• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0373

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, April 03, 2025 08:54:41
    ACUS11 KWNS 030854
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030854=20
    PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-031030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0373
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0354 AM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025

    Areas affected...portions of western PA into WV

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 105...

    Valid 030854Z - 031030Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 105
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe potential will wane with time and eastward extent.
    Locally strong gusts may continue in the short term from western
    Pennsylvania into central West Virginia.

    DISCUSSION...A line of convection from western PA into western WV
    will continue to progress east over the next few hours. Much of this
    activity is outpacing weak instability and moving toward strong
    inhibition. Nevertheless, strong vertical shear remains over the
    region, which may maintain some organized linear convection in the
    short term. The main risk across the remainder of Severe
    Thunderstorm Watch 105 will be locally strong gusts. A downstream
    watch is not expected.

    ..Leitman.. 04/03/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8QIG27TdgpxM6gLEiHVapgqja4MuCtSYNShbx9JMhH9c2915mkG5g-ZzPDrbjr1i1GNrq081h= WgEzPIOpHYa2SFikUQ$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...JKL...

    LAT...LON 41387881 40527874 38728024 37738198 37968255 38278277
    38778254 39808111 41337949 41387881=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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