ABNT20 KNHC 231145
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Satellite images indicate that disorganized showers and
thunderstorms are displaced to the east of an area of low pressure
located about 600 miles east of Bermuda. Environmental conditions
are still marginally favorable for further development, and an
increase in thunderstorm activity could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression today. By Tuesday, this system is
expected to encounter less favorable environmental conditions,
ending its opportunity for development. The system is forecast to
move northeastward around 10 mph, remaining over the open central
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

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ABNT20 KNHC 231836
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook...Retransmitted
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Recent satellite data indicates that the low pressure system located
more than 600 miles east-northeast of Bermuda is producing
gale-force winds. However, the shower and thunderstorm activity
remains disorganized. Environmental conditions are still marginally
favorable for further development, and an increase in thunderstorm
activity could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical
depression or tropical storm today or tonight. By Tuesday, this
system is expected to encounter unfavorable environmental
conditions, ending its opportunity for development. The system is
forecast to move northeastward around 10 to 15 mph, remaining over
the open central Atlantic. For additional information, including
gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


Forecaster Hagen/Jelsema

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ABNT20 KNHC 231856
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Recent satellite data indicates that the low pressure system located
more than 600 miles east-northeast of Bermuda is producing
gale-force winds. However, the shower and thunderstorm activity
remains disorganized. Environmental conditions are still marginally
favorable for further development, and an increase in thunderstorm
activity could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical
depression or tropical storm today or tonight. By Tuesday, this
system is expected to encounter unfavorable environmental
conditions, ending its opportunity for development. The system is
forecast to move northeastward around 10 to 15 mph, remaining over
the open central Atlantic. For additional information, including
gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Jelsema

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ABNT20 KNHC 231941
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Recent satellite data indicates that the low pressure system located
more than 600 miles east-northeast of Bermuda is producing
gale-force winds. However, the shower and thunderstorm activity
remains disorganized. Environmental conditions are still marginally
favorable for further development, and an increase in thunderstorm
activity could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical
depression or tropical storm today or tonight. By Tuesday, this
system is expected to encounter unfavorable environmental
conditions, ending its opportunity for development. The system is
forecast to move northeastward around 10 to 15 mph, remaining over
the open central Atlantic. For additional information, including
gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Jelsema

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ABNT20 KNHC 231947
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Recent satellite data indicates that the low pressure system located
more than 600 miles east-northeast of Bermuda is producing
gale-force winds. However, the shower and thunderstorm activity
remains disorganized. Environmental conditions are still marginally
favorable for further development, and an increase in thunderstorm
activity could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical
depression or tropical storm today or tonight. By Tuesday, this
system is expected to encounter unfavorable environmental
conditions, ending its opportunity for development. The system is
forecast to move northeastward around 10 to 15 mph, remaining over
the open central Atlantic. For additional information, including
gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Jelsema

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ABNT20 KNHC 232004
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Recent satellite data indicates that the low pressure system located
more than 600 miles east-northeast of Bermuda is producing
gale-force winds. However, the shower and thunderstorm activity
remains disorganized. Environmental conditions are still marginally
favorable for further development, and an increase in thunderstorm
activity could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical
depression or tropical storm today or tonight. By Tuesday, this
system is expected to encounter unfavorable environmental
conditions, ending its opportunity for development. The system is
forecast to move northeastward around 10 to 15 mph, remaining over
the open central Atlantic. For additional information, including
gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Jelsema

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ABNT20 KNHC 232317
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Showers and thunderstorms have diminished this afternoon in
association with a low-pressure system located a little over 650
miles east-northeast of Bermuda. Environmental conditions are
marginally favorable for further development, and a resurgence in
thunderstorm activity could result in the formation of a short-lived
tropical depression or tropical storm this evening. By Tuesday, the
low is expected to encounter increasingly unfavorable environmental
conditions, ending its opportunity for development. The system is
forecast to move northeastward around 15 to 20 mph while remaining
over the open central Atlantic. For additional information,
including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Roberts

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ABNT20 KNHC 240536
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jun 24 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
A small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms have
redeveloped on the north side of a gale-force low-pressure system
located about 700 miles east-northeast of Bermuda. Environmental
conditions are marginally favorable, and further resurgence of the
thunderstorm activity could still result in the formation of a
short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm. By later today,
the low is expected to encounter more hostile environmental
conditions, ending its opportunity for development. The system is
forecast to move northeastward at around 15 to 20 mph while
remaining over the open central Atlantic. For additional
information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Papin

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ABNT20 KNHC 241122
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 24 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Showers and thunderstorms have persisted with a gale-force
low-pressure system located about 900 miles east-northeast of
Bermuda. Environmental conditions are marginally favorable, and
further resurgence of the thunderstorm activity could still result
in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression or tropical
storm this morning. By later this evening, the low is expected to
encounter more hostile environmental conditions, ending its
opportunity for development. The system is forecast to move
northeastward at around 15 to 20 mph while remaining over the open
central Atlantic. For additional information, including gale
warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Hagen

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ABNT20 KNHC 241226
TWOAT

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
830 AM EDT Tue Jun 24 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Special outlook issued to update AL90 formation chances

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Satellite images indicate that shower and thunderstorm activity
has become better organized in association with a small gale-force
low-pressure system located about 900 miles east-northeast of
Bermuda. This system will likely become a short-lived tropical
storm later today before more hostile environmental conditions end
its opportunity for development by this evening. The low is
forecast to move northeastward at around 15 to 20 mph while
remaining over the open central Atlantic. For additional
information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Blake

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ABNT20 KNHC 241722
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jun 24 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Storm Andrea, located in the central Atlantic.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Andrea are issued under
WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Andrea are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema/Blake/Hagen

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ABNT20 KNHC 242314
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jun 24 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Tropical Storm Andrea, located in the central subtropical Atlantic.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Andrea are issued under
WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Andrea are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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ABNT20 KNHC 250510
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jun 25 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Andrea, located in the central subtropical
Atlantic. For additional information, please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Roberts

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ABNT20 KNHC 251139
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 25 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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ABNT20 KNHC 251737
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jun 25 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema/Blake

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ABNT20 KNHC 252313
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jun 25 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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ABNT20 KNHC 260501
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

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ABNT20 KNHC 261138
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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ABNT20 KNHC 261720
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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ABNT20 KNHC 262316
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Bay of Campeche:
An area of showers and thunderstorms currently over the northwestern
Caribbean sea and adjacent land areas is expected to move
west-northwestward into the Bay of Campeche Saturday or Saturday
night. A low pressure area could form after that time if the system
remains over water.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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ABNT20 KNHC 270504
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Bay of Campeche:
An area of showers and thunderstorms currently over the northwestern
Caribbean sea and adjacent land areas is expected to move
west-northwestward into the Bay of Campeche Saturday or Saturday
night, where a low pressure area could form. Subsequent slow
development is possible on Sunday or Monday if the system remains
offshore of the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rains are possible over portions of Belize, Guatemala,
and southeastern Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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ABNT20 KNHC 271139
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Bay of Campeche:
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the
northwestern Caribbean sea and the adjacent land areas is expected
to move west-northwestward into the Bay of Campeche Saturday or
Saturday night, where an area of low pressure could form.
Subsequent development is possible on Sunday or Monday if the system
remains offshore of the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rains are possible over portions of Belize, Guatemala,
and southeastern Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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ABNT20 KNHC 271737
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Yucatan Peninsula and Bay of Campeche:
A broad area of low pressure has formed over the Yucatan Peninsula
in association with a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan
Peninsula. Some additional development is possible over the next few
days when the system moves into the Bay of Campeche this weekend. By
early next week this system should move inland over Mexico, ending
its chances of additional development. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rains are possible over portions of Belize, Guatemala,
and southeastern Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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ABNT20 KNHC 272332
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Yucatan Peninsula and Bay of Campeche (AL91):
A broad area of low pressure centered over the southwestern Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over the Yucatan Peninsula and the
adjacent waters. This system should emerge over the Bay of Campeche
later tonight, and some development is possible on Saturday and
Sunday if the low remains over water. By Monday, this system should
move inland over eastern Mexico, ending its chances of additional
development. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are
possible over portions of Belize, Guatemala, and southeastern
Mexico during the next few days. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Saturday,
if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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ABNT20 KNHC 280502
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Yucatan Peninsula and Bay of Campeche (AL91):
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that the broad
low pressure area over the southwestern Yucatan Peninsula is
emerging over the Bay of Campeche. This system is currently
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over the Yucatan Peninsula and the adjacent waters. Some
development is possible today and Sunday as the low moves generally west-northwestward, and a tropical depression could form during
this time. By Monday, this system should move inland over eastern
Mexico, ending its chances of development. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of
Belize, Guatemala, and southeastern and eastern Mexico during the
next few days. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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ABNT20 KNHC 281135
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Bay of Campeche (AL91):
An area of low pressure located in the eastern Bay of Campeche near
the Mexican coastline continues to produce a broad region of
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity over the Yucatan
Peninsula and adjacent waters. Additional development is possible
today and Sunday as the low moves generally west-northwestward, and
a tropical depression could form during this period while the system
remains over the waters of the Bay of Campeche. By Monday, this
system should move inland over eastern Mexico, ending its chances of development. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, locally heavy
rains are possible over portions of Belize, Guatemala, and
southeastern Mexico during the next few days. An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system
later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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ABNT20 KNHC 281753
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Bay of Campeche (AL91):
Recent surface observations, satellite imagery, and radar data from
Mexico suggests a well-defined surface circulation is developing
with the area of low pressure located in the Bay of Campeche near
the Mexican coastline. In addition, shower and thunderstorm activity
is also starting to show signs of organization. If these trends
continue, a tropical depression is likely to form, possibly as soon
as this afternoon, in the Bay of Campeche. This system is forecast
to continue moving west-northwestward this weekend towards eastern
Mexico, ultimately moving inland by Monday. An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is en route to investigate the system, and
interests in southeastern Mexico should monitor the progress of this
system. Tropical Storm Watches or Warnings could be required for
portions of the Mexican Gulf coast as soon as this afternoon.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, locally heavy rains are
ongoing over portions of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico, and will
continue during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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ABNT20 KNHC 282332
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Two, located in the Bay of Campeche.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under
WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

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ABNT20 KNHC 290520
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jun 29 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located in the Bay of Campeche.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under
WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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ABNT20 KNHC 291153
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 29 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located in the Bay of Campeche.

Southeastern U.S. Coastline:
Towards the end of this week into next weekend, an area of low
pressure could develop from a remnant frontal boundary near or along
the southeastern U.S. Atlantic and or Gulf coasts. Some gradual
tropical or subtropical development could occur thereafter as it
drifts slowly just off the U.S. coastline.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under
WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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ABNT20 KNHC 291740
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 29 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
recently upgraded Tropical Storm Barry, nearing the eastern
coast of Mexico in the Bay of Campeche.

Southeastern U.S. Coastline:
Towards the end of this week into next weekend, an area of low
pressure could develop from a remnant frontal boundary near or along
the southeastern U.S. Atlantic or Gulf coasts. Some gradual tropical
or subtropical development could occur thereafter as it drifts
slowly just off the U.S. coastline.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Barry are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Barry are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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ABNT20 KNHC 292320
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Jun 29 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Barry, near the eastern coast of Mexico.

Southeastern U.S. Coastline:
Towards the end of this week and into next weekend, an area of low
pressure could develop from a remnant frontal boundary near or along
the southeastern U.S. Atlantic or Gulf coasts. Some gradual tropical
or subtropical development could occur thereafter as it drifts
slowly just off the U.S. coastline.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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ABNT20 KNHC 300516
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
recently downgraded Tropical Depression Barry, located inland over
eastern Mexico.

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
A frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast
U.S. coast late this week. An area of low pressure could develop
from the weakening front by next weekend off the southeast U.S.,
over Florida, or over the eastern Gulf. Some gradual tropical or
subtropical development could occur thereafter as the low moves
little.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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ABNT20 KNHC 301139
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on the
Remnants of Barry, located inland over eastern Mexico.

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
A frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast
U.S. coast late this week. An area of low pressure could develop
from the weakening front by the weekend off the southeast U.S.,
over Florida, or over the eastern Gulf. Some gradual tropical or
subtropical development could occur thereafter as the low moves
little.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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ABNT20 KNHC 301741
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
A frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast
U.S. coast late this week. An area of low pressure could develop
from the weakening front by the weekend off the southeast U.S., over
Florida, or over the eastern Gulf. Some gradual tropical or
subtropical development could occur thereafter as the low moves
little.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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ABNT20 KNHC 302319
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
A frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast
U.S. coast late this week. An area of low pressure could develop
from the weakening front by the weekend over the Atlantic waters
off the southeast U.S., over Florida, or over the eastern Gulf.
Some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur
thereafter as the low moves little.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

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ABNT20 KNHC 010519
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
A frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast
U.S. coast late this week. An area of low pressure could develop
from the weakening front by the weekend over the Atlantic waters
off the southeast U.S., over Florida, or over the eastern Gulf.
Some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur
thereafter as the low moves little.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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ABNT20 KNHC 011132
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
A frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast
U.S. coast late this week. An area of low pressure could develop
from the weakening front by the weekend over the Atlantic waters
off the southeast U.S., over Florida, or over the eastern Gulf.
Some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur
thereafter as the low drifts and moves little.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

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ABNT20 KNHC 011715
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
A frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast
U.S. coast late this week. An area of low pressure could develop
from the weakening front by the weekend over the Atlantic waters off
the southeast U.S., over Florida, or over the eastern Gulf. Some
gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur thereafter
as the low drifts and moves little. Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall is possible across portions of the southeast U.S.,
particularly across the west-central Florida coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Churchill

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ABNT20 KNHC 012343
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure could develop near the southeast U.S.
Atlantic or Gulf coasts over the weekend along a weakening front.
Although significant development is not anticipated, a tropical or
subtropical depression could form in this region over the weekend or
early next week while the system drifts and moves little. Regardless
of development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of the
southeast U.S., particularly across the west-central Florida coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky

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ABNT20 KNHC 020536
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure could develop near the southeast U.S.
Atlantic or Gulf coasts by this weekend along a weakening frontal
boundary. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive
for some slow development, but a tropical or subtropical depression
could form in this region over the weekend or early next week while
the system moves little. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall
is possible across portions of the southeast U.S., particularly
across the west-central Florida coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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ABNT20 KNHC 021133
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure could develop near the southeast U.S.
Atlantic or Gulf coasts by this weekend along a weakening frontal
boundary. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive
for some slow development, but a tropical or subtropical depression
could form in this region over the weekend or early next week while
the system moves little. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall
is possible across portions of the southeast U.S., particularly
across the west-central Florida coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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ABNT20 KNHC 021720
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure could develop near the southeast U.S.
Atlantic or Gulf coasts by this weekend along a weakening frontal
boundary. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive
for some slow development, but a tropical or subtropical depression
could form in this region over the weekend or early next week while
the system drifts northward or northeastward. Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of the
southeast U.S., particularly across the west-central Florida coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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ABNT20 KNHC 022326
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure could develop along a weakening frontal
boundary near Florida or the Atlantic coast of the southeastern
United States by this weekend. Environmental conditions appear
only marginally conducive for some slow development, but a tropical
or subtropical depression could form in this region over the
weekend or early next week while the system drifts northward or
northeastward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is
possible across portions of the southeast U.S., particularly across
the west-central Florida coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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ABNT20 KNHC 030524
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop along a weakening
frontal boundary near Florida or the Atlantic coast of the
southeastern United States by early this weekend. Environmental
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slow
development, but a tropical or subtropical depression could form in
this region over the weekend or early next week while the system
drifts northward or northeastward. Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall is possible across portions of the southeast U.S.,
particularly across the west-central Florida coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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ABNT20 KNHC 031131
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop along a weakening
frontal boundary near Florida or the Atlantic coast of the
southeastern United States by Saturday. Environmental
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slow
development, but a tropical or subtropical depression could form in
this region over the weekend or early next week while the system
drifts northward or northeastward. Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall is possible across portions of the southeast U.S.,
particularly across the west-central Florida coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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ABNT20 KNHC 031732
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop along a weakening
frontal boundary near Florida or the Atlantic coast of the
southeastern United States on Friday or Saturday. Environmental
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slow
development, but a tropical or subtropical depression could form in
this region over the weekend or early next week while the system
drifts northward or northeastward. Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall is possible across portions of the southeast U.S.,
particularly across the west-central Florida coast. An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system on Friday, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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ABNT20 KNHC 032332
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern U.S.:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms across the Florida
Peninsula eastward to the adjacent waters of the southwestern
Atlantic Ocean are associated with a weak surface trough of low
pressure. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more
conducive for development, and a tropical or subtropical
depression could form in this region over the weekend while the
system drifts northward or northeastward. Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of
west-central and southwestern Florida through early Saturday, and
across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning later on
Saturday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the system on Friday, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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ABNT20 KNHC 040504
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern United States (AL92):
Satellite wind data indicate that a weak area of low pressure has
formed about 100 miles east of Jacksonville, Florida, and is
accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for further
development, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form
near the southeastern United States late today or over the weekend
if the low remains offshore. Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall is possible across portions of west-central and
southwestern Florida through early Saturday, and across coastal
sections of the Carolinas beginning later on Saturday. An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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ABNT20 KNHC 041141
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern United States (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with an area
of low pressure located about 100 miles off the northeast Florida
coast. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally
conducive for further development, and a short-lived tropical or
subtropical depression could form late today or on Saturday while
the system drifts northward. This low is expected to move inland
over the southeastern U.S. Saturday night or early Sunday.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across
portions of west-central and southwestern Florida through early
Saturday, and across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning
later on Saturday. In addition, An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Beven

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ABNT20 KNHC 041153
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern United States (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with an area
of low pressure located about 100 miles off the northeast Florida
coast. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally
conducive for further development, and a short-lived tropical or
subtropical depression could form late today or on Saturday while
the system drifts northward. This low is expected to move inland
over the southeastern U.S. Saturday night or early Sunday.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across
portions of west-central and southwestern Florida through early
Saturday, and across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning
later on Saturday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Beven

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ABNT20 KNHC 041705
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern United States (AL92):
Satellite wind data indicate that the system located about 150 miles
off the northeast Florida coast has become better defined today with
an area of strong winds located on its east side. Showers and
thunderstorms are also persisting near and to the east of the
center. A short-lived subtropical or tropical depression could
form later today or on Saturday while the system drifts generally north-northwestward. This low is expected to move inland over the
southeastern U.S. by early Sunday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is currently en route, and the data they collect
should provide more details on the system's structure. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of
west-central and southwestern Florida through early Saturday, and
across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning later on
Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Beven

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ABNT20 KNHC 042333
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Three, located offshore of the coast of the
southeastern United States.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are listed under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are listed under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

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ABNT20 KNHC 050531
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Three, located offshore of the coast of the southeastern
United States.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are listed under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are listed under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

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ABNT20 KNHC 051153
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Chantal, located off the coast of the
southeastern United States.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Chantal are listed under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Chantal are listed under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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ABNT20 KNHC 051727
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Chantal, located off the coast of the southeastern United
States.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Chantal are listed under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Chantal are listed under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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ABNT20 KNHC 052313
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Chantal, located off the coast of the southeastern United
States.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

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ABNT20 KNHC 060526
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Chantal, located off the coast of the southeastern United
States.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

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ABNT20 KNHC 061147
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Chantal, located inland over northeastern South Carolina.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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ABNT20 KNHC 061708
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on
Tropical Depression Chantal, located inland over eastern North
Carolina. The next advisory on Chantal will be issued by the
Weather Prediction Center at 5 pm EDT.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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