal
flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S.
East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service
offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with High Seas
Forecasts and Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Papin
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
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From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 09:20:42
ABNT20 KNHC 211142
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 21 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Offshore of the East Coast of the United States (AL93):
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred
miles off the mid-Atlantic United States coast is producing some
shower and thunderstorm activity primarily west and northwest of its
center. Over the next day or two, the low could gradually lose its
frontal features while it moves slowly north-northeastward over the
Gulf Stream, allowing the system to possibly develop subtropical characteristics. By Friday, the system is expected to accelerate
northeastward away from the the eastern United States, and
environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for
additional subtropical or tropical development.
Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal
flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S.
East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service
offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with the High Seas
Forecasts and the Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Blake
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
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From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Thursday, October 22, 2026 07:57:26
ABNT20 KNHC 221136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 22 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical
Storm Josephine, located a few hundred miles offshore of the
Mid-Atlantic coast of the United States.
Subtropical Central Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles to the
east-southeast of Bermuda is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this system is
possible during the next day or two while it moves slowly
north-northeastward. Upper-level winds are forecast to become too
strong for further development by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Josephine are issued under WMO header WTNT35
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Josephine are issued under WMO header WTNT25
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.
$$
Forecaster Beven
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
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From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Friday, October 23, 2026 09:55:56
ABNT20 KNHC 231114
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
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From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Sunday, October 25, 2026 10:04:16
ABNT20 KNHC 251134
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 25 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
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From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Sunday, November 01, 2026 09:34:26
ABNT20 KNHC 011118
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Sun Nov 1 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
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From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Monday, November 02, 2026 10:06:22
ABNT20 KNHC 021138
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Atlantic:
An area of low pressure is likely to form along a weakening frontal
boundary a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas in a couple of
days. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics
late this week while it drifts over the western Atlantic. The
chances of subtropical development should end by the weekend when
the system is expected to move eastward or northeastward into
unfavorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
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From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Tuesday, November 03, 2026 09:27:52
ABNT20 KNHC 031134
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Atlantic:
An area of low pressure is expected to form along a weakening
frontal boundary a few hundred miles south of Bermuda over the next
day or so. This system could acquire some subtropical
characteristics late this week while it drifts slowly over the
western Atlantic. The chances of subtropical development decrease by
this weekend when the system is expected to move generally eastward
into unfavorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
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From
Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to
All on Friday, November 06, 2026 10:09:00
ABNT20 KNHC 061137
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Fri Nov 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western and Central Atlantic (AL94):
A gale-force, non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred
miles south of Bermuda is producing an area of cloudiness and
showers. This system could briefly acquire some subtropical
characteristics during the next couple of days while it moves
generally eastward over the western and central subtropical
Atlantic. By late this weekend, the low is forecast to become
absorbed by a new non-tropical low pressure system to its east, and
further development is not expected. Regardless, gale-force winds
are likely over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic through
the weekend. For more information, including Gale Warnings, please
see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
NNN
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)