• TROPDISC: Tropical Weather Discussion

    From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, July 22, 2026 17:35:16
    659
    AXNT20 KNHC 221734
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed Jul 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Tropical Storm Bertha is centered near 29.8N 88.6W at 22/1500
    UTC or 30 nm S of Pascagoula Mississippi, moving WNW at 5 kt.
    Estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb. Maximum sustained
    wind speed is 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt. Peak seas are 18 ft.
    Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring
    south of the center of Bertha from 25N-29N between 89W-94W. A
    westward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected to
    resume later today and continue through Friday. On the forecast
    track, the center of Bertha will move near or along the Louisiana
    and upper Texas coasts through Thursday, and then move farther
    inland into Texas on Friday. Weakening is forecast during the next
    couple of days, but Bertha could maintain tropical storm
    intensity through late Thursday. Swells generated by Bertha will
    continue spreading westward along the northern Gulf Coast during
    the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-
    threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6cUi2Ol9vgJ3TantNiejnubNxVfbkei51o4BKgvkfHiE5-WPZQngYajeTEzpluUKPzb5_R8ZUxonEKA-Xog2VKVliVY$ and the latest
    Bertha NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!6cUi2Ol9vgJ3TantNiejnubNxVfbkei51o4BKgvkfHiE5-WPZQngYajeTEzpluUKPzb5_R8ZUxonEKA-Xog2mZgCcSQ$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 37W from
    07N-22N, moving westward around 20 kt. No significant deep
    convection is noted with the wave at this time.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 50W from
    05N-18N moving westward around 10-15 kt. No significant deep
    convection is noted with the wave at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Senegal at
    13N17W and extends southwestward to 10N22W where it breaks for a
    tropical wave and trough. The ITCZ starts at 08N39W and extends to
    08N48W, where it breaks for another tropical wave. The ITCZ
    resumes at 08N51W to 07N58W along coastal Guyana. Scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 09N-14N east
    of 21W. Isolated moderate convection is occurring from 06N-11N
    west of 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details on
    Tropical Storm Bertha located about 50 NM north-northeast of the
    mouth of the Mississippi River.

    Aside from conditions related to Bertha, moderate or weaker winds
    and seas of 2-7 ft prevail.

    For the forecast, Tropical Storm Bertha is about 50 nm south of
    Pascagoula, Mississippi near 29.8N 88.6W at 11 AM EDT, and is
    moving west- northwest at 5 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 45 kt
    with gusts to 55 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 998 mb.
    Bertha will move inland over southeast Louisiana and reach 29.6N
    90.3W this evening, then continue to 29.5N 92.7W off southwest
    Louisiana by Thu morning. Bertha will continue to move west and
    make landfall again over the upper Texas coast late Thu, weaken
    to a remnant low over southeastern Texas Fri morning, then
    dissipate by Fri evening. Swells generated by Bertha will
    continue spreading westward along the northern Gulf Coast during
    the next few days. In the wake of Bertha, weak high pressure
    centered over the south-central Gulf will be replaced by ridging
    associated to a new high center that forms over the NE Gulf
    providing for a light to gentle wind flow across the basin,
    except for pulsing moderate to fresh winds off the Yucatan
    Peninsula and near NE Mexico and the Texas coast. These conditions
    are expected to persist through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The usual north-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean is
    reduced today due to a surface trough just north of Hispaniola. As
    a result, there is only a small area of fresh to locally strong
    trades just north of Colombia and Venezuela. Seas are 5-9 ft in
    that area as well as down fetch over the SW Caribbean. Elsewhere,
    trades are moderate or weaker with seas 2-5 ft.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian
    low will support fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough seas
    across the south-central Caribbean through the forecast period.
    Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds in the Windward Passage will
    pulse tonight. Fresh winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras
    from this afternoon into tonight. Moderate or weaker winds with
    slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. Looking ahead,
    fresh to strong winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras Sat
    and Sun

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Surface ridging is located north of the discussion area associated
    with an usually far north located Bermuda-Azores High. The
    moderate pressure gradient between the ridging and lower pressure
    with the ITCZ and monsoon trough is supporting only moderate to
    locally fresh trades and seas 4-7 ft across all waters north of
    the ITCZ/monsoon trough. The exception are fresh to locally strong
    NE winds off of Western Sahara with seas 6-9 ft. There are three
    convectively active surface troughs. The first is north of
    Hispaniola with scattered moderate convection occurring from
    20N-30N between 63W-72W. The second is a trough southwest of the
    Azores associated with scattered moderate convection north of
    28N between 33W-38W. The third is a trough that may have been
    spawned by the tropical wave at 37W and is causing scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection from 09N-16N between
    26W-34W. Additionally, an upper-level low is promoting scattered
    moderate convection from 21N-29N between 52W-60W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
    north of Hispaniola will move westward reaching the Bahamas Thu
    afternoon and to central and South Florida Fri. Scattered showers
    and thunderstorms will accompany the trough. Fresh to locally
    strong trade winds are expected offshore Hispaniola, including
    approaches to the Windward Passage through the forecast period.
    Moderate or weaker winds along with moderate seas are forecast
    elsewhere. Looking ahead, a cold front will approach the waters
    east of northern Florida Sat night through Sun night preceded by
    mostly moderate to fresh southwest to winds between northeast
    Florida and Bermuda.

    $$
    Landsea

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, July 22, 2026 23:20:16
    490
    AXNT20 KNHC 222319
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Jul 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2300 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Bertha's center made landfall on the eastern side of St. Bernard
    Parish, Louisiana, around 2 pm CDT. At 22/2100, Tropical Storm
    Bertha is centered near 29.8N 89.8W or 20 nm SE of New Orleans
    Louisiana, moving W at 6 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure
    is 1000 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to
    50 kt. Peak seas are 18 ft. Numerous moderate and isolated strong
    convection is occurring SW of the center of Bertha, particularly
    N of 25N between 90W and 94W. On the forecast track, the center
    of Bertha will move near or along the Louisiana and upper Texas
    coasts through Thursday, and then move farther inland into Texas
    Thursday night. Little change in strength is expected during the
    next day or so, and Bertha is forecast to maintain tropical
    storm intensity up until it reaches the upper Texas coast on
    Thursday. Bertha is expected to dissipate inland over Texas by
    Thursday night or Friday. Bertha is expected to produce total
    rainfall amounts of 1 to 4 inches with isolated higher totals of
    6 inches through Friday along the central to western Gulf Coast
    from Northwest Florida to southern Texas. This rainfall may
    produce isolated flash flooding, especially in urban areas. Swells
    generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward along the
    northern Gulf Coast during the next few days. These swells are
    likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
    Please consult products from your local weather office.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_UUZXTRkzrXXC5ZRjqOuW1Z5KaBQPBR7fqkNkQNXNMTd2o-CbunpHKZ1ftxt09gRCHy3XO9WOrdjpTQUPhKlqsLtfP0$ and the latest
    Bertha NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!_UUZXTRkzrXXC5ZRjqOuW1Z5KaBQPBR7fqkNkQNXNMTd2o-CbunpHKZ1ftxt09gRCHy3XO9WOrdjpTQUPhKl3I-tE-o$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is about to emerge off the west coast of Africa.
    Its axis is near 17W based on wave diagnostics. A cluster of
    moderate to scattered strong convection follows the wave and is
    affecting mainly northern Senegal and the SW part of Mauritania.

    A tropical wave is along 40W south of 20N, moving westward around
    20 kt. No significant deep convection is noted with the wave at
    this time.

    Another tropical wave has its axis along 51W south of 16N, moving
    westward around 10 to 15 kt. Convection is limited near the wave
    axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Senegal at
    13N17W and extends southwestward to 12N26W. The ITCZ starts at
    08N42W and continues westward to northern Guyana into eastern
    Venezuela. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 10N to
    12.5N between 20W and 23W, from 06N to 11N between 32W and 36W
    and in the vicinity of 07N50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details on
    Tropical Storm Bertha located 20 nm SE of New Orleans, Louisiana.
    Latest scatterometer data indicate that the fresh to strong
    winds outside of the circulation of Bertha cover the waters N of
    26N between 88W and 94W. Seas of 8 to 12 ft generating by Bertha
    are spreading across the NE Gulf based on a pair of altimeter
    passes. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, Tropical Storm Bertha will move to 29.6N 91.3W
    Thu morning, 29.5N 93.9W Thu afternoon, weaken to a remnant low
    near 29.4N 96.9W Fri morning, and dissipate Fri afternoon. Swells
    generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward along the
    northern Gulf Coast through Thu. In the wake of Bertha, weak high
    pressure centered over the south-central Gulf will be replaced
    by ridging associated to a new high center that forms over the NE
    Gulf providing for a light to gentle wind flow across the basin,
    except for pulsing moderate to fresh winds off the Yucatan
    Peninsula and near NE Mexico and the Texas coast. These conditions
    are expected to persist through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The usual north-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean is
    reduced today due to a surface trough located just north of
    Hispaniola. As a result, fresh to locally strong winds are noted
    in the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
    as well as over the SW part of the basin. Seas are 8 to 12 ft
    with these winds based on altimeter data. Moderate to locally
    fresh easterly winds are in the lee of Cuba, with seas of 2 to 4
    ft. Elsewhere, trades are moderate or weaker with seas of 2 to 5
    ft. An upper-level low spinning over the SE Bahamas is helping
    to induce showers and thunderstorms over the SE Bahamas, the
    Turks and Caicos Islands, Hispaniola and eastern Cuba.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian
    low will support fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough
    seas across the south-central Caribbean through the forecast
    period. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds in the Windward
    Passage will pulse tonight. Fresh winds will pulse across the
    Gulf of Honduras from this afternoon into tonight. Moderate or
    weaker winds with slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.
    Looking ahead, fresh to strong winds will pulse across the Gulf
    of Honduras Sat and Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough is analyzed over the western Atlantic and runs
    from 29N66W to 21N70W. Fresh to strong winds are on either side
    of the trough axis, with moderate seas. An upper-level trough
    supports this trough, and is also enhancing convection across a
    large area, mainly from 22N to 29N between 52W and 74W. Winds
    and seas could be higher near thunderstorms. High pressure
    dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast region. Its
    associated ridge combined with lower pressures over NW Africa is
    promoting fresh to strong northerly winds between the Canary
    Islands and downwind to about 26N. In addition, the moderate
    pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressure with the
    ITCZ and monsoon trough is supporting only moderate to locally
    fresh trades and seas 4 to 7 ft across the remainder of the
    waters north of the ITCZ/monsoon trough.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
    will continue westward reaching the Bahamas Thu afternoon and to
    central and South Florida Fri. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will accompany the trough. Fresh trade winds are expected offshore
    Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward Passage through
    Sat night. Moderate or weaker winds along with moderate seas are
    forecast elsewhere. Looking ahead, a cold front will approach
    the waters east of northern Florida Sat night through Sun night
    preceded by mostly moderate to fresh southwest to winds north of
    29N and east of 75W.

    $$
    GR

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, July 22, 2026 23:20:18
    489
    AXNT20 KNHC 222319
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Jul 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2300 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Bertha's center made landfall on the eastern side of St. Bernard
    Parish, Louisiana, around 2 pm CDT. At 22/2100, Tropical Storm
    Bertha is centered near 29.8N 89.8W or 20 nm SE of New Orleans
    Louisiana, moving W at 6 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure
    is 1000 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to
    50 kt. Peak seas are 18 ft. Numerous moderate and isolated strong
    convection is occurring SW of the center of Bertha, particularly
    N of 25N between 90W and 94W. On the forecast track, the center
    of Bertha will move near or along the Louisiana and upper Texas
    coasts through Thursday, and then move farther inland into Texas
    Thursday night. Little change in strength is expected during the
    next day or so, and Bertha is forecast to maintain tropical
    storm intensity up until it reaches the upper Texas coast on
    Thursday. Bertha is expected to dissipate inland over Texas by
    Thursday night or Friday. Bertha is expected to produce total
    rainfall amounts of 1 to 4 inches with isolated higher totals of
    6 inches through Friday along the central to western Gulf Coast
    from Northwest Florida to southern Texas. This rainfall may
    produce isolated flash flooding, especially in urban areas. Swells
    generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward along the
    northern Gulf Coast during the next few days. These swells are
    likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
    Please consult products from your local weather office.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5XnXz9ZAFW-Ng6bB1T1u_wEYQYTXmzMEGm21Q7J4eZiHm52YLQt-kMA5tsYWPqwkXuYOua_AUBJcBr175V1V6K0mWJA$ and the latest
    Bertha NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!5XnXz9ZAFW-Ng6bB1T1u_wEYQYTXmzMEGm21Q7J4eZiHm52YLQt-kMA5tsYWPqwkXuYOua_AUBJcBr175V1VgolqVY4$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is about to emerge off the west coast of Africa.
    Its axis is near 17W based on wave diagnostics. A cluster of
    moderate to scattered strong convection follows the wave and is
    affecting mainly northern Senegal and the SW part of Mauritania.

    A tropical wave is along 40W south of 20N, moving westward around
    20 kt. No significant deep convection is noted with the wave at
    this time.

    Another tropical wave has its axis along 51W south of 16N, moving
    westward around 10 to 15 kt. Convection is limited near the wave
    axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Senegal at
    13N17W and extends southwestward to 12N26W. The ITCZ starts at
    08N42W and continues westward to northern Guyana into eastern
    Venezuela. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 10N to
    12.5N between 20W and 23W, from 06N to 11N between 32W and 36W
    and in the vicinity of 07N50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details on
    Tropical Storm Bertha located 20 nm SE of New Orleans, Louisiana.
    Latest scatterometer data indicate that the fresh to strong
    winds outside of the circulation of Bertha cover the waters N of
    26N between 88W and 94W. Seas of 8 to 12 ft generating by Bertha
    are spreading across the NE Gulf based on a pair of altimeter
    passes. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, Tropical Storm Bertha will move to 29.6N 91.3W
    Thu morning, 29.5N 93.9W Thu afternoon, weaken to a remnant low
    near 29.4N 96.9W Fri morning, and dissipate Fri afternoon. Swells
    generated by Bertha will continue spreading westward along the
    northern Gulf Coast through Thu. In the wake of Bertha, weak high
    pressure centered over the south-central Gulf will be replaced
    by ridging associated to a new high center that forms over the NE
    Gulf providing for a light to gentle wind flow across the basin,
    except for pulsing moderate to fresh winds off the Yucatan
    Peninsula and near NE Mexico and the Texas coast. These conditions
    are expected to persist through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The usual north-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean is
    reduced today due to a surface trough located just north of
    Hispaniola. As a result, fresh to locally strong winds are noted
    in the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
    as well as over the SW part of the basin. Seas are 8 to 12 ft
    with these winds based on altimeter data. Moderate to locally
    fresh easterly winds are in the lee of Cuba, with seas of 2 to 4
    ft. Elsewhere, trades are moderate or weaker with seas of 2 to 5
    ft. An upper-level low spinning over the SE Bahamas is helping
    to induce showers and thunderstorms over the SE Bahamas, the
    Turks and Caicos Islands, Hispaniola and eastern Cuba.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian
    low will support fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough
    seas across the south-central Caribbean through the forecast
    period. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds in the Windward
    Passage will pulse tonight. Fresh winds will pulse across the
    Gulf of Honduras from this afternoon into tonight. Moderate or
    weaker winds with slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.
    Looking ahead, fresh to strong winds will pulse across the Gulf
    of Honduras Sat and Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough is analyzed over the western Atlantic and runs
    from 29N66W to 21N70W. Fresh to strong winds are on either side
    of the trough axis, with moderate seas. An upper-level trough
    supports this trough, and is also enhancing convection across a
    large area, mainly from 22N to 29N between 52W and 74W. Winds
    and seas could be higher near thunderstorms. High pressure
    dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast region. Its
    associated ridge combined with lower pressures over NW Africa is
    promoting fresh to strong northerly winds between the Canary
    Islands and downwind to about 26N. In addition, the moderate
    pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressure with the
    ITCZ and monsoon trough is supporting only moderate to locally
    fresh trades and seas 4 to 7 ft across the remainder of the
    waters north of the ITCZ/monsoon trough.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
    will continue westward reaching the Bahamas Thu afternoon and to
    central and South Florida Fri. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will accompany the trough. Fresh trade winds are expected offshore
    Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward Passage through
    Sat night. Moderate or weaker winds along with moderate seas are
    forecast elsewhere. Looking ahead, a cold front will approach
    the waters east of northern Florida Sat night through Sun night
    preceded by mostly moderate to fresh southwest to winds north of
    29N and east of 75W.

    $$
    GR

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 23, 2026 06:15:10
    738
    AXNT20 KNHC 230614
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Jul 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0350 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Tropical Storm Bertha is centered near 29.4N 91.1W at 23/0300
    UTC or 70 nm SW of New Orleans Louisiana, moving W at 10 kt.
    Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb. Maximum sustained
    wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Peak seas are 12 ft.
    Numerous moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring SW
    of the center of Bertha, particularly N of 24N west of 90W. On
    the forecast track, the center of Bertha will move near or along
    the Louisiana and upper Texas coasts through Thursday afternoon,
    and then move farther inland into Texas Thursday evening and
    Thursday night. Little change in strength is expected during the
    next day or so, and Bertha is forecast to maintain tropical storm
    intensity up until it reaches the upper Texas coast on Thursday.
    Bertha is expected to dissipate inland over Texas by Thursday
    night or Friday. Swells generated by Bertha will continue
    spreading westward along the northern Gulf Coast during the next
    few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
    and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
    local weather office.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_EQTZevlXzTtxeFnPCK6YkHvusf6mdFn2uRuTJeAUkp8xAEkW1KiCYuSRh5htzYzNwfS3CjWc2C3GSk0wD3K927HOuw$ and the latest
    Bertha NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!_EQTZevlXzTtxeFnPCK6YkHvusf6mdFn2uRuTJeAUkp8xAEkW1KiCYuSRh5htzYzNwfS3CjWc2C3GSk0wD3KcUn49Ag$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave emerged off the west coast of Africa tonight. Its
    axis is near 18W based on satellite imagery and wave diagnostics.
    Scattered moderate convection extends from 06N to 20N between the
    coast of W Africa and 20W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 07N to
    21N with axis near 41W, moving westward around 20 kt. Scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection is confined to the
    monsoon/ITCZ region from 05N to 13N between 32W and 48W.

    A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles extending from 08N to
    21N and with axis near 53W, moving westward around 10 to 15 kt.
    Convection is limited near the wave axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Senegal at
    13N17W and extends southwestward to 09N29W. The ITCZ starts at
    08N42W and continues westward to 07N58W. Aside from the convection
    associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection
    is noted from 08N to 17N between 22W and 31W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Tropical Storm Bertha is along the Louisiana coast near 29.4N
    91.1W, or about 35 nm southwest of New Orleans, Louisiana at 11 PM
    EDT. It is moving westward at 10 kt. Maximum sustained winds are
    40 kt with gusts to 50 kt, and the minimum central pressure is
    1002 mb. Please refer to the Special Features section for further
    details on Tropical Storm Bertha. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, Bertha will move to near 29.2N 92.8W Thu
    morning, move inland to near 29.1N 95.6W Thu evening, then weaken
    to a remnant low near 29.0N 98.3W Fri morning, and dissipate Fri
    evening. In the wake of Bertha, a high pressure center will become
    established over the NE Gulf through Fri before it shifts to the
    central Gulf afterward. The high pressure will provide for a light
    to gentle wind flow across the basin, except for pulsing moderate
    to fresh winds off the Yucatan Peninsula and near NE Mexico and
    the Texas coast through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The usual north-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean
    although reduced due to a surface trough located E of the Bahamas
    and extending into Hispaniola continue to support fresh to locally
    strong winds in the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf
    of Venezuela. Seas are 5 to 8 ft with these winds. Moderate to
    locally fresh easterly winds are in the lee of Cuba, Windward
    Passage and E Caribbean along with moderate seas. Elsewhere,
    trades are moderate or weaker with slight seas.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian
    low will support fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough
    seas across the south-central Caribbean through the forecast
    period. Fresh NE winds in the Windward Passage will diminish Thu.
    Fresh winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras tonight, then
    at fresh to strong speeds at night beginning Sat. Moderate or
    weaker winds with slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.
    Looking ahead, fresh to strong winds will pulse across the Gulf of
    Honduras Sat and Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from near 28N68W to just east of the
    Turks and Caicos. A second surface trough is to the east
    extending from 22N60W to 28N57W. Both troughs are generating
    scattered showers from 21N to 30N between 55W and 75W. Aside from
    the rain, the troughs are freshening the winds in the same region
    E of the Bahamas. High pressure dominates the remainder of the
    Atlantic forecast region. Its associated ridge combined with lower
    pressures over NW Africa is promoting fresh to strong northerly
    winds between the Canary Islands and downwind to about 29N. Seas
    with these winds are moderate to rough. In addition, the moderate
    pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressure with the
    ITCZ and monsoon trough is supporting only moderate to locally
    fresh trades and seas 4 to 7 ft across the remainder of the waters
    north of the ITCZ/monsoon trough.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
    will continue westward reaching the Bahamas Thu afternoon and to
    central and South Florida Fri. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms will accompany the trough. Fresh trade winds are
    expected offshore Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward
    Passage through Sat night. Moderate or weaker winds along with
    moderate seas are forecast elsewhere. Looking ahead, a cold front
    will approach the waters east of northern Florida Sat night
    through Sun night, preceded by mostly fresh southwest winds north
    of about 29N and east of 75W.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 23, 2026 10:28:36
    270
    AXNT20 KNHC 231028
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Jul 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1015 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Tropical Storm Bertha is centered near 29.0N 92.2W at 23/0900 UTC
    or 80 nm SE of Lake Charles Louisiana, moving W at 11 kt.
    Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained
    wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Peak seas are around 12
    ft. Bertha remains a sheared system. Its center re-formed offshore
    the coast of southern Louisiana during the overnight hours. A
    large area of numerous to strong convection is evident over the NW
    Gulf from 26N to 29N between 92W and the Texas coast, and
    extending just inland the coast. Bertha is forecast to maintain a
    general westward or west-northwestward motion through tonight,
    followed by a turn toward the west-southwest on Fri. On this
    forecast track, the center of Bertha will move near or along the
    Louisiana and upper Texas coasts through this afternoon, and then
    move farther inland into Texas this evening and tonight. Bertha is
    forecast to maintain tropical storm intensity up until it reaches
    the upper Texas coast later today, and is expected to dissipate
    inland over Texas by tonight or Fri. Bertha is expected to produce
    total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated totals to 6
    inches through tonight along Texas Gulf Coast and South Texas.
    This rainfall may produce isolated flash flooding, especially in
    urban areas. Swells generated by Bertha will continue spreading
    westward along the northern Gulf Coast during the next few days.
    These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
    current conditions. Please consult products from your local
    weather office.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9d-DntpCBhIaXBl9M5yLebY69CpH_42zerSOGTB48FaCBGHQV5FsMQMRZWWjMFg2h3hjw5szVKJ9aBWuHSuK_NbkPw0$ and the latest
    Bertha NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!9d-DntpCBhIaXBl9M5yLebY69CpH_42zerSOGTB48FaCBGHQV5FsMQMRZWWjMFg2h3hjw5szVKJ9aBWuHSuK3sgVld8$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 20W moving westward
    at about 10 kt. Isolated showers are near the southern portion of
    the wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 45W from 0N to
    22N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
    is near the southern portion of the wave near the ITCZ.

    Another central Atlantic tropical wave is east of the Lesser
    Antilles extending along 55W from 08N to 23N. It is moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. No deep convection is noted with this
    wave, only isolated showers near its southern portion.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Senegal at
    13N17W and extends southwestward to 10N21W and westward to 10N30W,
    where it transitions to the ITCZ to 08N47W and to inland South
    America at 07N61W. Aside from the convection associated to the
    tropical waves, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
    is within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between 36W-40W, and within
    60 nm north of the ITCZ between 36W-40W. Scattered moderate
    convection is within 180 nm south of the ITCZ between 44W-48W,
    within 60 nm of the trough between 23W-26W and within 30 nm north
    of the ITCZ between 48W-52W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Tropical Storm Bertha south of the Louisiana coast near 29.0N
    92.2W, or about 95 nm southwest of New Orleans, Louisiana at 5 AM
    EDT. It is moving west at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 40 kt
    with gusts to 50 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1003 mb.
    Please refer to the Special Features section for further details
    on Tropical Storm Bertha. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail for the next few days as high
    pressure becomes established over the NE Gulf.

    For the forecast, Bertha will move to near 29.3N 94.1W this
    afternoon, then move inland Texas and weaken to a tropical
    depression near 29.0N 97.0W late tonight, weaken further to a
    remnant low near 28.5N 100.1W Fri afternoon and dissipate Sat
    morning. In the wake of Bertha, a high pressure center will become
    established over the NE Gulf through Fri, then shift to the
    central Gulf. The high pressure will provide for a light to gentle
    wind flow across the basin, except for pulsing moderate to fresh
    winds off the Yucatan Peninsula and near NE Mexico and the Texas
    coast through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The usual north-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean,
    although reduced due to a surface trough that is located east of
    the Bahamas and extends into the Windward Passage, continue to
    support fresh to locally strong winds in the south-central
    Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas are 5 to 8 ft
    with these winds. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds are in
    the lee of Cuba, Windward Passage and over the eastern Caribbean
    along with moderate seas. Elsewhere, trades are moderate or weaker
    with slight seas.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic combined with the Colombian low
    will support fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough seas
    across the south-central Caribbean through the forecast period.
    Fresh NE winds in the Windward Passage will diminish today. Fresh
    winds in the Gulf of Honduras will diminish this morning, then
    pulse at fresh to strong speeds at night beginning on Sat.
    Moderate or weaker winds with slight to moderate seas will prevail
    elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from near 29N70W to the southeastern
    Bahamas and to the Windward Passage. A second surface trough is
    to the east extends from 29N59W to 23N62W. Both of these features
    are accompanied by scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
    from 21N to 30N between 55W and 75W. Aside from described shower
    and thunderstorm activity, the gradient between the troughs and
    high pressure to the north and northeast is sustaining fresh
    trades over the waters south of about 23N and east of 75W.
    A weak low pressure of 1022 mb is near 32N36W, with a trough to
    29N42W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are along and
    within 30 to 60 nm of the trough.

    High pressure dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast
    region. Its associated ridge combined with lower pressures over NW
    Africa is promoting fresh to strong northerly winds between the
    Canary Islands and downwind to about 29N. Seas with these winds
    are moderate to rough. In addition, the moderate pressure gradient
    between the ridge and lower pressure associated to the ITCZ and
    monsoon trough is supporting only moderate to locally fresh trades
    and seas of 5 to 7 ft across the remainder of the waters north of
    the ITCZ/monsoon trough.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
    will continues eastward to central and South Florida Fri.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms will accompany the trough.
    Fresh trade winds are expected offshore Hispaniola, including
    approaches to the Windward Passage through Sat night. Moderate or
    weaker winds along with moderate seas are forecast elsewhere.
    Looking ahead, a cold front will approach the waters east of
    northern Florida Sat night through Sun night, preceded by fresh to
    strong southwest winds north of about 28N and east of 75W.

    $$
    Aguirre

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 23, 2026 10:28:38
    319
    AXNT20 KNHC 231028
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Jul 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1015 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Tropical Storm Bertha is centered near 29.0N 92.2W at 23/0900 UTC
    or 80 nm SE of Lake Charles Louisiana, moving W at 11 kt.
    Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained
    wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Peak seas are around 12
    ft. Bertha remains a sheared system. Its center re-formed offshore
    the coast of southern Louisiana during the overnight hours. A
    large area of numerous to strong convection is evident over the NW
    Gulf from 26N to 29N between 92W and the Texas coast, and
    extending just inland the coast. Bertha is forecast to maintain a
    general westward or west-northwestward motion through tonight,
    followed by a turn toward the west-southwest on Fri. On this
    forecast track, the center of Bertha will move near or along the
    Louisiana and upper Texas coasts through this afternoon, and then
    move farther inland into Texas this evening and tonight. Bertha is
    forecast to maintain tropical storm intensity up until it reaches
    the upper Texas coast later today, and is expected to dissipate
    inland over Texas by tonight or Fri. Bertha is expected to produce
    total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated totals to 6
    inches through tonight along Texas Gulf Coast and South Texas.
    This rainfall may produce isolated flash flooding, especially in
    urban areas. Swells generated by Bertha will continue spreading
    westward along the northern Gulf Coast during the next few days.
    These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
    current conditions. Please consult products from your local
    weather office.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6sD-905Bfxc5iMKnJOJHcb6uskWeuUWH9e9X1H8QHcW5Pc0zZk0Hx88TCsXM7g7WmPfxgbCCQif7EY9VW7W2_kSgz9I$ and the latest
    Bertha NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!6sD-905Bfxc5iMKnJOJHcb6uskWeuUWH9e9X1H8QHcW5Pc0zZk0Hx88TCsXM7g7WmPfxgbCCQif7EY9VW7W2IkgJJ6M$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 20W moving westward
    at about 10 kt. Isolated showers are near the southern portion of
    the wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 45W from 0N to
    22N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
    is near the southern portion of the wave near the ITCZ.

    Another central Atlantic tropical wave is east of the Lesser
    Antilles extending along 55W from 08N to 23N. It is moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. No deep convection is noted with this
    wave, only isolated showers near its southern portion.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Senegal at
    13N17W and extends southwestward to 10N21W and westward to 10N30W,
    where it transitions to the ITCZ to 08N47W and to inland South
    America at 07N61W. Aside from the convection associated to the
    tropical waves, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
    is within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between 36W-40W, and within
    60 nm north of the ITCZ between 36W-40W. Scattered moderate
    convection is within 180 nm south of the ITCZ between 44W-48W,
    within 60 nm of the trough between 23W-26W and within 30 nm north
    of the ITCZ between 48W-52W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Tropical Storm Bertha south of the Louisiana coast near 29.0N
    92.2W, or about 95 nm southwest of New Orleans, Louisiana at 5 AM
    EDT. It is moving west at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 40 kt
    with gusts to 50 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1003 mb.
    Please refer to the Special Features section for further details
    on Tropical Storm Bertha. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail for the next few days as high
    pressure becomes established over the NE Gulf.

    For the forecast, Bertha will move to near 29.3N 94.1W this
    afternoon, then move inland Texas and weaken to a tropical
    depression near 29.0N 97.0W late tonight, weaken further to a
    remnant low near 28.5N 100.1W Fri afternoon and dissipate Sat
    morning. In the wake of Bertha, a high pressure center will become
    established over the NE Gulf through Fri, then shift to the
    central Gulf. The high pressure will provide for a light to gentle
    wind flow across the basin, except for pulsing moderate to fresh
    winds off the Yucatan Peninsula and near NE Mexico and the Texas
    coast through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The usual north-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean,
    although reduced due to a surface trough that is located east of
    the Bahamas and extends into the Windward Passage, continue to
    support fresh to locally strong winds in the south-central
    Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas are 5 to 8 ft
    with these winds. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds are in
    the lee of Cuba, Windward Passage and over the eastern Caribbean
    along with moderate seas. Elsewhere, trades are moderate or weaker
    with slight seas.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic combined with the Colombian low
    will support fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough seas
    across the south-central Caribbean through the forecast period.
    Fresh NE winds in the Windward Passage will diminish today. Fresh
    winds in the Gulf of Honduras will diminish this morning, then
    pulse at fresh to strong speeds at night beginning on Sat.
    Moderate or weaker winds with slight to moderate seas will prevail
    elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from near 29N70W to the southeastern
    Bahamas and to the Windward Passage. A second surface trough is
    to the east extends from 29N59W to 23N62W. Both of these features
    are accompanied by scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
    from 21N to 30N between 55W and 75W. Aside from described shower
    and thunderstorm activity, the gradient between the troughs and
    high pressure to the north and northeast is sustaining fresh
    trades over the waters south of about 23N and east of 75W.
    A weak low pressure of 1022 mb is near 32N36W, with a trough to
    29N42W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are along and
    within 30 to 60 nm of the trough.

    High pressure dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast
    region. Its associated ridge combined with lower pressures over NW
    Africa is promoting fresh to strong northerly winds between the
    Canary Islands and downwind to about 29N. Seas with these winds
    are moderate to rough. In addition, the moderate pressure gradient
    between the ridge and lower pressure associated to the ITCZ and
    monsoon trough is supporting only moderate to locally fresh trades
    and seas of 5 to 7 ft across the remainder of the waters north of
    the ITCZ/monsoon trough.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
    will continues eastward to central and South Florida Fri.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms will accompany the trough.
    Fresh trade winds are expected offshore Hispaniola, including
    approaches to the Windward Passage through Sat night. Moderate or
    weaker winds along with moderate seas are forecast elsewhere.
    Looking ahead, a cold front will approach the waters east of
    northern Florida Sat night through Sun night, preceded by fresh to
    strong southwest winds north of about 28N and east of 75W.

    $$
    Aguirre

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 23, 2026 17:06:22
    382
    AXNT20 KNHC 231706
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Jul 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Tropical Storm Bertha is centered near 29.6N 93.2W at 23/1500
    UTC or 30 nm S of Lake Charles Louisiana, moving W at 9 kt.
    Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb. Maximum sustained
    wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Numerous moderate to
    strong convection prevails N of 25N and W of 93W. Bertha is
    expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with
    isolated totals to 6 inches through Thursday night along Texas
    Gulf Coast and South Texas. This rainfall may produce isolated
    flash flooding, especially in urban areas. Sreas of 8 to 14 kt
    are expected N of 27N betwen 88W and 93W. Swells generated by
    Bertha will continue spreading westward along the northern and
    northwestern Gulf Coast. These swells are likely to cause life-
    threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office.

    On the forecast track, the center of Bertha will move near or
    along the Louisiana and upper Texas coasts during the next several
    hours, and then move inland over Texas this evening.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4tA73J_s-V29Jv6nXefSbaxDLZV0knI86_g2eSBtNExLjJVXQuJ6cODgqt8UelTky0C4DlKOFAAuV0GNEt-gbK1Tmds$ and the latest
    Bertha NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!4tA73J_s-V29Jv6nXefSbaxDLZV0knI86_g2eSBtNExLjJVXQuJ6cODgqt8UelTky0C4DlKOFAAuV0GNEt-g-Z9ZKzk$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 21W, moving westward
    at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection prevails S of 10N.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 45W from 0N to
    22N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
    noted at this time.

    Another central Atlantic tropical wave is east of the Lesser
    Antilles extending along 57W from 08N to 23N, moving westward at
    15 to 20 kt. No deep convection is noted with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W to 11N34W. The
    ITCZ continues from that point to 11N41W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted along the ITCZ and W of 35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Refer to the section above for details on T.S. Bertha.

    Elsewhere outside of Bertha, moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail for the next few days as high pressure
    becomes established over the NE Gulf.

    For the forecast, Bertha will move inland to 29.7N 95.2W this
    evening, weaken to a remnant low and dissipate Fri evening. In the
    wake of Bertha, a high pressure center will become established
    over the NE Gulf through Fri, then shift to the central Gulf. The
    high pressure will provide for a light to gentle wind flow across
    the basin, except for pulsing moderate to fresh winds off the
    Yucatan Peninsula and near NE Mexico and the Texas coast through
    the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The usual north-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean,
    although reduced due to a surface trough that is located east of
    the Bahamas and extends into the Windward Passage, continue to
    support fresh to strong winds in the south-central Caribbean.
    Seas are 5 to 7 ft with these winds. Moderate to fresh easterly
    winds are in the lee of Cuba, Windward Passage and over the
    eastern Caribbean along with moderate seas. Elsewhere, trades are
    moderate or weaker with slight seas.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian low
    will support fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough seas
    across the south-central Caribbean through the forecast period.
    Fresh to strong winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras
    mainly at night beginning on Sat. Moderate or weaker winds with
    slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the section above for details on the tropical waves in
    the basin.

    A surface trough extends from near 29N72W to the southeastern
    Bahamas and to the Windward Passage. A second surface trough is to
    the east extends from 28N61W to 24N62W. Both of these features
    are accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly W of
    57W. The pressure gradient between the troughs and high pressure
    to the north is sustaining fresh trades over the waters south of
    about 23N and east of 75W. To the E, a low pressure of 1022 mb is
    near 32N36W, with a trough to 29N37W. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are within 30 to 60 nm of the trough.

    High pressure dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast
    region. Fresh to strong northerly winds between the Canary
    Islands and downwind to about 29N. Seas with these winds are
    peaking to 8 ft. Moderate to fresh trades and seas of 5 to 7 ft
    prevail across the remainder of the waters north of the
    ITCZ/monsoon trough.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the westward trough will continue
    westward to central and South Florida Fri. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms will accompany the trough. Fresh trade winds are
    expected offshore Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward
    Passage through Sat night. Moderate or weaker winds along with
    moderate seas are forecast elsewhere. A cold front will approach
    the waters east of northern Florida Sat night through Sun night,
    preceded by fresh to strong southwest winds north of about 28N and
    east of 75W.

    $$
    ERA

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 23, 2026 17:06:24
    383
    AXNT20 KNHC 231706
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Jul 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Tropical Storm Bertha is centered near 29.6N 93.2W at 23/1500
    UTC or 30 nm S of Lake Charles Louisiana, moving W at 9 kt.
    Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb. Maximum sustained
    wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Numerous moderate to
    strong convection prevails N of 25N and W of 93W. Bertha is
    expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with
    isolated totals to 6 inches through Thursday night along Texas
    Gulf Coast and South Texas. This rainfall may produce isolated
    flash flooding, especially in urban areas. Sreas of 8 to 14 kt
    are expected N of 27N betwen 88W and 93W. Swells generated by
    Bertha will continue spreading westward along the northern and
    northwestern Gulf Coast. These swells are likely to cause life-
    threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office.

    On the forecast track, the center of Bertha will move near or
    along the Louisiana and upper Texas coasts during the next several
    hours, and then move inland over Texas this evening.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5lv1OX4JRy6jgHxtiB99npdllrAC5Lk91EJ7dwrxVl7R94Thn0jZVfg_g4s_ebCwHppW6ey3KUvr_UNtYVBAFEDVPgQ$ and the latest
    Bertha NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!5lv1OX4JRy6jgHxtiB99npdllrAC5Lk91EJ7dwrxVl7R94Thn0jZVfg_g4s_ebCwHppW6ey3KUvr_UNtYVBA2VBvRnk$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 21W, moving westward
    at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection prevails S of 10N.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 45W from 0N to
    22N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
    noted at this time.

    Another central Atlantic tropical wave is east of the Lesser
    Antilles extending along 57W from 08N to 23N, moving westward at
    15 to 20 kt. No deep convection is noted with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W to 11N34W. The
    ITCZ continues from that point to 11N41W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted along the ITCZ and W of 35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Refer to the section above for details on T.S. Bertha.

    Elsewhere outside of Bertha, moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail for the next few days as high pressure
    becomes established over the NE Gulf.

    For the forecast, Bertha will move inland to 29.7N 95.2W this
    evening, weaken to a remnant low and dissipate Fri evening. In the
    wake of Bertha, a high pressure center will become established
    over the NE Gulf through Fri, then shift to the central Gulf. The
    high pressure will provide for a light to gentle wind flow across
    the basin, except for pulsing moderate to fresh winds off the
    Yucatan Peninsula and near NE Mexico and the Texas coast through
    the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The usual north-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean,
    although reduced due to a surface trough that is located east of
    the Bahamas and extends into the Windward Passage, continue to
    support fresh to strong winds in the south-central Caribbean.
    Seas are 5 to 7 ft with these winds. Moderate to fresh easterly
    winds are in the lee of Cuba, Windward Passage and over the
    eastern Caribbean along with moderate seas. Elsewhere, trades are
    moderate or weaker with slight seas.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian low
    will support fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough seas
    across the south-central Caribbean through the forecast period.
    Fresh to strong winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras
    mainly at night beginning on Sat. Moderate or weaker winds with
    slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the section above for details on the tropical waves in
    the basin.

    A surface trough extends from near 29N72W to the southeastern
    Bahamas and to the Windward Passage. A second surface trough is to
    the east extends from 28N61W to 24N62W. Both of these features
    are accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly W of
    57W. The pressure gradient between the troughs and high pressure
    to the north is sustaining fresh trades over the waters south of
    about 23N and east of 75W. To the E, a low pressure of 1022 mb is
    near 32N36W, with a trough to 29N37W. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are within 30 to 60 nm of the trough.

    High pressure dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast
    region. Fresh to strong northerly winds between the Canary
    Islands and downwind to about 29N. Seas with these winds are
    peaking to 8 ft. Moderate to fresh trades and seas of 5 to 7 ft
    prevail across the remainder of the waters north of the
    ITCZ/monsoon trough.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the westward trough will continue
    westward to central and South Florida Fri. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms will accompany the trough. Fresh trade winds are
    expected offshore Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward
    Passage through Sat night. Moderate or weaker winds along with
    moderate seas are forecast elsewhere. A cold front will approach
    the waters east of northern Florida Sat night through Sun night,
    preceded by fresh to strong southwest winds north of about 28N and
    east of 75W.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 23, 2026 23:18:14
    174
    AXNT20 KNHC 232317
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Jul 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2300 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Tropical Storm Bertha is moving inland over eastern Texas. Heavy
    rains are spreading across portions of coastal Texas. At 23/2100
    UTC, Bertha is centered near 29.8N 94.7W at 23/2100 UTC or 30 nm
    N of Galveston Texas, moving WNW at 11 kt. Estimated minimum
    central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35
    kt with gusts to 45 kt. On the forecast track, the center of Bertha
    will move across portions of eastern Texas during the next several
    hours. Bertha is expected to gradually weaken, and it is forecast
    to dissipate tonight or on Friday. Bertha is expected to produce
    total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with isolated totals to
    4 inches into tonight along the Texas Gulf Coast and South Texas.
    This rainfall may produce isolated flash flooding, especially in
    urban areas. Swells generated by Bertha will continue to affect the
    Louisiana and Texas coast through tonight. These swells are
    likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
    Please consult products from your local weather office.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5XSvaPQlsIQ3h8ZKkMAU58YUw-JXxAsTaUlLZIRbNvHOv6YBJpQh02JYvpXeqhroTYO9EoY7bRoxQVgdUcJ3JGleKfc$ and the latest
    Bertha NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!5XSvaPQlsIQ3h8ZKkMAU58YUw-JXxAsTaUlLZIRbNvHOv6YBJpQh02JYvpXeqhroTYO9EoY7bRoxQVgdUcJ3nY5w_xU$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is just E of the Cabo Verde Islands along 22W,
    moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered showers, with embedded
    thunderstorms, are noted near the southern end of the wave axis,
    mainly from 06N to 10N between 20W and 25W.

    Another tropical wave has its axis along 46W, moving westward at
    10 to 15 kt. An area of showers and thunderstorms is noted E of
    the wave axis affecting mainly the waters from 10N to 15N between
    37W and 42W

    A third tropical wave is east of the Lesser Antilles along 58W
    moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Convection is limited near the
    wave axis at this time. The wave will move across the Lesser
    Antilles tonight, and over the eastern Caribbean on Fri.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near Dakar and continues SW, then W to near 10N31W. The
    ITCZ extends from that point to 09N56W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted along the ITCZ and W of 40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details on
    T.S. Bertha forecast to dissipate tonight or on Fri.

    Elsewhere outside of Bertha, moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail as high pressure becomes established
    over the NE Gulf.

    For the forecast, Bertha will move inland and weaken to a tropical
    depression near 29.7N 97.2W Fri morning, and dissipate Fri
    afternoon. In the wake of Bertha, a high pressure center will
    become established over the NE Gulf through Fri, then shift to
    the central Gulf. The high pressure will provide for a light to
    gentle wind flow across the basin, except for pulsing moderate to
    fresh winds off the Yucatan Peninsula and near NE Mexico and the
    Texas coast through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The presence of a surface trough north of the basin has reduced
    the usual north-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean Sea.
    As a result, fresh to strong winds are noted per scatterometer
    data in the south-central Caribbean where seas are in the 6 to 8
    ft range based on altimeter data. Moderate to fresh trade winds
    and moderate seas are over the eastern Caribbean while gentle to
    moderate winds with slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
    Convection has flared up over most of Cuba, the Cayman Islands,
    Jamaica, and parts of Hispaniola, especially in Haiti. An upper
    level-low located over the Cayman Islands is helping to induce
    this convective activity.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian
    low will support fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough
    seas across the south-central Caribbean through the forecast
    period. Fresh to strong winds will pulse across the Gulf of
    Honduras Sat night and Sun night. Moderate or weaker winds with
    slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward between the W coast of
    Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Refer to the Tropical Waves
    section for more details.

    A surface trough persists over the western Atlantic, and now
    extends from 30N75W to the central Bahamas. A large area of
    showers and thunderstorms remains associated with this trough
    covering the waters from 22N to 31N between 57W and the trough
    axis. High pressure dominates the remainder of the Atlantic
    forecast region. Fresh to strong northerly winds are between the
    Canary Islands due to the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and lower pressures over NW Africa. Moderate to locally
    fresh winds are noted elsewhere E of 70W with moderate seas.
    Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas prevail W
    of 70W, including the Bahamas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned trough will
    continue westward reaching the central and South Florida Fri.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms will accompany the trough.
    Fresh trade winds are expected offshore Hispaniola, including
    approaches to the Windward Passage through Sat night. Moderate or
    weaker winds along with moderate seas are forecast elsewhere.
    Looking ahead, a cold front will approach the waters east of
    northern Florida Sat night through Sun night, preceded by fresh
    to strong southwest winds north of about 28N and east of 75W.

    $$
    GR

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 24, 2026 06:14:26
    075
    AXNT20 KNHC 240613
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Jul 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Remnants Of Bertha is centered near 30.0N 96.0W at 24/0300 UTC
    or 30 nm WNW of Houston Texas, moving W at 12 kt. Estimated
    minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. Maximum sustained wind
    speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Peak seas are 6 ft. Swells
    generated by the remnants of Bertha will continue to affect the
    Louisiana and Texas coast through tonight. These swells are likely
    to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
    consult products from your local weather office. This is the last
    public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this
    system.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6sDL-EP5nbKo7fLVSmDNrtAPlT2F3bNbAKv0kf4K64DtDWcDErQgH8yOTwxaxkOfvE1wGghRFvbq5N4x8EaaKPGeqqE$ and the latest
    Bertha NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!6sDL-EP5nbKo7fLVSmDNrtAPlT2F3bNbAKv0kf4K64DtDWcDErQgH8yOTwxaxkOfvE1wGghRFvbq5N4x8Eaa9jE60fQ$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is over the Cabo Verde Islands along 24W, moving
    westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is confined to
    the monsoon from 08N to 13N between 18W and 26W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 09N to
    19N with axis near 47W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is from 07N to 18N between 37W and 52W.

    A third tropical wave is east of the Lesser Antilles along 60W
    moving westward at approximately 15 kt. The wave is devoid of deep
    convection at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near Dakar and continues SW to 09N24W to 08N30W. The ITCZ
    extends from that point to 09N45W to 07N58W. Aside from the
    convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 13N between 26W and 35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details on the
    remnants of Bertha.

    Tropical Storm Bertha has moved inland into Texas, weakened into
    a tropical depression, and is now dissipating. The remnants of
    Bertha are near 30.0N 96.0W at 11 PM EDT, moving west at 12 kt.
    Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt, and the
    minimum central pressure is 1008 mb.

    Elsewhere outside of Bertha, a 1018 mb high developed over the NE
    Gulf, which is supporting light to gentle variable winds in that
    region and gentle to moderate E winds over the SE Gulf. The
    gradient of pressure between the remnants of Bertha and the high
    is supporting moderate to fresh SE winds over the NW basin and NE
    winds of the same speed over the Bay of Campeche. Seas basin-wide
    are mainly slight with locally moderate seas offshore Texas.

    For the forecast, Bertha will dissipate Fri morning. In the wake
    of Bertha, a high pressure center will become established over
    the NE Gulf through Fri, then shift to the central Gulf. The high
    pressure will provide for a light to gentle wind flow across the
    basin, except for pulsing moderate to fresh winds off the Yucatan
    Peninsula and near NE Mexico and the Texas coast through the
    weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The presence of a surface trough north of the basin has reduced
    the usual north-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean Sea.
    As a result, fresh to strong winds are noted in the south-central
    Caribbean where seas are in the 5 to 8 ft range. Moderate to
    fresh trade winds and moderate seas are over the eastern Caribbean
    while gentle to moderate winds with slight seas prevail elsewhere.
    An upper level-low located near the Cayman Islands continue to
    support scattered showers over the NW basin and Windward Passage.
    In the SW Caribbean, the E Pacific extension of the monsoon
    support scattered heavy showers S of 15N.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
    through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong winds will
    pulse across the Gulf of Honduras Sat night and Sun night.
    Moderate or weaker winds with slight to moderate seas will prevail
    elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the Tropical Waves section for more details on these
    features.

    A trough extending from near 30N75W and across the central
    Bahamas continues to generate scattered showers over the offshores
    W of 58W to the N of 22N. High pressure dominates the remainder
    of the Atlantic forecast region. Fresh to strong northerly winds
    and rough seas to 10 ft prevail over the Canary Islands due to
    the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and lower
    pressures over NW Africa. Moderate to locally fresh winds are
    noted elsewhere E of 65W with moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned trough will
    continue to drift west to central and South Florida Fri. Scattered thunderstorms will accompany the trough. Fresh trade winds are
    expected offshore Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward
    Passage into Sun. Moderate or weaker winds along with moderate
    seas are forecast elsewhere. Looking ahead, a cold front will
    approach the waters east of northern Florida Sat night through Sun
    night, preceded by fresh to locally strong southwest winds north
    of about 28N and east of 75W.

    $$
    Ramos

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 24, 2026 06:14:28
    224
    AXNT20 KNHC 240614
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Jul 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Remnants Of Bertha is centered near 30.0N 96.0W at 24/0300 UTC
    or 30 nm WNW of Houston Texas, moving W at 12 kt. Estimated
    minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. Maximum sustained wind
    speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Peak seas are 6 ft. Swells
    generated by the remnants of Bertha will continue to affect the
    Louisiana and Texas coast through tonight. These swells are likely
    to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
    consult products from your local weather office. This is the last
    public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this
    system.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9_BJEU2iEEoB6NQmLUC4EwFLWU6BQXIr_DHS9TZnQF6IJZEadr42GCc7dRgXkEeD76_45gAmB1eXvl19_Xh7umsRBEU$ and the latest
    Bertha NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!9_BJEU2iEEoB6NQmLUC4EwFLWU6BQXIr_DHS9TZnQF6IJZEadr42GCc7dRgXkEeD76_45gAmB1eXvl19_Xh7eNhmAbY$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is over the Cabo Verde Islands along 24W, moving
    westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is confined to
    the monsoon from 08N to 13N between 18W and 26W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 09N to
    19N with axis near 47W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is from 07N to 18N between 37W and 52W.

    A third tropical wave is east of the Lesser Antilles along 60W
    moving westward at approximately 15 kt. The wave is devoid of deep
    convection at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near Dakar and continues SW to 09N24W to 08N30W. The ITCZ
    extends from that point to 09N45W to 07N58W. Aside from the
    convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 13N between 26W and 35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details on the
    remnants of Bertha.

    Tropical Storm Bertha has moved inland into Texas, weakened into
    a tropical depression, and is now dissipating. The remnants of
    Bertha are near 30.0N 96.0W at 11 PM EDT, moving west at 12 kt.
    Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt, and the
    minimum central pressure is 1008 mb.

    Elsewhere outside of Bertha, a 1018 mb high developed over the NE
    Gulf, which is supporting light to gentle variable winds in that
    region and gentle to moderate E winds over the SE Gulf. The
    gradient of pressure between the remnants of Bertha and the high
    is supporting moderate to fresh SE winds over the NW basin and NE
    winds of the same speed over the Bay of Campeche. Seas basin-wide
    are mainly slight with locally moderate seas offshore Texas.

    For the forecast, Bertha will dissipate Fri morning. In the wake
    of Bertha, a high pressure center will become established over
    the NE Gulf through Fri, then shift to the central Gulf. The high
    pressure will provide for a light to gentle wind flow across the
    basin, except for pulsing moderate to fresh winds off the Yucatan
    Peninsula and near NE Mexico and the Texas coast through the
    weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The presence of a surface trough north of the basin has reduced
    the usual north-south pressure gradient over the Caribbean Sea.
    As a result, fresh to strong winds are noted in the south-central
    Caribbean where seas are in the 5 to 8 ft range. Moderate to
    fresh trade winds and moderate seas are over the eastern Caribbean
    while gentle to moderate winds with slight seas prevail elsewhere.
    An upper level-low located near the Cayman Islands continue to
    support scattered showers over the NW basin and Windward Passage.
    In the SW Caribbean, the E Pacific extension of the monsoon
    support scattered heavy showers S of 15N.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
    through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong winds will
    pulse across the Gulf of Honduras Sat night and Sun night.
    Moderate or weaker winds with slight to moderate seas will prevail
    elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the Tropical Waves section for more details on these
    features.

    A trough extending from near 30N75W and across the central
    Bahamas continues to generate scattered showers over the offshores
    W of 58W to the N of 22N. High pressure dominates the remainder
    of the Atlantic forecast region. Fresh to strong northerly winds
    and rough seas to 10 ft prevail over the Canary Islands due to
    the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and lower
    pressures over NW Africa. Moderate to locally fresh winds are
    noted elsewhere E of 65W with moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned trough will
    continue to drift west to central and South Florida Fri. Scattered thunderstorms will accompany the trough. Fresh trade winds are
    expected offshore Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward
    Passage into Sun. Moderate or weaker winds along with moderate
    seas are forecast elsewhere. Looking ahead, a cold front will
    approach the waters east of northern Florida Sat night through Sun
    night, preceded by fresh to locally strong southwest winds north
    of about 28N and east of 75W.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 24, 2026 09:38:34
    397
    AXNT20 KNHC 240938
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Jul 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0830 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is west of the Cabo Verde Islands along 27W,
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    confined to the monsoon from 08N to 13N between 19W and 26W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 09N to
    19N with axis near 49W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is from 10N to 18N between 40W and 52W.

    A tropical wave is moving into the Caribbean along 62W, moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection has
    developed ahead of the wave from 12N to 15N between 62W and 65W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near Dakar 15N17W and continues SW to 09N24W to 08N31W.
    The ITCZ extends from 08N31W to 09N45W to 07N58W. Aside from the
    convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 12N between 30W and 35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The remnants of Bertha have devolved into a surface trough over
    Texas, and will continue to move W away from the region, having no
    further impact on the basin. A 1018 mb high over the NE Gulf is
    supporting light to gentle variable winds in that region and
    gentle to moderate E winds over the SE Gulf. Moderate mainly SE
    winds prevail over the western basin. Seas are 2 to 4 ft in the
    eastern Gulf and 3 to 5 ft in the west. Scattered convection from
    a land-breeze is impacting waters within about 90 nm of the the
    Florida Peninsula, otherwise dry conditions prevail.

    For the forecast, high pressure will shift to the central Gulf
    tonight. The high pressure will provide for a light to gentle
    wind flow across the basin, except for pulsing moderate to fresh
    winds off the Yucatan Peninsula through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong winds are noted in the south-central Caribbean
    with seas of 5 to 7 ft. Moderate to fresh trade winds and
    moderate seas are over the eastern Caribbean while gentle to
    moderate winds with slight seas prevail elsewhere. An upper level-
    low located near the Cayman Islands continue to support scattered
    moderate convection over the NW basin and Windward Passage. In
    the SW Caribbean, the E Pacific monsoon trough is supporting
    scattered moderate convection S of 15N.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong
    winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras Sat night and
    possibly Sun night. Moderate or weaker winds with slight to
    moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A deep layer trough is inducing scattered moderate convection N of
    24N between 58W and 78W. Otherwise, mainly moderate trades
    dominate the entire basin due to the gradient between the
    subtropical ridge and lower pressure to the south. Strong NE winds
    and seas to 10 ft are impacting waters near the Canary Islands
    where this gradient is tightest. Elsewhere, mainly moderate seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a trough that extends from near
    29N77W across the NW Bahamas will continue to drift west to
    central and South Florida tonight. Scattered thunderstorms will
    accompany the trough. Fresh trade winds are expected offshore
    Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward Passage through
    the weekend. Moderate or weaker winds along with moderate seas are
    forecast elsewhere. Looking ahead, a cold front may approach the
    waters east of northern Florida late this weekend, preceded by
    fresh southwest winds north of about 28N and east of 75W.

    $$
    Konarik

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 24, 2026 09:38:40
    398
    AXNT20 KNHC 240938
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Jul 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0830 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is west of the Cabo Verde Islands along 27W,
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    confined to the monsoon from 08N to 13N between 19W and 26W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 09N to
    19N with axis near 49W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is from 10N to 18N between 40W and 52W.

    A tropical wave is moving into the Caribbean along 62W, moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection has
    developed ahead of the wave from 12N to 15N between 62W and 65W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near Dakar 15N17W and continues SW to 09N24W to 08N31W.
    The ITCZ extends from 08N31W to 09N45W to 07N58W. Aside from the
    convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 12N between 30W and 35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The remnants of Bertha have devolved into a surface trough over
    Texas, and will continue to move W away from the region, having no
    further impact on the basin. A 1018 mb high over the NE Gulf is
    supporting light to gentle variable winds in that region and
    gentle to moderate E winds over the SE Gulf. Moderate mainly SE
    winds prevail over the western basin. Seas are 2 to 4 ft in the
    eastern Gulf and 3 to 5 ft in the west. Scattered convection from
    a land-breeze is impacting waters within about 90 nm of the the
    Florida Peninsula, otherwise dry conditions prevail.

    For the forecast, high pressure will shift to the central Gulf
    tonight. The high pressure will provide for a light to gentle
    wind flow across the basin, except for pulsing moderate to fresh
    winds off the Yucatan Peninsula through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong winds are noted in the south-central Caribbean
    with seas of 5 to 7 ft. Moderate to fresh trade winds and
    moderate seas are over the eastern Caribbean while gentle to
    moderate winds with slight seas prevail elsewhere. An upper level-
    low located near the Cayman Islands continue to support scattered
    moderate convection over the NW basin and Windward Passage. In
    the SW Caribbean, the E Pacific monsoon trough is supporting
    scattered moderate convection S of 15N.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong
    winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras Sat night and
    possibly Sun night. Moderate or weaker winds with slight to
    moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A deep layer trough is inducing scattered moderate convection N of
    24N between 58W and 78W. Otherwise, mainly moderate trades
    dominate the entire basin due to the gradient between the
    subtropical ridge and lower pressure to the south. Strong NE winds
    and seas to 10 ft are impacting waters near the Canary Islands
    where this gradient is tightest. Elsewhere, mainly moderate seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a trough that extends from near
    29N77W across the NW Bahamas will continue to drift west to
    central and South Florida tonight. Scattered thunderstorms will
    accompany the trough. Fresh trade winds are expected offshore
    Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward Passage through
    the weekend. Moderate or weaker winds along with moderate seas are
    forecast elsewhere. Looking ahead, a cold front may approach the
    waters east of northern Florida late this weekend, preceded by
    fresh southwest winds north of about 28N and east of 75W.

    $$
    Konarik

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 24, 2026 16:35:48
    721
    AXNT20 KNHC 241635
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Jul 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 29W from
    05N-20N, moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is from 05N-11N between 25W-38W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 51W from
    07N-18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated moderate
    convection is occurring from 10N-14N between 49W-54W.

    A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 64W from 17N
    southward, moving westward around 15 kt. No significant deep
    convection is occurring in association with the wave today.

    A new tropical wave has formed in the W Caribbean at 84W from 18N
    southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate and
    isolated strong convection is occurring from 10N-17N west of 76W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W southwest to 06N29W. The ITCZ extends from
    06N30W to 09N49W, where it breaks for a tropical wave. The ITCZ
    resumes at 09N53W then to 08N60W along coastal Venezuela. Scattered
    moderate convection is from 05N-11N between 25W-38W. Isolated
    moderate convection is occurring from 10N-14N between 49W-54W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1020 mb high pressure is centered over the N Gulf near 29N88W.
    Winds across the Gulf are generally light to moderate except for
    isolated strong E winds over the Bay of Campeche. Seas are 2-4 ft.
    Isolated moderate convection is occurring over the Straits of
    Florida this afternoon.

    For the forecast, the high pressure over the NE Gulf will shift to
    the central Gulf. The high pressure will provide for a light to
    gentle wind flow across the basin into the early part of next
    week, except for pulsing moderate to fresh winds off the Yucatan
    Peninsula through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A moderate pressure gradient between low pressure over northern
    South America and high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh
    to strong trades over the central Caribbean with seas 6-9 ft.
    Elsewhere winds are gentle to moderate with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring from 10N-17N
    west of 76W associated with a tropical wave. Additionally, an
    upper-level low is causing isolated moderate convection north of
    19N west of 85W.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong
    winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras Sat night and
    possibly Sun night. Moderate or weaker winds with slight to
    moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The Bermuda-Azores High well north of the area along with lower
    pressure over the ITCZ and the monsoon trough is forcing only
    moderate to isolated fresh trades west of 30W with seas of 4-7 ft.
    A larger pressure gradient farther east is forcing fresh to
    locally strong NE winds with seas 7-9 ft north of 20N east of
    30W. An upper-level low is causing isolated moderate convection
    north of 24N between 61W-78W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a trough off the east coast of
    Florida will drift west into the peninsula today. Scattered
    thunderstorms will accompany the trough across the Bahamas. Fresh
    trade winds are expected offshore Hispaniola, including approaches
    to the Windward Passage through the weekend. Moderate or weaker
    winds along with moderate seas are forecast elsewhere. A cold
    front may approach the waters east of northern Florida late this
    weekend and stall, preceded by fresh southwest winds north of
    about 28N and east of 75W through mid week.

    $$
    Landsea

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 24, 2026 23:16:06
    296
    AXNT20 KNHC 242315
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Jul 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2300 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 32W from
    05N-20N, moving westward around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is along the wave axis and S of 10N.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 54W from
    07N-18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is occurring along the wave axis and N of 10N.

    A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 67W from 17N
    southward, moving westward around 10 to 15 kt. No significant
    deep convection is occurring in association with the wave.

    A tropical wave extends across the W Caribbean at 84W from 18N
    southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate and
    isolated strong convection is occurring S of 19N between 75W and
    85W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W southwest to
    08N31W. The ITCZ extends from 07N33W to 06N50W. Scattered
    moderate convection is from 03N-110N between 25W-40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1020 mb high pressure is centered over the N Gulf near 30N87W.
    Winds across the Gulf are light to moderate. Seas are 2-4 ft.
    Scattered moderate convection is occurring over the Straits of
    Florida and the Yucatan Peninsula.

    For the forecast, the high pressure over the northeast Gulf will
    shift to the central Gulf Sat. The high pressure will provide for
    gentle to moderate winds and modest seas across the basin into the
    early part of next week, except for pulsing moderate to fresh
    winds off the Yucatan Peninsula through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A moderate pressure gradient between low pressure over northern
    South America and high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh
    to strong trades over the central Caribbean with seas 6-9 ft.
    Elsewhere winds are gentle to moderate with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring from 10N-17N
    west of 76W associated with a tropical wave. Additionally, an
    upper-level low is causing isolated moderate convection north of
    19N west of 85W.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and
    the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds with
    moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong
    winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras Sat night and
    possibly Sun night. Moderate or weaker winds with slight to
    moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. Meanwhile, scattered showers
    and thunderstorms will persist over much of the western Caribbean
    through Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The Bermuda-Azores High well north of the area along with lower
    pressure over the ITCZ and the monsoon trough is forcing only
    moderate to isolated fresh trades west of 30W with seas of 4-6
    ft. A larger pressure gradient farther east is forcing fresh to
    locally strong NE winds with seas 7-9 ft north of 20N east of 30W.
    An upper-level low is causing isolated moderate convection north
    of 24N between 61W-78W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will build from
    the central Atlantic toward Florida, supporting gentle to moderate
    breezes and slight seas through Sat. The ridge will shift
    southward Sun ahead of a cold front that will move into the waters
    between northeast Florida and Bermuda then stall Mon and
    dissipate through mid week. Looking ahead, this pattern will
    support moderate to fresh SW winds east of the front north of 28N
    early next week.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 24, 2026 23:16:10
    298
    AXNT20 KNHC 242315
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Jul 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2300 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 32W from
    05N-20N, moving westward around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is along the wave axis and S of 10N.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 54W from
    07N-18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is occurring along the wave axis and N of 10N.

    A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 67W from 17N
    southward, moving westward around 10 to 15 kt. No significant
    deep convection is occurring in association with the wave.

    A tropical wave extends across the W Caribbean at 84W from 18N
    southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate and
    isolated strong convection is occurring S of 19N between 75W and
    85W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W southwest to
    08N31W. The ITCZ extends from 07N33W to 06N50W. Scattered
    moderate convection is from 03N-110N between 25W-40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1020 mb high pressure is centered over the N Gulf near 30N87W.
    Winds across the Gulf are light to moderate. Seas are 2-4 ft.
    Scattered moderate convection is occurring over the Straits of
    Florida and the Yucatan Peninsula.

    For the forecast, the high pressure over the northeast Gulf will
    shift to the central Gulf Sat. The high pressure will provide for
    gentle to moderate winds and modest seas across the basin into the
    early part of next week, except for pulsing moderate to fresh
    winds off the Yucatan Peninsula through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A moderate pressure gradient between low pressure over northern
    South America and high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh
    to strong trades over the central Caribbean with seas 6-9 ft.
    Elsewhere winds are gentle to moderate with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring from 10N-17N
    west of 76W associated with a tropical wave. Additionally, an
    upper-level low is causing isolated moderate convection north of
    19N west of 85W.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and
    the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds with
    moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong
    winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras Sat night and
    possibly Sun night. Moderate or weaker winds with slight to
    moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. Meanwhile, scattered showers
    and thunderstorms will persist over much of the western Caribbean
    through Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The Bermuda-Azores High well north of the area along with lower
    pressure over the ITCZ and the monsoon trough is forcing only
    moderate to isolated fresh trades west of 30W with seas of 4-6
    ft. A larger pressure gradient farther east is forcing fresh to
    locally strong NE winds with seas 7-9 ft north of 20N east of 30W.
    An upper-level low is causing isolated moderate convection north
    of 24N between 61W-78W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will build from
    the central Atlantic toward Florida, supporting gentle to moderate
    breezes and slight seas through Sat. The ridge will shift
    southward Sun ahead of a cold front that will move into the waters
    between northeast Florida and Bermuda then stall Mon and
    dissipate through mid week. Looking ahead, this pattern will
    support moderate to fresh SW winds east of the front north of 28N
    early next week.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, July 25, 2026 05:59:30
    062
    AXNT20 KNHC 250559
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Jul 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the eastern Atlantic. Its axis is near
    34W, extends from 06N to 21N and is moving westward around 10 to
    15 kt. Scattered moderate convection extends from 03N to 12N
    between 26W and 43W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic. Its axis is near 57W,
    extends from 06N to 19N and is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 10N to 18N between
    46W and 58W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean. Its axis is near
    69W, extends from 18N southward and is moving westward around 10
    to 15 kt. No significant deep convection is occurring in
    association with the wave.

    A tropical wave is in the far W Caribbean. Its axis is near 86W,
    extends from 20N southward and is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is occurring in the W Caribbean between
    79W and 86W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W and continues
    SW to 07N36W. The ITCZ extends from 07N36W to 06N53W. Aside from
    the convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered
    moderate convection is from 07N to 11N between 13W and 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1019 mb high pressure is centered over the N Gulf near 29N88W.
    A surface trough along western Florida is generating scattered
    moderate convection in the NE Gulf N of 26N E of 85W. In the SW
    Gulf, scatterometer data show fresh to locally strong winds
    associated with a surface trough in the Bay of Campeche along 92W,
    which is generating scattered showers offshore the Yucatan
    Peninsula. Moderate or weaker E to SE winds are elsewhere W of
    88W. East of 88W, winds are light to gentle. Slight seas are
    basin-wide.

    For the forecast, the high pressure centered over the Gulf will
    bring gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin into
    early next week. Fresh winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan
    Peninsula each evening this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A moderate pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia
    and high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to strong
    trades over the central Caribbean with seas 6-9 ft. In the E
    basin, E winds are moderate to fresh and seas moderate while in
    the NW Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker and seas are slight.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong
    winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras Sat night. Moderate
    or weaker winds with slight to moderate seas will prevail
    elsewhere. Meanwhile, scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    persist over much of the western Caribbean into Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The Azores High well north of the area along with lower pressure
    over the ITCZ and the monsoon trough is forcing only moderate to
    isolated fresh trades west of 30W with seas of 4-6 ft. A larger
    pressure gradient farther east is forcing fresh to strong NE
    winds with seas 7-10 ft north of 20N east of 30W, including the
    Canary Islands.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will shift
    southward this weekend, allowing a cold front to move into the
    northern waters between Bermuda and Florida Mon, before stalling
    and dissipating through the middle of next week. Fresh SW winds
    will develop E of this front, mainly N of 28N.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, July 25, 2026 05:59:32
    064
    AXNT20 KNHC 250559
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Jul 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the eastern Atlantic. Its axis is near
    34W, extends from 06N to 21N and is moving westward around 10 to
    15 kt. Scattered moderate convection extends from 03N to 12N
    between 26W and 43W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic. Its axis is near 57W,
    extends from 06N to 19N and is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 10N to 18N between
    46W and 58W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean. Its axis is near
    69W, extends from 18N southward and is moving westward around 10
    to 15 kt. No significant deep convection is occurring in
    association with the wave.

    A tropical wave is in the far W Caribbean. Its axis is near 86W,
    extends from 20N southward and is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is occurring in the W Caribbean between
    79W and 86W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W and continues
    SW to 07N36W. The ITCZ extends from 07N36W to 06N53W. Aside from
    the convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered
    moderate convection is from 07N to 11N between 13W and 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1019 mb high pressure is centered over the N Gulf near 29N88W.
    A surface trough along western Florida is generating scattered
    moderate convection in the NE Gulf N of 26N E of 85W. In the SW
    Gulf, scatterometer data show fresh to locally strong winds
    associated with a surface trough in the Bay of Campeche along 92W,
    which is generating scattered showers offshore the Yucatan
    Peninsula. Moderate or weaker E to SE winds are elsewhere W of
    88W. East of 88W, winds are light to gentle. Slight seas are
    basin-wide.

    For the forecast, the high pressure centered over the Gulf will
    bring gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin into
    early next week. Fresh winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan
    Peninsula each evening this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A moderate pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia
    and high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to strong
    trades over the central Caribbean with seas 6-9 ft. In the E
    basin, E winds are moderate to fresh and seas moderate while in
    the NW Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker and seas are slight.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong
    winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras Sat night. Moderate
    or weaker winds with slight to moderate seas will prevail
    elsewhere. Meanwhile, scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    persist over much of the western Caribbean into Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The Azores High well north of the area along with lower pressure
    over the ITCZ and the monsoon trough is forcing only moderate to
    isolated fresh trades west of 30W with seas of 4-6 ft. A larger
    pressure gradient farther east is forcing fresh to strong NE
    winds with seas 7-10 ft north of 20N east of 30W, including the
    Canary Islands.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will shift
    southward this weekend, allowing a cold front to move into the
    northern waters between Bermuda and Florida Mon, before stalling
    and dissipating through the middle of next week. Fresh SW winds
    will develop E of this front, mainly N of 28N.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, July 25, 2026 10:04:34
    422
    AXNT20 KNHC 251004
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Jul 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 38W, from 08N
    to 21N, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
    associated with this wave is from 04N to 12N between 28W and 43W.

    A tropical wave is moving into the eastern Caribbean and has an
    axis along 63W. It is moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is occurring between 11N and 18N between 52W and 64W.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W from Haiti to the
    Colombia-Venezuela border, moving W at around 15 kt. No
    significant convection is associated with this ave at this time.

    A tropical wave is crossing out of the far western Caribbean into
    Central America along 88W, southward from the Gulf of Honduras,
    moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection associated
    with this wave is impacting waters W of 82W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
    SW to 08N35W. The ITCZ extends from 07N36W to 06N53W. Aside from
    the convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered
    moderate convection is from 07N to 11N E of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1020 mb high pressure is centered over the N Gulf near 29N88W.
    A surface trough just offshore the Florida Peninsula is
    generating scattered moderate convection in the NE Gulf N of 26N E
    of 85W. In the SW Gulf, a surface in the Bay of Campeche is
    generating fresh winds. Elsewhere, winds are light to gentle,
    with slight seas across the basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure will bring gentle to moderate
    winds and slight seas to the basin through early next week. Fresh
    winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula this evening.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to strong trades
    over the central Caribbean with seas of 6 to 8 ft. In the E basin,
    E winds are moderate to fresh and seas moderate while in the NW
    Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker and seas are slight.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
    continue to support fresh to strong winds with moderate to
    locally rough seas across the south- central Caribbean through the
    forecast period. Fresh to locally strong winds will pulse across
    the Gulf of Honduras tonight. Moderate or weaker winds with slight
    to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. Meanwhile, scattered
    showers and thunderstorms will persist over much of the western
    Caribbean through tonight.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The pressure gradient between the Azores High and lower pressure
    along the ITCZ and monsoon trough is causing moderate to locally
    fresh trades along with moderate seas. E of 30W, the gradient
    tightens and fresh to strong winds along with rough seas are
    impacting waters N of 20N, including near the Canary Islands.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will shift
    southward this weekend, allowing a cold front to move into the
    northern waters between Bermuda and Florida Mon night, before
    stalling and dissipating into the middle of next week. Fresh SW
    winds will develop ahead of this front, mainly N of 28N.

    $$
    Konarik

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, July 25, 2026 10:04:36
    421
    AXNT20 KNHC 251004
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Jul 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 38W, from 08N
    to 21N, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
    associated with this wave is from 04N to 12N between 28W and 43W.

    A tropical wave is moving into the eastern Caribbean and has an
    axis along 63W. It is moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is occurring between 11N and 18N between 52W and 64W.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W from Haiti to the
    Colombia-Venezuela border, moving W at around 15 kt. No
    significant convection is associated with this ave at this time.

    A tropical wave is crossing out of the far western Caribbean into
    Central America along 88W, southward from the Gulf of Honduras,
    moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection associated
    with this wave is impacting waters W of 82W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
    SW to 08N35W. The ITCZ extends from 07N36W to 06N53W. Aside from
    the convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered
    moderate convection is from 07N to 11N E of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1020 mb high pressure is centered over the N Gulf near 29N88W.
    A surface trough just offshore the Florida Peninsula is
    generating scattered moderate convection in the NE Gulf N of 26N E
    of 85W. In the SW Gulf, a surface in the Bay of Campeche is
    generating fresh winds. Elsewhere, winds are light to gentle,
    with slight seas across the basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure will bring gentle to moderate
    winds and slight seas to the basin through early next week. Fresh
    winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula this evening.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to strong trades
    over the central Caribbean with seas of 6 to 8 ft. In the E basin,
    E winds are moderate to fresh and seas moderate while in the NW
    Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker and seas are slight.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
    continue to support fresh to strong winds with moderate to
    locally rough seas across the south- central Caribbean through the
    forecast period. Fresh to locally strong winds will pulse across
    the Gulf of Honduras tonight. Moderate or weaker winds with slight
    to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. Meanwhile, scattered
    showers and thunderstorms will persist over much of the western
    Caribbean through tonight.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The pressure gradient between the Azores High and lower pressure
    along the ITCZ and monsoon trough is causing moderate to locally
    fresh trades along with moderate seas. E of 30W, the gradient
    tightens and fresh to strong winds along with rough seas are
    impacting waters N of 20N, including near the Canary Islands.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will shift
    southward this weekend, allowing a cold front to move into the
    northern waters between Bermuda and Florida Mon night, before
    stalling and dissipating into the middle of next week. Fresh SW
    winds will develop ahead of this front, mainly N of 28N.

    $$
    Konarik

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, July 25, 2026 17:02:22
    497
    AXNT20 KNHC 251701
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sat Jul 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1032 mb
    Azores High and lower pressures over northern Africa currently
    support strong to near gale-force NE winds between the Canary
    Islands and the coast of Morocco. These winds are confirmed by
    scatterometer data from 1100 UTC today. Winds will continue to
    increase and reach gale-force later today. Accordingly, Meteo
    France has issued a Gale Warning for the Agadir Zone until 26/00
    UTC.

    For more details, please refer to Meteo-France's website at: wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 39W, from 08N
    to 20N, moving W at around 10-15 kt. Convection near this wave is
    discussed in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    A tropical wave is moving through the eastern Caribbean and has
    an axis along 66W. It is moving W at around 20 kt. No significant
    convection is occurring near this wave axis.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is along 73W from Haiti to the
    Colombia-Venezuela border, moving W at around 10-15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is occurring near the Gulf of Venezuela and
    Lake Maracaibo.

    A tropical wave is crossing out of the far western Caribbean into
    Central America along 88W, southward from the Gulf of Honduras,
    moving W at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection associated
    with this wave is impacting waters W of 80W and S of 20N, likely
    enhanced by the East Pacific monsoon trough which extends across
    the far SW Caribbean.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W and continues
    SW to 09N33W. The ITCZ extends from 09N33W to 07N58W. Scattered
    moderate convection is occurring from 04N to 12N between the W
    coast of Africa and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1020 mb high pressure is centered over the NE Gulf near 27N88W.
    A surface trough just offshore the Florida Peninsula is
    generating scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the NE
    Gulf N of 25N and E of 88W. In the SW Gulf, a surface trough in
    the Bay of Campeche is generating moderate SE winds. Elsewhere,
    winds are light to gentle, with slight seas across the basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
    gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin through
    early next week. Fresh winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan
    Peninsula tonight into Sun.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Tropical Waves section for details on any
    convection across the Caribbean.

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to strong trades
    over the central to SW Caribbean with seas of 6 to 9 ft. In the E
    basin, E winds are moderate to fresh and seas moderate while in
    the NW Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker and seas are slight.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong
    winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras tonight. Moderate or
    weaker winds with slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.
    Meanwhile, scattered showers and thunderstorms will persist over
    much of the western Caribbean through tonight.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough in the W Atlantic combined with upper level
    divergence from an upper level trough N of the region are aiding
    in the development of scattered moderate convection from 24N to
    31N between 67W and 72W, as well as over the central and northern
    Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is also occurring E of the
    Lesser Antilles with convergent surface winds in place.
    Otherwise, the pressure gradient between the Azores High and lower
    pressure along the ITCZ and monsoon trough is causing moderate to
    fresh trades along with moderate seas across much of the
    Atlantic. E of 30W, the gradient tightens and fresh to strong
    winds along with rough seas are impacting waters N of 20N,
    including near the Canary Islands where NE winds are strong to
    near-gale force. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft
    seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will shift
    southward this weekend, allowing a cold front to move into the
    northern waters between Bermuda and Florida Mon night, before
    stalling and dissipating into the middle of next week. Fresh SW
    winds will develop ahead of this front, mainly N of 28N.

    $$
    Adams

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, July 25, 2026 23:25:14
    760
    AXNT20 KNHC 252325
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2300 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1032 mb
    Azores High and lower pressures over northern Africa currently
    support strong to near gale-force NE winds between the Canary
    Islands and the coast of Morocco. These winds are confirmed by
    scatterometer data from 1100 UTC today. Winds will continue to
    increase and reach gale-force later today. Accordingly, Meteo
    France has issued a Gale Warning for the Agadir Zone until 26/00
    UTC.

    For more details, please refer to Meteo-France's website at: wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 40W, from 08N
    to 20N, moving W at around 10-15 kt. Convection near this wave is
    discussed in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    A tropical wave is moving through the eastern Caribbean and has
    an axis along 67W. It is moving W at around 20 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted along the wave axis and S of 10N.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W from
    the Windward Passage to northern Colombia, moving W at around
    10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted across the
    southern portion of the wave, mainly over northern Venezuela.

    A tropical wave is crossing out of the far western Caribbean into
    Central America along 89W, southward from the Gulf of Honduras,
    moving W at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection associated with
    this wave is impacting waters W of 80W and S of 20N, likely
    enhanced by the East Pacific monsoon trough which extends across
    the far SW Caribbean.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N17W and continues
    SW to 09N36W. The ITCZ extends from 09N36W to 07N58W. Scattered
    moderate convection is occurring south of the monsoon trough and
    E of 22W, from 05N to 11N between 31W and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1022 mb high pressure is centered over the NE Gulf near 28N87W.
    A surface trough just offshore the Florida Peninsula is
    generating scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the NE
    Gulf N of 25N and E of 88W. In the SW Gulf, a surface trough in
    the Bay of Campeche is generating moderate SE winds. Elsewhere,
    winds are light to gentle, with slight seas across the basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
    gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin through
    early next week. Fresh winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan
    Peninsula tonight.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Tropical Waves section for details on any
    convection across the Caribbean.

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to strong trades
    over the central to SW Caribbean with seas of 6 to 9 ft. In the E
    basin, E winds are moderate to fresh and seas moderate while in
    the NW Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker and seas are slight.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and
    the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds with
    moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through Sun. Fresh to locally strong winds will pulse
    across the Gulf of Honduras tonight. Moderate or weaker winds with
    slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. The ridge will
    weaken and shift east Mon, allowing winds and seas to diminish
    over the central Caribbean into mid week. Looking ahead, winds and
    seas will increase again across the central Caribbean starting Wed
    as the ridge builds north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough in the W Atlantic combined with upper level
    divergence from an upper level trough N of the region are aiding
    in the development of scattered moderate convection from 26N to
    31N between 67W and 72W, as well as over the central and northern
    Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is also occurring E of the
    Lesser Antilles with convergent surface winds in place. Otherwise,
    the pressure gradient between the Azores High and lower pressure
    along the ITCZ and monsoon trough is causing moderate to fresh
    trades along with moderate seas across much of the Atlantic. E of
    30W, the gradient tightens and fresh to strong winds along with
    rough seas are impacting waters N of 20N, including near the
    Canary Islands where NE winds are strong to near-gale force.
    Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas prevail
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will shift
    southward this weekend, allowing a cold front to move into the
    waters off southeast U.S. Sun, and stall. SW winds will increase
    and seas will build N of 25N through mid week between the Atlantic
    ridge east of the area and a reinforcing front approaching from
    the north.

    $$
    ERA

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, July 25, 2026 23:25:16
    758
    AXNT20 KNHC 252324
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2300 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1032 mb
    Azores High and lower pressures over northern Africa currently
    support strong to near gale-force NE winds between the Canary
    Islands and the coast of Morocco. These winds are confirmed by
    scatterometer data from 1100 UTC today. Winds will continue to
    increase and reach gale-force later today. Accordingly, Meteo
    France has issued a Gale Warning for the Agadir Zone until 26/00
    UTC.

    For more details, please refer to Meteo-France's website at: wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 40W, from 08N
    to 20N, moving W at around 10-15 kt. Convection near this wave is
    discussed in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    A tropical wave is moving through the eastern Caribbean and has
    an axis along 67W. It is moving W at around 20 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted along the wave axis and S of 10N.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W from
    the Windward Passage to northern Colombia, moving W at around
    10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted across the
    southern portion of the wave, mainly over northern Venezuela.

    A tropical wave is crossing out of the far western Caribbean into
    Central America along 89W, southward from the Gulf of Honduras,
    moving W at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection associated with
    this wave is impacting waters W of 80W and S of 20N, likely
    enhanced by the East Pacific monsoon trough which extends across
    the far SW Caribbean.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N17W and continues
    SW to 09N36W. The ITCZ extends from 09N36W to 07N58W. Scattered
    moderate convection is occurring south of the monsoon trough and
    E of 22W, from 05N to 11N between 31W and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1022 mb high pressure is centered over the NE Gulf near 28N87W.
    A surface trough just offshore the Florida Peninsula is
    generating scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the NE
    Gulf N of 25N and E of 88W. In the SW Gulf, a surface trough in
    the Bay of Campeche is generating moderate SE winds. Elsewhere,
    winds are light to gentle, with slight seas across the basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
    gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin through
    early next week. Fresh winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan
    Peninsula tonight.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Tropical Waves section for details on any
    convection across the Caribbean.

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to strong trades
    over the central to SW Caribbean with seas of 6 to 9 ft. In the E
    basin, E winds are moderate to fresh and seas moderate while in
    the NW Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker and seas are slight.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and
    the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds with
    moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through Sun. Fresh to locally strong winds will pulse
    across the Gulf of Honduras tonight. Moderate or weaker winds with
    slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. The ridge will
    weaken and shift east Mon, allowing winds and seas to diminish
    over the central Caribbean into mid week. Looking ahead, winds and
    seas will increase again across the central Caribbean starting Wed
    as the ridge builds north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough in the W Atlantic combined with upper level
    divergence from an upper level trough N of the region are aiding
    in the development of scattered moderate convection from 26N to
    31N between 67W and 72W, as well as over the central and northern
    Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is also occurring E of the
    Lesser Antilles with convergent surface winds in place. Otherwise,
    the pressure gradient between the Azores High and lower pressure
    along the ITCZ and monsoon trough is causing moderate to fresh
    trades along with moderate seas across much of the Atlantic. E of
    30W, the gradient tightens and fresh to strong winds along with
    rough seas are impacting waters N of 20N, including near the
    Canary Islands where NE winds are strong to near-gale force.
    Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas prevail
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will shift
    southward this weekend, allowing a cold front to move into the
    waters off southeast U.S. Sun, and stall. SW winds will increase
    and seas will build N of 25N through mid week between the Atlantic
    ridge east of the area and a reinforcing front approaching from
    the north.

    $$
    ERA

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, July 26, 2026 04:28:36
    388
    AXNT20 KNHC 260428
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0330 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1031 mb
    Azores High and lower pressures over northern Africa currently
    support strong to near gale-force NE winds between the Canary
    Islands and the coast of Morocco. These winds were confirmed by
    scatterometer data from 0200 UTC tonight. Winds are expected to
    remain at or near gale-force for the next few hours before
    diminishing later tonight. Accordingly, Meteo France has issued a
    Gale Warning for the Agadir Zone until 26/03 UTC.

    For more details, please refer to Meteo-France's website at: wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 45-46W, from
    08N to 22N, moving W at 12-20 kt. A broad mid level cyclonic
    circulation can be seen in PW animations. Convection near this
    wave is discussed in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    A tropical wave is moving into the eastern Caribbean with axis
    along 62W-63W, moving W at 15-20 kt. An upper level low is
    centered to the NW and is shearing associated convection to the E
    of the wave. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 12N to
    19N between 55W and 61W.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has been added to the 0000 UTC
    surface map, along 73W, moving westward at 15-20 kt, and is well
    depicted in PW animations. The wave is moving through a zone of
    dry and sinking air across the central basin, and no associated
    convection is seen over water at this time.

    A Caribbean tropical wave previously along 75W is racing westward
    and has nearly merged with the tropical wave ahead of it across
    Central America along about 90W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and continues
    to 12N23W to 10N37W. The ITCZ extends from 09N38W to 07.5N44W to
    05.5N54W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is exiting
    Africa from 10N to 17N E of 20W. Scattered moderate isolated
    strong convection is occurring from 08.5N to 14N between 20W and
    27W, and 08N to 12.5N between 29W and 40W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 03N to 11.5N between 40W and 52W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1019 mb high pressure is centered over the NE Gulf near 28.5N88W.
    Evening thunderstorms across central Florida have shifted westward
    to the coast near Tampa Bay and adjacent coastal waters within 60
    nm and are weakening quickly. An upper level low is centered over
    the Bay of Campeche N of 20N, and is supporting a cluster of
    moderate to strong convection shifting westward off the Yucatan
    Peninsula and over the eastern Bay of Campeche. The surface high
    is promoting light to gentle anticyclonic winds across the basin N
    of 21N, where seas are 3 ft or less. Moderate to locally fresh NE
    winds are occurring along the W coast of the Yucatan, in associated
    with the evening thermal trough there. Seas there area 3 to 4 ft.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will
    promote gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin
    through early next week. Fresh winds will continue offshore the
    western Yucatan Peninsula tonight, and then will pulse to moderate
    N winds each evening and night through Tue.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered moderate convection dots the waters of the NW Caribbean
    from western Cuba and the Yucatan Channel southward across the
    Gulf of Honduras, to just offshore of NE Nicaragua. This activity
    is occurring behind a tropical wave now across the eastern
    Pacific along about 90W.

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    the western Atlantic ridge extending into central Florida is
    forcing fresh to strong trades over the central to SW Caribbean,
    generally S of 16N, where seas are 6 to 9 ft between 72W and 80W.
    Across the eastern basin, moderate to fresh easterly trade winds
    prevail, with moderate seas of 4 to 6 ft. Across the NW Caribbean,
    NE to E winds are moderate or weaker, with slight seas. The
    exception there is fresh E wind across the interior Gulf of
    Honduras, where seas are locally 6 to 8 ft.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean into Sun. Fresh to locally strong E winds will continue
    across the Gulf of Honduras tonight. The ridge will weaken and
    shift east by Mon, allowing winds and seas to diminish over the
    central Caribbean into mid week. Looking ahead, winds and seas
    will increase again across the central Caribbean starting Wed as
    the ridge builds north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough in the W Atlantic combined with upper level
    divergence from an upper level trough N of the region are aiding
    in persistent scattered moderate convection from 28N to 31N
    between 68W and 72W. Isolated moderate convection dots the
    central and northern Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is
    also occurring from the E coasts of the Lesser Antilles to 54W,
    behind a tropical wave moving across the eastern Caribbean
    described above. Another upper low and surface trough extends
    into the north central waters, and is promoting scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection from 25N to 29N between 47W
    and 59W. Elsewhere at the surface, the pressure gradient between
    the Azores High and lower pressure along the ITCZ and monsoon
    trough is producing moderate to fresh trades along with moderate
    seas across much of the Atlantic S of 26W. E of 33W, the pressure
    gradient tightens and is producing fresh to strong NE winds along
    with rough seas of 8-10 ft impacting waters N of 18N, including
    near the Canary Islands where NE winds are strong to near-gale
    force. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas prevail
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge will
    shift southeastward through early this week, allowing a cold
    front to move offshore the SE U.S. Sun, then stall along about 31N.
    SW winds will increase and producing building seas N of 25N
    through the middle of next week between this stalled front and
    the Atlantic ridge to the east.

    $$
    Stripling

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, July 26, 2026 04:28:40
    468
    AXNT20 KNHC 260428
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0330 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1031 mb
    Azores High and lower pressures over northern Africa currently
    support strong to near gale-force NE winds between the Canary
    Islands and the coast of Morocco. These winds were confirmed by
    scatterometer data from 0200 UTC tonight. Winds are expected to
    remain at or near gale-force for the next few hours before
    diminishing later tonight. Accordingly, Meteo France has issued a
    Gale Warning for the Agadir Zone until 26/03 UTC.

    For more details, please refer to Meteo-France's website at: wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 45-46W, from
    08N to 22N, moving W at 12-20 kt. A broad mid level cyclonic
    circulation can be seen in PW animations. Convection near this
    wave is discussed in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    A tropical wave is moving into the eastern Caribbean with axis
    along 62W-63W, moving W at 15-20 kt. An upper level low is
    centered to the NW and is shearing associated convection to the E
    of the wave. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 12N to
    19N between 55W and 61W.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has been added to the 0000 UTC
    surface map, along 73W, moving westward at 15-20 kt, and is well
    depicted in PW animations. The wave is moving through a zone of
    dry and sinking air across the central basin, and no associated
    convection is seen over water at this time.

    A Caribbean tropical wave previously along 75W is racing westward
    and has nearly merged with the tropical wave ahead of it across
    Central America along about 90W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and continues
    to 12N23W to 10N37W. The ITCZ extends from 09N38W to 07.5N44W to
    05.5N54W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is exiting
    Africa from 10N to 17N E of 20W. Scattered moderate isolated
    strong convection is occurring from 08.5N to 14N between 20W and
    27W, and 08N to 12.5N between 29W and 40W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 03N to 11.5N between 40W and 52W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1019 mb high pressure is centered over the NE Gulf near 28.5N88W.
    Evening thunderstorms across central Florida have shifted westward
    to the coast near Tampa Bay and adjacent coastal waters within 60
    nm and are weakening quickly. An upper level low is centered over
    the Bay of Campeche N of 20N, and is supporting a cluster of
    moderate to strong convection shifting westward off the Yucatan
    Peninsula and over the eastern Bay of Campeche. The surface high
    is promoting light to gentle anticyclonic winds across the basin N
    of 21N, where seas are 3 ft or less. Moderate to locally fresh NE
    winds are occurring along the W coast of the Yucatan, in associated
    with the evening thermal trough there. Seas there area 3 to 4 ft.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will
    promote gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin
    through early next week. Fresh winds will continue offshore the
    western Yucatan Peninsula tonight, and then will pulse to moderate
    N winds each evening and night through Tue.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered moderate convection dots the waters of the NW Caribbean
    from western Cuba and the Yucatan Channel southward across the
    Gulf of Honduras, to just offshore of NE Nicaragua. This activity
    is occurring behind a tropical wave now across the eastern
    Pacific along about 90W.

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    the western Atlantic ridge extending into central Florida is
    forcing fresh to strong trades over the central to SW Caribbean,
    generally S of 16N, where seas are 6 to 9 ft between 72W and 80W.
    Across the eastern basin, moderate to fresh easterly trade winds
    prevail, with moderate seas of 4 to 6 ft. Across the NW Caribbean,
    NE to E winds are moderate or weaker, with slight seas. The
    exception there is fresh E wind across the interior Gulf of
    Honduras, where seas are locally 6 to 8 ft.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean into Sun. Fresh to locally strong E winds will continue
    across the Gulf of Honduras tonight. The ridge will weaken and
    shift east by Mon, allowing winds and seas to diminish over the
    central Caribbean into mid week. Looking ahead, winds and seas
    will increase again across the central Caribbean starting Wed as
    the ridge builds north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough in the W Atlantic combined with upper level
    divergence from an upper level trough N of the region are aiding
    in persistent scattered moderate convection from 28N to 31N
    between 68W and 72W. Isolated moderate convection dots the
    central and northern Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is
    also occurring from the E coasts of the Lesser Antilles to 54W,
    behind a tropical wave moving across the eastern Caribbean
    described above. Another upper low and surface trough extends
    into the north central waters, and is promoting scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection from 25N to 29N between 47W
    and 59W. Elsewhere at the surface, the pressure gradient between
    the Azores High and lower pressure along the ITCZ and monsoon
    trough is producing moderate to fresh trades along with moderate
    seas across much of the Atlantic S of 26W. E of 33W, the pressure
    gradient tightens and is producing fresh to strong NE winds along
    with rough seas of 8-10 ft impacting waters N of 18N, including
    near the Canary Islands where NE winds are strong to near-gale
    force. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas prevail
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge will
    shift southeastward through early this week, allowing a cold
    front to move offshore the SE U.S. Sun, then stall along about 31N.
    SW winds will increase and producing building seas N of 25N
    through the middle of next week between this stalled front and
    the Atlantic ridge to the east.

    $$
    Stripling

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, July 26, 2026 10:08:58
    278
    AXNT20 KNHC 261008
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave has emerged off Africa and now has an axis along
    19W from 10N to 17N, moving W at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is noticed from 12N to 15N E of 20W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 47W, from 08N
    to 22W, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted E of this wave from 08N to 12N between 37W and 47W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 64W, from
    the Virgin Islands into Venezuela, moving W at around 15 kt.
    Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is behind this
    wave from 12N to 19N between 54W and 64W, and is impacting much of
    the waters near the Lesser Antilles.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 74W, moving W
    at around 15 kt. No convection is currently associated with this
    wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
    to 12N25W to 10N37W. The ITCZ extends from 10N38W to 08N44W and
    from 07N49W to 05N54W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is occurring from 09N to 14N between 20W and 27W and
    08N to 12N between 29W and 37W. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 03N to 11N between 49W and 52W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1019 mb high pressure is centered over the NE Gulf near 28N87W.
    A surface trough over the Bay of Campeche is generating scattered
    moderate convection over the SW basin. Light to gentle
    anticyclonic winds dominate much of the basin, with moderate SE
    winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche, E of the surface through.
    Seas are 2 to 4 ft where these moderate winds are ongoing,
    otherwise generally 2 ft or less basin-wide.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
    gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin into mid-
    week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Convection in the NW Caribbean has dissipated overnight. See the
    above Tropical Waves sections for details on convection associated
    with a tropical wave in the far eastern basin.

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    the western Atlantic ridge extending into the eastern Gulf of
    America is forcing fresh to locally strong trades over the
    central to SW Caribbean, generally S of 15N, where seas are 6 to
    8 ft between 72W and 80W. Across the eastern basin, moderate to
    locally fresh easterly trade winds prevail, with moderate seas of
    4 to 6 ft. Across the NW Caribbean, NE to E winds are moderate or
    weaker, with slight seas. The exception there is locally fresh E
    wind across the Gulf of Honduras, where seas are moderate ft.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
    support fresh to strong winds with moderate to locally rough seas
    across the south-central Caribbean today, with fresh winds in the
    Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will weaken and shift east tonight,
    allowing winds and seas to diminish over the central Caribbean
    into mid week. Looking ahead, winds and seas will increase again
    across the central Caribbean starting Wed as the ridge builds
    north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A tight pressure gradient between low pressure over the Saharan
    Desert and the 1029 mb Azores high has relaxed enough such that
    gale conditions have ended in the vicinity of the Canary Islands
    and near the Moroccan coast. As both the low and high weaken
    today, strong NE winds will gradually decrease to moderate to
    fresh into tonight. These higher winds have generated rough seas
    that impact waters from the Canary Islands S to 18N and W to about
    35W. These seas will slowly decay below 8 ft through the day.

    Convection E of Florida and N of and E of the Bahamas has
    generally dissipated overnight, but scattered moderate convection
    prevails within about 60 nm either side of a surface trough axis
    that extends from 31N45W to 27N52W. The pressure gradient between
    the Azores High and lower pressure along the ITCZ and monsoon
    trough is producing moderate to locally fresh trades along with
    moderate seas across much of the Atlantic S of 26W. Gentle to
    moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move offshore the
    SE U.S. today, then stall. SW winds will increase and seas will
    build N of 25N through the middle of the week between this front
    and the Atlantic ridge to the east.

    $$
    Konarik

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, July 26, 2026 10:09:04
    279
    AXNT20 KNHC 261008
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave has emerged off Africa and now has an axis along
    19W from 10N to 17N, moving W at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is noticed from 12N to 15N E of 20W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 47W, from 08N
    to 22W, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted E of this wave from 08N to 12N between 37W and 47W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 64W, from
    the Virgin Islands into Venezuela, moving W at around 15 kt.
    Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is behind this
    wave from 12N to 19N between 54W and 64W, and is impacting much of
    the waters near the Lesser Antilles.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 74W, moving W
    at around 15 kt. No convection is currently associated with this
    wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
    to 12N25W to 10N37W. The ITCZ extends from 10N38W to 08N44W and
    from 07N49W to 05N54W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is occurring from 09N to 14N between 20W and 27W and
    08N to 12N between 29W and 37W. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 03N to 11N between 49W and 52W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1019 mb high pressure is centered over the NE Gulf near 28N87W.
    A surface trough over the Bay of Campeche is generating scattered
    moderate convection over the SW basin. Light to gentle
    anticyclonic winds dominate much of the basin, with moderate SE
    winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche, E of the surface through.
    Seas are 2 to 4 ft where these moderate winds are ongoing,
    otherwise generally 2 ft or less basin-wide.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
    gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin into mid-
    week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Convection in the NW Caribbean has dissipated overnight. See the
    above Tropical Waves sections for details on convection associated
    with a tropical wave in the far eastern basin.

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    the western Atlantic ridge extending into the eastern Gulf of
    America is forcing fresh to locally strong trades over the
    central to SW Caribbean, generally S of 15N, where seas are 6 to
    8 ft between 72W and 80W. Across the eastern basin, moderate to
    locally fresh easterly trade winds prevail, with moderate seas of
    4 to 6 ft. Across the NW Caribbean, NE to E winds are moderate or
    weaker, with slight seas. The exception there is locally fresh E
    wind across the Gulf of Honduras, where seas are moderate ft.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
    support fresh to strong winds with moderate to locally rough seas
    across the south-central Caribbean today, with fresh winds in the
    Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will weaken and shift east tonight,
    allowing winds and seas to diminish over the central Caribbean
    into mid week. Looking ahead, winds and seas will increase again
    across the central Caribbean starting Wed as the ridge builds
    north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A tight pressure gradient between low pressure over the Saharan
    Desert and the 1029 mb Azores high has relaxed enough such that
    gale conditions have ended in the vicinity of the Canary Islands
    and near the Moroccan coast. As both the low and high weaken
    today, strong NE winds will gradually decrease to moderate to
    fresh into tonight. These higher winds have generated rough seas
    that impact waters from the Canary Islands S to 18N and W to about
    35W. These seas will slowly decay below 8 ft through the day.

    Convection E of Florida and N of and E of the Bahamas has
    generally dissipated overnight, but scattered moderate convection
    prevails within about 60 nm either side of a surface trough axis
    that extends from 31N45W to 27N52W. The pressure gradient between
    the Azores High and lower pressure along the ITCZ and monsoon
    trough is producing moderate to locally fresh trades along with
    moderate seas across much of the Atlantic S of 26W. Gentle to
    moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move offshore the
    SE U.S. today, then stall. SW winds will increase and seas will
    build N of 25N through the middle of the week between this front
    and the Atlantic ridge to the east.

    $$
    Konarik

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, July 26, 2026 16:50:50
    427
    AXNT20 KNHC 261650
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave has an axis along 19W from 08N to 17N, moving W
    at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noticed from 08N to
    18N and E of 22W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 49W, from 06N
    to 22N, moving W at around 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are seen
    near the wave axis.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 65W, from
    the 17N65W southward into Venezuela, moving W at around 15 kt.
    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen near the
    wave axis.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 75W, moving W
    at around 15 kt. No convection is currently associated with this
    wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N16W and continues
    to 11N42W. The ITCZ extends from 11N42W to 08N47W where it is
    broken by a tropical wave, and then resumes from 07N49W to
    06N55W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 06N to 14N
    between 22W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1018 mb high pressure is centered over the Gulf near 26N87W. A
    surface trough extending off the SW FL coast near Naples is
    generating scattered moderate convection over the nearshore
    waters. A surface trough over the Bay of Campeche is generating
    scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the SW basin.
    Gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds dominate much of the basin.
    Seas are 1-3 ft basin-wide.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
    gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas to the basin
    into mid-week. Pulsing fresh NE to E winds are likely each
    afternoon and evening along and just north of the Yucatan
    Peninsula beginning on Mon as a trough develops daily and drifts
    westward.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    the Atlantic ridge is forcing fresh to locally strong trades over
    the central to SW Caribbean, generally S of 15N, where seas are 6-8
    ft. Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds and 3-6 ft
    seas prevail in the eastern Caribbean as well as the Gulf of
    Honduras. Across the NW Caribbean, NE to E winds are moderate or
    weaker, with slight seas. In the SW Caribbean, scattered moderate
    convection is occurring along the coasts of Panama, Costa Rica,
    and Nicaragua, enhanced by the East Pacific monsoon trough.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean today, with fresh winds in the Gulf of Honduras. The
    ridge will weaken and shift east tonight, allowing winds and seas
    to diminish over the central Caribbean into mid week. Looking
    ahead, winds and seas will increase again across the central
    Caribbean starting Wed as the ridge builds north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A pair of surface troughs in the western Atlantic are facilitating
    the development of scattered moderate convection N of 27N and W of
    65W, with more widely scattered showers and thunderstorms
    impacting the Bahamas. Moderate to fresh SW winds are seen in this
    region as well. In the central Atlantic, an upper- level trough
    is aiding in the development of scattered moderate convection NE
    of the Lesser Antilles from 16N to 22N between 54W and 60W.
    Another area of scattered showers and thunderstorms are seen along
    and near a surface trough in the central Atlantic analyzed from
    31N44W to 26N54W. Surface ridging prevails across much of the
    remaining Atlantic, supporting moderate to fresh trades and
    moderate seas across much of the basin. Scatterometer data from
    this morning indicate fresh to strong NE winds in the vicinity of
    the Canary Islands. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move offshore the
    SE U.S. today, then stall. SW winds will increase and seas will
    build N of 25N through the middle of the week between this front
    and the Atlantic ridge to the east.

    $$
    Adams

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, July 26, 2026 16:50:52
    431
    AXNT20 KNHC 261650
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave has an axis along 19W from 08N to 17N, moving W
    at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noticed from 08N to
    18N and E of 22W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 49W, from 06N
    to 22N, moving W at around 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are seen
    near the wave axis.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 65W, from
    the 17N65W southward into Venezuela, moving W at around 15 kt.
    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen near the
    wave axis.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 75W, moving W
    at around 15 kt. No convection is currently associated with this
    wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N16W and continues
    to 11N42W. The ITCZ extends from 11N42W to 08N47W where it is
    broken by a tropical wave, and then resumes from 07N49W to
    06N55W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 06N to 14N
    between 22W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1018 mb high pressure is centered over the Gulf near 26N87W. A
    surface trough extending off the SW FL coast near Naples is
    generating scattered moderate convection over the nearshore
    waters. A surface trough over the Bay of Campeche is generating
    scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the SW basin.
    Gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds dominate much of the basin.
    Seas are 1-3 ft basin-wide.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
    gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas to the basin
    into mid-week. Pulsing fresh NE to E winds are likely each
    afternoon and evening along and just north of the Yucatan
    Peninsula beginning on Mon as a trough develops daily and drifts
    westward.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    the Atlantic ridge is forcing fresh to locally strong trades over
    the central to SW Caribbean, generally S of 15N, where seas are 6-8
    ft. Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds and 3-6 ft
    seas prevail in the eastern Caribbean as well as the Gulf of
    Honduras. Across the NW Caribbean, NE to E winds are moderate or
    weaker, with slight seas. In the SW Caribbean, scattered moderate
    convection is occurring along the coasts of Panama, Costa Rica,
    and Nicaragua, enhanced by the East Pacific monsoon trough.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean today, with fresh winds in the Gulf of Honduras. The
    ridge will weaken and shift east tonight, allowing winds and seas
    to diminish over the central Caribbean into mid week. Looking
    ahead, winds and seas will increase again across the central
    Caribbean starting Wed as the ridge builds north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A pair of surface troughs in the western Atlantic are facilitating
    the development of scattered moderate convection N of 27N and W of
    65W, with more widely scattered showers and thunderstorms
    impacting the Bahamas. Moderate to fresh SW winds are seen in this
    region as well. In the central Atlantic, an upper- level trough
    is aiding in the development of scattered moderate convection NE
    of the Lesser Antilles from 16N to 22N between 54W and 60W.
    Another area of scattered showers and thunderstorms are seen along
    and near a surface trough in the central Atlantic analyzed from
    31N44W to 26N54W. Surface ridging prevails across much of the
    remaining Atlantic, supporting moderate to fresh trades and
    moderate seas across much of the basin. Scatterometer data from
    this morning indicate fresh to strong NE winds in the vicinity of
    the Canary Islands. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move offshore the
    SE U.S. today, then stall. SW winds will increase and seas will
    build N of 25N through the middle of the week between this front
    and the Atlantic ridge to the east.

    $$
    Adams

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, July 26, 2026 23:05:30
    060
    AXNT20 KNHC 262305
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2305 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 20W from 08N
    to 17N, moving W at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is noted
    near the wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 50W, from 06N
    to 22N, moving W at 15 kt. No significant convection is seen near
    this wave.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 66W, from
    the 17N66W southward into Venezuela, moving W at 15 kt. No
    significant convection is observed near the wave over the ocean.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 75W, moving W
    at 15 kt. No convection is currently associated with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    to 10N44W. The ITCZ extends from 10N44W to 07N49W, and then
    resumes from 07N50W to 06N55W. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is present from 06N to 13N and between 25W and
    35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the Bay
    of Campeche, especially off western Yucatan. Similar storms are
    found in the eastern Gulf, mainly near Florida. High pressure
    dominates the rest of the basin, supporting moderate or weaker
    winds and slight seas. However, stronger winds and higher seas are
    likely near the mentioned storms.

    For the forecast, a ridge will remain in control of the weather pattern
    across the Gulf region through at least mid-week, bringing gentle
    to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. Pulsing fresh NE
    to E winds are likely each afternoon and evening along and just
    north of the Yucatan Peninsula beginning on Mon as a trough develops
    daily and drifts westward.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the islands supports fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft across the south-central
    Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
    are found in the north-central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail. Afternoon convection has developed over Cuba, Hispaniola,
    Jamaica, from Costa Rica to Venezuela, with some of the storms
    affecting the nearby waters.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
    and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds with
    moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
    tonight, with fresh winds in the Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will
    weaken and shift east tonight, allowing winds and seas to diminish
    over the central Caribbean into mid-week. Looking ahead, winds
    and seas will increase again across the central Caribbean starting
    Wed as the ridge builds again north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A couple of surface troughs and divergence aloft support scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms north of 25N and west of 68W.
    Moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate seas are present north of
    27N and between 63W and 77W. Moderate to fresh easterly trade
    winds and moderate seas are occurring south of 23N and between 60W
    and 75W. In the central Atlantic, an upper level trough is aiding
    in the development of scattered moderate convection NE of the
    Lesser Antilles from 15N to 22N and between 53W and 63W.

    The tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge
    anchored by a 1028 mb high pressure system near the Azores.
    Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 4-8 ft
    cover much of the central and eastern Pacific, with the highest
    seas evident to the NW of the Cabo Verde Islands. Elsewhere,
    moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, expect fresh to strong SW winds and
    moderate to rough seas across the north waters, mainly N of 29N,
    most of the week as frontal boundaries remain to the north of
    area. A ridge will dominate the remainder of the forecast region
    producing mainly gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas.

    $$
    Delgado

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, July 26, 2026 23:05:34
    098
    AXNT20 KNHC 262305
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2305 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 20W from 08N
    to 17N, moving W at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is noted
    near the wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 50W, from 06N
    to 22N, moving W at 15 kt. No significant convection is seen near
    this wave.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 66W, from
    the 17N66W southward into Venezuela, moving W at 15 kt. No
    significant convection is observed near the wave over the ocean.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 75W, moving W
    at 15 kt. No convection is currently associated with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    to 10N44W. The ITCZ extends from 10N44W to 07N49W, and then
    resumes from 07N50W to 06N55W. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is present from 06N to 13N and between 25W and
    35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the Bay
    of Campeche, especially off western Yucatan. Similar storms are
    found in the eastern Gulf, mainly near Florida. High pressure
    dominates the rest of the basin, supporting moderate or weaker
    winds and slight seas. However, stronger winds and higher seas are
    likely near the mentioned storms.

    For the forecast, a ridge will remain in control of the weather pattern
    across the Gulf region through at least mid-week, bringing gentle
    to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. Pulsing fresh NE
    to E winds are likely each afternoon and evening along and just
    north of the Yucatan Peninsula beginning on Mon as a trough develops
    daily and drifts westward.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the islands supports fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft across the south-central
    Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
    are found in the north-central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail. Afternoon convection has developed over Cuba, Hispaniola,
    Jamaica, from Costa Rica to Venezuela, with some of the storms
    affecting the nearby waters.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
    and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds with
    moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
    tonight, with fresh winds in the Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will
    weaken and shift east tonight, allowing winds and seas to diminish
    over the central Caribbean into mid-week. Looking ahead, winds
    and seas will increase again across the central Caribbean starting
    Wed as the ridge builds again north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A couple of surface troughs and divergence aloft support scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms north of 25N and west of 68W.
    Moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate seas are present north of
    27N and between 63W and 77W. Moderate to fresh easterly trade
    winds and moderate seas are occurring south of 23N and between 60W
    and 75W. In the central Atlantic, an upper level trough is aiding
    in the development of scattered moderate convection NE of the
    Lesser Antilles from 15N to 22N and between 53W and 63W.

    The tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge
    anchored by a 1028 mb high pressure system near the Azores.
    Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 4-8 ft
    cover much of the central and eastern Pacific, with the highest
    seas evident to the NW of the Cabo Verde Islands. Elsewhere,
    moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, expect fresh to strong SW winds and
    moderate to rough seas across the north waters, mainly N of 29N,
    most of the week as frontal boundaries remain to the north of
    area. A ridge will dominate the remainder of the forecast region
    producing mainly gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas.

    $$
    Delgado

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, July 27, 2026 06:13:40
    845
    AXNT20 KNHC 270613
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Jul 27 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis just E of the Cape
    Verde Islands near 22W, extending from 08N to 18N, and moving W
    at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is noted near the wave.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 52W,
    extending from 09N to 21N, and moving W at 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is E of the wave axis from 08N to 14N between
    44W and 48W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean with axis near 68W
    southward from 18N into Venezuela, and moving W at 15 kt. No
    significant convection is observed near the wave over the ocean.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 78W from 18N
    southward to E Panama, and moving W at 15 kt. Only isolated
    showers are associated with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    to 10N44W. The ITCZ extends from 10N44W to 07N49W, and then
    resumes from 07N50W to 06N55W. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is present from 06N to 13N and between 25W and
    35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1018 mb is centered near 26N90W and is supporting
    light to gentle variable winds, except along the northern Gulf
    coastal and immediate offshore waters where moderate winds are
    present. Moderate to locally fresh E winds are also ongoing in the
    Bay of Campeche associated with a surface trough that is coming
    off the Yucatan peninsula. Aside from the winds, the surface
    trough is generating scattered moderate convection where recent
    scatterometer data show a pocket of strong E winds.

    For the forecast, high pressure will meander about the central
    Gulf and weaken through Wed, leading to gentle to moderate winds
    and slight to moderate seas. Pulsing fresh NE to E winds are
    likely each afternoon and evening along and just north of the
    Yucatan Peninsula beginning on Mon as a trough develops daily and
    drifts westward. Looking ahead, showers and thunderstorms are
    expected to become active across the NE Gulf Wed afternoon through
    Thu as a frontal boundary sinks to just N of the area.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the islands supports fresh trade winds and
    seas of 5-8 ft across the central Caribbean. Moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Otherwise,
    scattered heavy showers are ongoing in the Windward Passage.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western
    Atlantic ridge along 25N-26N and the Colombian low will support
    fresh to strong winds with moderate to locally rough seas across
    the south-central Caribbean S of 15N tonight, with fresh winds in
    the Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will weaken and shift eastward
    Mon through Wed, allowing winds and seas to diminish over the
    central Caribbean into midweek. Looking ahead, winds and seas
    will increase again across the central Caribbean starting Wed as
    the ridge builds again north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface ridge extending from a 1025 mb center of high pressure
    near 32N41W extends across the Bahamas offshore waters. To the N
    of 27N and west of 73W, scattered moderate convection and tstms
    are occuring ahead of a cold front. Winds ahead of the front are
    moderate to fresh from the SW extending to 63W and N of 27N.
    Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure and associated
    ridge in the Western Atlantic will drift eastward and weaken
    slightly Mon through Wed. Expect fresh to strong SW winds and
    moderate to rough seas across the northern waters, mainly N of
    29N, most of the week as sinking frontal boundaries remain just to
    the north of area. The Atlantic ridge will building modestly
    westward and into the central Bahamas Wed through Fri.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, July 27, 2026 06:13:46
    966
    AXNT20 KNHC 270613
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Jul 27 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis just E of the Cape
    Verde Islands near 22W, extending from 08N to 18N, and moving W
    at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is noted near the wave.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 52W,
    extending from 09N to 21N, and moving W at 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is E of the wave axis from 08N to 14N between
    44W and 48W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean with axis near 68W
    southward from 18N into Venezuela, and moving W at 15 kt. No
    significant convection is observed near the wave over the ocean.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 78W from 18N
    southward to E Panama, and moving W at 15 kt. Only isolated
    showers are associated with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    to 10N44W. The ITCZ extends from 10N44W to 07N49W, and then
    resumes from 07N50W to 06N55W. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is present from 06N to 13N and between 25W and
    35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1018 mb is centered near 26N90W and is supporting
    light to gentle variable winds, except along the northern Gulf
    coastal and immediate offshore waters where moderate winds are
    present. Moderate to locally fresh E winds are also ongoing in the
    Bay of Campeche associated with a surface trough that is coming
    off the Yucatan peninsula. Aside from the winds, the surface
    trough is generating scattered moderate convection where recent
    scatterometer data show a pocket of strong E winds.

    For the forecast, high pressure will meander about the central
    Gulf and weaken through Wed, leading to gentle to moderate winds
    and slight to moderate seas. Pulsing fresh NE to E winds are
    likely each afternoon and evening along and just north of the
    Yucatan Peninsula beginning on Mon as a trough develops daily and
    drifts westward. Looking ahead, showers and thunderstorms are
    expected to become active across the NE Gulf Wed afternoon through
    Thu as a frontal boundary sinks to just N of the area.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the islands supports fresh trade winds and
    seas of 5-8 ft across the central Caribbean. Moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Otherwise,
    scattered heavy showers are ongoing in the Windward Passage.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western
    Atlantic ridge along 25N-26N and the Colombian low will support
    fresh to strong winds with moderate to locally rough seas across
    the south-central Caribbean S of 15N tonight, with fresh winds in
    the Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will weaken and shift eastward
    Mon through Wed, allowing winds and seas to diminish over the
    central Caribbean into midweek. Looking ahead, winds and seas
    will increase again across the central Caribbean starting Wed as
    the ridge builds again north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface ridge extending from a 1025 mb center of high pressure
    near 32N41W extends across the Bahamas offshore waters. To the N
    of 27N and west of 73W, scattered moderate convection and tstms
    are occuring ahead of a cold front. Winds ahead of the front are
    moderate to fresh from the SW extending to 63W and N of 27N.
    Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure and associated
    ridge in the Western Atlantic will drift eastward and weaken
    slightly Mon through Wed. Expect fresh to strong SW winds and
    moderate to rough seas across the northern waters, mainly N of
    29N, most of the week as sinking frontal boundaries remain just to
    the north of area. The Atlantic ridge will building modestly
    westward and into the central Bahamas Wed through Fri.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, July 27, 2026 06:16:06
    163
    AXNT20 KNHC 270615
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Jul 27 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis just E of the Cape
    Verde Islands near 22W, extending from 08N to 18N, and moving W
    at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is noted near the wave.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 52W,
    extending from 09N to 21N, and moving W at 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is E of the wave axis from 08N to 14N between
    44W and 48W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean with axis near 68W
    southward from 18N into Venezuela, and moving W at 15 kt. No
    significant convection is observed near the wave over the ocean.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 78W from 18N
    southward to E Panama, and moving W at 15 kt. Only isolated
    showers are associated with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 15N16W and continues to
    11N16W to 10N41W. The ITCZ extends from 10N41W to 08N59W. Scattered
    moderate convection is present from 06N to 12N and between 27W and
    37W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1018 mb is centered near 26N90W and is supporting
    light to gentle variable winds, except along the northern Gulf
    coastal and immediate offshore waters where moderate winds are
    present. Moderate to locally fresh E winds are also ongoing in the
    Bay of Campeche associated with a surface trough that is coming
    off the Yucatan peninsula. Aside from the winds, the surface
    trough is generating scattered moderate convection where recent
    scatterometer data show a pocket of strong E winds.

    For the forecast, high pressure will meander about the central
    Gulf and weaken through Wed, leading to gentle to moderate winds
    and slight to moderate seas. Pulsing fresh NE to E winds are
    likely each afternoon and evening along and just north of the
    Yucatan Peninsula beginning on Mon as a trough develops daily and
    drifts westward. Looking ahead, showers and thunderstorms are
    expected to become active across the NE Gulf Wed afternoon through
    Thu as a frontal boundary sinks to just N of the area.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the islands supports fresh trade winds and
    seas of 5-8 ft across the central Caribbean. Moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Otherwise,
    scattered heavy showers are ongoing in the Windward Passage.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western
    Atlantic ridge along 25N-26N and the Colombian low will support
    fresh to strong winds with moderate to locally rough seas across
    the south-central Caribbean S of 15N tonight, with fresh winds in
    the Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will weaken and shift eastward
    Mon through Wed, allowing winds and seas to diminish over the
    central Caribbean into midweek. Looking ahead, winds and seas
    will increase again across the central Caribbean starting Wed as
    the ridge builds again north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface ridge extending from a 1025 mb center of high pressure
    near 32N41W extends across the Bahamas offshore waters. To the N
    of 27N and west of 73W, scattered moderate convection and tstms
    are occuring ahead of a cold front. Winds ahead of the front are
    moderate to fresh from the SW extending to 63W and N of 27N.
    Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure and associated
    ridge in the Western Atlantic will drift eastward and weaken
    slightly Mon through Wed. Expect fresh to strong SW winds and
    moderate to rough seas across the northern waters, mainly N of
    29N, most of the week as sinking frontal boundaries remain just to
    the north of area. The Atlantic ridge will building modestly
    westward and into the central Bahamas Wed through Fri.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, July 27, 2026 09:19:20
    108
    AXNT20 KNHC 270918
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Mon Jul 27 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0800 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis across the Cabo
    Verde Islands near 25W, extending from 09N to 18N, and moving W
    at 10-15 kt. Isolated clusters of moderate convection are noted
    near the wave.

    An Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, extending from 09N to
    21N, and moving W at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    along the southern end of the wave from 05N to 09N between 52W and
    57W, and across the N end of the wave from 16N to 21N between 57W
    and 61W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean with axis along 71W
    southward from 18N into Venezuela, and moving W at 15 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is observed S of 12.5N near the
    wave axis.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 78W, from
    18N southward to E Panama, and moving W at 15 kt. Widely scattered
    moderate convection is noted S of 14.5N between 78W and 82.5W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14.5N17W and
    continues to 11N39W. The ITCZ extends from 11.5N40W to 06N57.5W.
    Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is along the coast
    of Africa from 05.5N to 13.5N E of 19W. Similar convection is present
    from 08N to 11.5N between 29W and 36W, and from 08N to 12.5N
    between 45W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    An upper level trough along the eastern seaboard of the U.S.
    extends southwestward to northern Florida, and supports a surface
    trough across the NE Gulf along 29.5N into the Florida Big Bend.
    Scattered showers and an isolated thunderstorms area south of this
    surface trough and along the W coast. Narrow lines of moderate
    convection extend SW to NE across the Straits of Florida.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted across the SW Bay of
    Campeche, ahead of the Yucatan trough shifting westward off the
    peninsula. High pressure of 1017 mb is centered near 25N88W and
    is supporting light to gentle variable winds, except gentle to
    moderate W to NW winds along the northern Gulf coastal and
    immediate offshore waters. Moderate to locally fresh E winds are
    also ongoing in the Bay of Campeche associated with a surface
    trough that is coming off the Yucatan peninsula. Seas are 3 to 4
    ft ahead of this Yucatan trough, and 3 ft or less elsewhere.

    For the forecast, high pressure will meander about the central Gulf
    and weaken through Wed, leading to gentle to moderate winds and
    slight to moderate seas. The high will then reorganize over the SE
    Gulf Thu through Fri. Pulsing fresh NE to E winds are likely each
    afternoon and evening along and just north of the Yucatan
    Peninsula as a trough develops daily and drifts westward. Looking
    ahead, showers and thunderstorms are expected to become active
    across the NE Gulf Wed afternoon through Thu as a frontal boundary
    sinks to just N of the area.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The Atlantic ridge extends westward along 24N-25N, to the north of
    the basin, and is supporting only fresh trade winds and seas of
    5-7 ft across the central Caribbean S of 16N. Moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. An upper
    level low is centered just N of the Virgin Islands, and
    supporting convection described above over the Atlantic, just
    ahead of an approaching tropical wave. Scattered heavy showers
    area across much of the NE Caribbean E of 67W.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic
    ridge along 24N-25N and the Colombian low will support fresh to
    locally strong trade winds with moderate to locally rough seas
    across the south-central Caribbean S of 15N through Tue, with
    fresh winds in the Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will strengthen N
    of the basin Tue night through Fri, leading to increasing winds
    and seas across central and west-central portions.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface ridge extending from a 1024 mb center of high pressure
    near 32N42W extends southwestward to near 25N67W, and then
    westward to the Straits of Florida. To the N of 27N and west of
    67W, scattered moderate isolated strong convection is occurring
    ahead of a stalling cold front along 31.5N and offshore of the
    Carolinas. Moderate to locally fresh SW to S winds prevail ahead
    of the front are moderate to fresh from the SW extending to 63W
    and N of 27N. Elsewhere N of 22N and W of 40W, moderate or
    lighter winds and moderate seas prevail. Across the tropical
    Atlantic S of 22N moderate to locally fresh trade winds prevail,
    with seas of 4-7 ft. 1024 mb high pressure near the Azores is
    promoting moderate to fresh NE to E winds from the Canary Islands
    to 40W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the current ridge in place from the
    Central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will persist through
    Tue. Expect fresh to strong SW winds and moderate to rough seas
    across the northern waters, mainly N of 28N, most of the week as
    sinking frontal boundaries remain just to the north of area. The
    Atlantic ridge will building modestly westward and into the
    central Bahamas Tue night through Fri.

    $$

    Stripling

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, July 27, 2026 16:57:50
    763
    AXNT20 KNHC 271657
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Jul 27 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1657 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis near 26W,
    extending from 09N to 18N, and moving W at 10-15 kt. Isolated
    clusters of moderate convection are noted near the wave.

    An Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W, extending from 09N to
    21N, and moving W at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
    depicted at this time in association with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean with axis along 71.5W
    southward from 18N into Venezuela, and moving W at 10 to 15 kt. No
    significant convection is depicted at this time in association
    with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 80W, from
    18N southward to central Panama, and moving W at 15 to 20 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 11N between 76W and
    83W. Scattered convection is also noted from 16N to 18N along the
    wave axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16.5W and
    continues to 10N49.5W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is along the coast of Africa from 06N to 13N E of 22W.
    Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06N to 13N between
    31W and 41W and between 49W and 53W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    An upper level trough along the eastern seaboard of the U.S.
    extends southwestward to northern Florida, and scattered showers
    and thunderstorms from 27N to 29N and east of 86W. Scattered
    moderate convection is found across the Straits of Florida.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted across the western Bay of
    Campeche. A high pressure of 1017 mb is centered near 26.5N90W and
    is supporting light to gentle variable winds, except gentle to
    moderate NW winds along the northeastern Gulf coastal and
    immediate offshore waters. Gentle to moderate SE winds are also
    ongoing in the Bay of Campeche. Seas are 2 to 4 ft across the
    basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure remaining over the central
    Gulf will lead toward generally quiescent conditions for the next
    several days. The exception is NE fresh winds just northwest of
    the Yucatan peninsula nightly through the end of the week.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue during the next
    couple of days over the NE Gulf due to an approaching weak cold
    front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The Atlantic ridge extends westward along 16N-18N, and is
    supporting fresh trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft across the
    central Caribbean S of 16N. Moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. An mid level trough is supporting
    scattered moderate convection north of 20N between 81W and 84W.

    For the forecast, an increasing pressure gradient between the
    Colombian Low and high pressure north of the Caribbean will boost
    trades to strong over the S central Caribbean from Tue night
    through the end of the week. Similarly, trades over the Gulf of
    Honduras will increase to fresh starting Tuesday night. A tropical
    wave moving through the E Caribbean will enhance showers and
    thunderstorms today and tomorrow over the SE Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface ridge extending from a 1025 mb center of high pressure
    near 32N39W extends southwestward to near 24N71W. To the N of 23N
    and west of 67W, scattered to numerous moderate and isolated
    strong convection is occurring ahead of a stalling cold front
    along 31.5N and offshore of the Carolinas. Moderate to locally
    fresh S to SW winds prevail ahead of the front, north of 29N and
    between 61W and 69W. Another area of scattered moderate convection
    is found from 21N to 25N between 56.5W and 63W in association to
    an upper level low. Elsewhere N of 22N and W of 40W, moderate or
    lighter winds and moderate seas prevail. Across the tropical
    Atlantic S of 22N moderate to locally fresh trade winds prevail,
    with seas of 5-8 ft. A 1025 mb high pressure near the Azores is
    promoting moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds from the Canary
    Islands to 40W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge associated with the
    Bermuda High will remain farther south than usual - near 25N -
    through Fri. This in combination with a stationary front offshore
    of the Carolinas is forcing fresh to strong SW winds and scattered
    showers and thunderstorms north of 28N west of 65W for the next
    several days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just
    north of Hispaniola from Wed through Fri.

    $$
    KRV

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, July 27, 2026 21:27:16
    234
    AXNT20 KNHC 272127
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Jul 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2115 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An Atlantic tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis near
    27.5W, extending from 089N to 18N, and moving westward at around
    15 kt. Isolated clusters of moderate convection are noted near the
    wave.

    An Atlantic tropical wave is along 57.5W, extending from 08N to
    20N, and moving westward at around 15 kt. No significant
    convection is depicted at this time in association with this wave.

    A tropical wave that was previously anaylzed in the central
    Caribbean with axis along 71.5W is no longer discernible at either
    the lower or mid levels.

    A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean with axis near 81.5W,
    from 09N to 18N, and moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 09N to 11N
    between 77W and 83W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16.5N16W and
    continues to 1014 mb low pressure near 11N31.5W to 10N39W to
    13N52W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is present
    near the coast of Africa, from 06N to 14N between Africa and 24W.
    Some isolated clusters of moderate convection are near the low.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    An upper level trough along the eastern seaboard of the U.S.
    extends southwestward to northern Florida, and scattered showers
    and thunderstorms from 25N to 29N and east of 87W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted near and just offshore of Tampico,
    Mexico. A high pressure of 1017 mb is centered near 25.5N91W and
    is supporting light to gentle variable winds from the northwest to
    southeast of the high, with moderate anticyclonic winds around the
    outer periphery closer to the coasts. Seas are 1 to 2 ft near the
    high and the northwest to southeast ridging, and 2 to 4 ft around
    the outer periphery.

    For the forecast, high pressure remaining over the central Gulf
    will lead toward generally quiescent conditions for the next
    several days. The exception is NE fresh winds just northwest of
    the Yucatan peninsula nightly through the weekend. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms will continue during the next couple of
    days over the NE Gulf due to an approaching weak cold front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on any convection.

    Atlantic ridging dominates north of the basin with 1010 mb low
    pressure analyzed along the northern coast of Colombia at
    10N75.5W. The pressure gradient between the two supports moderate
    to fresh trades from 11N to 18N between 68W and 80W in the central
    Caribbean, locally strong near Colombia, along with 5 to 7 ft
    seas. Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of basin,
    with slight to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, an increasing pressure gradient between the
    Colombian Low and high pressure north of the Caribbean will boost
    trades to strong over the S central Caribbean from tonight through
    the end of the week. Additionally, trades over the Gulf of
    Honduras will increase to fresh starting Wednesday night. A
    tropical wave moving through the E Caribbean will enhance showers
    and thunderstorms tonight and tomorrow.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface ridge extending from a 1024 mb center of high pressure
    near 31.5N46 extends southwestward to across the Central Bahamas
    to the Straits of Florida. A stalled out frontal boundary is
    located from west-northwest of Bermuda to 1008 mb low pressure at
    31.5N77W to the South Carolina Lowcountry. Troughing is ahead of
    this boundary over the discussion waters, analyzed from 31N68W to
    27N79W. Moderate to fresh SW winds are found north of 27N between
    60W and 77W, along with 5 to 7 ft seas and isolated to scattered
    moderate to strong convection. A mid to upper level low is to the
    southeast, supporting scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection from 22N to 28N between 54W and 64W. No other
    significant convection is noted across the basin. Moderate to
    locally fresh trades are noted around the ridging from the Canary
    and Madeira Islands southwestward to offshore Africa and the
    waters north of the monsoon trough to about 23N and to the east of
    55W. Seas are mainly 5 to locally 8 ft across these waters. Winds
    are mainly moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters,
    except locally fresh near northern Hispaniola, with moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge associated with the
    Bermuda High will remain farther south than usual - near 25N -
    through Fri. This in combination with a stationary front offshore
    of the Carolinas is forcing fresh to strong SW winds and scattered
    showers and thunderstorms north of 27N west of 63W for the next
    several days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just
    north of Hispaniola from Wed through the weekend.

    $$
    Lewitsky

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, July 27, 2026 21:27:18
    233
    AXNT20 KNHC 272126
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Jul 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2115 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An Atlantic tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis near
    27.5W, extending from 089N to 18N, and moving westward at around
    15 kt. Isolated clusters of moderate convection are noted near the
    wave.

    An Atlantic tropical wave is along 57.5W, extending from 08N to
    20N, and moving westward at around 15 kt. No significant
    convection is depicted at this time in association with this wave.

    A tropical wave that was previously anaylzed in the central
    Caribbean with axis along 71.5W is no longer discernible at either
    the lower or mid levels.

    A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean with axis near 81.5W,
    from 09N to 18N, and moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 09N to 11N
    between 77W and 83W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16.5N16W and
    continues to 1014 mb low pressure near 11N31.5W to 10N39W to
    13N52W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is present
    near the coast of Africa, from 06N to 14N between Africa and 24W.
    Some isolated clusters of moderate convection are near the low.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    An upper level trough along the eastern seaboard of the U.S.
    extends southwestward to northern Florida, and scattered showers
    and thunderstorms from 25N to 29N and east of 87W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted near and just offshore of Tampico,
    Mexico. A high pressure of 1017 mb is centered near 25.5N91W and
    is supporting light to gentle variable winds from the northwest to
    southeast of the high, with moderate anticyclonic winds around the
    outer periphery closer to the coasts. Seas are 1 to 2 ft near the
    high and the northwest to southeast ridging, and 2 to 4 ft around
    the outer periphery.

    For the forecast, high pressure remaining over the central Gulf
    will lead toward generally quiescent conditions for the next
    several days. The exception is NE fresh winds just northwest of
    the Yucatan peninsula nightly through the weekend. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms will continue during the next couple of
    days over the NE Gulf due to an approaching weak cold front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on any convection.

    Atlantic ridging dominates north of the basin with 1010 mb low
    pressure analyzed along the northern coast of Colombia at
    10N75.5W. The pressure gradient between the two supports moderate
    to fresh trades from 11N to 18N between 68W and 80W in the central
    Caribbean, locally strong near Colombia, along with 5 to 7 ft
    seas. Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of basin,
    with slight to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, an increasing pressure gradient between the
    Colombian Low and high pressure north of the Caribbean will boost
    trades to strong over the S central Caribbean from tonight through
    the end of the week. Additionally, trades over the Gulf of
    Honduras will increase to fresh starting Wednesday night. A
    tropical wave moving through the E Caribbean will enhance showers
    and thunderstorms tonight and tomorrow.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface ridge extending from a 1024 mb center of high pressure
    near 31.5N46 extends southwestward to across the Central Bahamas
    to the Straits of Florida. A stalled out frontal boundary is
    located from west-northwest of Bermuda to 1008 mb low pressure at
    31.5N77W to the South Carolina Lowcountry. Troughing is ahead of
    this boundary over the discussion waters, analyzed from 31N68W to
    27N79W. Moderate to fresh SW winds are found north of 27N between
    60W and 77W, along with 5 to 7 ft seas and isolated to scattered
    moderate to strong convection. A mid to upper level low is to the
    southeast, supporting scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection from 22N to 28N between 54W and 64W. No other
    significant convection is noted across the basin. Moderate to
    locally fresh trades are noted around the ridging from the Canary
    and Madeira Islands southwestward to offshore Africa and the
    waters north of the monsoon trough to about 23N and to the east of
    55W. Seas are mainly 5 to locally 8 ft across these waters. Winds
    are mainly moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters,
    except locally fresh near northern Hispaniola, with moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge associated with the
    Bermuda High will remain farther south than usual - near 25N -
    through Fri. This in combination with a stationary front offshore
    of the Carolinas is forcing fresh to strong SW winds and scattered
    showers and thunderstorms north of 27N west of 63W for the next
    several days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just
    north of Hispaniola from Wed through the weekend.

    $$
    Lewitsky

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, July 27, 2026 21:27:54
    579
    AXNT20 KNHC 272127
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Jul 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2115 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An Atlantic tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis near
    27.5W, extending from 089N to 18N, and moving westward at around
    15 kt. Isolated clusters of moderate convection are noted near the
    wave.

    An Atlantic tropical wave is along 57.5W, extending from 08N to
    20N, and moving westward at around 15 kt. No significant
    convection is depicted at this time in association with this wave.

    A tropical wave that was previously analyzed in the central
    Caribbean with axis along 71.5W is no longer discernible at either
    the lower or mid levels.

    A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean with axis near 81.5W,
    from 09N to 18N, and moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 09N to 11N
    between 77W and 83W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16.5N16W and
    continues to 1014 mb low pressure near 11N31.5W to 10N39W to
    13N52W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is present
    near the coast of Africa, from 06N to 14N between Africa and 24W.
    Some isolated clusters of moderate convection are near the low.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    An upper level trough along the eastern seaboard of the U.S.
    extends southwestward to northern Florida, and scattered showers
    and thunderstorms from 25N to 29N and east of 87W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted near and just offshore of Tampico,
    Mexico. A high pressure of 1017 mb is centered near 25.5N91W and
    is supporting light to gentle variable winds from the northwest to
    southeast of the high, with moderate anticyclonic winds around the
    outer periphery closer to the coasts. Seas are 1 to 2 ft near the
    high and the northwest to southeast ridging, and 2 to 4 ft around
    the outer periphery.

    For the forecast, high pressure remaining over the central Gulf
    will lead toward generally quiescent conditions for the next
    several days. The exception is NE fresh winds just northwest of
    the Yucatan peninsula nightly through the weekend. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms will continue during the next couple of
    days over the NE Gulf due to an approaching weak cold front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on any convection.

    Atlantic ridging dominates north of the basin with 1010 mb low
    pressure analyzed along the northern coast of Colombia at
    10N75.5W. The pressure gradient between the two supports moderate
    to fresh trades from 11N to 18N between 68W and 80W in the central
    Caribbean, locally strong near Colombia, along with 5 to 7 ft
    seas. Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of basin,
    with slight to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, an increasing pressure gradient between the
    Colombian Low and high pressure north of the Caribbean will boost
    trades to strong over the S central Caribbean from tonight through
    the end of the week. Additionally, trades over the Gulf of
    Honduras will increase to fresh starting Wednesday night. A
    tropical wave moving through the E Caribbean will enhance showers
    and thunderstorms tonight and tomorrow.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface ridge extending from a 1024 mb center of high pressure
    near 31.5N46 extends southwestward to across the Central Bahamas
    to the Straits of Florida. A stalled out frontal boundary is
    located from west-northwest of Bermuda to 1008 mb low pressure at
    31.5N77W to the South Carolina Lowcountry. Troughing is ahead of
    this boundary over the discussion waters, analyzed from 31N68W to
    27N79W. Moderate to fresh SW winds are found north of 27N between
    60W and 77W, along with 5 to 7 ft seas and isolated to scattered
    moderate to strong convection. A mid to upper level low is to the
    southeast, supporting scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection from 22N to 28N between 54W and 64W. No other
    significant convection is noted across the basin. Moderate to
    locally fresh trades are noted around the ridging from the Canary
    and Madeira Islands southwestward to offshore Africa and the
    waters north of the monsoon trough to about 23N and to the east of
    55W. Seas are mainly 5 to locally 8 ft across these waters. Winds
    are mainly moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters,
    except locally fresh near northern Hispaniola, with moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge associated with the
    Bermuda High will remain farther south than usual - near 25N -
    through Fri. This in combination with a stationary front offshore
    of the Carolinas is forcing fresh to strong SW winds and scattered
    showers and thunderstorms north of 27N west of 63W for the next
    several days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just
    north of Hispaniola from Wed through the weekend.

    $$
    Lewitsky

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 06:15:02
    070
    AXNT20 KNHC 280614
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Jul 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis near 33W, extending
    from 08N to 15N, and moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Only
    isolated showers are associated with this wave.

    A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 60W,
    extending from 09N to 19N, and moving westward at around 15 kt.
    There is no convection associated with the wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 82W, from
    10N to 18N, and moving westward at around 10-15 kt. Scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 09N to 14N
    between 79W and 83W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N16W and continues
    to 11N27W to 1015 mb low pressure near 09N36W to 09N39W. The ITCZ
    begins near 09N39W and continues to 09N51W to 08N61W. Scattered
    moderate convection is present offshore Africa, from 05N to 12N
    between Africa and 17W. Similar convection is from 06N to 10N
    between 36W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered moderate convection is ongoing over the from the coastal
    waters of Pensacola to the Tampa Bay area associated with a
    surface trough. Ahead of the trough the tail of a weak cold front
    moves across central Florida. The remainder Gulf is under the
    influence of a 1014 mb high centered near 26N91W, which is
    supporting light to gentle variable winds over the central and SE
    basin along with slight seas. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds
    prevail in the Bay of Campeche associated with a surface trough.
    Moderate to fresh SE to S winds are also W of 95W while moderate
    or weaker NW winds are over the NE Gulf N of 28N.

    For the forecast, high pressure will remain over the central Gulf
    to promote generally quiescent marine conditions for the next
    several days. The exception will be fresh NE winds off the
    northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly through the
    weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue during
    the next couple of days over the NE Gulf due to an approaching
    weak cold front across the SE U.S.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on any convection.

    Atlantic ridging dominates north of the basin with 1008 mb low
    pressure analyzed just N of Panama near 10N79W. The pressure
    gradient between the two supports moderate to fresh trades over the
    central Caribbean along with 5 to 7 ft seas. Winds are moderate
    or weaker across the remainder of basin, with slight to moderate
    seas.

    For the forecast, the increasing pressure gradient between the
    Colombian Low and western Atlantic high pressure along 25N-26N
    will boost trade winds to strong over the S central Caribbean
    tonight through the end of the week. Trade winds over the Gulf of
    Honduras will increase to fresh beginning Wednesday night. A
    tropical wave entering the E Caribbean tonight will enhance
    showers and thunderstorms across the E and NE Caribbean tonight
    and tomorrow.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front is moving across the SW N Atlantic waters from
    31N74W SW to central coastal Florida near 28N80W. Scattered heavy
    showers and tstms are ahead of this boundary, affecting the
    northern offshore waters N of 27N between 66W and 78W. The Azores
    High dominates the remainder subtropical Atlantic waters and
    provides moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. The gradient
    of pressure between the ridge and the front over the SW waters
    supports moderate to fresh SSW winds W of 60W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual - near 25N - through Fri. This in
    combination with a stationary front offshore of the Carolinas will
    force fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 63W for the next several
    days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just north of
    Hispaniola and Puerto Rico from Wed through the weekend.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 09:52:20
    740
    AXNT20 KNHC 280952
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Jul 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis near 35W,
    extending from 07N to 16N, and moving westward at around 15-20
    kt. Widely scattered showers are ahead of this wave, from 11N to
    13.5N between 34W and 36W. A small 1013 mb low center remains a
    few degrees ahead of the wave, along the monsoon trough near 09.5N
    37.5W.

    A tropical wave is moving across the Lesser Antilles and into the
    E Caribbean with axis near 61W-62W, extending from 08N to 19N,
    and moving westward at around 15 kt. Isolated showers not the NE
    Caribbean waters ahead of the wave.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis along 82W, from
    10N to 18N, and moving westward at around 10-15 kt. A cluster of
    scattered moderate to strong convection is noted about the wave
    from 09N to 14N between 79W and 84W, while isolated showers are
    noted near the northern portion of the wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
    to 13N26W to 1013 mb low pressure near 09.5N37.6W to 09N39W. The
    ITCZ begins near 09N39W and continues to 07.5N45W to 08N59W.
    Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is present offshore
    Africa, from 05N to 13N between the African coast and 20W. Widely
    scattered moderate convection is elsewhere from 05.5N to 10N
    between 20W and 58W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is ongoing over the
    NE Gulf, from the coastal waters of Panama City to between Cedar
    Key and Tampa Bay, and is associated with low level convergence
    occurring north of a surface trough that extends eastward across
    central Florida. Similar convection is along the coast on either
    side of Veracruz, Mexico. The remainder Gulf is under the
    influence of a 1016 mb high centered near 24.5N90W, which is
    supporting light to gentle variable winds over the central and SE
    basin along with slight seas. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds
    prevail in the Bay of Campeche associated with a surface trough.
    Moderate to fresh SE to S winds are also W of 95W while moderate
    or weaker NW winds are over the NE Gulf N of 28N.

    For the forecast, high pressure will remain over the central Gulf
    to promote generally quiescent marine conditions for the next
    several days. The exception will be fresh NE winds off the
    northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly into the weekend.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue during the next
    couple of days over the NE Gulf due to an approaching weak cold
    front across the SE U.S.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on associated convection. Isolated moderate convection extends
    from western Cuba southwestward to the entrance to the Yucatan
    Channel. Strong upper level SW wind shear dominates much of the N
    half of the basin, occurring the to south of an upper trough
    across NW portions.

    Atlantic ridging dominates the region north of the basin,
    extending W-SW along 24N-25N and into the central Bahamas, while
    1010 mb low pressure is analyzed over northern Colombia near
    09N74W. The pressure gradient between the two features supports
    on;y moderate to fresh trades over the central Caribbean along
    with 5 to 7 ft seas. Winds are moderate or weaker across the
    remainder of basin, with slight to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, the increasing pressure gradient between western
    Atlantic high pressure along 24N-25N and the Colombian Low
    will strengthen trade winds to strong over the S central
    Caribbean this afternoon through Fri evening before diminishing.
    Trade winds over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh
    each evening and night beginning Wednesday night through Sat. A
    tropical wave entering the E Caribbean this morning will enhance
    showers and isolated thunderstorms across the E and SE Caribbean
    through Wed morning.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front is moving slowly southeastward across the SW N
    Atlantic waters from 31N75W to central coastal Florida, supported
    by a sharp upper trough along the east coast of the U.S.
    Scattered heavy showers and tstms are ahead of this boundary,
    extending from the waters of the Upper Florida Keys northeastward
    to near 31N69W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
    also within 90 nm east of a second trough that extends from
    31N66W to 26N72W. affecting the northern offshore waters N of 27N
    between 66W and 78W. 1024 mb high pressure near 28N44W dominates
    the remainder subtropical Atlantic waters and provides moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas N of 22N and W of 30W. The
    gradient of pressure between the ridge and the front over the SW
    waters supports moderate to fresh SW winds W of 60W, where seas
    are 4 to 7 ft. South of the ridge, moderate to locally fresh
    easterly trade winds prevail across the Tropical Atlantic S of
    22N, where seas are 5 to 8 ft W of 30W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This
    in combination with a stationary front offshore of the Carolinas
    will force fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 60W for the next several
    days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just north of
    Hispaniola and Puerto Rico from Wed afternoon through Sat.

    $$
    Stripling

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, August 02, 2026 16:05:58
    890
    AXNT20 KNHC 021605
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1515 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 30W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are present from
    07N to 12N and between 28W and 36W.

    A tropical wave has been repositioned along 61W, south of 17N,
    based on surface observations, satellite and wave guidance data.
    The wave is moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are
    noted south of 14N and between 58W and 64W.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are seen near the northern
    portion of the wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W and dives southwestward to a 1012 mb low
    pres near 14N27W and then to 10N45W. The ITCZ extends from 10N45W
    to 09N58W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 03N to
    12N between east of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends across
    the Florida Straits into the Gulf waters and along with a frontal
    boundary to the north, sustain moderate to fresh westerly winds
    and moderate seas north of 27N. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
    and slight seas prevail. The aforementioned frontal boundary and
    an upper-level trough over the eastern United States maintain
    unstable conditions across the area, producing scattered showers
    and isolated thunderstorms over the northern half of the Gulf. A
    recent scatterometer satellite pass indicate that stronger winds
    are occurring near the stronger convection.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in
    control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle
    to moderate winds into the upcoming week. The exceptions will be
    fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
    peninsula nightly through the period, as well as the far northern
    Gulf, where an inland cold front will induce moderate to fresh W
    to SW winds through Mon. Scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are expected over the eastern Gulf, and over the
    central Gulf N of 25N between 87W and 90W into the upcoming week
    as an upper-level trough and a cold front approach the Gulf coast.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the northern Caribbean waters, especially
    near Puerto Rico, eastern Hispaniola and south of eastern Cuba. A
    few showers are also seen in the SW Caribbean. The westward-
    building subtropical high pressure system positioned over the
    central Atlantic forces fresh to strong easterly trade winds and
    rough seas over much of the central Caribbean. Moderate to locally
    fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, an enhanced pressure gradient across the Caribbean
    will favor fresh to strong trades over the central basin through
    much of the week ahead. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the
    Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, near
    79W is accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms between
    Jamaica and eastern Cuba and near the Windward Passage. The wave
    will continue quickly moving westward across the remainder of the
    basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Favorable upper-level conditions and abundant tropical moisture
    combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    across the SW North Atlantic, west of 60W. The tropical Atlantic
    is dominated by a 1028 mb high pressure system centered near
    33N55W, supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds and
    seas of 4-7 ft north of 28N and west of 75W. Elsewhere, moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail across much of the
    remaining tropical Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    the central Atlantic to South Florida will change little through
    Tue, then lift N to central Florida on Wed and N of 31N on Thu.
    The pressure gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary
    just NW of the forecast waters will continue to support fresh to
    strong SW winds ahead of the front, along with scattered to
    numerous showers and thunderstorms over the majority of the area
    into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just
    north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Delgado

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, August 02, 2026 22:31:30
    423
    AXNT20 KNHC 022231
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon Aug 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2230 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are present from 06N to 10N and between 30W and
    35W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    active over northeastern Venezuela.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    are active off Nicaragua and Costa Rica.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W and dives southwestward to a 1011 mb low
    pressure near 16N30W and then to 10N45W. No significant convection
    is evident other than already described in the Tropical Wave
    section.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front reaches from Mobile Bay, Alabama across the far
    northwest Gulf to Galveston Bay, Texas. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are active across the northern Gulf from Texas to
    the Big Bend area of Florida. The Atlantic ridge extends east to
    west along roughly 24N, from the Florida Straits to the coast of
    Tamaulipas in northeast Mexico. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh SW to W winds north of 28N where seas are 3-5
    ft, and gentle to moderate breezes and 1-3 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in control
    of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to
    moderate winds into the upcoming week. The exceptions will be
    fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
    peninsula nightly through the period, as well as the far
    northern Gulf, where a cold front approaching the coast will
    help to induce moderate to fresh W to SW winds through Mon.
    Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected over
    the eastern Gulf, and over the central Gulf N of 25N between 87W
    and 92W into the upcoming week as a mid to upper-level trough and
    a cold front approach the Gulf coast.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The westward- building subtropical high pressure system
    positioned over the central Atlantic forces fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and rough seas over much of the central
    Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
    seas are found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or
    weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades over the central basin through much of the week
    ahead. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras at
    night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, near 82W is helping to
    enhance numerous showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern
    Caribbean. The wave will move inland Central America late tonight
    into early Mon.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Favorable upper-level conditions and abundant tropical moisture
    combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    between the northern Bahamas and Bermuda. Elsewhere, the tropical
    Atlantic is dominated by a 1026 mb high pressure system centered
    near 33N56W, supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds
    and seas of 4-6 ft north of 28N and west of 75W. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail across much of
    the remaining tropical Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the pattern will change little through Tue,
    then lift north to central Florida on Wed and north of 31N on
    Thu. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a cold front
    moving through the southeastern U.S. will continue to support
    fresh to strong SW winds ahead of the front, along with scattered
    to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the majority of the
    area well into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong trades will
    pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Christensen

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, August 03, 2026 04:46:32
    388
    AXNT20 KNHC 030446
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Aug 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 32W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are present from 06N to 12N and between 30W and
    37W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 65W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    active over northeastern Venezuela and the Lesser Antilles.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 84W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    are active S of 15N and W of 75W, including over Panama, Costa
    Rica, and Nicaragua.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and dives southwestward to a 1012 mb low
    pressure near 16N30W and then to 09N46W. Scattered moderate
    convection is active off the coast of Africa, generally from 04N
    to 11N and E of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front is analyzed along much of the northern Gulf
    coast. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across much
    of the Gulf N of 24N. The Atlantic ridge extends east to west
    along roughly 23/24N, from the Florida Straits to the coast of
    Tamaulipas in northeast Mexico. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh SW to W winds north of 25N where seas are 3-5
    ft, and gentle to moderate breezes and 1-3 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in
    control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle
    to moderate winds through the week. The exceptions will be fresh
    NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period, as well as the far northern Gulf,
    where a cold front approaching the coast will help to induce
    moderate to fresh W to SW winds through Mon. Scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms are expected over the eastern Gulf, and
    over the central Gulf N of 25N between 87W and 92W early this
    week as a mid to upper-level trough and a cold front approach the
    Gulf coast.


    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The westward-building subtropical high pressure system positioned
    over the central Atlantic forces fresh to strong easterly trade
    winds and rough seas over much of the central Caribbean. Moderate
    to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the
    eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are impacting the NW Caribbean waters as well as
    near the Windward Passage as they propagate southwestward off of
    Cuba.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin through much of the week. Fresh to locally strong winds will
    pulse in the Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A
    tropical wave, near 82W is helping to enhance thunderstorms over
    the southwestern Caribbean. The wave will move inland Central
    America late tonight into early Mon.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Favorable upper-level conditions and abundant tropical moisture
    combine to produce scattered moderate convection from Cuba across
    the Bahamas to Bermuda. Elsewhere, the tropical Atlantic is
    dominated by a 1026 mb high pressure system centered near 33N56W,
    supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds and seas of 4-6
    ft north of 28N and west of 75W, as well as along the northern
    coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Another area of fresh to
    strong NE winds is confirmed by scatterometer data in between the
    Canary Islands. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh winds and
    moderate seas prevail across much of the remaining tropical
    Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
    from the central Atlantic to South Florida will change little
    through Tue, then lift N to central Florida on Wed and N of 31N on
    Thu. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a cold front
    moving through the southeastern U.S. will continue to support
    fresh to strong SW winds ahead of the front, along with scattered thunderstorms over the majority of the area. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the
    period.

    $$
    Adams

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, August 03, 2026 04:46:38
    387
    AXNT20 KNHC 030446
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Aug 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 32W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are present from 06N to 12N and between 30W and
    37W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 65W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    active over northeastern Venezuela and the Lesser Antilles.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 84W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    are active S of 15N and W of 75W, including over Panama, Costa
    Rica, and Nicaragua.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and dives southwestward to a 1012 mb low
    pressure near 16N30W and then to 09N46W. Scattered moderate
    convection is active off the coast of Africa, generally from 04N
    to 11N and E of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front is analyzed along much of the northern Gulf
    coast. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across much
    of the Gulf N of 24N. The Atlantic ridge extends east to west
    along roughly 23/24N, from the Florida Straits to the coast of
    Tamaulipas in northeast Mexico. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh SW to W winds north of 25N where seas are 3-5
    ft, and gentle to moderate breezes and 1-3 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in
    control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle
    to moderate winds through the week. The exceptions will be fresh
    NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period, as well as the far northern Gulf,
    where a cold front approaching the coast will help to induce
    moderate to fresh W to SW winds through Mon. Scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms are expected over the eastern Gulf, and
    over the central Gulf N of 25N between 87W and 92W early this
    week as a mid to upper-level trough and a cold front approach the
    Gulf coast.


    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The westward-building subtropical high pressure system positioned
    over the central Atlantic forces fresh to strong easterly trade
    winds and rough seas over much of the central Caribbean. Moderate
    to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the
    eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are impacting the NW Caribbean waters as well as
    near the Windward Passage as they propagate southwestward off of
    Cuba.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin through much of the week. Fresh to locally strong winds will
    pulse in the Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A
    tropical wave, near 82W is helping to enhance thunderstorms over
    the southwestern Caribbean. The wave will move inland Central
    America late tonight into early Mon.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Favorable upper-level conditions and abundant tropical moisture
    combine to produce scattered moderate convection from Cuba across
    the Bahamas to Bermuda. Elsewhere, the tropical Atlantic is
    dominated by a 1026 mb high pressure system centered near 33N56W,
    supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds and seas of 4-6
    ft north of 28N and west of 75W, as well as along the northern
    coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Another area of fresh to
    strong NE winds is confirmed by scatterometer data in between the
    Canary Islands. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh winds and
    moderate seas prevail across much of the remaining tropical
    Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
    from the central Atlantic to South Florida will change little
    through Tue, then lift N to central Florida on Wed and N of 31N on
    Thu. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a cold front
    moving through the southeastern U.S. will continue to support
    fresh to strong SW winds ahead of the front, along with scattered thunderstorms over the majority of the area. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the
    period.

    $$
    Adams

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, August 03, 2026 10:00:34
    608
    AXNT20 KNHC 031000
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Mon Aug 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 07N to 11N between 32W and 37W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 67W, from Puerto Rico
    southward, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 12N to 15N between 62W and 70W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86W, southward from the
    Gulf of Honduras into Central America, moving westward at around
    15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from the Cayman
    Islands through the Gulf of Honduras and into Central America.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and dives southwestward to a 1012 mb low
    pressure near 15N33W and then to 09N45W. The ITCZ has formed from
    09N46W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N
    to 11N E of 19W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front is analyzed along much of the northern Gulf
    coast. Scattered moderate convection is confined to the basin N of
    26N. The Atlantic ridge extends east to west along roughly
    23N, from the Florida Straits westward. This pattern is
    supporting moderate SW winds in the NE basin north of 25N where
    seas are 3-5 ft, and gentle to moderate breezes and 1-3 ft seas
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight seas this week. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur of the Yucatan Peninsula each night.
    Thunderstorms will prevail into mid-week in the northeast basin as
    a cold front settles over the Florida Panhandle and a mid- and
    upper-level trough sets up over the region.


    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
    impacting the basin.

    The westward-building subtropical high pressure system positioned
    over the central Atlantic is forcing fresh to strong easterly
    trade winds and rough seas over much of the central Caribbean.
    Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
    found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin this week. Fresh to locally strong winds will also pulse in
    the Gulf of Honduras. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds
    ands seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A deep-layer trough extending down the eastern United States
    toward western Cuba is leading aiding in broad ascent, combining
    with abundant tropical moisture to induce scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection N of Cuba and W of 70W, including
    waters in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Elsewhere, the tropical
    Atlantic is dominated by a 1026 mb high pressure system centered
    near 33N56W, supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds
    and seas of 4-6 ft north of 29N and west of 76W. Another area of
    fresh to strong NE winds is in the vicinity of the Canary Islands.
    Elsewhere, mainly moderate winds and seas prevail across much of
    the tropical Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong SW winds offshore
    NE Florida will continue into tonight before diminishing as high
    pressure builds west toward the region. An upper-level trough
    along the eastern coast of the U.S. will prolong scattered
    thunderstorms offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas
    early this week. Elsewhere, locally strong trades will continue to
    pulse each night offshore Hispaniola.

    $$
    Konarik

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, August 03, 2026 10:00:44
    711
    AXNT20 KNHC 031000
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Mon Aug 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 07N to 11N between 32W and 37W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 67W, from Puerto Rico
    southward, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 12N to 15N between 62W and 70W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86W, southward from the
    Gulf of Honduras into Central America, moving westward at around
    15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from the Cayman
    Islands through the Gulf of Honduras and into Central America.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and dives southwestward to a 1012 mb low
    pressure near 15N33W and then to 09N45W. The ITCZ has formed from
    09N46W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N
    to 11N E of 19W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front is analyzed along much of the northern Gulf
    coast. Scattered moderate convection is confined to the basin N of
    26N. The Atlantic ridge extends east to west along roughly
    23N, from the Florida Straits westward. This pattern is
    supporting moderate SW winds in the NE basin north of 25N where
    seas are 3-5 ft, and gentle to moderate breezes and 1-3 ft seas
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight seas this week. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur of the Yucatan Peninsula each night.
    Thunderstorms will prevail into mid-week in the northeast basin as
    a cold front settles over the Florida Panhandle and a mid- and
    upper-level trough sets up over the region.


    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
    impacting the basin.

    The westward-building subtropical high pressure system positioned
    over the central Atlantic is forcing fresh to strong easterly
    trade winds and rough seas over much of the central Caribbean.
    Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
    found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin this week. Fresh to locally strong winds will also pulse in
    the Gulf of Honduras. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds
    ands seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A deep-layer trough extending down the eastern United States
    toward western Cuba is leading aiding in broad ascent, combining
    with abundant tropical moisture to induce scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection N of Cuba and W of 70W, including
    waters in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Elsewhere, the tropical
    Atlantic is dominated by a 1026 mb high pressure system centered
    near 33N56W, supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds
    and seas of 4-6 ft north of 29N and west of 76W. Another area of
    fresh to strong NE winds is in the vicinity of the Canary Islands.
    Elsewhere, mainly moderate winds and seas prevail across much of
    the tropical Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong SW winds offshore
    NE Florida will continue into tonight before diminishing as high
    pressure builds west toward the region. An upper-level trough
    along the eastern coast of the U.S. will prolong scattered
    thunderstorms offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas
    early this week. Elsewhere, locally strong trades will continue to
    pulse each night offshore Hispaniola.

    $$
    Konarik

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, August 03, 2026 16:52:24
    991
    AXNT20 KNHC 031645
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Aug 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1645 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
    depicted at this time in association with this wave.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 69W, from eastern
    Hispaniola southward, moving westward at around 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is noted from 13N to 15N between 63W and 70W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 89W, southward from
    the Gulf of Honduras into the Eastern Pacific. More information
    about this wave can be found in the Eastern Pacific Tropical
    Weather Discussion (TWDEP).


    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    southwestward to 09N46W. The ITCZ extends from 09N46W to 08N59W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 11N E of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front is analyzed along much of the northern Gulf
    coast. Scattered moderate convection is confined to the eastern
    side of the basin W of 25N. High pressure north of the area is
    supporting light and variable winds across most of the basin,
    except for moderate SW winds over the NE Gulf and moderate E
    winds over the Bay of Campeche. Seas 3 to 5 ft prevail over the NE
    Gulf and the Bay of Campeche, elsewhere, 1 to 3 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight seas this week. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur of the Yucatan Peninsula each night, locally
    strong Wed night, along with moderate seas. Thunderstorms will
    prevail into mid- week in the northeast basin as a cold front
    settles over the Florida Panhandle and a mid- and upper-level
    trough sets up over the region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
    impacting the basin.

    The westward-building subtropical high pressure system positioned
    over the central Atlantic is forcing fresh to strong easterly
    trade winds and rough seas over much of the central Caribbean.
    Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
    found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin this week, with rough seas there. Fresh to locally strong
    winds will also pulse in the Gulf of Honduras. Fresh winds may
    pulse through the Windward Passage at times. Otherwise, mainly
    moderate or weaker winds ands seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A deep-layer trough extending down the eastern United States
    toward western Cuba is leading aiding in broad ascent, combining
    with abundant tropical moisture to induce scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection N of Cuba and W of 71W, including
    waters in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Elsewhere, the tropical
    Atlantic is dominated by a 1026 mb high pressure system centered
    near 33N57W, supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds
    and seas of 4-6 ft north of 30N and west of 77.5W. Another area
    of fresh to strong NE winds is in the vicinity of the Canary
    Islands. Elsewhere, mainly moderate winds and seas prevail across
    much of the tropical Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong SW winds offshore
    NE Florida will continue into early afternoon before diminishing
    as high pressure builds west toward the region. An upper-level
    trough along the eastern coast of the U.S. will prolong scattered thunderstorms offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas
    early this week. Elsewhere, locally strong trades will continue to
    pulse each night offshore Hispaniola. A low level trough may
    bring fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough seas from
    east to west across the central waters by mid-week, reaching the
    NW waters by the end of the week.

    $$
    KRV

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, August 03, 2026 23:33:32
    117
    AXNT20 KNHC 032333
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2305 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 36W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
    depicted at this time in association with this wave.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. The wave is enhancing convection over
    Venezuela and Colombia.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 08N49W.
    The ITCZ extends from 08N49W to 09N59W. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 11N E of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
    the area continues to generate some convection over the northern
    and eastern waters. However, the most favorable environment for
    showers and thunderstorms has moved eastward into the western
    Atlantic. A weak pressure gradient dominates the Gulf waters,
    supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to locally
    moderate seas.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate, promoting
    gentle winds and slight seas through the remainder of the week and
    into the upcoming weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur of
    the Yucatan Peninsula each night, locally strong Wed night, along
    with moderate seas. Thunderstorms will prevail into mid-week in
    the northeast basin as a cold front settles over the Florida
    Panhandle and a mid- and upper-level trough sets up over the
    region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge is centered just east of Bermuda forcing
    fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas across much
    of the central Caribbean. An altimeter satellite pass from a few
    hours ago showed seas up to 10 ft off northern Colombia. Moderate
    to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are occurring in the
    eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter seas prevail.

    An upper-level trough north of the area and diurnal heating
    support numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms across Cuba
    and nearby waters. A few showers are seen in Hispaniola and the
    SW Caribbean, while drier conditions persist in the rest of the
    basin.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin through the remainder of the week and into next weekend,
    with rough seas there. Fresh to locally strong winds will also
    pulse in the Gulf of Honduras. Fresh winds may pulse through the
    Windward Passage at times. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker
    winds ands seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough across the
    eastern United States supports scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms in the western Atlantic, especially west of 72W.
    Meanwhile, an upper-level low centered near 27N55W is producing a
    few showers north of 22N and between 43W and 70W. The remainder
    of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.

    Fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas
    are found off northern Hispaniola. Moderate to locally fresh
    anticyclonic winds and moderate seas are evident north of 20N and
    west of 30W. In the far NE Atlantic, fresh to strong N-NE winds
    and moderate to locally rough seas are evident off Morocco and in
    the water passages of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to
    moderate winds and moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh SW winds offshore NE Florida
    will continue tonight before diminishing as high pressure builds
    west toward the region. An upper-level trough along the eastern
    coast of the U.S. will prolong scattered thunderstorms offshore
    Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas early this week.
    Elsewhere, locally strong trades will continue to pulse each
    night offshore Hispaniola. A low level trough may bring fresh to
    locally strong winds and locally rough seas from east to west
    across the central waters by mid-week, reaching the NW waters by
    the end of the week.

    $$
    Delgado

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tuesday, August 04, 2026 06:16:32
    733
    AXNT20 KNHC 040616
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave emerged from W Africa earlier tonight. The wave
    axis extends from 05N to 16N, and is moving west at approximately
    at 5-10 kt. Numerous moderate convection extends from 05N to 15N
    between 14W and 23W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 05N to
    19N with axis nearn 37W, moving west at approximately at 5-10 kt.
    There is no convection in association with this wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean with axis near 73W,
    extending southward from 18N, and moving westward at 15 kt. The
    wave continues to generate scattered heavy showers over portions
    of both Venezuela and Colombia.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    W Africa near 13N17W and continues southwestward to 10N34W to
    08N41W. The ITCZ extends from 08N41W to 08N59W. Aside from the
    convection associated with the tropical wave E of the Cape Verde
    Islands, scattered moderate convection is from 04N to 10N between
    38W and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Recent scatterometer data confirms a center of high pressure over
    the E Gulf near 24N87W, which has a pressure of 1015 mb. This is
    supporting light to gentle variable winds across the Gulf waters N
    of 23N and E of 94W. In the Bay of the Campeche, a surface trough
    is generating some showers and supporting moderate to locally
    fresh NE to E winds. Over the far western Gulf, W of 94W, the
    pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressure along
    Mexico supports moderate SE to S winds over the NW basin. Seas are
    slight to 3 ft basin-wide.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight seas into the upcoming weekend.
    Pulses of fresh winds will occur off the Yucatan Peninsula each
    night, locally strong Wed night, along with moderate seas.
    Thunderstorms will prevail into Wed in the northeast basin as a
    cold front settles over the Florida Panhandle and a mid-and
    upper-level trough sets up over the region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The gradient between the Bermuda High, of 1025 mb located near
    34N57W, and lower pressure over the Caribbean due to the passage
    of a tropical wave and low pressure over NW Colombia is supporting
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin as indicated
    by recent scatterometer data. Seas in this region are rough to 10
    ft. Over the E and NW basin, moderate to fresh trades prevail
    along with moderate seas. Scattered heavy showers are ongoing in
    the lee side of Cuba and adjacent waters and the Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin into next weekend, with rough seas there. Fresh to locally
    strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf of Honduras. Fresh winds
    will pulse through the Windward Passage at times. Otherwise,
    mainly moderate or weaker winds ands seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough across the
    eastern United States supports scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms in the western Atlantic, especially west of 72W.
    Meanwhile, an upper-level low centered near 27N55W is producing a
    few showers north of 22N and between 43W and 70W. The remainder
    of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.

    Fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas
    are found off northern Hispaniola. Moderate to locally fresh
    anticyclonic winds and moderate seas are evident north of 20N and
    west of 30W. In the far NE Atlantic, fresh to strong N-NE winds
    and moderate to locally rough seas are evident off Morocco and in
    the water passages of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to
    moderate winds and moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to locally strong SW winds
    offshore NE Florida will continue tonight before diminishing as
    high pressure builds west toward the region. An upper-level trough
    along the eastern coast of U.S. will prolong scattered
    thunderstorms offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas
    early this week. Elsewhere, locally strong trades will continue to
    pulse each night offshore Hispaniola. A low level trough will
    likely bring fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough seas
    from east to west across the central waters by mid-week, reaching
    the NW waters by the end of the week.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tuesday, August 04, 2026 06:24:34
    357
    AXNT20 KNHC 040624 CCA
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave emerged from W Africa earlier tonight. The wave
    axis extends from 05N to 16N, and is moving west at approximately
    at 5-10 kt. Numerous moderate convection extends from 05N to 15N
    between 14W and 23W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 05N to
    19N with axis nearn 37W, moving west at approximately at 5-10 kt.
    There is no convection in association with this wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean with axis near 73W,
    extending southward from 18N, and moving westward at 15 kt. The
    wave continues to generate scattered heavy showers over portions
    of both Venezuela and Colombia.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    W Africa near 13N17W and continues southwestward to 10N34W to
    08N41W. The ITCZ extends from 08N41W to 08N59W. Aside from the
    convection associated with the tropical wave E of the Cape Verde
    Islands, scattered moderate convection is from 04N to 10N between
    38W and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Recent scatterometer data confirms a center of high pressure over
    the E Gulf near 24N87W, which has a pressure of 1015 mb. This is
    supporting light to gentle variable winds across the Gulf waters N
    of 23N and E of 94W. In the Bay of the Campeche, a surface trough
    is generating some showers and supporting moderate to locally
    fresh NE to E winds. Over the far western Gulf, W of 94W, the
    pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressure along
    Mexico supports moderate SE to S winds over the NW basin. Seas are
    slight to 3 ft basin-wide.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight seas into the upcoming weekend.
    Pulses of fresh winds will occur off the Yucatan Peninsula each
    night, locally strong Wed night, along with moderate seas.
    Thunderstorms will prevail into Wed in the northeast basin as a
    cold front settles over the Florida Panhandle and a mid-and
    upper-level trough sets up over the region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The gradient between the Bermuda High, of 1025 mb located near
    34N57W, and lower pressure over the Caribbean due to the passage
    of a tropical wave and low pressure over NW Colombia is supporting
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin as indicated
    by recent scatterometer data. Seas in this region are rough to 10
    ft. Over the E and NW basin, moderate to fresh trades prevail
    along with moderate seas. Scattered heavy showers are ongoing in
    the lee side of Cuba and adjacent waters and the Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin into next weekend, with rough seas there. Fresh to locally
    strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf of Honduras. Fresh winds
    will pulse through the Windward Passage at times. Otherwise,
    mainly moderate or weaker winds ands seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the SW N Atlantic, including the Florida
    seaboard, Great Bahama Bank and Bahamas offshore waters W of 73W.
    The remainder of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.

    Fresh to locally strong SW winds are offshore NE Florida ahead of a
    weak frontal boundary N of the area and a prefrontal trough.
    Moderate to fresh trades are ongoing across the offshores between
    55W and 65W as well as off northern Hispaniola. In the far NE
    Atlantic, fresh to strong N-NE winds and moderate to locally rough
    seas are evident off Morocco and in the water passages of the Canary
    Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to locally strong SW winds
    offshore NE Florida will continue tonight before diminishing as
    high pressure builds west toward the region. An upper-level trough
    along the eastern coast of U.S. will prolong scattered
    thunderstorms offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas
    early this week. Elsewhere, locally strong trades will continue to
    pulse each night offshore Hispaniola. A low level trough will
    likely bring fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough seas
    from east to west across the central waters by mid-week, reaching
    the NW waters by the end of the week.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tuesday, August 04, 2026 09:41:56
    086
    AXNT20 KNHC 040941
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0830 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An east Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W from 05N to 16N,
    moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 06N to 14N between 15W and 23W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W from 05N to 19N,
    moving west at around 10 kt. There is no convection in association
    with this wave at this time.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 74W, from
    Haiti to Colombia, moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted in the vicinity of the Windward Passage.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 15N17W and continues
    southwestward to 10N32W to 08N41W. The ITCZ extends from 08N41W
    to 08N59W. Convection in the vicinity is primarily associated with
    the eastern Atlantic tropical wave and is described in the above
    section.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1015 mb high pressure is centered near 24N87W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the basin. Convection has
    dissipated in association with a surface trough in the Bay of
    Campeche, but moderate E to SE winds continue E of the boundary in
    the eastern Bay. Seas are slight to 3 ft basin-wide.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate, promoting
    gentle winds and slight seas into the upcoming weekend. Pulses
    of fresh winds will occur of the Yucatan Peninsula each night,
    locally strong Wed night, along with moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The gradient between the Bermuda High, of 1025 mb, centered near
    34N57W, and lower pressure over southern Caribbean due to the
    passage of a tropical wave and a low center over NW Colombia is
    supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin.
    Seas in this region are rough to 10 ft. Over the E and NW basin,
    moderate to fresh trades prevail along with moderate seas. Broad
    lift associated with an upper level trough and deep tropical
    moisture are aiding in the development of scattered moderate
    convection on the lee side of Cuba and adjacent waters and the
    Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin into the weekend, with rough seas there. Fresh to locally
    strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
    Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds ands seas will
    prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft supports scattered moderate convection over the
    SW N Atlantic, including the Florida seaboard, Great Bahama Bank,
    and Bahamas offshore waters W of 73W. Scattered moderate
    convection has also developed farther east from 24N to 27N between
    50W and 60W. The remainder of the basin is dominated by a broad
    subtropical ridge.

    Fresh SW winds are offshore northern Florida to the SE of a
    stalled front. Fresh trades are present offshore Hispaniola, and
    in a zone from 22N to 28N between 50W and 65W. In the far NE
    Atlantic, strong N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are
    evident off Morocco and in the water passages of the Canary
    Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh SW winds offshore NE Florida
    will diminish today as high pressure builds west toward the
    region. A mid- and upper-level trough along the SE U.S. coast will
    keep scattered thunderstorms ongoing offshore Florida and in the
    vicinity of the Bahamas into Wed. Locally strong trades will
    continue pulsing offshore Hispaniola. A westward moving trough
    will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into mid-week, then
    approach the Bahamas by late week, bringing fresh to locally
    strong winds and locally rough seas.

    $$
    Konarik

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 31, 2026 23:04:38
    503
    AXNT20 KNHC 312304
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2230 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave was added to the surface
    analysis near 20W from 04N to 20N, moving west at 10-15 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is evident from 10N to 13N between
    16W and 20W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 44W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 05N to 10N between 42W and 48W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 12N to 16N between 62W and 68W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 87W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is evident
    near this tropical wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 23N15W and dives southward to a 1009 mb low
    pres near 15N21W and then continues southwestward to 07N45W.
    Scattered moderate convection is evident from 14N to 17N between
    55W and 60W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
    Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    locally moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-
    level trough north of the area is producing a few showers and
    isolated thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, mainly along the
    coast, while generally dry conditions are prevalent in the
    remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into next
    week as an upper-level trough drops southward toward the Gulf
    states as a very moist and unstable airmass prevails over
    region. In addition, a cold front will move across the southern
    U.S. Sat night through Sun night, with fresh southwest winds
    developing ahead of it over the northern portion of the NE Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and rough to locally very rough seas across
    much of the central Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest
    seas are occurring off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly
    breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern Caribbean.
    Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail,
    except for slight seas in the lee of Cuba.

    For the forecast, very rough seas offshore of Colombia left
    behind the recent gale winds will slowly subside through Sat.
    Elsewhere across the central Caribbean, fresh to strong trades
    will begin to diminish in coverage beginning and through the
    weekend. Fresh trades elsewhere south S of about 18N will also
    diminish in coverage through the weekend. Fresh to strong winds
    will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight, then to fresh speeds
    for the remainder of the period. A tropical wave, currently over
    the eastern Caribbean near 66W, is accompanied increasing showers
    and thunderstorms along with gusty winds. The wave will quickly
    move through the rest of the eastern Caribbean tonight and Sun
    morning, and across the remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Clusters of showers and thunderstorms are active north of 24N and
    west of 65W, along a deep layer trough reaching from 31N75W to
    South Florida. Fresh to strong SW winds are evident within 120 nm
    east of this feature, with 5-7 ft seas. Elsewhere, the remainder
    of the subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026
    mb high pressure area centered near 32N52W. This pattern is
    supporting mostly moderate NE to E winds and 4-6 ft seas across
    the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will persist along 28N
    into next week. The gradient between the ridge and a frontal
    boundary just NW of the forecast waters will continue to support
    fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 26N and west of 65W through the weekend.
    Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at
    night through the period.

    $$
    Christensen

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 01, 2026 04:40:02
    871
    AXNT20 KNHC 010439
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0430 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 21W from 04N
    to 19N, moving west at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    evident from 10N to 19N between 16W and 25W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are noted in the
    wave's environment.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 12N to 17N between 64W and 69W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is evident
    near this tropical wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and dives
    southward to a 1010 mb low pres near 16N24W and then continues
    southwestward to 07N43W. The ITCZ is analyzed from 06N47W to
    06N53W. No significant convection is noted at this time.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
    Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level
    trough north of the area is producing a few showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, mainly along the coast,
    while generally dry conditions are prevalent in the remainder of
    the basin.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
    winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh E to
    NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into next
    week as an upper-level trough and cold front at the surface drop
    southward toward the Gulf states. Fresh southwest winds look to
    develop ahead of the front over the far northern Gulf late this
    weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and rough seas across much of the central
    Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are occurring off
    NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
    are found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and moderate seas prevail, except for slight seas in the
    lee of Cuba.

    For the forecast, rough seas offshore Colombia will slowly
    subside through Sat. A persistent enhanced pressure gradient
    across the Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades in the
    central basin through this weekend and much of next week. Fresh to
    strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight, then
    diminish to moderate to fresh speeds for the remainder of the
    period. A tropical wave, currently over the eastern Caribbean near
    66W, is accompanied by increasing showers and thunderstorms along
    with gusty winds. The wave will quickly move westward across the
    remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active north of 28N and
    west of 70W. Fresh SW winds are evident in this area, with 5-7 ft
    seas. Elsewhere, the remainder of the subtropical and tropical
    Atlantic is influenced by a 1025 mb high pressure area centered
    near 33N50W. This pattern is supporting mostly moderate NE to E
    winds and 4-6 ft seas across the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure ridge will lift N
    to near 28N by Sun and change little through next week. The
    gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
    forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
    along with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and
    west of 70W through the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse
    just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 01, 2026 04:40:10
    993
    AXNT20 KNHC 010439
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0430 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 21W from 04N
    to 19N, moving west at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    evident from 10N to 19N between 16W and 25W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are noted in the
    wave's environment.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 12N to 17N between 64W and 69W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is evident
    near this tropical wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and dives
    southward to a 1010 mb low pres near 16N24W and then continues
    southwestward to 07N43W. The ITCZ is analyzed from 06N47W to
    06N53W. No significant convection is noted at this time.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
    Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level
    trough north of the area is producing a few showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, mainly along the coast,
    while generally dry conditions are prevalent in the remainder of
    the basin.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
    winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh E to
    NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into next
    week as an upper-level trough and cold front at the surface drop
    southward toward the Gulf states. Fresh southwest winds look to
    develop ahead of the front over the far northern Gulf late this
    weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and rough seas across much of the central
    Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are occurring off
    NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
    are found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and moderate seas prevail, except for slight seas in the
    lee of Cuba.

    For the forecast, rough seas offshore Colombia will slowly
    subside through Sat. A persistent enhanced pressure gradient
    across the Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades in the
    central basin through this weekend and much of next week. Fresh to
    strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight, then
    diminish to moderate to fresh speeds for the remainder of the
    period. A tropical wave, currently over the eastern Caribbean near
    66W, is accompanied by increasing showers and thunderstorms along
    with gusty winds. The wave will quickly move westward across the
    remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active north of 28N and
    west of 70W. Fresh SW winds are evident in this area, with 5-7 ft
    seas. Elsewhere, the remainder of the subtropical and tropical
    Atlantic is influenced by a 1025 mb high pressure area centered
    near 33N50W. This pattern is supporting mostly moderate NE to E
    winds and 4-6 ft seas across the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure ridge will lift N
    to near 28N by Sun and change little through next week. The
    gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
    forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
    along with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and
    west of 70W through the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse
    just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 01, 2026 09:54:44
    781
    AXNT20 KNHC 010954
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 21.5W from
    04N to 20N, moving west at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is evident from 10N to 17N and E of 25W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 46W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen
    from 06N to 09N between 40W and 49W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66.5W from Puerto Rico
    southward, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is occurring from 15N to 18N between 66W and 70W.

    The northern portion of a western Caribbean tropical wave is
    along 87W, south of 18N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No
    significant convection is evident near this tropical wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 22N17W and dives
    southward to a 1010 mb low pres near 16N24W and then continues
    southwestward to 07N50W. No ITCZ is analyzed at this time.
    In addition to the convection described in the Tropical Waves
    section above, scattered moderate convection is occurring from 08N
    to 11N between 48W and 53W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
    Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level
    trough north of the area is producing a few showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, mainly along the coast,
    while generally dry conditions are prevalent in the remainder of
    the basin.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
    winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh E
    to NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into next
    week as an upper-level trough and cold front at the surface drop
    southward toward the Gulf coast. Moderate to fresh southwest
    winds look to develop ahead of the front over the far northern
    Gulf late this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and rough seas across much of the central
    Caribbean as well as the Gulf of Honduras. The strongest winds
    and highest seas are occurring off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
    easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas
    prevail, except for slight seas in the lee of Cuba. A divergent
    pattern aloft supports scattered moderate convection across the
    waters near the Windward Passage as well as offshore of SW Cuba
    and Jamaica.

    For the forecast, rough seas offshore Colombia will gradually subside
    today. A persistent enhanced pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades in the central basin
    through this weekend and much of next week. Fresh to strong winds
    will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight, then diminish to
    moderate to fresh speeds for the remainder of the period. A
    tropical wave, currently over the eastern Caribbean near 67W, is
    accompanied by showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds.
    The wave will quickly move westward across the remainder of the
    basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active north of 27N and
    west of 74W. Fresh SW winds are evident in this area, with 5-7 ft
    seas. East of the Lesser Antilles, a surface trough is generating
    scattered moderate convection along 60W from 15N to 18N. Another
    surface trough in the central Atlantic is interacting with a
    divergent pattern aloft to produce widely scattered moderate
    convection across a large region from 20N to 29N between 52W and
    72W. Elsewhere, the remainder of the subtropical and tropical
    Atlantic is influenced by a 1025 mb high pressure area centered
    near 33N50W. This pattern is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E
    winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
    from the central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will lift N to
    near 28N by Sun and change little through next week. The pressure
    gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
    forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
    along with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and
    west of 70W through the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse
    just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Adams

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 01, 2026 09:54:46
    782
    AXNT20 KNHC 010954
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 21.5W from
    04N to 20N, moving west at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is evident from 10N to 17N and E of 25W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 46W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen
    from 06N to 09N between 40W and 49W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66.5W from Puerto Rico
    southward, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is occurring from 15N to 18N between 66W and 70W.

    The northern portion of a western Caribbean tropical wave is
    along 87W, south of 18N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No
    significant convection is evident near this tropical wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 22N17W and dives
    southward to a 1010 mb low pres near 16N24W and then continues
    southwestward to 07N50W. No ITCZ is analyzed at this time.
    In addition to the convection described in the Tropical Waves
    section above, scattered moderate convection is occurring from 08N
    to 11N between 48W and 53W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
    Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level
    trough north of the area is producing a few showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, mainly along the coast,
    while generally dry conditions are prevalent in the remainder of
    the basin.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
    winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh E
    to NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into next
    week as an upper-level trough and cold front at the surface drop
    southward toward the Gulf coast. Moderate to fresh southwest
    winds look to develop ahead of the front over the far northern
    Gulf late this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and rough seas across much of the central
    Caribbean as well as the Gulf of Honduras. The strongest winds
    and highest seas are occurring off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
    easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas
    prevail, except for slight seas in the lee of Cuba. A divergent
    pattern aloft supports scattered moderate convection across the
    waters near the Windward Passage as well as offshore of SW Cuba
    and Jamaica.

    For the forecast, rough seas offshore Colombia will gradually subside
    today. A persistent enhanced pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades in the central basin
    through this weekend and much of next week. Fresh to strong winds
    will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight, then diminish to
    moderate to fresh speeds for the remainder of the period. A
    tropical wave, currently over the eastern Caribbean near 67W, is
    accompanied by showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds.
    The wave will quickly move westward across the remainder of the
    basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active north of 27N and
    west of 74W. Fresh SW winds are evident in this area, with 5-7 ft
    seas. East of the Lesser Antilles, a surface trough is generating
    scattered moderate convection along 60W from 15N to 18N. Another
    surface trough in the central Atlantic is interacting with a
    divergent pattern aloft to produce widely scattered moderate
    convection across a large region from 20N to 29N between 52W and
    72W. Elsewhere, the remainder of the subtropical and tropical
    Atlantic is influenced by a 1025 mb high pressure area centered
    near 33N50W. This pattern is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E
    winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
    from the central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will lift N to
    near 28N by Sun and change little through next week. The pressure
    gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
    forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
    along with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and
    west of 70W through the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse
    just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Adams

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 01, 2026 15:46:38
    142
    AXNT20 KNHC 011546
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1505 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is observed from 06N to 18N and east of 33W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 06N to 10N between 42W and 53W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 15N to 19N between 66W and 71W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 22N17W and dives southwestward to a 1010 mb
    low pres near 17N24W and then to 09N40W. The ITCZ extends from
    09N40W to 07N48W and then from 06N50W to 06N55W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A frontal boundary and upper-level trough over the SE United
    States is producing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    over the NE Gulf waters, while drier weather conditions are found
    in the remainder of the basin. At the surface, a weak pressure
    gradient supports moderate to occasionally fresh westerly winds
    and seas of 2-3 ft north of 27N. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in control
    of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
    winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh E to
    NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly
    through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    continue over the NE Gulf into the upcoming week as an upper-level
    trough and cold front drop southward toward the Gulf coast. Moderate
    to fresh southwest winds look to develop ahead of the front over
    the far northern Gulf late this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The combination of a weak surface trough moving across the NE
    Caribbean and an upper-level trough to the west support a few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting the Leeward Islands
    and nearby waters. Similar activity is noted to the southwest of
    the Cayman Islands and off Costa Rica.

    The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge situated in
    the central Atlantic and lower pressures in the deep tropics
    sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 6-10 ft
    across much of the central and eastern Caribbean Sea. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, rough seas offshore Colombia will gradually subside
    today. A persistent enhanced pressure gradient across the Caribbean
    will favor fresh to strong trades in the central basin through this
    weekend and much of next week. Fresh to strong winds will pulse
    in the Gulf of Honduras at night Tue through Thu. A tropical wave,
    currently over the eastern Caribbean near 68W, is accompanied by
    showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds. The wave will
    quickly move westward across the remainder of the basin through
    Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the SW North Atlantic, especially west of 60W and north of 22N.
    Meanwhile, a weak surface trough in the NE Caribbean is helping to
    generate scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the
    waters east of the Leeward Islands.

    The remainder of the subtropical and tropical Atlantic is
    influenced by a 1025 mb high pressure area centered near 33N50W.
    This pattern is supporting moderate to locally fresh NE to E
    winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    the central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will lift N to
    near 28N by Sun and change little through next week. The pressure
    gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
    forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
    along with scattered showers and thunderstorms over the majority
    of the area into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong trades will
    pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Delgado

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 01, 2026 15:46:42
    141
    AXNT20 KNHC 011546
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1505 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is observed from 06N to 18N and east of 33W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 06N to 10N between 42W and 53W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 15N to 19N between 66W and 71W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 22N17W and dives southwestward to a 1010 mb
    low pres near 17N24W and then to 09N40W. The ITCZ extends from
    09N40W to 07N48W and then from 06N50W to 06N55W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A frontal boundary and upper-level trough over the SE United
    States is producing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    over the NE Gulf waters, while drier weather conditions are found
    in the remainder of the basin. At the surface, a weak pressure
    gradient supports moderate to occasionally fresh westerly winds
    and seas of 2-3 ft north of 27N. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in control
    of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
    winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh E to
    NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly
    through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    continue over the NE Gulf into the upcoming week as an upper-level
    trough and cold front drop southward toward the Gulf coast. Moderate
    to fresh southwest winds look to develop ahead of the front over
    the far northern Gulf late this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The combination of a weak surface trough moving across the NE
    Caribbean and an upper-level trough to the west support a few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting the Leeward Islands
    and nearby waters. Similar activity is noted to the southwest of
    the Cayman Islands and off Costa Rica.

    The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge situated in
    the central Atlantic and lower pressures in the deep tropics
    sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 6-10 ft
    across much of the central and eastern Caribbean Sea. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, rough seas offshore Colombia will gradually subside
    today. A persistent enhanced pressure gradient across the Caribbean
    will favor fresh to strong trades in the central basin through this
    weekend and much of next week. Fresh to strong winds will pulse
    in the Gulf of Honduras at night Tue through Thu. A tropical wave,
    currently over the eastern Caribbean near 68W, is accompanied by
    showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds. The wave will
    quickly move westward across the remainder of the basin through
    Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the SW North Atlantic, especially west of 60W and north of 22N.
    Meanwhile, a weak surface trough in the NE Caribbean is helping to
    generate scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the
    waters east of the Leeward Islands.

    The remainder of the subtropical and tropical Atlantic is
    influenced by a 1025 mb high pressure area centered near 33N50W.
    This pattern is supporting moderate to locally fresh NE to E
    winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    the central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will lift N to
    near 28N by Sun and change little through next week. The pressure
    gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
    forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
    along with scattered showers and thunderstorms over the majority
    of the area into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong trades will
    pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Delgado

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 01, 2026 22:11:56
    108
    AXNT20 KNHC 012211
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 26W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is observed from 07N to 18N between 20W and 30W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 52W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 05N to 10N between 45W and 55W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 15N to 17N between 70W and 72W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 24N15W and dives southwestward to a 1010 mb
    low pressure area near 16N26W and then to 08N45W. The ITCZ
    extends from 08N45W to 08N59W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergent flow aloft is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms across much of the east-central Gulf. 1017 mb
    surface high pressure is centered north of the Yucatan Channel
    near 23N85W. This pattern is supporting moderate W winds and 2-4
    ft seas off the northern Gulf coast, and light to gentle breezes
    and 1-3 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the relatively weak high pressure will remain
    in control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting
    gentle to moderate winds for the next several days. The exception
    will be fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
    peninsula nightly through the period. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf and over mostly the
    eastern portion of the north-central Gulf into the upcoming week
    as an upper-level trough and a cold front approach the Gulf coast.
    Moderate to fresh southwest winds look to develop ahead of the
    front over the far northern Gulf late this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off central Belize,
    and off northeastern Costa Rica and southeastern Nicaragua.
    Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge
    situated in the central Atlantic and lower pressures in the deep
    tropics sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of
    6-9 ft across much of the central and eastern Caribbean Sea.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, the persistent enhanced pressure gradient
    across the Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades over the
    central basin through the rest of the weekend and into most of
    next week. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of
    Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, currently over
    the eastern Caribbean near 68W, is accompanied by scattered
    showers and thunderstorms. The wave will quickly continue westward
    across the remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the area north of 25N and west of 60W. The remainder of the
    subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026 mb high
    pressure area centered near 33N54W. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas across
    much of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from the central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will change little through Tue, then
    lift to N of 31N on Wed. The pressure gradient between the ridge
    and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast waters will continue
    to support fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers
    and thunderstorms over the majority of the area into the upcoming
    week. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola
    at night through the period.

    $$
    Christensen

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, August 02, 2026 03:34:54
    826
    AXNT20 KNHC 020334
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0330 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 28W, south of 21N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the
    wave axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 53W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the
    wave axis.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. No convection is noted with this wave
    at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and dives
    southwestward to 10N43W. The ITCZ extends from 10N43W to 10N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection prevails along the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergent flow aloft is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms across much of the east-central Gulf. A 1015 mb
    surface high pressure is centered near 24N86W. This pattern is
    supporting moderate W winds and 2-4 ft seas off the northern Gulf
    coast, and light to gentle breezes and 1-3 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the high pressure will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
    winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh NE to
    E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly
    through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    continue over much of the NE Gulf N of 25N and E of 90W into the
    upcoming week as an upper-level trough and a cold front approach
    the Gulf coast. Moderate to fresh southwest winds will continue
    over the far northern Gulf through Sunday evening.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over Costa Rica and
    Panama. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
    ridge situated in the central Atlantic and lower pressures in the
    deep tropics sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and
    seas of 6-8 ft across much of the central and eastern Caribbean
    Sea. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
    seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the persistent pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin through the rest of the weekend and into most of next
    week. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
    at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, currently over the
    central Caribbean near 72W, is accompanied by scattered showers
    and thunderstorms mainly over Hispaniola and the adjacent nearshore
    waters. The wave will continue quickly moving westward across
    the remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the area north of 25N and west of 60W. The remainder of the
    subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026 mb high
    pressure area centered near 33N54W. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of
    the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will change little
    through Tue, then lift to N of 31N on Wed. The pressure gradient
    between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast
    waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds ahead of
    the front, along with scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
    majority of the area into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the
    period

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, August 02, 2026 09:57:28
    101
    AXNT20 KNHC 020957
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, south of 21N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along
    the wave axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are noted along the wave axis.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 73.5W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring near the Windward Passage and over the waters between
    Jamaica, Cuba, and Haiti as well as in the lee of Cuba.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and dives
    southwestward to 10N46W. The ITCZ extends from 10N46W to 10N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection prevails along the ITCZ, as well as
    from 07N to 10N between 30W and 37W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergent flow aloft is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms across much of the eastern Gulf. A 1015 mb surface
    high pressure is centered near 25N85W. This pattern is supporting
    fresh to locally strong W to SW winds and 3-6 ft seas off the
    northern Gulf coast, and gentle to moderate or weaker winds and
    1-3 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in
    control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle
    to moderate winds for the next several days. The exceptions will
    be fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
    peninsula nightly through the period, as well as the far northern
    Gulf, where an inland cold front will induce moderate to fresh W
    to SW winds through Monday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over much of the NE Gulf N of 25N and E of 90W into
    the upcoming week as an upper-level trough and a cold front
    approach the Gulf coast.


    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over Costa Rica,
    Panama, and southern Nicaragua. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient
    between the subtropical ridge situated in the central Atlantic and
    lower pressures in the deep tropics sustain fresh to strong E
    winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean. Winds are near
    gale-force in the Gulf of Venezuela, confirmed by scatterometer
    data from earlier this evening. Moderate to fresh easterly trade
    winds and moderate seas prevail across much of the eastern
    Caribbean Sea. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, an enhanced pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades over the central basin
    through much of the week ahead. Fresh to strong winds will pulse
    in the Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave,
    currently over the central Caribbean near 73W, is accompanied by
    scattered moderate convection near the Windward Passage and the
    nearby waters between Jamaica, Cuba, and Hispaniola as well as in
    the lee of Cuba. The wave will continue quickly moving westward
    across the remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the area north of 25N and west of 60W. The remainder of the
    subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026 mb high
    pressure area centered near 33N54W. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of
    the basin. Fresh to strong trades continue pulsing along the
    northern coast of Hispaniola. In the waters offshore the SE US
    coast, fresh to strong SW winds are occurring in advance of a cold
    front currently inland.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
    from the central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will change
    little through Tue, then lift to N of 31N on Wed. The pressure
    gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
    forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
    ahead of the front, along with scattered showers and thunderstorms
    over the majority of the area into the upcoming week. Fresh to
    strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through
    the period.

    $$
    Adams

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, August 02, 2026 09:57:32
    464
    AXNT20 KNHC 020957
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, south of 21N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along
    the wave axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are noted along the wave axis.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 73.5W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring near the Windward Passage and over the waters between
    Jamaica, Cuba, and Haiti as well as in the lee of Cuba.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and dives
    southwestward to 10N46W. The ITCZ extends from 10N46W to 10N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection prevails along the ITCZ, as well as
    from 07N to 10N between 30W and 37W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergent flow aloft is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms across much of the eastern Gulf. A 1015 mb surface
    high pressure is centered near 25N85W. This pattern is supporting
    fresh to locally strong W to SW winds and 3-6 ft seas off the
    northern Gulf coast, and gentle to moderate or weaker winds and
    1-3 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in
    control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle
    to moderate winds for the next several days. The exceptions will
    be fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
    peninsula nightly through the period, as well as the far northern
    Gulf, where an inland cold front will induce moderate to fresh W
    to SW winds through Monday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over much of the NE Gulf N of 25N and E of 90W into
    the upcoming week as an upper-level trough and a cold front
    approach the Gulf coast.


    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over Costa Rica,
    Panama, and southern Nicaragua. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient
    between the subtropical ridge situated in the central Atlantic and
    lower pressures in the deep tropics sustain fresh to strong E
    winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean. Winds are near
    gale-force in the Gulf of Venezuela, confirmed by scatterometer
    data from earlier this evening. Moderate to fresh easterly trade
    winds and moderate seas prevail across much of the eastern
    Caribbean Sea. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, an enhanced pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades over the central basin
    through much of the week ahead. Fresh to strong winds will pulse
    in the Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave,
    currently over the central Caribbean near 73W, is accompanied by
    scattered moderate convection near the Windward Passage and the
    nearby waters between Jamaica, Cuba, and Hispaniola as well as in
    the lee of Cuba. The wave will continue quickly moving westward
    across the remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the area north of 25N and west of 60W. The remainder of the
    subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026 mb high
    pressure area centered near 33N54W. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of
    the basin. Fresh to strong trades continue pulsing along the
    northern coast of Hispaniola. In the waters offshore the SE US
    coast, fresh to strong SW winds are occurring in advance of a cold
    front currently inland.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
    from the central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will change
    little through Tue, then lift to N of 31N on Wed. The pressure
    gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
    forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
    ahead of the front, along with scattered showers and thunderstorms
    over the majority of the area into the upcoming week. Fresh to
    strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through
    the period.

    $$
    Adams

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, August 02, 2026 16:05:56
    736
    AXNT20 KNHC 021605
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1515 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 30W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are present from
    07N to 12N and between 28W and 36W.

    A tropical wave has been repositioned along 61W, south of 17N,
    based on surface observations, satellite and wave guidance data.
    The wave is moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are
    noted south of 14N and between 58W and 64W.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are seen near the northern
    portion of the wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W and dives southwestward to a 1012 mb low
    pres near 14N27W and then to 10N45W. The ITCZ extends from 10N45W
    to 09N58W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 03N to
    12N between east of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends across
    the Florida Straits into the Gulf waters and along with a frontal
    boundary to the north, sustain moderate to fresh westerly winds
    and moderate seas north of 27N. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
    and slight seas prevail. The aforementioned frontal boundary and
    an upper-level trough over the eastern United States maintain
    unstable conditions across the area, producing scattered showers
    and isolated thunderstorms over the northern half of the Gulf. A
    recent scatterometer satellite pass indicate that stronger winds
    are occurring near the stronger convection.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in
    control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle
    to moderate winds into the upcoming week. The exceptions will be
    fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
    peninsula nightly through the period, as well as the far northern
    Gulf, where an inland cold front will induce moderate to fresh W
    to SW winds through Mon. Scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are expected over the eastern Gulf, and over the
    central Gulf N of 25N between 87W and 90W into the upcoming week
    as an upper-level trough and a cold front approach the Gulf coast.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the northern Caribbean waters, especially
    near Puerto Rico, eastern Hispaniola and south of eastern Cuba. A
    few showers are also seen in the SW Caribbean. The westward-
    building subtropical high pressure system positioned over the
    central Atlantic forces fresh to strong easterly trade winds and
    rough seas over much of the central Caribbean. Moderate to locally
    fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, an enhanced pressure gradient across the Caribbean
    will favor fresh to strong trades over the central basin through
    much of the week ahead. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the
    Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, near
    79W is accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms between
    Jamaica and eastern Cuba and near the Windward Passage. The wave
    will continue quickly moving westward across the remainder of the
    basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Favorable upper-level conditions and abundant tropical moisture
    combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    across the SW North Atlantic, west of 60W. The tropical Atlantic
    is dominated by a 1028 mb high pressure system centered near
    33N55W, supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds and
    seas of 4-7 ft north of 28N and west of 75W. Elsewhere, moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail across much of the
    remaining tropical Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    the central Atlantic to South Florida will change little through
    Tue, then lift N to central Florida on Wed and N of 31N on Thu.
    The pressure gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary
    just NW of the forecast waters will continue to support fresh to
    strong SW winds ahead of the front, along with scattered to
    numerous showers and thunderstorms over the majority of the area
    into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just
    north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Delgado

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 30, 2026 09:50:22
    191
    AXNT20 KNHC 300949
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, from 02N to 19N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted S of 10N between 28W-33W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 50W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at around 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are seen from 07N to 13N between 46W and 57W.

    An eastern to central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south
    of 20N near Dominican Republic to western Venezuela, moving
    westward at around 10-15 kt. No significant convection is seen
    near this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 19N16W
    to 13N38W. The ITCZ extends from 13N38W to 13N49W where it is
    broken by a tropical wave. Aside from the convection described
    in the section above, no significant convection is noted along
    these boundaries at this time.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A persistent surface trough is from near Naples, Florida to the
    eastern Gulf near 26N87W. Scattered moderate to strong convection
    are noted N of 26N and E of 86W. Otherwise, 1015 mb high pressure
    near 26N89W controls the basin with gentle to moderate or weaker
    winds prevailing across much of the Gulf and away from areas of
    convection, except for the SW Gulf where a surface trough is
    driving moderate to fresh E winds. Seas are 1 to 3 ft across the
    basin.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. A trough extends from Tampa, Florida
    to 26N86W, while a mid to upper level broad trough north of the
    area is slowly advancing southward toward a very moist and
    unstable Gulf airmass. This set-up will maintain scattered
    showers and thunderstorms mainly over the NE Gulf through the
    rest of the week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A mid to upper level feature is supporting moderate convection in
    the NW Caribbean just southeast of the Yucatan Channel. Otherwise,
    high pressure at the surface over the central Atlantic and low
    pressure over northern Colombia supports the typical fresh to
    strong trades across the basin from 11N to 18N including the Gulf
    of Honduras, except near gale force near northern Colombia.
    Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 8 ft from
    10N to 18N to the east of 80W, and mainly 3 to 5 ft elsewhere
    except lower in the lee of Cuba. Seas are locally 8-10 ft offshore
    N Colombia.

    For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades will
    continue increasing today as the pressure gradient between the
    Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low increases. Expect fresh to
    strong winds and moderate to rough seas across most of the eastern
    and central Caribbean, with the strongest winds to near gale, or
    possible brief gusts to gale and highest seas offshore Colombia.
    Fresh winds are expected to pulse in the Gulf of Honduras nightly
    through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
    Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
    our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    N of 28N and W of 75W. The remainder of the basin is under the
    influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a 1025 mb high
    pressure system near 31N51W.

    The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
    trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft
    north of 28N and west of 65W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds
    and seas of 5 to 7 ft are noted north of the ITCZ and monsoon
    trough to 20N and west of 40W, with strong E winds E of the
    Lesser Antilles to about 60W. In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh
    to strong N to NE winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft are evident from 15N
    to 30N and east of 20W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, roughly along 25N, through Fri.
    This, in combination with a frontal trough over the western
    Atlantic, will support fresh to strong SW winds along with
    scattered showers and thunderstorms primarily north of 27N and
    west of 65W for the next several days. Fresh to strong trades will
    pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings
    through the upcoming weekend.

    $$
    ERA

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 30, 2026 09:50:24
    192
    AXNT20 KNHC 300950
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, from 02N to 19N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted S of 10N between 28W-33W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 50W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at around 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are seen from 07N to 13N between 46W and 57W.

    An eastern to central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south
    of 20N near Dominican Republic to western Venezuela, moving
    westward at around 10-15 kt. No significant convection is seen
    near this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 19N16W
    to 13N38W. The ITCZ extends from 13N38W to 13N49W where it is
    broken by a tropical wave. Aside from the convection described
    in the section above, no significant convection is noted along
    these boundaries at this time.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A persistent surface trough is from near Naples, Florida to the
    eastern Gulf near 26N87W. Scattered moderate to strong convection
    are noted N of 26N and E of 86W. Otherwise, 1015 mb high pressure
    near 26N89W controls the basin with gentle to moderate or weaker
    winds prevailing across much of the Gulf and away from areas of
    convection, except for the SW Gulf where a surface trough is
    driving moderate to fresh E winds. Seas are 1 to 3 ft across the
    basin.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. A trough extends from Tampa, Florida
    to 26N86W, while a mid to upper level broad trough north of the
    area is slowly advancing southward toward a very moist and
    unstable Gulf airmass. This set-up will maintain scattered
    showers and thunderstorms mainly over the NE Gulf through the
    rest of the week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A mid to upper level feature is supporting moderate convection in
    the NW Caribbean just southeast of the Yucatan Channel. Otherwise,
    high pressure at the surface over the central Atlantic and low
    pressure over northern Colombia supports the typical fresh to
    strong trades across the basin from 11N to 18N including the Gulf
    of Honduras, except near gale force near northern Colombia.
    Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 8 ft from
    10N to 18N to the east of 80W, and mainly 3 to 5 ft elsewhere
    except lower in the lee of Cuba. Seas are locally 8-10 ft offshore
    N Colombia.

    For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades will
    continue increasing today as the pressure gradient between the
    Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low increases. Expect fresh to
    strong winds and moderate to rough seas across most of the eastern
    and central Caribbean, with the strongest winds to near gale, or
    possible brief gusts to gale and highest seas offshore Colombia.
    Fresh winds are expected to pulse in the Gulf of Honduras nightly
    through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
    Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
    our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    N of 28N and W of 75W. The remainder of the basin is under the
    influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a 1025 mb high
    pressure system near 31N51W.

    The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
    trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft
    north of 28N and west of 65W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds
    and seas of 5 to 7 ft are noted north of the ITCZ and monsoon
    trough to 20N and west of 40W, with strong E winds E of the
    Lesser Antilles to about 60W. In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh
    to strong N to NE winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft are evident from 15N
    to 30N and east of 20W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, roughly along 25N, through Fri.
    This, in combination with a frontal trough over the western
    Atlantic, will support fresh to strong SW winds along with
    scattered showers and thunderstorms primarily north of 27N and
    west of 65W for the next several days. Fresh to strong trades will
    pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings
    through the upcoming weekend.

    $$
    ERA

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 30, 2026 15:44:46
    868
    AXNT20 KNHC 301544
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1515 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
    subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
    South America will support strong to near gale-force winds and
    rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next several days.
    Winds will increase to gale-force in the offshore waters of
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight. Seas are expected
    to build to around 13 ft with these winds.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8dRomKJMX_DePDsYXDOrCiQZmLCu9se8E0MfMxtJ1JL53SIpJPmn3bUX8qjyfxS2m_Om3yakz-nF0M0ck5PScOruLBw$

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is present from 04N to 11N and between 23W and 24W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed from 07N to 16N and between 44W and
    61W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
    axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 18N16W
    to 06N25W and to 12N38W. The ITCZ extends from 12N38W to 11N53W
    and then from 10N55W to 08N59W. Please see the Tropical Waves
    section above for information on the convection near the monsoon
    trough and ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen in the NE
    Gulf waters associated with a frontal boundary north of the area
    and low-level convergence. The remainder of the basin is under
    fairly tranquil weather conditions. A weak pressure gradient
    dominates the Gulf waters, resulting in moderate or weaker winds
    and slight seas. However, stronger winds and higher seas are
    likely occurring near the stronger convection.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Unsettled weather in the form of
    scattered and thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf
    through the weekend as a frontal boundary remains just N of the
    area, and as a moist and unstable airmass prevails over that
    section of the Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
    Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.

    An upper-level low over the Yucatan peninsula is generating a few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms west of 80W in the western
    Caribbean. Drier conditions are noted elsewhere.

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
    force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
    Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 11 ft
    occurring off NW Colombia. A recent partial scatterometer
    satellite pass captured winds up to 29 kt. Moderate to fresh
    easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean. In the remainder of the basin, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to locally moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, Gale Warning is in effect for the offshore waters
    of Colombia for tonight. Seas are expected to build to around 13
    ft with these winds. Elsewhere across the central Caribbean, fresh
    to near gale trades will continue to expand in coverage through
    early Fri as the pressure gradient between the Atlantic high
    pressure and low pressure in northern Colombian tightens. Mostly
    fresh trades will continue elsewhere south S of about 18N through
    the rest of the forecast period. Fresh to strong winds are
    expected to pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight and Fri night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A broad subtropical ridge continues to dominate much of the
    tropical Atlantic waters. In the SW North Atlantic, scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted north of 28N and west
    of 70W associated with a cold front and upper-level trough just
    north of the area. The pressure gradient between the aforementioned
    high pressure and frontal boundary results in fresh to strong
    S-SW winds and seas of 6-9 ft north of 27N and west of 65W.
    Stronger winds and higher seas may be occurring near the stronger
    convection.

    Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of
    5-8 ft are occurring north of the ITCZ and monsoon trough to 25N
    and west of 35W. In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to strong N
    winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 15N and east of
    25W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    25N65W to the Straits of Florida will change little through Sat
    night before it shifts northward to near 28N into early next week.
    The gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of
    the forecast waters will continue to generally support fresh to
    strong SW winds along with scattered showers and thunderstorms
    primarily north of 27N and west of 65W for the rest of the week
    and into the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north
    of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings through the upcoming
    weekend.

    $$
    Delgado

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 30, 2026 15:44:48
    870
    AXNT20 KNHC 301544
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1515 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
    subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
    South America will support strong to near gale-force winds and
    rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next several days.
    Winds will increase to gale-force in the offshore waters of
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight. Seas are expected
    to build to around 13 ft with these winds.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4Ks_tw_KxquuAwb3wpMa9v3sk-RJKwj2a8N_hcm1urKcBnGLq90LXwUi5BfR8GtNC2lIAzkWGRFIujnZ4mG_iS1Hp2w$

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is present from 04N to 11N and between 23W and 24W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed from 07N to 16N and between 44W and
    61W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
    axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 18N16W
    to 06N25W and to 12N38W. The ITCZ extends from 12N38W to 11N53W
    and then from 10N55W to 08N59W. Please see the Tropical Waves
    section above for information on the convection near the monsoon
    trough and ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen in the NE
    Gulf waters associated with a frontal boundary north of the area
    and low-level convergence. The remainder of the basin is under
    fairly tranquil weather conditions. A weak pressure gradient
    dominates the Gulf waters, resulting in moderate or weaker winds
    and slight seas. However, stronger winds and higher seas are
    likely occurring near the stronger convection.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Unsettled weather in the form of
    scattered and thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf
    through the weekend as a frontal boundary remains just N of the
    area, and as a moist and unstable airmass prevails over that
    section of the Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
    Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.

    An upper-level low over the Yucatan peninsula is generating a few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms west of 80W in the western
    Caribbean. Drier conditions are noted elsewhere.

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
    force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
    Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 11 ft
    occurring off NW Colombia. A recent partial scatterometer
    satellite pass captured winds up to 29 kt. Moderate to fresh
    easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean. In the remainder of the basin, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to locally moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, Gale Warning is in effect for the offshore waters
    of Colombia for tonight. Seas are expected to build to around 13
    ft with these winds. Elsewhere across the central Caribbean, fresh
    to near gale trades will continue to expand in coverage through
    early Fri as the pressure gradient between the Atlantic high
    pressure and low pressure in northern Colombian tightens. Mostly
    fresh trades will continue elsewhere south S of about 18N through
    the rest of the forecast period. Fresh to strong winds are
    expected to pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight and Fri night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A broad subtropical ridge continues to dominate much of the
    tropical Atlantic waters. In the SW North Atlantic, scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted north of 28N and west
    of 70W associated with a cold front and upper-level trough just
    north of the area. The pressure gradient between the aforementioned
    high pressure and frontal boundary results in fresh to strong
    S-SW winds and seas of 6-9 ft north of 27N and west of 65W.
    Stronger winds and higher seas may be occurring near the stronger
    convection.

    Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of
    5-8 ft are occurring north of the ITCZ and monsoon trough to 25N
    and west of 35W. In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to strong N
    winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 15N and east of
    25W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    25N65W to the Straits of Florida will change little through Sat
    night before it shifts northward to near 28N into early next week.
    The gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of
    the forecast waters will continue to generally support fresh to
    strong SW winds along with scattered showers and thunderstorms
    primarily north of 27N and west of 65W for the rest of the week
    and into the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north
    of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings through the upcoming
    weekend.

    $$
    Delgado

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 30, 2026 21:41:40
    393
    AXNT20 KNHC 302141
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2115 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
    subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
    South America will support strong to near gale-force winds and
    rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next several days.
    Winds will increase to gale-force in the offshore waters of
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight. Seas are expected
    to build to around 13 ft with these winds. Please read the
    latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center
    at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5dJAZQHgun7EOVndgw8BQptHUKQxXcgP3wu_fQqOUkOS2vToDeKQCKP99SSPGpUWObr8yye62CuqG8UuptGyZiLLPf8$

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern to central Atlantic tropical wave is along 36W, south
    of 20N, moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is present from 04N to 07N
    between 25W and 30.5W.

    A tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 57W, south of 19N
    to near Barbados and Suriname, moving quickly westward at around
    20 to 25 kt. Nearby convection which is present is described below
    with the ITCZ.

    An western Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 20N
    just to the west of Jamaica, moving quickly westward at around 25
    kt. Any nearby convection is currently observed in the far eastern
    Tropical Pacific.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from the northern coast of
    Mauritania at 20N16W to southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands to
    09N28W to 12N40W. The ITCZ extends from 12N40W to 10N56W, then
    resumes west of a tropical wave from 10N58W to the far NE coast of
    Venezuela at 08N62W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
    is noted within 210 nm NNW of the ITCZ between 48W and 59W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1018 mb is remaining over the central Gulf near
    25N88W with a northwest to southeast ridge through the high. As a
    result, anticyclonic winds are light to gentle along and around
    the ridge axis, and moderate along the periphery closer to the
    Gulf coastlines. Seas are 1 to 2 ft near the weaker winds, and 2
    to 4 ft elsewhere. Some moderate convection is noted near the NW
    coast of Yucatan near a surface trough analyzed over the
    peninsula, with additional activity near the coast of Florida,
    Mississippi and Alabama.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Unsettled weather in the form of
    scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf
    through the weekend as a frontal boundary remains just N of the
    area, and at the same a very moist and unstable airmass prevails
    over region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
    Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
    force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
    Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 11 ft
    occurring off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and
    moderate seas are found elsewhere from 11N to 18N. Across the
    remainder of the basin, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    locally moderate seas prevail. Some convection is present near
    eastern Honduras and Nicaragua due to the proximity of a tropical
    wave and lower to mid level support.

    For the forecast, a Gale Warning is in effect tonight for the
    offshore waters of Colombia and for the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas
    are expected to build to around 14 ft with these winds. Elsewhere
    across the central Caribbean, fresh to near gale trades will
    continue to expand in coverage through early Fri as the pressure
    gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and low pressure in
    northern Colombian tightens. Mostly fresh trades will continue
    elsewhere south S of about 18N through the rest of the forecast
    period. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
    tonight and Fri night, then to fresh speeds for the remainder of
    the period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal boundary is just north of the discussion waters and SW N
    Atlantic offshore waters zones from northwest of Bermuda to 1011
    mb low pressure near 32N79.5W to near Savannah, Georgia.
    Associated scattered moderate isolated strong convection is north
    of 27N and west of 69W. Fresh to strong SW winds and 5 to 9 ft
    seas are there as well. Otherwise, a broad subtropical ridge
    continues to dominate much of the tropical Atlantic waters
    anchored by a 1025 mb high pressure center near 31N51W. Moderate
    to locally fresh trades are noted north of the monsoon trough and
    ITCZ to 20N, except fresh to strong N to NE winds from offshore
    Africa to the Cabo Verde Islands. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across the
    area of fresh to strong winds, as well as in the Tropical N
    Atlantic offshore waters zones due to the proximity of a tropical
    wave. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the
    remainder of the tropical Atlantic waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
    from near 25N65W to the Straits of Florida will change little
    through Sat night before it shifts northward to near 28N into
    early next week. The gradient between the ridge and a frontal
    boundary just NW of the forecast waters will continue to generally
    support fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms primarily north of 27N and west of 65W for the rest
    of the week and into the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will
    pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings
    through the upcoming weekend.

    $$
    Lewitsky

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 30, 2026 21:41:44
    536
    AXNT20 KNHC 302141
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2115 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
    subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
    South America will support strong to near gale-force winds and
    rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next several days.
    Winds will increase to gale-force in the offshore waters of
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight. Seas are expected
    to build to around 13 ft with these winds. Please read the
    latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center
    at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5RqzkhNXsCA2VhnsPscElBXCsah6LooW-pD5N9K_V2f6A07YC5F6_dIlTl4ETYxP5yHWrw72tkstQDxH3ROvKRvIpmc$

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern to central Atlantic tropical wave is along 36W, south
    of 20N, moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is present from 04N to 07N
    between 25W and 30.5W.

    A tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 57W, south of 19N
    to near Barbados and Suriname, moving quickly westward at around
    20 to 25 kt. Nearby convection which is present is described below
    with the ITCZ.

    An western Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 20N
    just to the west of Jamaica, moving quickly westward at around 25
    kt. Any nearby convection is currently observed in the far eastern
    Tropical Pacific.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from the northern coast of
    Mauritania at 20N16W to southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands to
    09N28W to 12N40W. The ITCZ extends from 12N40W to 10N56W, then
    resumes west of a tropical wave from 10N58W to the far NE coast of
    Venezuela at 08N62W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
    is noted within 210 nm NNW of the ITCZ between 48W and 59W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1018 mb is remaining over the central Gulf near
    25N88W with a northwest to southeast ridge through the high. As a
    result, anticyclonic winds are light to gentle along and around
    the ridge axis, and moderate along the periphery closer to the
    Gulf coastlines. Seas are 1 to 2 ft near the weaker winds, and 2
    to 4 ft elsewhere. Some moderate convection is noted near the NW
    coast of Yucatan near a surface trough analyzed over the
    peninsula, with additional activity near the coast of Florida,
    Mississippi and Alabama.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Unsettled weather in the form of
    scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf
    through the weekend as a frontal boundary remains just N of the
    area, and at the same a very moist and unstable airmass prevails
    over region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
    Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
    force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
    Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 11 ft
    occurring off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and
    moderate seas are found elsewhere from 11N to 18N. Across the
    remainder of the basin, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    locally moderate seas prevail. Some convection is present near
    eastern Honduras and Nicaragua due to the proximity of a tropical
    wave and lower to mid level support.

    For the forecast, a Gale Warning is in effect tonight for the
    offshore waters of Colombia and for the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas
    are expected to build to around 14 ft with these winds. Elsewhere
    across the central Caribbean, fresh to near gale trades will
    continue to expand in coverage through early Fri as the pressure
    gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and low pressure in
    northern Colombian tightens. Mostly fresh trades will continue
    elsewhere south S of about 18N through the rest of the forecast
    period. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
    tonight and Fri night, then to fresh speeds for the remainder of
    the period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal boundary is just north of the discussion waters and SW N
    Atlantic offshore waters zones from northwest of Bermuda to 1011
    mb low pressure near 32N79.5W to near Savannah, Georgia.
    Associated scattered moderate isolated strong convection is north
    of 27N and west of 69W. Fresh to strong SW winds and 5 to 9 ft
    seas are there as well. Otherwise, a broad subtropical ridge
    continues to dominate much of the tropical Atlantic waters
    anchored by a 1025 mb high pressure center near 31N51W. Moderate
    to locally fresh trades are noted north of the monsoon trough and
    ITCZ to 20N, except fresh to strong N to NE winds from offshore
    Africa to the Cabo Verde Islands. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across the
    area of fresh to strong winds, as well as in the Tropical N
    Atlantic offshore waters zones due to the proximity of a tropical
    wave. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the
    remainder of the tropical Atlantic waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
    from near 25N65W to the Straits of Florida will change little
    through Sat night before it shifts northward to near 28N into
    early next week. The gradient between the ridge and a frontal
    boundary just NW of the forecast waters will continue to generally
    support fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms primarily north of 27N and west of 65W for the rest
    of the week and into the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will
    pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings
    through the upcoming weekend.

    $$
    Lewitsky

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 31, 2026 04:51:52
    862
    AXNT20 KNHC 310451
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
    subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
    South America will support strong to near gale-force winds and
    rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next several days.
    A scatterometer pass from 0106 UTC confirmed gale-force winds
    occurring in the Gulf of Venezuela. Winds will increase to gale-
    force in the offshore waters of Colombia tonight. Seas are
    expected to build to around 14 ft with these winds. Please read
    the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
    Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6M9d5wNNVl3vMmlEfRWUc22hp_jha6lo7YqzjNm_1IQQhjGbpY3M7gaJ5leTJiYdeCNC9aoDQRdOjVxyir3PS3HH0Ck$

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern to central Atlantic tropical wave is along 37W, south
    of 20N, moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is present from 08N to 11N between 33W and 37W.

    A tropical wave has been relocated to near 56W, south of 20N and
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 12N to 15N between 54W and 58W.

    An western Caribbean tropical wave is along 80W, south of 20N
    and moving quickly westward at around 15-20 kt. Any nearby
    convection is currently observed in the far eastern Tropical
    Pacific.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from the northern coast of
    Mauritania at 21N16W to 08N30W and then to 12N42W. The ITCZ
    extends from 12N42W to 13N57W. In addition to the convection
    described in the Tropical Waves section above, scattered moderate
    convection is occurring along the W coast of Africa, and also from
    065B to 08N between 28W and 32W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1016 mb is remaining over the central Gulf near
    26N86W within a broad ridge. As a result, gentle to moderate winds
    and slight seas prevail across the Gulf. Scattered moderate
    convection is occurring in the far NE Gulf, generated by a frontal
    boundary N of the region. Isolated moderate convection is also
    occurring ahead of a surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend as a frontal
    boundary remains just N of the area, and a very moist and unstable
    airmass prevails over region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
    Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
    force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
    Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 12 ft
    occurring off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and
    moderate seas are found elsewhere from 11N to 18N. Across the
    remainder of the basin, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    locally moderate seas prevail. Some convection is present near
    eastern Honduras and Nicaragua due to the proximity of a tropical
    wave and lower to mid level support.

    For the forecast, a Gale Warning is in effect tonight for the
    offshore waters of Colombia and for the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas
    are expected to build to around 14 ft with these winds. Elsewhere
    across the central Caribbean, fresh to near-gale trades will
    continue to expand in coverage through early Fri as the pressure
    gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and low pressure in
    northern Colombian tightens. Mostly fresh trades will continue
    elsewhere south S of about 18N through the rest of the forecast
    period. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
    tonight and Fri night, then to fresh speeds for the remainder of
    the period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal boundary is just north of the discussion waters.
    Associated scattered moderate isolated strong convection is north
    of 27N and west of 70W. Fresh to near gale force SW winds and 5
    to 9 ft seas are in this region as well, highest winds and seas in
    areas of convection. In the central Atlantic, a surface trough is
    analyzed from 29N54W to 21N58W. Upper level divergence in the
    same region as this trough is leading to scattered showers and
    thunderstorms generally from 20N to 30N between 50W and 60W.
    Otherwise, a broad subtropical ridge continues to dominate much of
    the tropical Atlantic waters. Moderate to locally fresh trades
    are noted north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ to 20N, except
    fresh to strong N to NE winds from offshore Africa to the Cabo
    Verde Islands, as well as along the northern coast of Hispaniola
    and immediately east of the Lesser Antilles. Seas are 6 to 9 ft
    across the areas of fresh to strong winds. Moderate or weaker
    winds and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the tropical
    Atlantic waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a surface ridge extending from near
    25N65W to the Straits of Florida will change little through Sat
    night before it shifts northward to near 28N into early next week.
    The gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of
    the forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW
    winds along with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 27N
    and west of 65W for the rest of the week and into the weekend.
    Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at
    night and into the mornings through the upcoming weekend.

    $$
    Adams

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 31, 2026 06:57:30
    861
    AXNT20 KNHC 310451
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
    subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
    South America will support strong to near gale-force winds and
    rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next several days.
    A scatterometer pass from 0106 UTC confirmed gale-force winds
    occurring in the Gulf of Venezuela. Winds will increase to gale-
    force in the offshore waters of Colombia tonight. Seas are
    expected to build to around 14 ft with these winds. Please read
    the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
    Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4WG3X0rR_G2j6IUt7WDZN93-a07Ei5Ar0bCUxidSC-rwpQxNx_8e2d2vc9e9lREZOtDfPowmnEsD7RV8AOnQYqjVVr8$

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern to central Atlantic tropical wave is along 37W, south
    of 20N, moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is present from 08N to 11N between 33W and 37W.

    A tropical wave has been relocated to near 56W, south of 20N and
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 12N to 15N between 54W and 58W.

    An western Caribbean tropical wave is along 80W, south of 20N
    and moving quickly westward at around 15-20 kt. Any nearby
    convection is currently observed in the far eastern Tropical
    Pacific.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from the northern coast of
    Mauritania at 21N16W to 08N30W and then to 12N42W. The ITCZ
    extends from 12N42W to 13N57W. In addition to the convection
    described in the Tropical Waves section above, scattered moderate
    convection is occurring along the W coast of Africa, and also from
    065B to 08N between 28W and 32W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1016 mb is remaining over the central Gulf near
    26N86W within a broad ridge. As a result, gentle to moderate winds
    and slight seas prevail across the Gulf. Scattered moderate
    convection is occurring in the far NE Gulf, generated by a frontal
    boundary N of the region. Isolated moderate convection is also
    occurring ahead of a surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend as a frontal
    boundary remains just N of the area, and a very moist and unstable
    airmass prevails over region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
    Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
    force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
    Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 12 ft
    occurring off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and
    moderate seas are found elsewhere from 11N to 18N. Across the
    remainder of the basin, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    locally moderate seas prevail. Some convection is present near
    eastern Honduras and Nicaragua due to the proximity of a tropical
    wave and lower to mid level support.

    For the forecast, a Gale Warning is in effect tonight for the
    offshore waters of Colombia and for the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas
    are expected to build to around 14 ft with these winds. Elsewhere
    across the central Caribbean, fresh to near-gale trades will
    continue to expand in coverage through early Fri as the pressure
    gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and low pressure in
    northern Colombian tightens. Mostly fresh trades will continue
    elsewhere south S of about 18N through the rest of the forecast
    period. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
    tonight and Fri night, then to fresh speeds for the remainder of
    the period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal boundary is just north of the discussion waters.
    Associated scattered moderate isolated strong convection is north
    of 27N and west of 70W. Fresh to near gale force SW winds and 5
    to 9 ft seas are in this region as well, highest winds and seas in
    areas of convection. In the central Atlantic, a surface trough is
    analyzed from 29N54W to 21N58W. Upper level divergence in the
    same region as this trough is leading to scattered showers and
    thunderstorms generally from 20N to 30N between 50W and 60W.
    Otherwise, a broad subtropical ridge continues to dominate much of
    the tropical Atlantic waters. Moderate to locally fresh trades
    are noted north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ to 20N, except
    fresh to strong N to NE winds from offshore Africa to the Cabo
    Verde Islands, as well as along the northern coast of Hispaniola
    and immediately east of the Lesser Antilles. Seas are 6 to 9 ft
    across the areas of fresh to strong winds. Moderate or weaker
    winds and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the tropical
    Atlantic waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a surface ridge extending from near
    25N65W to the Straits of Florida will change little through Sat
    night before it shifts northward to near 28N into early next week.
    The gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of
    the forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW
    winds along with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 27N
    and west of 65W for the rest of the week and into the weekend.
    Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at
    night and into the mornings through the upcoming weekend.

    $$
    Adams

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 31, 2026 10:12:12
    650
    AXNT20 KNHC 311011
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
    subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
    South America will continue to support strong to near gale-force
    winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next
    several days. Winds to gale-force in the offshore waters of
    Colombia will dissipate by 12Z this morning. Seas to around 14 ft
    are expected with these winds.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-tFEJuo5mW5EN3tMRdY-aBH6lPkQWAwtdIFXfUyarzkVMM75k-6s4hOQq08q3F275bAMkE4j3mLv4W6WVgIer63e7DI$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern to central Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W, south
    of 20N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is present from 08N to 12N between 37W and 41W.

    A tropical wave has been relocated to near 57W, south of 20N and
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 12N to 15N between 55W and 58W.

    An western Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W, south of 20N and
    moving quickly westward at around 15-20 kt. Any nearby convection
    is currently observed in the far eastern Tropical Pacific.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from the northern coast of
    Mauritania at 21N17W to 12N44W. The ITCZ extends from 12N44W to
    14N57W. In addition to the convection described in the Tropical
    Waves section above, no convection is noted at this time.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1018 mb is remaining over the central Gulf near
    25N86W within a broad ridge. As a result, gentle to moderate winds
    and slight seas prevail across the Gulf. Scattered moderate
    convection is occurring in the far NE Gulf, generated by a frontal
    boundary N of the region. Isolated moderate convection is also
    occurring ahead of a surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend as a frontal
    boundary remains just N of the area, and a very moist and
    unstable airmass prevails over region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
    Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
    force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
    Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
    are found elsewhere from 11N to 18N. Across the remainder of the
    basin, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail. Some convection is present near eastern Honduras and
    Nicaragua due to the proximity of a tropical wave and lower to mid
    level support.

    For the forecast, elsewhere outside of the Gale Warning area,
    fresh to near-gale trades will continue to expand in coverage
    across the central Caribbean through this morning as the pressure
    gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and low pressure in
    northern Colombian tightens. Fresh trades will continue elsewhere
    south S of about 18N through the rest of the forecast period.
    Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight,
    then to fresh speeds for the remainder of the period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal boundary is just north of the discussion waters.
    Associated scattered moderate isolated strong convection is north
    of 27N and west of 70W. Fresh to near gale force SW winds and 5
    to 9 ft seas are in this region as well, highest winds and seas in
    areas of convection. In the central Atlantic, a surface trough is
    analyzed from 29N55W to 21N60W. Upper level divergence in the
    same region as this trough is leading to scattered showers and
    thunderstorms generally from 20N to 30N between 50W and 60W.
    Otherwise, a broad subtropical ridge continues to dominate much of
    the tropical Atlantic waters. Moderate to fresh trades are noted
    north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ to 20N, except fresh to
    strong N to NE winds from offshore Africa to the Cabo Verde
    Islands, as well as along the northern coast of Hispaniola and
    immediately east of the Lesser Antilles. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across
    the areas of fresh to strong winds. Moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas dominate the remainder of the tropical Atlantic
    waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface ridge across the west
    and central Atlantic will change little through Sat night before
    it shifts northward to near 28N into early next week. The gradient
    between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast
    waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds along
    with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and west of
    70W for the rest of the week and into the weekend. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the
    mornings through the upcoming weekend.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 31, 2026 10:12:22
    651
    AXNT20 KNHC 311011
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
    subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
    South America will continue to support strong to near gale-force
    winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next
    several days. Winds to gale-force in the offshore waters of
    Colombia will dissipate by 12Z this morning. Seas to around 14 ft
    are expected with these winds.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6RJblDVFJDoIOuaizU2iapD9kRHFRNuRq6d0GdiN5GuQtdKlXxTE3D3TvoP3aEt8vLHtNAr4kodS2FLPLcdaRS9rikM$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern to central Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W, south
    of 20N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is present from 08N to 12N between 37W and 41W.

    A tropical wave has been relocated to near 57W, south of 20N and
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 12N to 15N between 55W and 58W.

    An western Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W, south of 20N and
    moving quickly westward at around 15-20 kt. Any nearby convection
    is currently observed in the far eastern Tropical Pacific.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from the northern coast of
    Mauritania at 21N17W to 12N44W. The ITCZ extends from 12N44W to
    14N57W. In addition to the convection described in the Tropical
    Waves section above, no convection is noted at this time.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1018 mb is remaining over the central Gulf near
    25N86W within a broad ridge. As a result, gentle to moderate winds
    and slight seas prevail across the Gulf. Scattered moderate
    convection is occurring in the far NE Gulf, generated by a frontal
    boundary N of the region. Isolated moderate convection is also
    occurring ahead of a surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend as a frontal
    boundary remains just N of the area, and a very moist and
    unstable airmass prevails over region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
    Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
    force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
    Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
    are found elsewhere from 11N to 18N. Across the remainder of the
    basin, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail. Some convection is present near eastern Honduras and
    Nicaragua due to the proximity of a tropical wave and lower to mid
    level support.

    For the forecast, elsewhere outside of the Gale Warning area,
    fresh to near-gale trades will continue to expand in coverage
    across the central Caribbean through this morning as the pressure
    gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and low pressure in
    northern Colombian tightens. Fresh trades will continue elsewhere
    south S of about 18N through the rest of the forecast period.
    Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight,
    then to fresh speeds for the remainder of the period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal boundary is just north of the discussion waters.
    Associated scattered moderate isolated strong convection is north
    of 27N and west of 70W. Fresh to near gale force SW winds and 5
    to 9 ft seas are in this region as well, highest winds and seas in
    areas of convection. In the central Atlantic, a surface trough is
    analyzed from 29N55W to 21N60W. Upper level divergence in the
    same region as this trough is leading to scattered showers and
    thunderstorms generally from 20N to 30N between 50W and 60W.
    Otherwise, a broad subtropical ridge continues to dominate much of
    the tropical Atlantic waters. Moderate to fresh trades are noted
    north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ to 20N, except fresh to
    strong N to NE winds from offshore Africa to the Cabo Verde
    Islands, as well as along the northern coast of Hispaniola and
    immediately east of the Lesser Antilles. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across
    the areas of fresh to strong winds. Moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas dominate the remainder of the tropical Atlantic
    waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface ridge across the west
    and central Atlantic will change little through Sat night before
    it shifts northward to near 28N into early next week. The gradient
    between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast
    waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds along
    with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and west of
    70W for the rest of the week and into the weekend. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the
    mornings through the upcoming weekend.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 31, 2026 15:15:48
    549
    AXNT20 KNHC 311515
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1505 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 41W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 07N to 12N between 35W and 43W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 10N to 15N between 60W and 66W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is observed south of 20N and west of 81W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 26N15W and dives southward to a 1009 mb low
    pres near 17N20W and then continues southwestward to 09N42W.
    Scattered moderate convection is evident from 08N to 13N and east
    of 21W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
    Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    locally moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-
    level trough north of the area is producing a few showers and
    isolated thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, while generally
    dry conditions are prevalent in the remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into
    next week as an upper-level trough drops southward toward the
    Gulf states as a very moist and unstable airmass prevails over
    region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces strong to locally
    near gale-force easterly trade winds and rough to locally very
    rough seas across much of the central Caribbean. The strongest
    winds and highest seas are occurring off NW Colombia. A recent
    scatterometer satellite pass showed peak winds to 33 kt. An
    altimeter pass from a few hours ago indicated seas up to 16 ft.
    Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in
    the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    moderate seas prevail, except for slight seas in the lee of Cuba.

    Aside from the convection mentioned in the Tropical Waves section,
    an upper-level trough over the NE Caribbean generates scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting the nearby islands
    and coastal waters. Diurnal heating is likely to support some
    thunderstorm activity developing over parts of Cuba and Hispaniola
    later this afternoon. Meanwhile, a surface trough just east of the
    Lesser Antilles will aid in the formation of showers and
    thunderstorms later today and tomorrow, especially across the
    Leeward Islands.

    For the forecast, the overnight gale-force winds off Colombia and
    in the Gulf of Venezuela have diminished to near gale-force winds,
    however, very rough seas remain offshore of Colombia. These seas
    will slowly subside through Sat. Elsewhere across the central
    Caribbean, fresh to strong trades will begin to diminish in
    coverage beginning and through the weekend. Fresh trades elsewhere
    south S of about 18N will also diminish in coverage through the
    weekend. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
    tonight, then to fresh speeds for the remainder of the period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An upper-level trough north of the SW North Atlantic is producing
    numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms north of 26N and west
    of 69W. Similar upper-level dynamics also support a few showers in
    the north-central Atlantic and north of Puerto Rico.

    The remainder of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical
    ridge situated over the central Atlantic. The pressure gradient
    between this ridge and lower pressures associated with the frontal
    boundary draped across the SE US and into the western Atlantic
    sustain moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate seas north of 26N
    and west of 60W. In the remainder of the basin, moderate to fresh
    easterly winds and moderate seas are prevalent. The exception is
    south of the monsoon trough and east of 30W, where moderate to
    fresh SW winds and moderate seas are noted.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    near 30N55W to the Straits of Florida will lift N to near 28N by
    Sun and change little into early next week. The gradient between
    the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast waters
    will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds along with
    scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and west of 70W
    through the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north
    of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Delgado

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, July 31, 2026 15:15:54
    548
    AXNT20 KNHC 311515
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1505 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 41W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 07N to 12N between 35W and 43W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 10N to 15N between 60W and 66W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is observed south of 20N and west of 81W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 26N15W and dives southward to a 1009 mb low
    pres near 17N20W and then continues southwestward to 09N42W.
    Scattered moderate convection is evident from 08N to 13N and east
    of 21W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
    Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    locally moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-
    level trough north of the area is producing a few showers and
    isolated thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, while generally
    dry conditions are prevalent in the remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into
    next week as an upper-level trough drops southward toward the
    Gulf states as a very moist and unstable airmass prevails over
    region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces strong to locally
    near gale-force easterly trade winds and rough to locally very
    rough seas across much of the central Caribbean. The strongest
    winds and highest seas are occurring off NW Colombia. A recent
    scatterometer satellite pass showed peak winds to 33 kt. An
    altimeter pass from a few hours ago indicated seas up to 16 ft.
    Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in
    the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    moderate seas prevail, except for slight seas in the lee of Cuba.

    Aside from the convection mentioned in the Tropical Waves section,
    an upper-level trough over the NE Caribbean generates scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting the nearby islands
    and coastal waters. Diurnal heating is likely to support some
    thunderstorm activity developing over parts of Cuba and Hispaniola
    later this afternoon. Meanwhile, a surface trough just east of the
    Lesser Antilles will aid in the formation of showers and
    thunderstorms later today and tomorrow, especially across the
    Leeward Islands.

    For the forecast, the overnight gale-force winds off Colombia and
    in the Gulf of Venezuela have diminished to near gale-force winds,
    however, very rough seas remain offshore of Colombia. These seas
    will slowly subside through Sat. Elsewhere across the central
    Caribbean, fresh to strong trades will begin to diminish in
    coverage beginning and through the weekend. Fresh trades elsewhere
    south S of about 18N will also diminish in coverage through the
    weekend. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
    tonight, then to fresh speeds for the remainder of the period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An upper-level trough north of the SW North Atlantic is producing
    numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms north of 26N and west
    of 69W. Similar upper-level dynamics also support a few showers in
    the north-central Atlantic and north of Puerto Rico.

    The remainder of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical
    ridge situated over the central Atlantic. The pressure gradient
    between this ridge and lower pressures associated with the frontal
    boundary draped across the SE US and into the western Atlantic
    sustain moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate seas north of 26N
    and west of 60W. In the remainder of the basin, moderate to fresh
    easterly winds and moderate seas are prevalent. The exception is
    south of the monsoon trough and east of 30W, where moderate to
    fresh SW winds and moderate seas are noted.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    near 30N55W to the Straits of Florida will lift N to near 28N by
    Sun and change little into early next week. The gradient between
    the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast waters
    will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds along with
    scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and west of 70W
    through the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north
    of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Delgado

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 16:46:42
    290
    AXNT20 KNHC 281646
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Jul 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1646 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis near 36W,
    extending from 06N to 15N, and moving westward at around 15-20
    kt. Scattered showers are depicted from 11.5N to 14N between 33.5W
    to 39W.

    A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with axis near 63.5W,
    extending from 10N to 19N, and moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
    No significant convection is depicted at the moment in association
    with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis along 83W, from
    06N to 18N, and moving westward at around 10-15 kt. A cluster of
    scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 11.5N to
    16N and west of 90W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16.5W and
    continues to 09N42W. The ITCZ begins near 09N42W and continues to
    07N56W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is present
    offshore Africa, from 04N to 10.5N between the African coast and
    20W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 07N to 09N
    between 40W and 43.5W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is ongoing over
    the E Gulf, from 26N to 29N between 83W and 87.5W in associated
    with low level convergence occurring near a surface trough that
    extends eastward across central Florida. Similar convection is
    depicted north of the Florida Keys. The remainder Gulf is under
    the influence of a 1014 mb high centered near 28N93W, which is
    supporting light to gentle variable winds, except for SE to S
    gentle to moderate winds west of 91.5W. Seas across the basin
    range between 2 to 4 ft.

    For the forecast, high pressure will remain over the central Gulf
    to promote gentle to moderate winds for the next several days.
    The exception will be fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of
    the Yucatan peninsula nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers
    and thunderstorms will continue during the next couple of days
    over the NE Gulf due to a weakening cold front located across
    north- central Florida.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on associated convection. Isolated moderate convection extends
    from western Cuba southwestward to the entrance to the Yucatan
    Channel. Strong upper level SW wind shear dominates much of the N
    half of the basin, occurring the south of an upper trough across
    NW portions.

    Atlantic ridging dominates the region north of the basin,
    extending W-SW along 20N and into the eastern Bahamas. The
    pressure gradient between relatively low pressure over south
    America and the ridge is supporting moderate to fresh trades over
    the central Caribbean along with 4 to 6 ft seas. Winds are
    moderate or weaker across the remainder of basin, with slight to
    moderate seas.

    For the forecast, the increasing pressure gradient between the
    Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low will strengthen trade winds
    to strong speeds over the south-central Caribbean this afternoon
    through Fri evening before diminishing. Trade winds over the Gulf
    of Honduras will increase to fresh Wednesday night through Sat. A
    tropical wave entering the E Caribbean this morning will enhance
    showers and isolated thunderstorms across the E and SE Caribbean
    through Wed morning.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A dissipating stationary front extends across the SW N Atlantic
    waters from 31N73.5W to central coastal Florida, supported by a
    sharp upper trough along the east coast of the U.S. Scattered to
    numerous showers and tstms are ahead of this boundary, north of
    26N between 65W and 78W. A 1024 mb high pressure near 29N47W
    dominates the remainder subtropical Atlantic waters and provides
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas N of 22N and W of 30W.
    The gradient of pressure between the ridge and the front over the
    SW waters supports moderate to fresh S to SW winds W of 61W, where
    seas are 4 to 7 ft. South of the ridge, moderate to locally fresh
    easterly trade winds prevail across the Tropical Atlantic S of
    22N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft W of 30W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This
    in combination with a stationary front off NE Florida will force
    fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and thunderstorms
    north of 27N and west of 63W for the next several days. Fresh to
    locally strong trades will develop just north of Hispaniola and
    Puerto Rico from Wed afternoon through Sat.

    $$
    KRV

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 22:00:32
    163
    AXNT20 KNHC 282200
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Jul 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa in the far E
    Atlantic with axis near 18W, extending from 03N to 18N, and moving
    westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
    04N to 10N between 15W and 27W.

    A tropical wave is in moving from the E to the central Atlantic
    with axis near 38W, extending from 06N to 16N, and moving
    westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers are noted near the
    wave axis.

    A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with axis near 65W,
    extending from 10N to 19N or from northern Venezuela to near the
    Anegada Passage, and moving westward at around 15 kt. No
    significant convection is depicted at the moment in association
    with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis along 83W, south
    of 18N along the eastern coast of Nicaragua to across the border
    of Costa Rica and Panama and into the far eastern Tropical Pacific
    Ocean, and moving westward at around 10 kt. A cluster of
    scattered moderate convection is noted from 13N to 16.5N between
    79W and 89W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coast of
    Mauritania at 18N16W and continues to across the southern Cabo
    Verde Islands to 08N42W. The ITCZ begins near 08N42W and
    continues to 07N48W to 09.5N57W. Scattered moderate convection is
    present offshore Africa, from 04N to 10.5N between the African
    coast and 20W. Other than the convection associated with the
    tropical wave near 18W as described above, a small cluster of
    scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 09N between 42W
    and 47W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Isolated to widely scattered moderate convection is ongoing over
    the E Gulf, from 25.5N to 29N between Florida and 88W in
    associated with low level convergence occurring near a surface
    trough that extends across central Florida to near Tampa Bay.
    Similar convection is depicted near the coast of NW Cuba. The
    remainder Gulf is under the influence of a 1014 mb high centered
    near 28N93W, which is supporting light to gentle anticyclonic
    winds along a ridge from the Yucatan Channel to the high to near
    Galveston Bay, Texas. Moderate anticyclonic winds are closer to
    all coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are
    mainly 1 to 3 ft, except locally higher near NE Mexico and SE
    Texas.

    For the forecast, a ridge will remain in control of the weather
    pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to moderate winds
    for the next several days. The exception will be fresh NE winds
    off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly into the
    weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue during
    the next couple of days over the NE Gulf due to the presence of a
    frontal boundary over north- central Florida.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on associated convection. Scattered thunderstorms are occurring
    over and nearshore western Jamaica.

    Atlantic ridging dominates the region north of the basin,
    extending W-SW along 24N and across the central Bahamas. The
    pressure gradient between relatively low pressure over South
    America and the ridge is supporting moderate to fresh trades over
    the Caribbean from 11N to 18N along with 3 to 6 ft seas. Winds
    are moderate or weaker across the remainder of basin, with slight
    to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, the aerial extent and strength of the trade
    winds will increase from late Wed into Thu as the pressure
    gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombia Low
    increases. By that time, expect fresh to strong winds and moderate
    to rough seas across most of the eastern and central Caribbean,
    with the strongest winds and highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh
    to strong winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly from
    Wed through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough reaches from north of the discussion waters
    through 31N72W to near Cape Canaveral, Florida continuing across
    Central Florida to near Tampa Bay. Fresh to strong SW winds are
    found north of 27N and east of the boundary to near 63W, along
    with 5 to locally 8 ft seas, highest near 31N. Nearby scattered
    moderate convection is found east of the trough to near 63W to the
    north of 23N. A 1025 mb high pressure near 29N47W and a 1021 mb
    high pressure near 32.5N22W dominates the remainder subtropical
    Atlantic waters. Moderate to fresh trades can be found north of
    the monsoon trough and ITCZ to about 22N around the high, with
    moderate to locally fresh return flow west of 55W and elsewhere
    southeast of the frontal trough. Fresh to locally strong winds are
    near Africa to the Canary Islands from 17N to 30N to the east of
    20W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the
    remainder of the waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This
    in combination with a stationary frontal boundary off NE Florida
    will force fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
    days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just north of
    Hispaniola and Puerto Rico from Wed through Sat.

    $$
    Lewitsky

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 22:01:04
    740
    AXNT20 KNHC 282200
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa in the far E
    Atlantic with axis near 18W, extending from 03N to 18N, and moving
    westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
    04N to 10N between 15W and 27W.

    A tropical wave is in moving from the E to the central Atlantic
    with axis near 38W, extending from 06N to 16N, and moving
    westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers are noted near the
    wave axis.

    A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with axis near 65W,
    extending from 10N to 19N or from northern Venezuela to near the
    Anegada Passage, and moving westward at around 15 kt. No
    significant convection is depicted at the moment in association
    with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis along 83W, south
    of 18N along the eastern coast of Nicaragua to across the border
    of Costa Rica and Panama and into the far eastern Tropical Pacific
    Ocean, and moving westward at around 10 kt. A cluster of
    scattered moderate convection is noted from 13N to 16.5N between
    79W and 89W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coast of
    Mauritania at 18N16W and continues to across the southern Cabo
    Verde Islands to 08N42W. The ITCZ begins near 08N42W and
    continues to 07N48W to 09.5N57W. Scattered moderate convection is
    present offshore Africa, from 04N to 10.5N between the African
    coast and 20W. Other than the convection associated with the
    tropical wave near 18W as described above, a small cluster of
    scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 09N between 42W
    and 47W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Isolated to widely scattered moderate convection is ongoing over
    the E Gulf, from 25.5N to 29N between Florida and 88W in
    associated with low level convergence occurring near a surface
    trough that extends across central Florida to near Tampa Bay.
    Similar convection is depicted near the coast of NW Cuba. The
    remainder Gulf is under the influence of a 1014 mb high centered
    near 28N93W, which is supporting light to gentle anticyclonic
    winds along a ridge from the Yucatan Channel to the high to near
    Galveston Bay, Texas. Moderate anticyclonic winds are closer to
    all coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are
    mainly 1 to 3 ft, except locally higher near NE Mexico and SE
    Texas.

    For the forecast, a ridge will remain in control of the weather
    pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to moderate winds
    for the next several days. The exception will be fresh NE winds
    off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly into the
    weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue during
    the next couple of days over the NE Gulf due to the presence of a
    frontal boundary over north- central Florida.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on associated convection. Scattered thunderstorms are occurring
    over and nearshore western Jamaica.

    Atlantic ridging dominates the region north of the basin,
    extending W-SW along 24N and across the central Bahamas. The
    pressure gradient between relatively low pressure over South
    America and the ridge is supporting moderate to fresh trades over
    the Caribbean from 11N to 18N along with 3 to 6 ft seas. Winds
    are moderate or weaker across the remainder of basin, with slight
    to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, the aerial extent and strength of the trade
    winds will increase from late Wed into Thu as the pressure
    gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombia Low
    increases. By that time, expect fresh to strong winds and moderate
    to rough seas across most of the eastern and central Caribbean,
    with the strongest winds and highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh
    to strong winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly from
    Wed through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough reaches from north of the discussion waters
    through 31N72W to near Cape Canaveral, Florida continuing across
    Central Florida to near Tampa Bay. Fresh to strong SW winds are
    found north of 27N and east of the boundary to near 63W, along
    with 5 to locally 8 ft seas, highest near 31N. Nearby scattered
    moderate convection is found east of the trough to near 63W to the
    north of 23N. A 1025 mb high pressure near 29N47W and a 1021 mb
    high pressure near 32.5N22W dominates the remainder subtropical
    Atlantic waters. Moderate to fresh trades can be found north of
    the monsoon trough and ITCZ to about 22N around the high, with
    moderate to locally fresh return flow west of 55W and elsewhere
    southeast of the frontal trough. Fresh to locally strong winds are
    near Africa to the Canary Islands from 17N to 30N to the east of
    20W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the
    remainder of the waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This
    in combination with a stationary frontal boundary off NE Florida
    will force fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
    days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just north of
    Hispaniola and Puerto Rico from Wed through Sat.

    $$
    Lewitsky

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, July 29, 2026 04:56:56
    013
    AXNT20 KNHC 290456
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is analyzed in the far E Atlantic with axis near
    19W, extending from 04N to 19N, and moving westward around 10 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 15W
    and 21W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 39W,
    extending from 06N to 15N, and moving westward at around 15-20
    kt. Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.

    A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with axis near 65W,
    extending from 10N to 19N or from northern Venezuela to near the
    Anegada Passage, and is moving westward at around 10-15 kt. No
    significant convection is depicted at the moment in association
    with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the WW Caribbean with axis along 85W, south
    of 20N and into the far eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean, and is
    moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    seen S of 18N and W of 81W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coast of
    Mauritania at 19N16W and continues to 07N45W. The ITCZ begins
    near 07N45W and continues to 07.5N57W. Other than the convection
    associated with the tropical waves as described above, a small
    cluster of scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 09N
    between 42W and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is analyzed from north of Tampa Bay into the NE
    Gulf, with scattered showers near the trough axis. The remainder
    of the Gulf is under the influence of a weak 1013 mb high
    centered near 26N92W, which is supporting light to gentle
    anticyclonic winds from the Yucatan Channel to the high to near
    Galveston Bay, Texas. Moderate anticyclonic winds are closer to
    all coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are
    mainly 1 to 3 ft, except locally higher near NE Mexico and SE
    Texas.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    continue during the next couple of days over the NE Gulf due to
    the presence of a frontal boundary over north-central Florida.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on associated convection. Scattered thunderstorms are also occurring
    nearshore western Jamaica.

    The pressure gradient between relatively low pressure over South
    America and the ridge is supporting fresh to locally strong
    trades over the central to SW Caribbean along with 7 to 10 ft
    seas. Winds are moderate to fresh across the eastern Caribbean and
    remainder of the SW Caribbean, where seas are moderate. Gentle to
    moderate or weaker winds prevail across the remainder of basin,
    with slight to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, the aerial extent and strength of the trade
    winds will increase from late Wed into Thu as the pressure
    gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low
    increases. By that time, expect fresh to strong winds and moderate
    to rough seas across most of the eastern and central Caribbean,
    with the strongest winds and highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh
    to strong winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly from
    Wed through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough reaches from north of the discussion waters
    through 31N71W to near Cape Canaveral, Florida. Fresh to locally
    strong SW winds are found north of 27N and east of the boundary to
    near 65W, along with 5-8 ft seas. Nearby scattered moderate
    convection is found east of the trough to near 65W to the north of
    24N. A 1024 mb high pressure near 30N45W and an associated ridge
    dominate the remainder of the subtropical Atlantic waters.
    Moderate to fresh trades can be found north of the monsoon trough
    and ITCZ to about 22N around the high, with moderate to locally
    fresh return flow west of 55W and elsewhere southeast of the
    frontal trough. Fresh to locally strong winds are near Africa to
    the Canary Islands from 17N to 27N to the east of 20W. Moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the
    waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This,
    in combination with a stationary frontal boundary off NE Florida,
    will force fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
    days. Fresh to strong trades will develop just north of Hispaniola
    and Puerto Rico from Wed through Sat.

    $$
    Adams

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, July 29, 2026 04:57:00
    205
    AXNT20 KNHC 290456
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is analyzed in the far E Atlantic with axis near
    19W, extending from 04N to 19N, and moving westward around 10 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 15W
    and 21W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 39W,
    extending from 06N to 15N, and moving westward at around 15-20
    kt. Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.

    A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with axis near 65W,
    extending from 10N to 19N or from northern Venezuela to near the
    Anegada Passage, and is moving westward at around 10-15 kt. No
    significant convection is depicted at the moment in association
    with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the WW Caribbean with axis along 85W, south
    of 20N and into the far eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean, and is
    moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    seen S of 18N and W of 81W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coast of
    Mauritania at 19N16W and continues to 07N45W. The ITCZ begins
    near 07N45W and continues to 07.5N57W. Other than the convection
    associated with the tropical waves as described above, a small
    cluster of scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 09N
    between 42W and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is analyzed from north of Tampa Bay into the NE
    Gulf, with scattered showers near the trough axis. The remainder
    of the Gulf is under the influence of a weak 1013 mb high
    centered near 26N92W, which is supporting light to gentle
    anticyclonic winds from the Yucatan Channel to the high to near
    Galveston Bay, Texas. Moderate anticyclonic winds are closer to
    all coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are
    mainly 1 to 3 ft, except locally higher near NE Mexico and SE
    Texas.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    continue during the next couple of days over the NE Gulf due to
    the presence of a frontal boundary over north-central Florida.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on associated convection. Scattered thunderstorms are also occurring
    nearshore western Jamaica.

    The pressure gradient between relatively low pressure over South
    America and the ridge is supporting fresh to locally strong
    trades over the central to SW Caribbean along with 7 to 10 ft
    seas. Winds are moderate to fresh across the eastern Caribbean and
    remainder of the SW Caribbean, where seas are moderate. Gentle to
    moderate or weaker winds prevail across the remainder of basin,
    with slight to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, the aerial extent and strength of the trade
    winds will increase from late Wed into Thu as the pressure
    gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low
    increases. By that time, expect fresh to strong winds and moderate
    to rough seas across most of the eastern and central Caribbean,
    with the strongest winds and highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh
    to strong winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly from
    Wed through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough reaches from north of the discussion waters
    through 31N71W to near Cape Canaveral, Florida. Fresh to locally
    strong SW winds are found north of 27N and east of the boundary to
    near 65W, along with 5-8 ft seas. Nearby scattered moderate
    convection is found east of the trough to near 65W to the north of
    24N. A 1024 mb high pressure near 30N45W and an associated ridge
    dominate the remainder of the subtropical Atlantic waters.
    Moderate to fresh trades can be found north of the monsoon trough
    and ITCZ to about 22N around the high, with moderate to locally
    fresh return flow west of 55W and elsewhere southeast of the
    frontal trough. Fresh to locally strong winds are near Africa to
    the Canary Islands from 17N to 27N to the east of 20W. Moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the
    waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This,
    in combination with a stationary frontal boundary off NE Florida,
    will force fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
    days. Fresh to strong trades will develop just north of Hispaniola
    and Puerto Rico from Wed through Sat.

    $$
    Adams

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, July 29, 2026 10:09:04
    887
    AXNT20 KNHC 291008
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is analyzed in the far E Atlantic with axis near
    20W, extending from 04N to 19N, and moving westward around 10 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N between
    18W and 22W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 40W,
    extending from 06N to 15N, and moving westward at around 15-20 kt.
    Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.

    A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with axis near 65W,
    extending from 10N to 19N or from northern Venezuela to near the
    Anegada Passage, and is moving westward at around 10-15 kt. No
    significant convection is depicted at the moment in association
    with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis along 86W, south
    of 20N and into the far eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean, and is
    moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    seen S of 16N and W of 82W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coast of
    Mauritania at 19N16W and continues to 08N45W. The ITCZ begins
    near 08N45W and continues to 07N57W. Other than the convection
    associated with the tropical waves as described above, scattered
    moderate convection is noted within 60 nm on either side of the
    ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is analyzed from north of Tampa Bay into the NE
    Gulf, with scattered showers near the trough axis. The remainder
    of the Gulf is under the influence of a weak 1013 mb high
    centered near 26N90W, which is supporting light to gentle
    anticyclonic winds from the Yucatan Channel to the high to near
    Galveston Bay, Texas. Moderate anticyclonic winds are closer to
    all coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are
    mainly 1 to 3 ft, except locally higher near NE Mexico and SE
    Texas.

    For the forecast, surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue during the next couple of days over the NE Gulf
    due to the presence of a frontal boundary north of the area.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on associated convection. Scattered thunderstorms are also occurring
    nearshore western Jamaica.

    The pressure gradient between relatively low pressure over South
    America and the ridge is supporting fresh to strong trades over
    the central to SW Caribbean along with 6 to 8 ft seas. Winds are
    moderate to fresh across the eastern Caribbean and remainder of
    the SW Caribbean, where seas are moderate. Gentle to moderate or
    weaker winds prevail across the remainder of basin, with slight to
    moderate seas.

    For the forecast, the aerial extent and strength of the trade winds
    will increase from tonight into Thu as the pressure gradient
    between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By
    that time, expect fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas
    across most of the eastern and central Caribbean, with the
    strongest winds and highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh to
    strong winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through
    Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough reaches from north of the discussion waters
    from 31N70W to 28N80W. Fresh SW winds are found north of 25N and
    east of the boundary to near 60W, along with 6-9 ft seas. Nearby
    scattered moderate convection is found east of the trough to near
    65W to the north of 27N. A 1024 mb high pressure near 30N47W and
    an associated ridge dominate the remainder of the subtropical
    Atlantic waters. Moderate to fresh trades can be found north of
    the monsoon trough and ITCZ to about 22N around the high, with
    moderate to fresh return flow west of 55W and elsewhere southeast
    of the frontal trough. Fresh to strong winds are near Africa to
    the Canary Islands from 17N to 27N to the east of 20W. Moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the
    waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This,
    in combination with a frontal boundary over the W Atlantic, will
    support fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
    days. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola
    from tonight through Sat.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, July 29, 2026 15:15:58
    403
    AXNT20 KNHC 291515
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1505 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is present from 04N to 13N and between 18W and 30W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed from 04N to 15N and between 38W and
    56W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
    axis.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 88W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is evident from 10N to 19N and between 81W and 88W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the border of
    Mauritania and Senegal at 16N16W and continues to 09N22W and then
    to 12N36W. The ITCZ extends from 12N36W to 09N44W and then from
    09N46W to 06N58W. Please see the Tropical Waves section above for
    information on the convection near the monsoon trough and ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A few showers are noted over the eastern Gulf waters associated
    with low-level convergence and an upper-level trough north of the
    area. The remainder of the basin is under fairly tranquil weather
    conditions in the westernmost portion of the subtropical ridge.
    The weak pressure gradient results in moderate or weaker winds and
    slight seas over much of the Gulf waters. However, stronger winds
    and higher seas are likely occurring near the stronger convection.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-force
    easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 10 ft
    occurring off NW Colombia. A recent scatterometer satellite pass
    captured winds up to 29 kt. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes
    and moderate seas are found in the north- central and eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate easterly winds and slight to
    locally moderate seas prevail. Aside from the convection described
    in the Tropical Waves section above, no other significant
    convection is occurring in the remainder of the Caribbean waters.

    For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades will
    increase into Thu as the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By that time, expect fresh
    to strong winds and moderate to rough seas across most of the
    eastern and central Caribbean, with the strongest winds and
    highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh to strong winds are expected
    in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
    Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
    our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    within 120 nm of the trough axis. The remainder of the basin in
    under the influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a
    1025 mb high pressure system near 29N49W.

    The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
    trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6-9 ft north
    of 28N and west of 64W. Stronger winds and higher seas may be
    occurring near the stronger convection. Moderate to locally fresh
    easterly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are noted north of the ITCZ and
    monsoon trough to 24N and west of 35W. In the far eastern
    Atlantic, fresh to strong N winds and seas of 4-7 ft are evident
    north of 18N and east of 20W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
    and moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This,
    in combination with a frontal boundary over the W Atlantic, will
    support fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
    days. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola
    from tonight through Sat.

    $$
    Delgado

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 30, 2026 02:31:14
    403
    AXNT20 KNHC 292346
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 28W, south of 19N just
    west of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
    Any nearby convection is described with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
    section below.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 47W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Any nearby convection is
    described with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    An eastern to central Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south
    of 20N near the eastern Dominican Republic to western Venezuela,
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Any nearby convection is described
    with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    A now departed NW Caribbean tropical wave is along 90W, south of
    19N over the central Yucatan Peninsula, moving westward at around
    15 kt. Any nearby convection is described with the Monsoon
    Trough/ITCZ section below.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 19N16W
    to 10N20W to 14N34W. The ITCZ extends from 14N34W to along the
    northern coast of South America at 06.5N58W. Isolated to widely
    scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 10N between 21W
    and 31W, and from 05.5N to 10.5N between 44W and 58W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A persistent surface trough is from near Cape Coral, Florida to
    the eastern Gulf near 26N88W. A cluster of scattered moderate to
    strong convection is noted from 26N to 29N between 83W and 86W.
    Otherwise, 1015 mb high pressure near 27N93W controls the basin
    with light to gentle anticyclonic winds from northwest of the high
    to the southeast of the high, with moderate return flow closer to
    the coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are 1
    to 3 ft across the basin.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. A trough extends from Tampa, Florida to
    29N87W while a mid to upper level broad trough north of the area
    is slowly advancing southward toward a very moist and unstable
    Gulf airmass. This set-up will maintain active weather in the form
    of scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly over the NE Gulf
    through the rest of the week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A mid to upper level feature is supporting moderate convection in
    the NW Caribbean just southeast of the Yucatan Channel. Otherwise,
    high pressure at the surface over the central Atlantic and low
    pressure over northern Colombia supports the typical moderate to
    fresh trades across the basin from 11N to 18N, except locally
    strong near northern Colombia. Gentle to moderate winds are
    elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 8 ft from 10N to 18N to the east of 80W,
    and mainly 3 to 5 ft elsewhere except lower in the lee of Cuba.

    For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades
    will increase into Thu as the pressure gradient between the
    Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By that time,
    expect fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas across
    most of the eastern and central Caribbean, with the strongest
    winds to near gale, or possible brief gusts to gale and highest
    seas offshore Colombia. Fresh to strong winds are expected in the
    Gulf of Honduras nightly through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
    Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
    our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    within 120 nm of the trough axis. The remainder of the basin in
    under the influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a
    1024 mb high pressure system near 30N50W.

    The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
    trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft
    north of 28N and west of 65W. Stronger winds and higher seas may
    be occurring near the stronger convection. Moderate to locally
    fresh easterly winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are noted north of the
    ITCZ and monsoon trough to 22N and west of 40W. In the far
    eastern Atlantic, fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 4 to 7
    ft are evident from 15N to 30N and east of 20W. Elsewhere,
    moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, roughly along 24N-25N, through
    Fri. This, in combination with a frontal trough over the western
    Atlantic will support fresh to strong SW winds along with
    scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms primarily north of
    27N and west of 65W for the next several days. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the
    mornings through the upcoming weekend.

    $$
    Lewitsky

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 30, 2026 02:50:44
    402
    AXNT20 KNHC 292345
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 28W, south of 19N just
    west of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
    Any nearby convection is described with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
    section below.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 47W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Any nearby convection is
    described with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    An eastern to central Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south
    of 20N near the eastern Dominican Republic to western Venezuela,
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Any nearby convection is described
    with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    A now departed NW Caribbean tropical wave is along 90W, south of
    19N over the central Yucatan Peninsula, moving westward at around
    15 kt. Any nearby convection is described with the Monsoon
    Trough/ITCZ section below.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 19N16W
    to 10N20W to 14N34W. The ITCZ extends from 14N34W to along the
    northern coast of South America at 06.5N58W. Isolated to widely
    scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 10N between 21W
    and 31W, and from 05.5N to 10.5N between 44W and 58W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A persistent surface trough is from near Cape Coral, Florida to
    the eastern Gulf near 26N88W. A cluster of scattered moderate to
    strong convection is noted from 26N to 29N between 83W and 86W.
    Otherwise, 1015 mb high pressure near 27N93W controls the basin
    with light to gentle anticyclonic winds from northwest of the high
    to the southeast of the high, with moderate return flow closer to
    the coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are 1
    to 3 ft across the basin.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. A trough extends from Tampa, Florida to
    29N87W while a mid to upper level broad trough north of the area
    is slowly advancing southward toward a very moist and unstable
    Gulf airmass. This set-up will maintain active weather in the form
    of scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly over the NE Gulf
    through the rest of the week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A mid to upper level feature is supporting moderate convection in
    the NW Caribbean just southeast of the Yucatan Channel. Otherwise,
    high pressure at the surface over the central Atlantic and low
    pressure over northern Colombia supports the typical moderate to
    fresh trades across the basin from 11N to 18N, except locally
    strong near northern Colombia. Gentle to moderate winds are
    elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 8 ft from 10N to 18N to the east of 80W,
    and mainly 3 to 5 ft elsewhere except lower in the lee of Cuba.

    For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades
    will increase into Thu as the pressure gradient between the
    Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By that time,
    expect fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas across
    most of the eastern and central Caribbean, with the strongest
    winds to near gale, or possible brief gusts to gale and highest
    seas offshore Colombia. Fresh to strong winds are expected in the
    Gulf of Honduras nightly through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
    Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
    our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    within 120 nm of the trough axis. The remainder of the basin in
    under the influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a
    1024 mb high pressure system near 30N50W.

    The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
    trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft
    north of 28N and west of 65W. Stronger winds and higher seas may
    be occurring near the stronger convection. Moderate to locally
    fresh easterly winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are noted north of the
    ITCZ and monsoon trough to 22N and west of 40W. In the far
    eastern Atlantic, fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 4 to 7
    ft are evident from 15N to 30N and east of 20W. Elsewhere,
    moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, roughly along 24N-25N, through
    Fri. This, in combination with a frontal trough over the western
    Atlantic will support fresh to strong SW winds along with
    scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms primarily north of
    27N and west of 65W for the next several days. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the
    mornings through the upcoming weekend.

    $$
    Lewitsky

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 30, 2026 05:06:30
    830
    AXNT20 KNHC 300506
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, from 02N to 19N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Any nearby convection is described
    with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are seen from 07N to 13N between 46W and 57W.

    An eastern to central Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south
    of 20N near the western Dominican Republic to western Venezuela,
    moving westward at around 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
    seen near this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 19N17W
    to 09N22W to 12N36W. The ITCZ extends from 12N36W to 09N47W where
    it is broken by a tropical wave. The ITCZ then resumes from 07N50W
    to 06N54W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen
    from 06N to 11N between 25W and 30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A persistent surface trough is from near Naples, Florida to the
    eastern Gulf near 26N87W. Clusters of scattered moderate to
    strong convection are noted N of 26N and E of 86W. Otherwise,
    1014 mb high pressure near 27N91W controls the basin with gentle
    to moderate or weaker winds prevailing across much of the Gulf
    and away from areas of convection, except for the SW Gulf where a
    surface trough is driving moderate to fresh E winds. Seas are 1
    to 3 ft across the basin.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. A trough extends from Tampa, Florida to
    26N86W while a mid to upper level broad trough north of the area
    is slowly advancing southward toward a very moist and unstable
    Gulf airmass. This set-up will maintain scattered showers and
    thunderstorms mainly over the NE Gulf through the rest of the
    week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A mid to upper level feature is supporting moderate convection in
    the NW Caribbean just southeast of the Yucatan Channel. Otherwise,
    high pressure at the surface over the central Atlantic and low
    pressure over northern Colombia supports the typical fresh to
    strong trades across the basin from 11N to 18N including the Gulf
    of Honduras, except locally near gale force near northern
    Colombia. Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 8
    ft from 10N to 18N to the east of 80W, and mainly 3 to 5 ft
    elsewhere except lower in the lee of Cuba. Seas are locally 8-10
    ft offshore N Colombia.

    For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades
    will increase on Thu as the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By that time, expect fresh
    to strong winds and moderate to rough seas across most of the
    eastern and central Caribbean, with the strongest winds to near
    gale, or possible brief gusts to gale and highest seas offshore
    Colombia. Fresh winds are expected to pulse in the Gulf of
    Honduras nightly through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
    Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
    our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    N of 28N and W of 75W. The remainder of the basin is under the
    influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a 1025 mb high
    pressure system near 30N51W.

    The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
    trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft
    north of 28N and west of 65W. Moderate to locally fresh easterly
    winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are noted north of the ITCZ and
    monsoon trough to 20N and west of 40W, with locally strong E winds E
    of the Lesser Antilles to about 60W. In the far eastern Atlantic,
    fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft are evident
    from 15N to 30N and east of 20W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, roughly along 25N, through Fri.
    This, in combination with a frontal trough over the western
    Atlantic, will support fresh to strong SW winds along with
    scattered showers and thunderstorms primarily north of 27N and
    west of 70W for the next several days. Fresh to strong trades will
    pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings
    through the upcoming weekend.

    $$
    Adams

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, July 30, 2026 05:06:34
    902
    AXNT20 KNHC 300506
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, from 02N to 19N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Any nearby convection is described
    with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are seen from 07N to 13N between 46W and 57W.

    An eastern to central Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south
    of 20N near the western Dominican Republic to western Venezuela,
    moving westward at around 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
    seen near this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 19N17W
    to 09N22W to 12N36W. The ITCZ extends from 12N36W to 09N47W where
    it is broken by a tropical wave. The ITCZ then resumes from 07N50W
    to 06N54W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen
    from 06N to 11N between 25W and 30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A persistent surface trough is from near Naples, Florida to the
    eastern Gulf near 26N87W. Clusters of scattered moderate to
    strong convection are noted N of 26N and E of 86W. Otherwise,
    1014 mb high pressure near 27N91W controls the basin with gentle
    to moderate or weaker winds prevailing across much of the Gulf
    and away from areas of convection, except for the SW Gulf where a
    surface trough is driving moderate to fresh E winds. Seas are 1
    to 3 ft across the basin.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. A trough extends from Tampa, Florida to
    26N86W while a mid to upper level broad trough north of the area
    is slowly advancing southward toward a very moist and unstable
    Gulf airmass. This set-up will maintain scattered showers and
    thunderstorms mainly over the NE Gulf through the rest of the
    week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A mid to upper level feature is supporting moderate convection in
    the NW Caribbean just southeast of the Yucatan Channel. Otherwise,
    high pressure at the surface over the central Atlantic and low
    pressure over northern Colombia supports the typical fresh to
    strong trades across the basin from 11N to 18N including the Gulf
    of Honduras, except locally near gale force near northern
    Colombia. Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 8
    ft from 10N to 18N to the east of 80W, and mainly 3 to 5 ft
    elsewhere except lower in the lee of Cuba. Seas are locally 8-10
    ft offshore N Colombia.

    For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades
    will increase on Thu as the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By that time, expect fresh
    to strong winds and moderate to rough seas across most of the
    eastern and central Caribbean, with the strongest winds to near
    gale, or possible brief gusts to gale and highest seas offshore
    Colombia. Fresh winds are expected to pulse in the Gulf of
    Honduras nightly through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
    Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
    our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    N of 28N and W of 75W. The remainder of the basin is under the
    influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a 1025 mb high
    pressure system near 30N51W.

    The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
    trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft
    north of 28N and west of 65W. Moderate to locally fresh easterly
    winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are noted north of the ITCZ and
    monsoon trough to 20N and west of 40W, with locally strong E winds E
    of the Lesser Antilles to about 60W. In the far eastern Atlantic,
    fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft are evident
    from 15N to 30N and east of 20W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, roughly along 25N, through Fri.
    This, in combination with a frontal trough over the western
    Atlantic, will support fresh to strong SW winds along with
    scattered showers and thunderstorms primarily north of 27N and
    west of 70W for the next several days. Fresh to strong trades will
    pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings
    through the upcoming weekend.

    $$
    Adams

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tuesday, August 04, 2026 16:30:50
    299
    AXNT20 KNHC 041630
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1627 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An east Atlantic tropical wave is along 21W from 05N to 14.5N,
    moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 14N between 17W and 29W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W from 05N to 19N,
    moving west at 5 to 10 kt. There is no convection in association
    with this wave at this time.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 75.5W, from
    eastern Cuba to Colombia, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted in the vicinity of the Windward
    Passage.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W and continues
    southwestward to 07N46W. The ITCZ extends from 07N46W to 09N58.5W.
    Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 07N to 11N between
    40.5W and 47W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1016 mb high pressure is centered near 27N87W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the basin. Convection has
    dissipated in association with a surface trough in the Bay of
    Campeche, however, moderate E to SE winds continue over the area.
    Seas are slight to 4 ft basin-wide.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight seas into the upcoming weekend.
    Pulses of fresh winds will occur of the Yucatan Peninsula each
    night, locally strong Wed night, along with moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The gradient between the Bermuda High, of 1025 mb, centered near
    34N59W, and lower pressures over southern Caribbean due to the
    passage of a tropical wave and a low center over NW Colombia is
    supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin.
    Seas in this region are rough to 9 ft. Over the E and NW basin,
    moderate to locally fresh trades prevail along with moderate
    seas. Broad lift associated with an upper level trough and deep
    tropical moisture are aiding in the development of isolated to
    scattered moderate convection from 10N to 16N and west of 78.5W.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin into the weekend, with rough seas there, near gale force at
    times. Fresh to locally strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf
    of Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or
    weaker winds ands seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A mid to upper lever trough supports scattered moderate
    convection over the SW N Atlantic, including the Florida seaboard,
    Great Bahama Bank, and Bahamas offshore waters W of 74W.
    Scattered moderate convection has also developed farther east from
    21.5N to 29N between 65.5W and 71W. Similar convection is also
    present from 21N to 28N between 50W and 62W. The remainder of the
    basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.

    Moderate S to SW winds are offshore northern Florida to 72W.
    Fresh trades are present offshore Hispaniola, and in a zone from
    23.5N to 28N between 48W and 61W. In the far NE Atlantic, strong
    to near-gale N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are evident
    off Morocco and in the water passages of the Canary Islands.
    Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid to upper
    level trough along the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered
    thunderstorms ongoing offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the
    Bahamas into Wed. Locally strong trades will continue pulsing
    offshore Hispaniola to near the Windward Passage. A westward
    moving trough will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into
    mid-week, then approach the Bahamas by late week before shifting
    west of the area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and
    locally rough seas.

    $$
    KRV

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tuesday, August 04, 2026 16:30:52
    298
    AXNT20 KNHC 041630
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1627 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An east Atlantic tropical wave is along 21W from 05N to 14.5N,
    moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 14N between 17W and 29W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W from 05N to 19N,
    moving west at 5 to 10 kt. There is no convection in association
    with this wave at this time.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 75.5W, from
    eastern Cuba to Colombia, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted in the vicinity of the Windward
    Passage.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W and continues
    southwestward to 07N46W. The ITCZ extends from 07N46W to 09N58.5W.
    Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 07N to 11N between
    40.5W and 47W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1016 mb high pressure is centered near 27N87W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the basin. Convection has
    dissipated in association with a surface trough in the Bay of
    Campeche, however, moderate E to SE winds continue over the area.
    Seas are slight to 4 ft basin-wide.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight seas into the upcoming weekend.
    Pulses of fresh winds will occur of the Yucatan Peninsula each
    night, locally strong Wed night, along with moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The gradient between the Bermuda High, of 1025 mb, centered near
    34N59W, and lower pressures over southern Caribbean due to the
    passage of a tropical wave and a low center over NW Colombia is
    supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin.
    Seas in this region are rough to 9 ft. Over the E and NW basin,
    moderate to locally fresh trades prevail along with moderate
    seas. Broad lift associated with an upper level trough and deep
    tropical moisture are aiding in the development of isolated to
    scattered moderate convection from 10N to 16N and west of 78.5W.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin into the weekend, with rough seas there, near gale force at
    times. Fresh to locally strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf
    of Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or
    weaker winds ands seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A mid to upper lever trough supports scattered moderate
    convection over the SW N Atlantic, including the Florida seaboard,
    Great Bahama Bank, and Bahamas offshore waters W of 74W.
    Scattered moderate convection has also developed farther east from
    21.5N to 29N between 65.5W and 71W. Similar convection is also
    present from 21N to 28N between 50W and 62W. The remainder of the
    basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.

    Moderate S to SW winds are offshore northern Florida to 72W.
    Fresh trades are present offshore Hispaniola, and in a zone from
    23.5N to 28N between 48W and 61W. In the far NE Atlantic, strong
    to near-gale N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are evident
    off Morocco and in the water passages of the Canary Islands.
    Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid to upper
    level trough along the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered
    thunderstorms ongoing offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the
    Bahamas into Wed. Locally strong trades will continue pulsing
    offshore Hispaniola to near the Windward Passage. A westward
    moving trough will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into
    mid-week, then approach the Bahamas by late week before shifting
    west of the area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and
    locally rough seas.

    $$
    KRV

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tuesday, August 04, 2026 22:39:04
    385
    AXNT20 KNHC 042238
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An east Atlantic tropical wave is along 23W from 08N to 12N,
    moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 14N between 17W and 29W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 41W from 03N to 19N,
    moving west at 5 to 10 kt. There is no convection in association
    with this wave at this time.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 78W, from
    eastern Panama to Jamaica, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection active off western Panama.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 22N16W and continues
    southwestward to 14N20W to 07N45W. The ITCZ extends from 07N45W
    to 06N57W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06N to
    09N between 25W and 35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1018 mb high pressure is centered near 25N87W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the basin except for moderate SE
    winds off the Tamaulipas coast of northeast Mexico. Seas are 1-3
    ft across the basin. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are
    active off southwest Florida and over the south-central Gulf.

    For the forecast, the high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight to moderate seas into the
    upcoming weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur of the Yucatan
    Peninsula each night, locally strong Wed night, along with
    moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 7-9 ft seas persist across the
    south-central Caribbean, between high pressure north of area and
    lower pressure over northern South America. Moderate E winds and
    5-7 ft seas are noted elsewhere except for gentle E winds and 2-4
    ft over the far northwest Caribbean. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are active near the Yucatan Channel.

    For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades over the central basin into the weekend, with rough
    seas there, and near gale force winds at times. Fresh to locally
    strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
    Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds and seas will
    prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active northeast of the
    Leeward Islands from 20N to 27N between 55W and 65W, associated
    with an upper low centered near 25N60W, and a related surface
    trough along 60W from 20N to 28N. Additional showers and
    thundersotrms are active from 22n to 27N between 65W and 75W, and
    over the northern Bahamas. Moderate to fresh and 5-6 ft seas are
    noted either side of the trough from 22N to 27N between 50W and
    65W, south of 1025 mb surface high pressure centered northeast of
    Bermuda near 34N60W. Moderate to fresh E winds are noted from the
    coast of Hispaniola through the southern Bahamas. In the far NE
    Atlantic, strong to near- gale N-NE winds and moderate to rough
    seas are evident off Morocco and in the water passages of the
    Canary Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate
    seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid to upper level
    trough along the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered thunderstorms
    ongoing offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas into
    Wed. Locally strong trades will continue pulsing offshore
    Hispaniola to near the Windward Passage. A westward moving trough
    will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into mid-week, then
    approach the Bahamas by late week before shifting west of the
    area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough
    seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and central waters
    this weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    Christensen

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, August 05, 2026 06:18:26
    101
    AXNT20 KNHC 050618
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 24W from 06N to 17N, moving west at
    around 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N
    to 14N between 21W and 28W.

    A tropical wave is along 42W from 07N to 18N, moving west at 5-10
    kt. Scattered moderate convection is limited to the southern wave
    environment, from 05N to 08N between 38W and 44W.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 80W,
    extending southward from 19N, and moving west at 10 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is active in the lee side of Cuba and in the
    Gulf of Honduras.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
    southwestward to 10N26W to 08N38W. The ITCZ extends from 07N43W
    to 07N54W. Aside from the convection associated with the tropical
    waves, scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 10N between
    30W and 40W, and from 06N to 10N between 44W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1016 mb high pressure is centered near 26N86W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the northern Gulf N of 26N and the
    SE basin. A surface trough move off the Yucatan to the Gulf of
    Campeche tonight, and is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E
    winds over the SW basin. Moderate SE winds is also present in the
    immediate offshores of E Mexico to near 94W. Seas basin-wide are
    1-4 ft. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are active over
    the SE Gulf S of 25N and E of 89W, and in the Bay of Campeche due
    to the surface trough.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight to moderate seas into the
    weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur west of the Yucatan
    Peninsula each night, locally strong Wed night, along with
    moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 7-10 ft seas persist across the
    south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
    pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
    America. Moderate E winds and 3-6 ft seas are noted in the E
    Caribbean. In the NW basin, trade winds are moderate to fresh and
    seas slight to moderate. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    active SE of the Dominican Republic.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support strong trades, occasionally reaching near
    gale, and associated rough seas, over the central basin into the
    weekend. Fresh to locally strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf
    of Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or
    weaker winds and seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers are active across the E Florida offshores,
    including the seaboard. Farther east, a surface trough extending
    from 27N61W to 20N63W is generating scattered showers and tstms
    from 21N to 27N between 56W and 66W. Surface ridging prevails
    elsewhere in the subtropical waters. In the far NE Atlantic,
    strong to near- gale N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are
    evident off Morocco and in the water passages of the Canary
    Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a mid- and upper-level trough along
    the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered thunderstorms ongoing
    offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas into Wed.
    Locally strong trades will continue pulsing offshore Hispaniola to
    near the Windward Passage. A westward moving trough will pass
    north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola Wed and Wed night, then
    approach the Bahamas by late week before shifting west of the
    area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough
    seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and central waters
    this weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, August 05, 2026 06:18:32
    291
    AXNT20 KNHC 050618
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 24W from 06N to 17N, moving west at
    around 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N
    to 14N between 21W and 28W.

    A tropical wave is along 42W from 07N to 18N, moving west at 5-10
    kt. Scattered moderate convection is limited to the southern wave
    environment, from 05N to 08N between 38W and 44W.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 80W,
    extending southward from 19N, and moving west at 10 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is active in the lee side of Cuba and in the
    Gulf of Honduras.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
    southwestward to 10N26W to 08N38W. The ITCZ extends from 07N43W
    to 07N54W. Aside from the convection associated with the tropical
    waves, scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 10N between
    30W and 40W, and from 06N to 10N between 44W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1016 mb high pressure is centered near 26N86W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the northern Gulf N of 26N and the
    SE basin. A surface trough move off the Yucatan to the Gulf of
    Campeche tonight, and is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E
    winds over the SW basin. Moderate SE winds is also present in the
    immediate offshores of E Mexico to near 94W. Seas basin-wide are
    1-4 ft. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are active over
    the SE Gulf S of 25N and E of 89W, and in the Bay of Campeche due
    to the surface trough.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight to moderate seas into the
    weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur west of the Yucatan
    Peninsula each night, locally strong Wed night, along with
    moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 7-10 ft seas persist across the
    south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
    pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
    America. Moderate E winds and 3-6 ft seas are noted in the E
    Caribbean. In the NW basin, trade winds are moderate to fresh and
    seas slight to moderate. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    active SE of the Dominican Republic.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support strong trades, occasionally reaching near
    gale, and associated rough seas, over the central basin into the
    weekend. Fresh to locally strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf
    of Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or
    weaker winds and seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers are active across the E Florida offshores,
    including the seaboard. Farther east, a surface trough extending
    from 27N61W to 20N63W is generating scattered showers and tstms
    from 21N to 27N between 56W and 66W. Surface ridging prevails
    elsewhere in the subtropical waters. In the far NE Atlantic,
    strong to near- gale N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are
    evident off Morocco and in the water passages of the Canary
    Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a mid- and upper-level trough along
    the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered thunderstorms ongoing
    offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas into Wed.
    Locally strong trades will continue pulsing offshore Hispaniola to
    near the Windward Passage. A westward moving trough will pass
    north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola Wed and Wed night, then
    approach the Bahamas by late week before shifting west of the
    area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough
    seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and central waters
    this weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, August 05, 2026 09:50:02
    507
    AXNT20 KNHC 050949
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 26W from 07N to 17N, moving west at
    around 5-10 kt. Convection previously associated with this wave
    has diminished early this morning.

    A tropical wave is along 43W from 08N to 18N, moving west at 5-10
    kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at this
    time.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 82W,
    extending southward from the Cayman Islands, and moving west at
    10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    from the lee of Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
    southwestward to 10N26W to 08N39W. The ITCZ extends from 07N43W
    to 07N55W. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 10N
    between 30W and 40W and from 06N to 10N between 44W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1017 mb high pressure is centered near 26N86W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the basin. A surface trough in the
    Bay of Campeche is producing moderate NE to E winds over the SW
    basin. Seas basin-wide are 1-4 ft. A mid- and upper-level trough
    is leading to scattered moderate convection offshore western Cuba,
    and the aforementioned trough is causing scattered moderate
    convection within 90 nm of the coast of Veracruz.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate, promoting
    gentle winds and slight seas through the weekend. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur west of the Yucatan Peninsula each night, along
    with moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
    the basin.

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 8 to 11 ft seas persist across
    the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
    pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
    America. Moderate E winds and 3-6 ft seas are noted in the E
    Caribbean and NW basin.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support strong trades in the south-central basin,
    and as the gradient tightenings into the weekend, winds will
    increase to near gale. Fresh winds will also pulse in the Gulf of
    Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or
    weaker winds and seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extending from 27N63W to 21N64W is generating
    scattered moderate convection from 21N to 27N between 57W and 66W.
    Fresh E winds and seas to 8 ft area also occurring in this zone.
    In the far NE Atlantic, strong to near- gale N-NE winds and
    moderate to rough seas are evident off Morocco and in the passages
    of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, surface ridging prevails, with
    gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a mid- and upper-level trough along
    the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered thunderstorms ongoing
    offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas today. A
    westward moving trough will pass north of Puerto Rico and
    Hispaniola into tonight, then approach the Bahamas before shifting
    west of the area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and
    locally rough seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and
    central waters this weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    Konarik

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, August 05, 2026 09:50:06
    508
    AXNT20 KNHC 050949
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 26W from 07N to 17N, moving west at
    around 5-10 kt. Convection previously associated with this wave
    has diminished early this morning.

    A tropical wave is along 43W from 08N to 18N, moving west at 5-10
    kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at this
    time.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 82W,
    extending southward from the Cayman Islands, and moving west at
    10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    from the lee of Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
    southwestward to 10N26W to 08N39W. The ITCZ extends from 07N43W
    to 07N55W. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 10N
    between 30W and 40W and from 06N to 10N between 44W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1017 mb high pressure is centered near 26N86W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the basin. A surface trough in the
    Bay of Campeche is producing moderate NE to E winds over the SW
    basin. Seas basin-wide are 1-4 ft. A mid- and upper-level trough
    is leading to scattered moderate convection offshore western Cuba,
    and the aforementioned trough is causing scattered moderate
    convection within 90 nm of the coast of Veracruz.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate, promoting
    gentle winds and slight seas through the weekend. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur west of the Yucatan Peninsula each night, along
    with moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
    the basin.

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 8 to 11 ft seas persist across
    the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
    pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
    America. Moderate E winds and 3-6 ft seas are noted in the E
    Caribbean and NW basin.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support strong trades in the south-central basin,
    and as the gradient tightenings into the weekend, winds will
    increase to near gale. Fresh winds will also pulse in the Gulf of
    Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or
    weaker winds and seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extending from 27N63W to 21N64W is generating
    scattered moderate convection from 21N to 27N between 57W and 66W.
    Fresh E winds and seas to 8 ft area also occurring in this zone.
    In the far NE Atlantic, strong to near- gale N-NE winds and
    moderate to rough seas are evident off Morocco and in the passages
    of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, surface ridging prevails, with
    gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a mid- and upper-level trough along
    the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered thunderstorms ongoing
    offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas today. A
    westward moving trough will pass north of Puerto Rico and
    Hispaniola into tonight, then approach the Bahamas before shifting
    west of the area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and
    locally rough seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and
    central waters this weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    Konarik

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, August 05, 2026 16:32:02
    723
    AXNT20 KNHC 051631
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 27W from 06N to 17N, moving west at
    around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from
    06N to 11.5N between 25W and 29W.

    A tropical wave is along 43.5W from 08N to 18.5N, moving west at
    5 to 10 kt. No significant convection is associated with this
    wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 82.5W,
    extending southward from west of the Cayman Islands, and moving
    west at 5 to 10 kt. Isolated to scattered moderate convection is
    noted along and to the west of the wave axis from 09N to 19N.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W and continues
    southwestward to 10N27W to 08N49W. The ITCZ extends from 08N49W
    to 08N58W. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to 10N
    between 29W and 34W and from 07N to 10N between 36.5W and 42W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1018 mb high pressure is centered near 28.5N85W, supporting
    light to gentle winds across most of the basin. A surface trough
    in the Bay of Campeche is producing moderate E to SE winds over
    the SW basin. Seas basin-wide are 1 to 4 ft. A mid- and upper-
    level trough is leading to scattered moderate convection over the
    eastern Gulf, and the aforementioned trough is causing scattered
    moderate convection over the western Bay of Campeche.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle to occasionally moderate winds, and slight seas
    through the upcoming weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur
    west of the Yucatan Peninsula each night, along with moderate
    seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
    the basin.

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 8 to 10 ft seas persist across
    the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
    pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
    America. Moderate E winds and 3-6 ft seas are noted elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support strong trades in the south-central basin,
    and as the gradient tightenings into the weekend, winds will
    increase to near gale. Rough seas will prevail there, building to
    very rough at times this weekend. Fresh winds will also pulse in
    the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly
    moderate or weaker winds and seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A mid- and upper-level trough along the SE U.S. coast is
    supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms offshore Florida
    and in the vicinity of the Bahamas. A surface trough extending
    from 24.5N63W to 19N67W is generating scattered moderate
    convection from 19N to 27N between 56W and 67W. Fresh to locally
    strong E winds and seas to 8 ft area also occurring in this zone.
    In the far NE Atlantic, strong to near- gale N-NE winds and
    moderate to rough seas are evident off Morocco and in the passages
    of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, surface ridging prevails, with
    gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid- and upper-
    level trough along the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered
    thunderstorms ongoing offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the
    Bahamas through at least today. A westward moving surface trough
    will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into tonight, then
    approach the Bahamas Thu before shifting west of the area by late
    Fri, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough
    seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and central waters
    during the upcoming weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    KRV

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wednesday, August 05, 2026 21:58:36
    481
    AXNT20 KNHC 052158
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Aug 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 29W from 06N to 17N, moving west at
    around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from
    08N to 13N between 25W and 32W.

    A tropical wave is along 44W from 08N to 18N, moving west at 5 to
    10 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
    this time.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 84W, and
    moving west at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    from eastern Panama to northeast Costa Rica.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 23N16W and continues
    southwestward to 09N30W to 06N45W. The ITCZ extends from 06N45W
    to 08N57W. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 10N
    between 35W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1019 mb high pressure is centered near 27N89W. A trough is
    parallel to the coast of Veracruz in the southwest Gulf. This
    pattern is supporting moderate SE winds and 2-4 ft seas over the
    western Gulf, and light to gentle breezes with 1-3 ft seas
    elsewhere. A mid- and upper- level trough is supporting scattered
    showers and thunderstorms active over the southeast Gulf and the
    west- central Gulf.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate, promoting
    gentle to occasionally moderate winds, and slight seas through
    the upcoming weekend and into early next week. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur west of the Yucatan Peninsula each night, locally
    strong tonight, along with moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
    the basin.

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 8 to 10 ft seas persist across
    the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
    pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
    America. Moderate E winds and 3-6 ft seas are noted elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support strong trades in the south-central basin,
    and as the gradient tightenings into the weekend and into early
    next week, winds will increase to near gale. Rough seas will
    prevail there, building to very rough at times this weekend.
    Fresh winds will also pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
    Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds and seas will
    prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A mid- and upper-level trough between Bermuda and eastern Cuba is
    supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms offshore Florida
    and in the vicinity of the Bahamas. A few showers and
    thunderstorms are also active along a surface trough extending
    from 26N66W to 20N68W. Fresh E winds and rough seas are ongoing on
    the northern end of this trough, specifically from 24N to 26N
    between 62W and 67W. In the far NE Atlantic, strong to near- gale
    N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are evident off Morocco and
    in the passages of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, surface ridging
    prevails, with gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid- and upper-
    level trough along the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered
    thunderstorms ongoing offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the
    Bahamas through at least tonight. A westward moving surface trough
    will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into tonight, then
    approach the Bahamas Thu before shifting west of the area by late
    Fri, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough
    seas. Winds may pulse to fresh to strong at times from north of
    Hispaniola to the Windward Passage. Otherwise, weak ridging
    settles across the northern and central waters during the upcoming
    weekend and into early next week, bringing tranquil marine
    conditions.

    $$
    Christensen

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, August 06, 2026 04:44:04
    594
    AXNT20 KNHC 060443
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Aug 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0430 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 31W from 06N to 17N, moving west at
    around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.

    A tropical wave is along 46W from 08N to 18N, moving west at 5 to
    10 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
    this time.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 86W and S of
    20N, and moving west at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection
    is noted from eastern Panama to northeast Costa Rica.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 23N16W and continues
    southwestward to 08N42W. The ITCZ extends from 08N45W to 06N57W.
    Scattered showers are noted along the monsoon trough
    between 31W-44W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1019 mb high pressure is centered over northern Florida. This
    pattern is supporting moderate SE winds and 2-4 ft seas over the
    western Gulf, and light to gentle breezes with 1-3 ft seas
    elsewhere. A mid-to-upper level trough is supporting scattered
    showers and thunderstorms active over the southeast Gulf and the
    Florida peninsula.

    For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the basin,
    promoting gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas through the
    upcoming weekend and into early next week. Pulses of fresh winds
    will occur west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of
    Campeche each night, locally strong tonight, along with moderate
    seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
    the basin.

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 8 to 9 ft seas persist across
    the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
    pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
    America. Moderate E winds and 3-7 ft seas are noted elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will continue
    to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central and portions
    of the SW basin through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N
    of the region will shift southward, acting to increase the
    pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and
    in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-
    force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to
    very rough at times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.
    Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
    Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds and seas will
    prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A mid-to-upper level trough extends from between Bermuda and
    eastern Cuba is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms
    offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms are also active along a surface trough
    extending from 27N67W to 20N71W. Fresh E winds and rough seas are
    ongoing near the trough, from 23N to 26N between 65W and 672W. In
    the far NE Atlantic, strong N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas
    are evident off Morocco and in the passages of the Canary
    Islands. Elsewhere, surface ridging prevails, with gentle to
    moderate winds and moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid-to-upper
    level trough will keep scattered showers and thunderstorms ongoing
    offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas through at
    least tonight. A westward moving surface trough moving N of
    Hispaniola tonight will approach the Bahamas Thu before shifting
    west of the area by late Fri, bringing fresh to locally strong
    winds and locally rough seas. Winds may pulse to fresh to strong
    at times from north of Hispaniola to the Windward Passage.
    Otherwise, weak ridging settles across the northern and central
    waters during the upcoming weekend and into early next week,
    bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, August 06, 2026 04:44:06
    593
    AXNT20 KNHC 060443
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Aug 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0430 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 31W from 06N to 17N, moving west at
    around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.

    A tropical wave is along 46W from 08N to 18N, moving west at 5 to
    10 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
    this time.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 86W and S of
    20N, and moving west at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection
    is noted from eastern Panama to northeast Costa Rica.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 23N16W and continues
    southwestward to 08N42W. The ITCZ extends from 08N45W to 06N57W.
    Scattered showers are noted along the monsoon trough
    between 31W-44W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1019 mb high pressure is centered over northern Florida. This
    pattern is supporting moderate SE winds and 2-4 ft seas over the
    western Gulf, and light to gentle breezes with 1-3 ft seas
    elsewhere. A mid-to-upper level trough is supporting scattered
    showers and thunderstorms active over the southeast Gulf and the
    Florida peninsula.

    For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the basin,
    promoting gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas through the
    upcoming weekend and into early next week. Pulses of fresh winds
    will occur west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of
    Campeche each night, locally strong tonight, along with moderate
    seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
    the basin.

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 8 to 9 ft seas persist across
    the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
    pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
    America. Moderate E winds and 3-7 ft seas are noted elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will continue
    to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central and portions
    of the SW basin through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N
    of the region will shift southward, acting to increase the
    pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and
    in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-
    force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to
    very rough at times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.
    Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
    Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds and seas will
    prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A mid-to-upper level trough extends from between Bermuda and
    eastern Cuba is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms
    offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms are also active along a surface trough
    extending from 27N67W to 20N71W. Fresh E winds and rough seas are
    ongoing near the trough, from 23N to 26N between 65W and 672W. In
    the far NE Atlantic, strong N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas
    are evident off Morocco and in the passages of the Canary
    Islands. Elsewhere, surface ridging prevails, with gentle to
    moderate winds and moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid-to-upper
    level trough will keep scattered showers and thunderstorms ongoing
    offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas through at
    least tonight. A westward moving surface trough moving N of
    Hispaniola tonight will approach the Bahamas Thu before shifting
    west of the area by late Fri, bringing fresh to locally strong
    winds and locally rough seas. Winds may pulse to fresh to strong
    at times from north of Hispaniola to the Windward Passage.
    Otherwise, weak ridging settles across the northern and central
    waters during the upcoming weekend and into early next week,
    bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, August 06, 2026 10:34:16
    906
    AXNT20 KNHC 061033
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Aug 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1020 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The Bermuda High will shift southward to
    the SW N Atlantic waters over the weekend, which will tighten the
    pressure gradient in the central and portions of the SW Caribbean,
    thus resulting in the acceleration of winds from fresh to strong
    to fresh to near gale force off Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela. Regional effects will further enhance the winds to
    gale force offshore Colombia at night Fri and Sat, thus building
    seas from rough to very rough. Please read the latest HIGH
    SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8tEvJt1X2zhnxhWcnHkITKvpzPg5nj9WfXmBYC5i2DXoOzrTiRXjKdDLqv2oPeQ2RHdzLRQd3nscJ4rf-ZAdSvlKGoE$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is over the E Atlantic with axis near 33W,
    extending from 06N to 16N, and moving west at around 15-20 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to 13N between 31W and
    39W.

    A tropical wave is over the central Atlantic with axis near 48W,
    extending from 07N to 18N, and moving west at 15-20 kt. No
    significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is in the far W Caribbean with axis near 87W,
    extending southward from 19N into the E Pacific waters, and
    moving west at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is associated
    with this wave at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    southwestward to 11N30W to 10N40W. The ITCZ extends from 10N40W
    to 09N45W, then resumes W of a tropical wave from 08N49W to 09N60W.
    Aside from the convection associated with two tropical waves in
    the section above, numerous moderate isolated strong convection is
    offshore W Africa associated with the next tropical wave forecast
    to emerge off the coast later this morning.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1025 mb high located just NW of Bermuda extends a ridge across
    northern Florida SW into the Gulf, except for the Bay of Campeche
    where a surface trough is generating scattered showers and
    supporting moderate to fresh E winds along with moderate seas.
    Elsewhere, return flow is gentle to moderate and seas slight.

    For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will
    dominate across most of the Gulf through late Mon, supporting
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds N of 22N along with slight seas.
    Pulses of fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan
    Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface
    trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf. Slight
    to moderate seas are forecast for this portion of the basin
    through Mon night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb high located just NW of
    Bermuda and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central basin
    along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh trades are
    elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras and in the
    lee side of Cuba. Seas are slight to moderate over the NW basin
    and moderate over the E Caribbean. In terms of shower activity, a
    surface trough starting to move across the Turks and Caicos is
    supporting scattered showers and tstms in the Windward Passage
    while the E extension of the E Pacific monsoon trough is
    supporting similar convection offshore Costa Rica, Nicaragua and
    Panama.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
    and portions of the SW basin through Mon night. Over the weekend,
    the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
    the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and
    to gale-force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there,
    building to very rough at times this weekend with the increase in
    wind speed. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and
    Windward Passage through the forecast period, except over the
    weekend when winds are likely to pulse to strong speed. Otherwise,
    mainly moderate to fresh easterlies will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Surface ridging from the Azores-Bermuda Highs dominate the
    subtropical Atlantic waters, which is supporting gentle to
    moderate NE to E winds between 23W and 60W. Over the far NE
    Atlantic, strong N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are evident
    off Morocco and in the passages of the Canary Islands while a
    surface trough moving across the Turks and Caicos is supporting
    fresh to strong winds and scattered heavy showers over the Bahamas
    offshores.

    For the forecast west of 55W, an upper-level low NE of Freeport
    will continue to support scattered showers and thunderstorms
    offshore E Florida and in the Great Bahama Bank through early this
    evening. However, a westward moving surface trough over the
    central and southern Bahamas offshores, will resume the shower
    activity across the Florida seaboard and offshores Fri morning
    before shifting west of the area Fri night into early Sat. Aside
    from the shower activity, the surface trough will bring fresh to
    locally strong winds and rough seas across the Bahamas offshores
    through tonight. Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in
    the approaches of the Windward Passage through the period,
    reaching strong speeds Sun night into Mon as the Bermuda High
    shifts southward.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, August 06, 2026 10:34:20
    017
    AXNT20 KNHC 061034
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Aug 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1020 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The Bermuda High will shift southward to
    the SW N Atlantic waters over the weekend, which will tighten the
    pressure gradient in the central and portions of the SW Caribbean,
    thus resulting in the acceleration of winds from fresh to strong
    to fresh to near gale force off Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela. Regional effects will further enhance the winds to
    gale force offshore Colombia at night Fri and Sat, thus building
    seas from rough to very rough. Please read the latest HIGH
    SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8gEAp7ctLuUrO1HfFcMJuvCCv4ORnT0Qa0xYQKaCBrpMa61tRkt7Yj6AZcgWFOiTdGr0GnQ73mCrOSF90_C0YHo8txU$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is over the E Atlantic with axis near 33W,
    extending from 06N to 16N, and moving west at around 15-20 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to 13N between 31W and
    39W.

    A tropical wave is over the central Atlantic with axis near 48W,
    extending from 07N to 18N, and moving west at 15-20 kt. No
    significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is in the far W Caribbean with axis near 87W,
    extending southward from 19N into the E Pacific waters, and
    moving west at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is associated
    with this wave at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    southwestward to 11N30W to 10N40W. The ITCZ extends from 10N40W
    to 09N45W, then resumes W of a tropical wave from 08N49W to 09N60W.
    Aside from the convection associated with two tropical waves in
    the section above, numerous moderate isolated strong convection is
    offshore W Africa associated with the next tropical wave forecast
    to emerge off the coast later this morning.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1025 mb high located just NW of Bermuda extends a ridge across
    northern Florida SW into the Gulf, except for the Bay of Campeche
    where a surface trough is generating scattered showers and
    supporting moderate to fresh E winds along with moderate seas.
    Elsewhere, return flow is gentle to moderate and seas slight.

    For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will
    dominate across most of the Gulf through late Mon, supporting
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds N of 22N along with slight seas.
    Pulses of fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan
    Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface
    trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf. Slight
    to moderate seas are forecast for this portion of the basin
    through Mon night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb high located just NW of
    Bermuda and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central basin
    along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh trades are
    elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras and in the
    lee side of Cuba. Seas are slight to moderate over the NW basin
    and moderate over the E Caribbean. In terms of shower activity, a
    surface trough starting to move across the Turks and Caicos is
    supporting scattered showers and tstms in the Windward Passage
    while the E extension of the E Pacific monsoon trough is
    supporting similar convection offshore Costa Rica, Nicaragua and
    Panama.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
    and portions of the SW basin through Mon night. Over the weekend,
    the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
    the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and
    to gale-force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there,
    building to very rough at times this weekend with the increase in
    wind speed. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and
    Windward Passage through the forecast period, except over the
    weekend when winds are likely to pulse to strong speed. Otherwise,
    mainly moderate to fresh easterlies will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Surface ridging from the Azores-Bermuda Highs dominate the
    subtropical Atlantic waters, which is supporting gentle to
    moderate NE to E winds between 23W and 60W. Over the far NE
    Atlantic, strong N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are evident
    off Morocco and in the passages of the Canary Islands while a
    surface trough moving across the Turks and Caicos is supporting
    fresh to strong winds and scattered heavy showers over the Bahamas
    offshores.

    For the forecast west of 55W, an upper-level low NE of Freeport
    will continue to support scattered showers and thunderstorms
    offshore E Florida and in the Great Bahama Bank through early this
    evening. However, a westward moving surface trough over the
    central and southern Bahamas offshores, will resume the shower
    activity across the Florida seaboard and offshores Fri morning
    before shifting west of the area Fri night into early Sat. Aside
    from the shower activity, the surface trough will bring fresh to
    locally strong winds and rough seas across the Bahamas offshores
    through tonight. Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in
    the approaches of the Windward Passage through the period,
    reaching strong speeds Sun night into Mon as the Bermuda High
    shifts southward.

    $$
    Ramos

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, August 06, 2026 16:53:28
    490
    AXNT20 KNHC 061653
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Aug 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1650 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
    trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
    through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!55IeEjQwY06lIzcurQBQkIJ3iQPA2p1HvbTsyTJvLzowkicHTpaQUjIJsFvDd4tnU7_9UeW97cLWIX-EghoSPDS3q-c$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is added to the 1200 UTC Unified Surface Analysis
    along 19W south 20N. Scattered to numerous moderate convection is
    noted from 08N to 11N between 15W and 21W, and from 11N to 14N
    between 19W and 22W.

    A second tropical wave is along 38W S of 20N, and moving west at
    15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 11N
    between 34W and 40W.

    A third tropical wave is along 51W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to 20
    kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at this
    time.

    A tropical wave is along northern Central America with axis along
    89W. Please, see the TWDEP for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
    near Dakar and continues southwestward to near 10N36W. The ITCZ
    extends from 09N40W to the coast of Venezuela near 09.5N61W. Aside
    from the convection associated with the tropical waves, limited
    convective activity is noted elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1027 mb located near Bermuda extends a ridge
    westward across Florida into the Gulf region while a surface
    trough is analyzed over the central Bay of Campeche. Under this
    weather pattern, a light to gentle anticyclonic flow prevail,
    with the exception of gentle to moderate E to SE winds on the
    east side of the aforementioned trough. Slight to moderate seas
    are noted, with the highest seas in the Bay of Campeche. Numerous
    showers and thunderstorms continue to develop over parts of
    Florida, the Straits of Florida and the SE Gulf as an upper-level
    low remains over the eastern Gulf.

    For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will dominate
    across most of the Gulf through late Mon, supporting gentle to
    moderate E to SE winds N of 22N along with slight seas. Pulses of
    fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and
    into the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates
    from the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas
    are forecast for this portion of the basin through Mon night. In
    addition, a surface trough currently located over the western
    Atlantic and the Turks and Caicos Islands will continue to move
    across the Bahamas today and tonight before reaching Florida on
    Friday, leading to increased shower activity.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1027 mb high located near Bermuda
    and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
    over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
    along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades
    are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras and in
    the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate. In terms of shower
    activity, a surface trough starting to move across the Turks and
    Caicos Islands combined with an upper-level low spinning between
    Haiti and Jamaica is supporting scattered showers and tstms in the
    Windward Passage as well as in the vicinity of Jamaica and the
    Cayman Islands. The east extension of the E Pacific monsoon trough
    is supporting similar convective activity offshore NW Colombia
    and eastern Panama.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
    and portions of the SW basin through Mon night. Over the weekend,
    the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
    the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia
    and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to
    gale-force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there, building
    to very rough at times this weekend with the increase in wind
    speed. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
    Passage through the forecast period, except over the weekend when
    winds may pulse to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to
    fresh easterlies will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    As is typical for this time of the year, three tropical waves are
    moving between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.
    About 60 tropical waves develop over North Africa each year.

    A surface trough is analyzed over the western Atlantic, and runs
    from 28N69W to the Turks and Caicos Islands. Numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are associated with this trough covering the waters
    from 23N to 29N between 67W and 75W. Fresh to locally strong
    winds are on either side of the trough axis between 25N and 28N
    with seas of 8 to 10 ft based on scatterometer and altimeter data.
    The remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters is under the
    influence of high pressure, with the main center of 1027 mb
    situated near Bermuda. The pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    high pressure and lower pressures over NW Africa supports fresh
    to strong N to NE winds offshore Morocco and Western Sahara,
    including the Canary Islands with seas in the 6 to 8 ft range.
    Moderate to fresh NE winds are seen per scatterometer data ahead
    of the tropical wave located near 51W. Elsewhere gentle to moderate
    winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, an upper-level low NE of Freeport
    will continue to support scattered showers and thunderstorms
    offshore E Florida and in the Great Bahama Bank through early this
    evening. A westward moving surface trough over the central and
    southern Bahamas offshores, will resume the shower activity across
    the Florida seaboard and offshores Fri morning before shifting
    west of the area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower
    activity, the surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong
    winds and rough seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight.
    Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches
    of the Windward Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds
    Sun night into Mon as the Bermuda High shifts southward.

    $$
    GR

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, August 06, 2026 16:53:34
    489
    AXNT20 KNHC 061653
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Aug 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1650 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
    trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
    through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9oy0AA9hr0pYWunH0CNMg3oNogFLI5dieGc8LXfxiemazt07Gc3qT6GuqvNA9Ls0CYE5R3g5ZhiB2tixEP3Drl5SvA8$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is added to the 1200 UTC Unified Surface Analysis
    along 19W south 20N. Scattered to numerous moderate convection is
    noted from 08N to 11N between 15W and 21W, and from 11N to 14N
    between 19W and 22W.

    A second tropical wave is along 38W S of 20N, and moving west at
    15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 11N
    between 34W and 40W.

    A third tropical wave is along 51W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to 20
    kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at this
    time.

    A tropical wave is along northern Central America with axis along
    89W. Please, see the TWDEP for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
    near Dakar and continues southwestward to near 10N36W. The ITCZ
    extends from 09N40W to the coast of Venezuela near 09.5N61W. Aside
    from the convection associated with the tropical waves, limited
    convective activity is noted elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1027 mb located near Bermuda extends a ridge
    westward across Florida into the Gulf region while a surface
    trough is analyzed over the central Bay of Campeche. Under this
    weather pattern, a light to gentle anticyclonic flow prevail,
    with the exception of gentle to moderate E to SE winds on the
    east side of the aforementioned trough. Slight to moderate seas
    are noted, with the highest seas in the Bay of Campeche. Numerous
    showers and thunderstorms continue to develop over parts of
    Florida, the Straits of Florida and the SE Gulf as an upper-level
    low remains over the eastern Gulf.

    For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will dominate
    across most of the Gulf through late Mon, supporting gentle to
    moderate E to SE winds N of 22N along with slight seas. Pulses of
    fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and
    into the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates
    from the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas
    are forecast for this portion of the basin through Mon night. In
    addition, a surface trough currently located over the western
    Atlantic and the Turks and Caicos Islands will continue to move
    across the Bahamas today and tonight before reaching Florida on
    Friday, leading to increased shower activity.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1027 mb high located near Bermuda
    and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
    over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
    along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades
    are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras and in
    the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate. In terms of shower
    activity, a surface trough starting to move across the Turks and
    Caicos Islands combined with an upper-level low spinning between
    Haiti and Jamaica is supporting scattered showers and tstms in the
    Windward Passage as well as in the vicinity of Jamaica and the
    Cayman Islands. The east extension of the E Pacific monsoon trough
    is supporting similar convective activity offshore NW Colombia
    and eastern Panama.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
    and portions of the SW basin through Mon night. Over the weekend,
    the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
    the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia
    and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to
    gale-force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there, building
    to very rough at times this weekend with the increase in wind
    speed. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
    Passage through the forecast period, except over the weekend when
    winds may pulse to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to
    fresh easterlies will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    As is typical for this time of the year, three tropical waves are
    moving between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.
    About 60 tropical waves develop over North Africa each year.

    A surface trough is analyzed over the western Atlantic, and runs
    from 28N69W to the Turks and Caicos Islands. Numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are associated with this trough covering the waters
    from 23N to 29N between 67W and 75W. Fresh to locally strong
    winds are on either side of the trough axis between 25N and 28N
    with seas of 8 to 10 ft based on scatterometer and altimeter data.
    The remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters is under the
    influence of high pressure, with the main center of 1027 mb
    situated near Bermuda. The pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    high pressure and lower pressures over NW Africa supports fresh
    to strong N to NE winds offshore Morocco and Western Sahara,
    including the Canary Islands with seas in the 6 to 8 ft range.
    Moderate to fresh NE winds are seen per scatterometer data ahead
    of the tropical wave located near 51W. Elsewhere gentle to moderate
    winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, an upper-level low NE of Freeport
    will continue to support scattered showers and thunderstorms
    offshore E Florida and in the Great Bahama Bank through early this
    evening. A westward moving surface trough over the central and
    southern Bahamas offshores, will resume the shower activity across
    the Florida seaboard and offshores Fri morning before shifting
    west of the area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower
    activity, the surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong
    winds and rough seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight.
    Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches
    of the Windward Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds
    Sun night into Mon as the Bermuda High shifts southward.

    $$
    GR

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, August 06, 2026 21:58:46
    379
    AXNT20 KNHC 062158
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
    trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
    through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6NVJziHt-bO3TJzeQwvcPboKuEIDat4fOym5hHb_FllobKutM-sszVDPwYXyDk1PJXCj-GCEh0xd2mRs_Z51axE68Kk$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 19W south 20N. Scattered to numerous
    moderate convection is noted from 09N to 13N between 20W and 25W.


    A second tropical wave is along 39W S of 20N, and moving west at
    15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 11N
    between 34W and 40W.

    A third tropical wave is along 52W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
    20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
    this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
    near Dakar and continues southwestward to near 11N35W. The ITCZ
    extends from 10N40W to the coast of Venezuela near 09.5N61W.
    Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
    limited convective activity is noted elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak ridging extends from the western Atlantic to the west-central
    Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
    across the Gulf. Seas are 2-4 ft over the southwest Gulf and 1-3
    ft elsewhere. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are moving off
    the Florida coast north of Tampa Bay into the far northeast Gulf.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active elsewhere north of
    the Yucatan Channel, and off the coast of Veracruz.

    For the forecast, the surface ridging will dominate across most
    of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate E to
    SE winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
    the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from
    the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf, locally strong tonight.
    Slight to moderate seas are forecast for this portion of the basin
    through Tue night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1027 mb high located near Bermuda
    and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
    over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
    along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades
    are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras and in
    the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms are active from Jamaica to Grand Cayman
    to the coast of Cuba.

    For the forecast, the ridge north of the region will shift
    southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale- force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed. Fresh winds
    will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through
    the forecast period, except over the weekend when winds may pulse
    to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies
    will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off the central
    Bahamas, and along a surface trough reaching from north of the
    central Bahamas southward toward eastern Cuba. Farther north, 1027
    mb high pressure is centered near Bermuda. Recent scatterometer
    satellite passes confirmed fresh to strong E winds on the northern
    end of the trough from 25N to 28N between 70W and 75W. A
    concurrent altimeter satellite pass showed rough seas to 10 ft in
    this area as well. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and 5-7 ft
    seas prevail elsewhere west of of 65W. Farther east, fresh to
    strong NE winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted across the Canary
    Islands and off Western Sahara. Gentle to moderate easterly flow
    and 4-6 ft seas are noted over the remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will induce
    additional shower and thunderstorm activity across the Florida
    seaboard and offshores Fri morning before shifting west of the
    area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the
    surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong winds and rough
    seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight. Fresh E winds
    will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches of the Windward
    Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds Sun night, Mon
    night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts southward.

    $$
    Christensen

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thursday, August 06, 2026 21:58:48
    378
    AXNT20 KNHC 062158
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
    trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
    through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6MY6oxcobcK00geIhdpxTR36oQpqcAodeS_PvIJ0E8v4PKO-AniPP_VBKIaRAj1skw1CcMDAceJ87es17I04mZhxoPc$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 19W south 20N. Scattered to numerous
    moderate convection is noted from 09N to 13N between 20W and 25W.


    A second tropical wave is along 39W S of 20N, and moving west at
    15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 11N
    between 34W and 40W.

    A third tropical wave is along 52W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
    20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
    this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
    near Dakar and continues southwestward to near 11N35W. The ITCZ
    extends from 10N40W to the coast of Venezuela near 09.5N61W.
    Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
    limited convective activity is noted elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak ridging extends from the western Atlantic to the west-central
    Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
    across the Gulf. Seas are 2-4 ft over the southwest Gulf and 1-3
    ft elsewhere. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are moving off
    the Florida coast north of Tampa Bay into the far northeast Gulf.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active elsewhere north of
    the Yucatan Channel, and off the coast of Veracruz.

    For the forecast, the surface ridging will dominate across most
    of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate E to
    SE winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
    the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from
    the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf, locally strong tonight.
    Slight to moderate seas are forecast for this portion of the basin
    through Tue night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1027 mb high located near Bermuda
    and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
    over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
    along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades
    are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras and in
    the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms are active from Jamaica to Grand Cayman
    to the coast of Cuba.

    For the forecast, the ridge north of the region will shift
    southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale- force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed. Fresh winds
    will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through
    the forecast period, except over the weekend when winds may pulse
    to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies
    will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off the central
    Bahamas, and along a surface trough reaching from north of the
    central Bahamas southward toward eastern Cuba. Farther north, 1027
    mb high pressure is centered near Bermuda. Recent scatterometer
    satellite passes confirmed fresh to strong E winds on the northern
    end of the trough from 25N to 28N between 70W and 75W. A
    concurrent altimeter satellite pass showed rough seas to 10 ft in
    this area as well. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and 5-7 ft
    seas prevail elsewhere west of of 65W. Farther east, fresh to
    strong NE winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted across the Canary
    Islands and off Western Sahara. Gentle to moderate easterly flow
    and 4-6 ft seas are noted over the remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will induce
    additional shower and thunderstorm activity across the Florida
    seaboard and offshores Fri morning before shifting west of the
    area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the
    surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong winds and rough
    seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight. Fresh E winds
    will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches of the Windward
    Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds Sun night, Mon
    night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts southward.

    $$
    Christensen

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, August 07, 2026 05:06:18
    137
    AXNT20 KNHC 070505
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0445 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
    trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
    through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-jn0VGDZAsBq57GFT32W_fH1MDZSDdZ1yfQBChxYqrfLpEaY5fEi_Q46FBuAv7s93SQxlDer9vXPOpDuKx5pmHTm0F0$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 21W south 20N. Numerous moderate
    convection is noted E of 20W.

    A second tropical wave is along 40W S of 20N, and moving west at
    15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
    this time.

    A third tropical wave is along 52W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
    20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
    this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W to 12N38W. The
    ITCZ continues from 10N41W to 06N57W. Aside from the convection
    associated with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is
    noted elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak ridging extends from the western Atlantic to the west-central
    Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
    across the Gulf. Seas are 2-4 ft over the southwest Gulf and 1-3
    ft elsewhere. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are moving off
    the Florida coast north of Tampa Bay into the far northeast Gulf.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active elsewhere north of
    the Yucatan Channel, and off the coast of Veracruz.

    For the forecast, surface ridging will dominate across most of
    the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate E to SE
    winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds
    will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
    Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from the
    Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
    forecast for this portion of the basin through Tue night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb high located near Bermuda
    and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
    over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
    Venezuela, along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh
    trades are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras
    and in the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active from Jamaica to
    Grand Cayman to the coast of Cuba.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
    fresh to strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW
    basin through Tue night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the
    region will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure
    gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the
    Gulf of Venezuela to near-gale speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed. Fresh winds
    will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through
    the forecast period, except over the weekend when winds may pulse
    to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies
    will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off the central
    Bahamas, and along a surface trough reaching from north of the
    central Bahamas southward toward central Cuba. Farther north,
    1025 mb high pressure is centered near Bermuda. Fresh to strong E
    winds prevail over the northern end of the trough from 25N to 29N
    between 70W and 77W. A concurrent altimeter satellite pass showed
    rough seas to 9 ft in this area as well. Moderate to fresh
    easterly winds and 5-7 ft seas prevail elsewhere west of 65W.
    Farther east, fresh to strong NE winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted
    across the Canary Islands and off Western Sahara. Gentle to
    moderate easterly flow and 4-6 ft seas are noted over the
    remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will continue to
    support shower and thunderstorm activity across the Florida
    seaboard and offshores tonight into Fri morning before shifting
    west of the area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower
    activity, the surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong
    winds and rough seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight.
    Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches
    of the Windward Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds
    Sun night, Mon night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts
    southward.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, August 07, 2026 05:06:36
    415
    AXNT20 KNHC 070506
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0445 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
    trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
    through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6eGiKMkCq2wkZs6E4JCZev-VHDBrcg995kZY8ISReUYyodMfc0CJuXsqy_oE_5ZwNGOwxa6njAJw0IeKzii5Fk3DQ9k$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 21W south 20N. Numerous moderate
    convection is noted E of 20W.

    A second tropical wave is along 40W S of 20N, and moving west at
    15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
    this time.

    A third tropical wave is along 52W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
    20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
    this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W to 12N38W. The
    ITCZ continues from 10N41W to 06N57W. Aside from the convection
    associated with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is
    noted elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak ridging extends from the western Atlantic to the west-central
    Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
    across the Gulf. Seas are 2-4 ft over the southwest Gulf and 1-3
    ft elsewhere. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are moving off
    the Florida coast north of Tampa Bay into the far northeast Gulf.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active elsewhere north of
    the Yucatan Channel, and off the coast of Veracruz.

    For the forecast, surface ridging will dominate across most of
    the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate E to SE
    winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds
    will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
    Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from the
    Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
    forecast for this portion of the basin through Tue night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb high located near Bermuda
    and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
    over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
    Venezuela, along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh
    trades are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras
    and in the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active from Jamaica to
    Grand Cayman to the coast of Cuba.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
    fresh to strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW
    basin through Tue night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the
    region will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure
    gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the
    Gulf of Venezuela to near-gale speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed. Fresh winds
    will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through
    the forecast period, except over the weekend when winds may pulse
    to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies
    will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off the central
    Bahamas, and along a surface trough reaching from north of the
    central Bahamas southward toward central Cuba. Farther north,
    1025 mb high pressure is centered near Bermuda. Fresh to strong E
    winds prevail over the northern end of the trough from 25N to 29N
    between 70W and 77W. A concurrent altimeter satellite pass showed
    rough seas to 9 ft in this area as well. Moderate to fresh
    easterly winds and 5-7 ft seas prevail elsewhere west of 65W.
    Farther east, fresh to strong NE winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted
    across the Canary Islands and off Western Sahara. Gentle to
    moderate easterly flow and 4-6 ft seas are noted over the
    remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will continue to
    support shower and thunderstorm activity across the Florida
    seaboard and offshores tonight into Fri morning before shifting
    west of the area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower
    activity, the surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong
    winds and rough seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight.
    Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches
    of the Windward Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds
    Sun night, Mon night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts
    southward.

    $$
    ERA

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, August 07, 2026 09:54:54
    055
    AXNT20 KNHC 070954
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0940 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
    trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
    through Tue night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4pYv2rCmacK667J1dV-R0Svc7xnIHSP0JKqp5IV-h3RtNOgKnlnshqThqZOJb9Ptb-RQ_6SE8kSkR76Z3wHNF8c6F6M$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is E of the Cape Verde Islands with axis near 22W,
    extending from 05N to 19N, and moving west at 5-10 kt. Numerous
    moderate to strong convection extends from 06N to 20N between 11W
    and 22W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 41W,
    extending from 05N to 19N, and moving west at 15-20 kt. No
    significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 53W,
    extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 15-20 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection extends from 07N to 12N between 48W and 58W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W to 12N38W. The
    ITCZ continues from 10N41W to 06N57W. Aside from the convection
    associated with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is
    noted elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak ridging extends from the southwestern Atlantic to the
    western Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to
    SE winds across the Gulf and slight seas. In the Bay of Campeche,
    a surface trough is supporting moderate to fresh winds as well as
    scattered showers. Otherwise, scattered showers associated with a
    surface trough moving across the northern Bahamas are reaching the
    SE Gulf.

    For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will
    dominate across most of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds north of 24N along with slight
    seas. Pulses of fresh winds will occur north and west of the
    Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each night as a
    surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf.
    Slight to moderate seas are forecast for this portion of the
    basin through Tue night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb high located NW of
    Bermuda, and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to
    strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf
    of Venezuela, along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to
    fresh trades are elsewhere over the SW and E Caribbean with
    moderate seas. Otherwise, an upper-level low centered between
    Jamaica and Haiti is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms in the Windward Passage and the lee side of Cuba.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
    and portions of the SW basin through Tue night. Over the weekend,
    the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
    the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and
    to gale-force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there,
    building to very rough at times this weekend with the increase in
    wind speed. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and
    Windward Passage through the forecast period, except over the
    weekend when winds may pulse to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly
    moderate to fresh easterlies will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across the northern
    Bahamas and adjacent waters due to a westward moving surface
    trough. Aside from the shower activity, the trough is bringing
    moderate to fresh E to SE winds to the Bahamas offshores along
    with moderate to locally rough seas. Surface ridging dominate the
    remainder subtropical Atlantic waters, thus providing moderate or
    weaker winds between 30W and 65W. East of 30W, fresh to locally
    strong NE winds and moderate seas prevail across the Canary
    Islands and off Western Sahara.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a westward moving surface trough
    over the northern Bahamas offshores will support showers and
    thunderstorms activity across the Florida seaboard and offshores
    through this morning before shifting west of the area tonight into
    early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the surface trough
    will bring fresh winds and moderate to rough seas across the
    Bahamas offshores through this afternoon. Fresh E winds will
    prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches of the Windward
    Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds Sun night, Mon
    night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts southward.

    $$
    Ramos

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, August 07, 2026 09:54:58
    150
    AXNT20 KNHC 070954
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0940 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
    trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
    through Tue night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!59bP6FnS97Mw41t-S-Psp90LAQhGDGh-ntMkCQcpLiRjZ0a1JYX6JruGVbkPwExqQ3vr5mfc_EEHwI3rd_j7ebNThfk$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is E of the Cape Verde Islands with axis near 22W,
    extending from 05N to 19N, and moving west at 5-10 kt. Numerous
    moderate to strong convection extends from 06N to 20N between 11W
    and 22W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 41W,
    extending from 05N to 19N, and moving west at 15-20 kt. No
    significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 53W,
    extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 15-20 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection extends from 07N to 12N between 48W and 58W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W to 12N38W. The
    ITCZ continues from 10N41W to 06N57W. Aside from the convection
    associated with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is
    noted elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak ridging extends from the southwestern Atlantic to the
    western Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to
    SE winds across the Gulf and slight seas. In the Bay of Campeche,
    a surface trough is supporting moderate to fresh winds as well as
    scattered showers. Otherwise, scattered showers associated with a
    surface trough moving across the northern Bahamas are reaching the
    SE Gulf.

    For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will
    dominate across most of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds north of 24N along with slight
    seas. Pulses of fresh winds will occur north and west of the
    Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each night as a
    surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf.
    Slight to moderate seas are forecast for this portion of the
    basin through Tue night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb high located NW of
    Bermuda, and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to
    strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf
    of Venezuela, along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to
    fresh trades are elsewhere over the SW and E Caribbean with
    moderate seas. Otherwise, an upper-level low centered between
    Jamaica and Haiti is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms in the Windward Passage and the lee side of Cuba.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
    and portions of the SW basin through Tue night. Over the weekend,
    the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
    the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and
    to gale-force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there,
    building to very rough at times this weekend with the increase in
    wind speed. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and
    Windward Passage through the forecast period, except over the
    weekend when winds may pulse to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly
    moderate to fresh easterlies will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across the northern
    Bahamas and adjacent waters due to a westward moving surface
    trough. Aside from the shower activity, the trough is bringing
    moderate to fresh E to SE winds to the Bahamas offshores along
    with moderate to locally rough seas. Surface ridging dominate the
    remainder subtropical Atlantic waters, thus providing moderate or
    weaker winds between 30W and 65W. East of 30W, fresh to locally
    strong NE winds and moderate seas prevail across the Canary
    Islands and off Western Sahara.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a westward moving surface trough
    over the northern Bahamas offshores will support showers and
    thunderstorms activity across the Florida seaboard and offshores
    through this morning before shifting west of the area tonight into
    early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the surface trough
    will bring fresh winds and moderate to rough seas across the
    Bahamas offshores through this afternoon. Fresh E winds will
    prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches of the Windward
    Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds Sun night, Mon
    night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts southward.

    $$
    Ramos

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, August 07, 2026 16:24:56
    565
    AXNT20 KNHC 071624
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1600 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
    through next week. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speeds
    tonight and Saturday night. Rough seas will prevail there,
    building to very rough at times coinciding with the periods of
    gale-force winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7O4bDLI3ZfBsvYrMJwBt4ZPlXo28JAperNBy34GbSwBnn4LZv61l4WvDrw6BfL005UKXjaLddHMuxXX4b3TtguUL3lc$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is moving across the Cape Verde Islands. Its axis
    is along 24W, extending from 06N to 19N, and moving west at 5 to 10
    kt. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from
    08N to 12N e of 18W to the coast of W Africa. Similar convective
    activity is from 09N to 14N between 24W and 30W. Scattered moderate
    convection is along the wave axis.

    A tropical wave is near 41W, and extends from 05N to 19N, moving
    west at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with
    this wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 56W,
    extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is ahead of the wave axis from 08N to 10N
    between 56W and 60W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
    westward to near 11N40W. The ITCZ extends continues from 10N43W
    to NE Venezuela near 09N61W. Aside from the convection associated
    with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is noted
    elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1026 mb located NW of Bermuda near 33N68W extends
    a ridge westward across Florida into the Gulf region. Under this
    weather pattern, a gentle to locally moderate wind flow prevail.
    Slight to moderate seas are noted, with the highest seas in the
    central Bay of Campeche. Showers and thunderstorms continue to
    flare-up over parts of Florida, the Straits of Florida and the E
    Gulf, mainly E of 87W. Similar convective activity is noted in the
    Veracruz area. Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms,
    are observed elsewhere. An upper-level low, currently located over
    the western Gulf, is helping to induce convection over most of the
    basin.

    For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will dominate
    across most of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate
    E to SE winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
    the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from
    the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1026 mb high pressure located NW
    of Bermuda near 33N68W and the Colombian low continues to support
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, including
    the Gulf of Venezuela, along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate
    to locally fresh trades are over the E Caribbean while gentle to
    locally moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are generally
    moderate with these latter winds. An upper-level low spinning just
    south of Haiti and Jamaica is supporting scattered showers and
    tstms between Cuba and Jamaica as well as over the Cayman Islands
    and surrounding waters. Showers and thunderstorms are also noted
    in the SW Caribbean offshore western Panama and Costa Rica. Trade
    wind showers dominate the remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
    and portions of the SW basin through next week. Over the weekend,
    the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
    the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia
    and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to
    gale-force speeds tonight and Saturday night. Rough seas will
    prevail there, building to very rough at times coinciding with the
    periods of gale-force winds. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf
    of Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period,
    except over the weekend when winds may pulse to strong speed.
    Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies will prevail
    elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough is analyzed over the western Atlantic, and runs
    from 29N78W to the coast of central Cuba near 23N80W. Numerous
    showers and thunderstorms are associated with this trough covering
    the waters N of 23N and W of 70W. Moderate to fresh winds and
    moderate to rough seas are on either side of the trough axis. This
    feature will shift westward across Florida today, ushering in
    deep tropical moisture. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast
    waters is under the influence of high pressure, with the main
    center of 1026 mb situated NW of Bermuda. The pressure gradient
    between the Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over NW
    Africa supports moderate to fresh winds N of 27N E of 20W,
    including the Canary Islands, with seas in the 6 to 8 ft range.
    Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail,
    with locally fresh trades E of the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a westward moving surface trough
    over the northern Bahamas offshores will support showers and
    thunderstorm activity across the Florida seaboard and offshores
    through this morning before shifting west of the area tonight into
    early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the surface trough will
    bring fresh winds and moderate seas across the Bahamas offshores
    through this afternoon. Seas may be locally rough in areas of
    stronger convection. Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola
    and in the approaches of the Windward Passage through the period,
    pulsing to strong speeds each evening as the Bermuda High shifts
    southward.

    $$
    GR

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, August 07, 2026 16:24:58
    564
    AXNT20 KNHC 071624
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1600 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
    through next week. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speeds
    tonight and Saturday night. Rough seas will prevail there,
    building to very rough at times coinciding with the periods of
    gale-force winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_iiKxuLzWrljiPYutNXFLqaH9tz-P5a_kj7SUDKZuUIU5zvq42G_43KccWdbrn--_eFrV77ncRpayvhQDtjrAQCe3J8$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is moving across the Cape Verde Islands. Its axis
    is along 24W, extending from 06N to 19N, and moving west at 5 to 10
    kt. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from
    08N to 12N e of 18W to the coast of W Africa. Similar convective
    activity is from 09N to 14N between 24W and 30W. Scattered moderate
    convection is along the wave axis.

    A tropical wave is near 41W, and extends from 05N to 19N, moving
    west at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with
    this wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 56W,
    extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is ahead of the wave axis from 08N to 10N
    between 56W and 60W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
    westward to near 11N40W. The ITCZ extends continues from 10N43W
    to NE Venezuela near 09N61W. Aside from the convection associated
    with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is noted
    elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure of 1026 mb located NW of Bermuda near 33N68W extends
    a ridge westward across Florida into the Gulf region. Under this
    weather pattern, a gentle to locally moderate wind flow prevail.
    Slight to moderate seas are noted, with the highest seas in the
    central Bay of Campeche. Showers and thunderstorms continue to
    flare-up over parts of Florida, the Straits of Florida and the E
    Gulf, mainly E of 87W. Similar convective activity is noted in the
    Veracruz area. Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms,
    are observed elsewhere. An upper-level low, currently located over
    the western Gulf, is helping to induce convection over most of the
    basin.

    For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will dominate
    across most of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate
    E to SE winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
    the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from
    the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1026 mb high pressure located NW
    of Bermuda near 33N68W and the Colombian low continues to support
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, including
    the Gulf of Venezuela, along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate
    to locally fresh trades are over the E Caribbean while gentle to
    locally moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are generally
    moderate with these latter winds. An upper-level low spinning just
    south of Haiti and Jamaica is supporting scattered showers and
    tstms between Cuba and Jamaica as well as over the Cayman Islands
    and surrounding waters. Showers and thunderstorms are also noted
    in the SW Caribbean offshore western Panama and Costa Rica. Trade
    wind showers dominate the remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
    and portions of the SW basin through next week. Over the weekend,
    the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
    the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia
    and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to
    gale-force speeds tonight and Saturday night. Rough seas will
    prevail there, building to very rough at times coinciding with the
    periods of gale-force winds. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf
    of Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period,
    except over the weekend when winds may pulse to strong speed.
    Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies will prevail
    elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough is analyzed over the western Atlantic, and runs
    from 29N78W to the coast of central Cuba near 23N80W. Numerous
    showers and thunderstorms are associated with this trough covering
    the waters N of 23N and W of 70W. Moderate to fresh winds and
    moderate to rough seas are on either side of the trough axis. This
    feature will shift westward across Florida today, ushering in
    deep tropical moisture. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast
    waters is under the influence of high pressure, with the main
    center of 1026 mb situated NW of Bermuda. The pressure gradient
    between the Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over NW
    Africa supports moderate to fresh winds N of 27N E of 20W,
    including the Canary Islands, with seas in the 6 to 8 ft range.
    Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail,
    with locally fresh trades E of the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a westward moving surface trough
    over the northern Bahamas offshores will support showers and
    thunderstorm activity across the Florida seaboard and offshores
    through this morning before shifting west of the area tonight into
    early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the surface trough will
    bring fresh winds and moderate seas across the Bahamas offshores
    through this afternoon. Seas may be locally rough in areas of
    stronger convection. Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola
    and in the approaches of the Windward Passage through the period,
    pulsing to strong speeds each evening as the Bermuda High shifts
    southward.

    $$
    GR

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Friday, August 07, 2026 22:23:10
    968
    AXNT20 KNHC 072222
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Aug 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
    through next week. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speeds
    tonight and Saturday night. Rough seas will prevail there,
    building to very rough at times coinciding with the periods of
    gale-force winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5VqtEBI04oJgYCjQSf_xL7JcmZLIqWbLCHr8iqB2Vw3e3M3BCUJGwDV1N8Alqz7aSoqWxktbhENSdwje3CPzdwgyDb0$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is moving across the Cape Verde Islands. Its axis
    is along 25W, extending from 06N to 19N, and moving west at 5 to
    10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 10N to 13N
    between 20W and 25W.

    A tropical wave is near 44W, and extends from 05N to 19N, moving
    west at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with
    this wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 57W,
    extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 15 to 20 kt. No
    significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
    westward to near 11N40W. The ITCZ extends continues from 10N43W
    to NE Venezuela near 09N61W. Aside from the convection associated
    with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is noted
    elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The Atlantic ridge extends across the Carolinas and into the
    north-central Gulf. A trough is moving westward through Florida.
    This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate NE to E winds and
    1-3 ft seas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across
    the central Gulf.

    For the forecast, the ridge will dominate across most of the Gulf
    through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
    north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds will
    occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of
    Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from the Yucatan
    Peninsula to the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb high pressure located NW
    of Bermuda near 33N69W and the Colombian low continues to support
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean,
    including the Gulf of Venezuela, along with moderate to rough
    seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades are over the E Caribbean
    while gentle to locally moderate E winds are observed elsewhere.
    Seas are generally moderate with these latter winds. An upper-
    level low spinning just south of Haiti and Jamaica is supporting
    scattered showers and thunderstorms between Cuba and Jamaica as
    well as over the Cayman Islands and surrounding waters. Showers
    and thunderstorms are also noted in the SW Caribbean offshore
    western Panama and Costa Rica. Trade wind showers dominate the
    remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
    and portions of the SW basin through next week. Over the weekend,
    the ridge N of the region will shift southward, strengthening the
    pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and
    in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speeds during the
    daytime and to gale-force speeds tonight and Saturday night. Rough
    seas will prevail there, building to very rough at times
    coinciding with the periods of gale-force winds. Fresh winds will
    pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through the
    forecast period, except over the weekend when winds may pulse to
    strong speeds mainly near the Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly
    moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the northern
    Bahamas and off the northeast coast of Florida, following a trough
    currently moving into the Florida peninsula. Broad ridging
    dominates the Atlantic north of 25N, supporting E to SE winds and
    4-6 ft across the basin, except for fresh to strong NE winds near
    the Canary Islands. Saharan dust covers the Atlantic north of 15N
    and east of 50W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough over Florida
    will bring fresh winds and moderate seas across the Bahamas
    offshores through this afternoon. Seas may be locally rough in
    areas of stronger convection. Fresh E winds will prevail N of
    Hispaniola and in the approaches of the Windward Passage through
    the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening as the Bermuda
    High shifts southward.

    $$
    Christensen

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 08, 2026 05:04:02
    810
    AXNT20 KNHC 080503
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Aug 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
    through next week. The ridge N of the region will shift
    southward over the weekend, increasing the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to gale-force speeds tonight and Saturday night. Rough
    seas will prevail in this area, building to very rough at times
    coinciding with the periods of gale-force winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-v-X85uscCelpeApxopjm9akd8pfUqkLgWxhW1J2R2ZDx9yfaQyD6pY9rW9HwRyuTymVQ8LLnlQ9YmXTNDzkzc1B5rM$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is moving across the Cape Verde Islands, with
    axis along 26W from 06N to 19N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt.
    Scattered showers are noted S of 10N.

    A tropical wave is near 46W, and extends from 05N to 19N, moving
    west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of
    10N.

    A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 58W,
    extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 10 to 15 kt.
    Scattered showers are noted S of 10N.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N16W and continues
    westward to near 11N42W. The ITCZ extends from 09N49W to 09N57W.
    Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
    scattered moderate convection prevails within 300 nm on either
    side of the monsoon trough.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The Atlantic ridge extends across the Carolinas and into the
    north-central Gulf. A surface trough is moving westward across
    Florida. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate NE to E
    winds and 1-3 ft seas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    active across the central Gulf.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will dominate most of the
    Gulf basin through late Tue. This will support gentle to moderate
    E to SE winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds
    will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
    Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a surface trough
    migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
    effect for the waters N of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.

    The pressure gradient between a 1024 mb high pressure located NW
    of Bermuda near 33N67W and the Colombian low continues to support
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, along
    with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh trades are over the
    E Caribbean while gentle to moderate E winds are observed
    elsewhere. Seas are moderate with these winds.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
    fresh to strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW
    basin through next week, with gale-force winds occurring tonight
    and Saturday night in the Gulf of Venezuela and offshore of
    Colombia. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region will shift
    slightly southward, and maintain near gale-force winds offshore
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Winds will pulse fresh to
    locally strong during the evenings and night in the Gulf of
    Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period.
    Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the northern
    Bahamas and off the northeast coast of Florida, following a trough
    currently moving across the Florida peninsula. Broad ridging
    dominates the Atlantic north of 25N, supporting E to SE winds and
    4-6 ft across the basin, except for fresh to strong NE winds near
    the Canary Islands. Saharan dust covers the Atlantic north of 15N
    and east of 50W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will shift W-NW
    and inland through Sat. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    occurring E of the trough to 76W will shift northwestward behind
    the trough through Sat, then persist N of 30N through Sun. Fresh
    winds and moderate to rough seas N of the Bahamas and W of 76W
    will gradually subside by Sat morning. Otherwise, the Bermuda
    High will shift slightly southward through early next week. Fresh
    E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the
    Windward Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each
    evening and night.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 08, 2026 10:06:22
    793
    AXNT20 KNHC 081006
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Aug 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb
    Bermuda High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh
    to strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
    through next week. Winds tonight have pulsed to minimal gale-force
    offshore of Colombia and inside the Gulf of Venezuela. The
    associated ridge N of the region will gradually shift southward
    to along 28N through Tue to maintain strong to near gale-force
    winds across the south central Caribbean. Winds will diminish to
    below gale-force around sunrise this morning and then increase
    again to gale-force tonight. Seas will build into the 12-13 ft
    range during the time of the gale-force winds. Please read the
    latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center
    at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7q7RNcWnRQgT6Apcl4nUW4ONuSXUd8LEP3G06cu16AyeZQavh9wpo0xBLACUcMbDSy-nQhgbPSY2ZM5Sr2-uTc78z6g$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An Atlantic tropical wave is moving away from the Cabo Verde
    Islands, with axis along 28W from 06N to 19N, moving west at 10
    to 15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted
    from 08.5N TO 12.5N between 27W and 31W.

    An Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near 47W, and extends from
    05N to 19N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 41W and 47W.

    A tropical wave is analyzed along 59W-60W, approaching the Lesser
    Antilles, extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 10 to 15
    kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 08N to 11.5N
    between 54W and 60W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16.5W and
    continues westward to near 10N44.5W. The ITCZ extends from 10N48W
    to 09.5N58W. Aside from the convection associated with the
    tropical waves, scattered moderate isolated strong convection
    is noted from 06.5N to 12N E of 24W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1024 mb high is located just NW of Bermuda and extends a western
    Atlantic ridge westward along 33N and across the Carolinas. A
    surface trough has moved westward across Florida, and extends from
    the extreme SW Gulf to near Jacksonville, with the ridge drapped
    across it over the northeast Gulf. This pattern is supporting
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 1-3 ft seas across the basin,
    except for moderate NE winds across the eastern Bay of Campeche.
    Widely scattered showers are across the coastal waters of SW
    Florida, and dot the waters elsewhere W of 88W.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will dominate most of the
    Gulf basin through late Tue. This will support gentle to
    moderate E to SE winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of
    fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula
    and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a surface
    trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the
    SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
    effect for the waters N of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.

    The pressure gradient between a 1024 mb high pressure located NW
    of Bermuda near 33N67W and the Colombian low continues to support
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean S of 16N
    and between 68W and 80W. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across much of this
    area except 10 to 13 ft in the gale winds offshore of Colombia.
    Moderate to fresh trades are over the E Caribbean while gentle to
    moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are moderate with
    these winds. Scattered moderate convection extends from Haiti
    northwestward to 80W and offshore of central Cuba.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
    and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
    trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin through
    next week, with gale- force winds occurring early this morning and
    again Saturday night offshore of Colombia. The ridge N of the
    region will gradually shift southward to along 28N through Tue and
    maintain near gale- force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf
    of Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse fresh to locally strong
    during the evenings and night in the Gulf of Honduras and
    Windward Passage through the forecast period. Otherwise, mainly
    moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the Atlantic
    waters north of the Bahamas and W of 76W, following a low level
    trough currently moving across the Florida peninsula and into the
    eastern Gulf of America. Broad ridging centered on a 1024 mb high
    just NW of Bemuda dominates the Atlantic north of 24N and west of
    50W, supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 4-6 ft
    W of 50W. A central Atlantic cold front extends southwestward to
    near 33N50W and weakens the ridge across the central basin. An
    Azores High dominates the basin est of 40W, producing fresh to
    strong NE winds near the Canary Islands, where seas are 6 to 8 ft.
    Saharan air and dust covers much of the Atlantic north of 12N and
    east of 55W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough moving across
    Florida will shift NW and further inland today. Scattered showers
    and thunderstorms occurring E of the trough to 77W will shift
    northwestward behind the trough today, then persist N of 30N
    through Sun. Otherwise, a 1024 mb Bermuda High will shift
    slightly southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds will
    prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
    Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening
    and night.

    $$
    Stripling

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 08, 2026 10:06:24
    903
    AXNT20 KNHC 081006
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Aug 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb
    Bermuda High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh
    to strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
    through next week. Winds tonight have pulsed to minimal gale-force
    offshore of Colombia and inside the Gulf of Venezuela. The
    associated ridge N of the region will gradually shift southward
    to along 28N through Tue to maintain strong to near gale-force
    winds across the south central Caribbean. Winds will diminish to
    below gale-force around sunrise this morning and then increase
    again to gale-force tonight. Seas will build into the 12-13 ft
    range during the time of the gale-force winds. Please read the
    latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center
    at website
    - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4YuM0qSIFANs7XgAw67VCT-9ZEXfFpeUa-R13IdYMmPr6D_6U7R9XGjfxVQRpf1y61xuW3bsa8crnAtS9BG4Xdi6tmg$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An Atlantic tropical wave is moving away from the Cabo Verde
    Islands, with axis along 28W from 06N to 19N, moving west at 10
    to 15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted
    from 08.5N TO 12.5N between 27W and 31W.

    An Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near 47W, and extends from
    05N to 19N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 41W and 47W.

    A tropical wave is analyzed along 59W-60W, approaching the Lesser
    Antilles, extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 10 to 15
    kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 08N to 11.5N
    between 54W and 60W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16.5W and
    continues westward to near 10N44.5W. The ITCZ extends from 10N48W
    to 09.5N58W. Aside from the convection associated with the
    tropical waves, scattered moderate isolated strong convection
    is noted from 06.5N to 12N E of 24W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1024 mb high is located just NW of Bermuda and extends a western
    Atlantic ridge westward along 33N and across the Carolinas. A
    surface trough has moved westward across Florida, and extends from
    the extreme SW Gulf to near Jacksonville, with the ridge drapped
    across it over the northeast Gulf. This pattern is supporting
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 1-3 ft seas across the basin,
    except for moderate NE winds across the eastern Bay of Campeche.
    Widely scattered showers are across the coastal waters of SW
    Florida, and dot the waters elsewhere W of 88W.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will dominate most of the
    Gulf basin through late Tue. This will support gentle to
    moderate E to SE winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of
    fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula
    and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a surface
    trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the
    SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
    effect for the waters N of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.

    The pressure gradient between a 1024 mb high pressure located NW
    of Bermuda near 33N67W and the Colombian low continues to support
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean S of 16N
    and between 68W and 80W. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across much of this
    area except 10 to 13 ft in the gale winds offshore of Colombia.
    Moderate to fresh trades are over the E Caribbean while gentle to
    moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are moderate with
    these winds. Scattered moderate convection extends from Haiti
    northwestward to 80W and offshore of central Cuba.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
    and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
    trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin through
    next week, with gale- force winds occurring early this morning and
    again Saturday night offshore of Colombia. The ridge N of the
    region will gradually shift southward to along 28N through Tue and
    maintain near gale- force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf
    of Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse fresh to locally strong
    during the evenings and night in the Gulf of Honduras and
    Windward Passage through the forecast period. Otherwise, mainly
    moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the Atlantic
    waters north of the Bahamas and W of 76W, following a low level
    trough currently moving across the Florida peninsula and into the
    eastern Gulf of America. Broad ridging centered on a 1024 mb high
    just NW of Bemuda dominates the Atlantic north of 24N and west of
    50W, supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 4-6 ft
    W of 50W. A central Atlantic cold front extends southwestward to
    near 33N50W and weakens the ridge across the central basin. An
    Azores High dominates the basin est of 40W, producing fresh to
    strong NE winds near the Canary Islands, where seas are 6 to 8 ft.
    Saharan air and dust covers much of the Atlantic north of 12N and
    east of 55W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough moving across
    Florida will shift NW and further inland today. Scattered showers
    and thunderstorms occurring E of the trough to 77W will shift
    northwestward behind the trough today, then persist N of 30N
    through Sun. Otherwise, a 1024 mb Bermuda High will shift
    slightly southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds will
    prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
    Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening
    and night.

    $$
    Stripling

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 08, 2026 16:16:22
    258
    AXNT20 KNHC 081615
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sat Aug 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1600 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1024 mb
    Bermuda High and relatively lower pressure in northern South
    America will continue to support fresh to strong trades in the
    south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean through next week,
    with gale-force winds occurring again tonight offshore of Colombia.
    The ridge N of the region will gradually shift southward to along
    28N through Tue and maintain strong to near gale-force winds
    offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night. Seas
    will build into the 12 to 13 ft range during the time of the
    gale-force winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6GVjJ0Fb8MWiKdl5dQ6VSjaQVQC2kEF-M87gI5lDwU7c0cMDZIfpwAcG5v_nIX2iukOb62N89za6HRZkXn8q9qu0ums$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is west of the Cabo Verde Islands, with axis
    near 29W from 06N to 19N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is where the wave meets the monsoon trough.
    Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is behind the
    wave axis covering the waters from 07N to 13N between 17W and
    25W.

    The tropical wave previously located along 47W is relocated farther
    E near 40W based on the tropical wave diagnostic, satellite imagery
    and scatterometer data. Satellite imagery show a broad cyclonic
    circulation near the northern end of the wave axis. Scattered moderate convection is also where the wave meets the monsoon trough.

    A tropical wave is analyzed east of the Lesser Antilles along 59W/60W, extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted near the wave axis.

    Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
    coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
    be possible during the middle to latter part of next week while it
    moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a low chance
    of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal south of Dakar near 14N17W and continues westward to near
    11N38W. The ITCZ extends from 11N41W to 10N54W to 11N58W. Most of
    the convective activity across the area is related to the tropical
    waves.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1024 mb high pressure located just NW of Bermuda extends a ridge
    across the SE of the United States into the Gulf region. A surface
    trough has moved westward across Florida, and now extends from
    northern Florida to near 25N85W. This pattern is supporting gentle
    to moderate E to SE winds and 1 to 3 ft seas across the basin,
    except for moderate NE winds across the eastern Bay of Campeche.
    Showers and thunderstorms continue to dot the Gulf waters, more
    concentrated from 23N to 27N between 87W and 94W. A diffluent
    pattern aloft is helping to induce this convective activity.

    For the forecast, the surface trough extending into the eastern
    Gulf will support scattered showers and thunderstorms through this
    afternoon as the trough moves inland. Similar activity is expected
    in the Bay of Campeche and SW Gulf. Otherwise, a surface ridge
    will dominate most of the basin through late Tue. This will support
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds north of 24N with slight seas.
    Pulses of fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan
    Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a
    diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward
    across the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in effect
    for the waters N of Colombia.

    The pressure gradient between a 1024 mb high pressure located NW
    of Bermuda near 33N68W and the Colombian low continues to support
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean. Seas are
    8 to 12 ft across much of this area. Buoy 42058 located near
    14N76W is reporting seas of 10 ft. Moderate to fresh trades are
    over the E Caribbean while gentle to moderate E winds are observed
    elsewhere. Seas are moderate with these winds. Scattered showers
    and thunderstorms are between Cuba and Jamaica, across the Cayman
    Islands and regional waters, and south of western Cuba, including
    the Yucatan Channel.

    For the forecast, the pressure between a 1024 mb Bermuda High
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
    and portions of the SW basin through next week, with gale-force
    winds occurring again tonight offshore of Colombia. The ridge N
    of the region will gradually shift southward to along 28N through
    Tue and maintain strong to near gale-force winds offshore Colombia
    and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse up to
    fresh to locally strong speeds during the evenings and nights in
    the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast
    period. Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh trades will prevail
    elsewhere. The Atlantic ridge looks to shift farther southward
    later next week, which may act to increase easterly trade winds
    again across the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the Atlantic
    waters north of the Bahamas and W of 75W, following a surface
    trough currently located over northern Florida and the eastern
    Gulf of America. A broad ridge, centered on a 1024 mb high
    pressure located just NW of Bermuda, dominates the western
    Atlantic supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds and seas of 4
    to 6 ft with the exception of moderate to locally fresh winds
    offshore Hispaniola to about 22N. An Azores High of 1024 mb
    dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters producing
    fresh to strong NE winds between the Canary Islands and offshore
    Western Sahara, where seas are 6 to 8 ft. Saharan air and dust
    covers much of the Atlantic north of 12N and east of 60W, and most
    of the east and central Caribbean based on the Saharan Air Layer
    (SAL) Tracking Product from CIMSS.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough extending across
    northern Florida will shift NW and further inland today. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms occurring E of the trough to about 75W
    will shift northwestward today, then persist N of 30N through Sun.
    Otherwise, a 1024 mb Bermuda High and an attendant ridge will
    shift slightly southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds
    will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
    Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening
    and night. The Atlantic ridge then looks to drop a bit farther
    southward later next week, which may result in stronger easterly
    winds.

    $$
    GR

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 08, 2026 21:48:04
    988
    AXNT20 KNHC 082147
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb
    Bermuda High and relatively lower pressure in northern South
    America will continue to support fresh to strong trades in the
    south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean through next week,
    with gale-force winds occurring again tonight offshore of Colombia.
    The ridge N of the region will gradually shift southward to along
    28N through Tue and maintain strong to near gale-force winds
    offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night. Seas
    will build into the 12 to 13 ft range during the time of the
    gale-force winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-qO7dbcpDMdVRMMicoEQo5iGX0mdiplQZqS3ZH4XWRIqPme-EaZYKPcPkAofZPGph3rMQLPzRdcdtE9i9UQzfdMRjhY$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is near 29W from 06N to 19N, moving west at 10
    to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is where the wave meets
    the monsoon trough. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N to
    12N between 27W and 33W.

    The tropical wave is along 41W from 07N to 19N moving west at 10
    to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N and 12N
    between 37W and 44W.

    A tropical wave is near 57W from 09N to 19N, moving west at 10 to
    15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 10N to 13N between
    55W and 60W.

    Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
    coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
    be possible during the middle to latter part of next week while it
    moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a low chance
    of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near 16N16N and continues westward to near 11N25W then on
    to 12N40W. The ITCZ extends from 11N42W to 10N55W. Most of the
    convective activity across the area is related to the tropical
    waves.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A trough over the eastern Gulf extends from the Florida Big Bend
    area to 25N85W. Another trough is over the Bay of Campeche. This
    weak pressure pattern is supporting mostly light breezes and 1-3
    ft seas across the basin. Diffluent flow aloft is supporting
    scattered showers and thunderstorms across the central and west-
    central parts of the basin.

    For the forecast, the surface trough extending southwestward from the
    Big Bend of Florida into the eastern Gulf will support scattered
    showers and thunderstorms through this afternoon as the trough
    moves inland. Similar activity is expected in the Bay of
    Campeche and SW Gulf with the passage of a diurnal surface
    trough. Otherwise, a surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High
    westward across the northern Gulf, and will dominate most of the
    basin through late Tue. This will support gentle to moderate E
    to SE winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds
    will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
    Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a diurnal surface
    trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the
    SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in effect
    for the waters north of Colombia.

    The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located west
    of Bermuda near 32N68W and the Colombian low continues to support
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean. Seas are
    8 to 12 ft across much of this area. Moderate to fresh trades are
    over the E Caribbean while gentle to moderate E winds are
    observed elsewhere. Seas are moderate with these winds. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms are between Cuba and Jamaica, across the
    Cayman Islands and regional waters, and south of western Cuba,
    including the Yucatan Channel.

    For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
    through next week, with gale-force winds occurring again tonight
    offshore of Colombia. The ridge N of the region will gradually
    shift southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to
    near gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to locally
    strong speeds during the evenings and nights in the Gulf of
    Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period.
    Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.
    The Atlantic ridge looks to shift farther southward later next
    week, which may act to increase easterly trade winds again across
    the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off northeast
    Florida and the northern Bahamas, related to diffluent flow
    aloft. A broad ridge dominates the waters north of 25N across the
    basin, broken only by a trough reaching from 31N45W to 25N55W.
    Saharan dust is evident mainly east of this trough, north of 15N.
    The pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds south of
    22N and west of 60W with 4-6 ft seas, fresh to strong NE winds and
    5-7 ft seas over the Canary Islands, and mostly gentle to
    moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a low level trough extending across
    northern Florida will shift NW and further inland today.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms occurring E of the trough to
    75W will shift northwestward today, then persist N of 30N through
    Sun. Otherwise, a 1023 mb Bermuda High and an attendant ridge will
    shift slightly southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds
    will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
    Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening
    and night. The Atlantic ridge then looks to drop a bit farther
    southward later next week, which may result in stronger easterly
    winds.

    $$
    Christensen

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 08, 2026 21:48:10
    987
    AXNT20 KNHC 082147
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb
    Bermuda High and relatively lower pressure in northern South
    America will continue to support fresh to strong trades in the
    south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean through next week,
    with gale-force winds occurring again tonight offshore of Colombia.
    The ridge N of the region will gradually shift southward to along
    28N through Tue and maintain strong to near gale-force winds
    offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night. Seas
    will build into the 12 to 13 ft range during the time of the
    gale-force winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5FJztA3jWYb6hW6Lo0eB4Pg447LT0xjk677E0WKIqRtFmuFyNpXTwtuQ8njEU6yqL8OFASVz_DxTK54kM7ZGUi3Ugh0$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is near 29W from 06N to 19N, moving west at 10
    to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is where the wave meets
    the monsoon trough. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N to
    12N between 27W and 33W.

    The tropical wave is along 41W from 07N to 19N moving west at 10
    to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N and 12N
    between 37W and 44W.

    A tropical wave is near 57W from 09N to 19N, moving west at 10 to
    15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 10N to 13N between
    55W and 60W.

    Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
    coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
    be possible during the middle to latter part of next week while it
    moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a low chance
    of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near 16N16N and continues westward to near 11N25W then on
    to 12N40W. The ITCZ extends from 11N42W to 10N55W. Most of the
    convective activity across the area is related to the tropical
    waves.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A trough over the eastern Gulf extends from the Florida Big Bend
    area to 25N85W. Another trough is over the Bay of Campeche. This
    weak pressure pattern is supporting mostly light breezes and 1-3
    ft seas across the basin. Diffluent flow aloft is supporting
    scattered showers and thunderstorms across the central and west-
    central parts of the basin.

    For the forecast, the surface trough extending southwestward from the
    Big Bend of Florida into the eastern Gulf will support scattered
    showers and thunderstorms through this afternoon as the trough
    moves inland. Similar activity is expected in the Bay of
    Campeche and SW Gulf with the passage of a diurnal surface
    trough. Otherwise, a surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High
    westward across the northern Gulf, and will dominate most of the
    basin through late Tue. This will support gentle to moderate E
    to SE winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds
    will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
    Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a diurnal surface
    trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the
    SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in effect
    for the waters north of Colombia.

    The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located west
    of Bermuda near 32N68W and the Colombian low continues to support
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean. Seas are
    8 to 12 ft across much of this area. Moderate to fresh trades are
    over the E Caribbean while gentle to moderate E winds are
    observed elsewhere. Seas are moderate with these winds. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms are between Cuba and Jamaica, across the
    Cayman Islands and regional waters, and south of western Cuba,
    including the Yucatan Channel.

    For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
    through next week, with gale-force winds occurring again tonight
    offshore of Colombia. The ridge N of the region will gradually
    shift southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to
    near gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to locally
    strong speeds during the evenings and nights in the Gulf of
    Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period.
    Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.
    The Atlantic ridge looks to shift farther southward later next
    week, which may act to increase easterly trade winds again across
    the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off northeast
    Florida and the northern Bahamas, related to diffluent flow
    aloft. A broad ridge dominates the waters north of 25N across the
    basin, broken only by a trough reaching from 31N45W to 25N55W.
    Saharan dust is evident mainly east of this trough, north of 15N.
    The pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds south of
    22N and west of 60W with 4-6 ft seas, fresh to strong NE winds and
    5-7 ft seas over the Canary Islands, and mostly gentle to
    moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a low level trough extending across
    northern Florida will shift NW and further inland today.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms occurring E of the trough to
    75W will shift northwestward today, then persist N of 30N through
    Sun. Otherwise, a 1023 mb Bermuda High and an attendant ridge will
    shift slightly southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds
    will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
    Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening
    and night. The Atlantic ridge then looks to drop a bit farther
    southward later next week, which may result in stronger easterly
    winds.

    $$
    Christensen

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, August 09, 2026 04:03:52
    345
    AXNT20 KNHC 090403
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0340 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb
    Bermuda High and relatively lower pressure in northern South
    America will continue to support fresh to strong trades in the
    south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean through the middle
    of next week, with gale-force winds occurring tonight offshore of
    Colombia, and near gale-force winds occurring inside the Gulf of
    Venezuela. The ridge N of the region will gradually shift
    southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to near
    gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
    each night. Seas will build into the 12 to 13 ft range during the
    time of the gale-force winds tonight, and then peak at 10 to 11
    ft each of the next few nights.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6TzUzUzuyTQjWTBuzqFtoapTHzzHM5kjRFguUFoy9BzlkzjxgqBebCzIHBpetDUuZf1JrFGUMgNbzB5240Jy2UGg63c$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is near 35W-36W from 07N to 19N, moving west near
    15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is where the wave meets the
    monsoon trough. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    from 07.5N to 12.5N between 32W and 42W.

    A tropical wave is along 43W from 12N to 21N, moving west at 10
    to 15 kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no
    significant convection currently accompanies the wave.

    A tropical wave has entered the eastern Caribbean, and is along
    62W from 09N to 18N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is from 12N to 16N between 59W and 65W. Recent
    satellite scatterometer data shows fresh to strong winds from 13N
    to 21.5N on either side of the wave axis.

    Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
    coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
    be possible during the middle to latter part of next week while it
    moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium
    chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 20N16N and continues southwestward to near 11N22.5W
    then on to 11N43W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N44W to 09N50W to
    12N61W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 06N
    to 17N E of 20W to the coast of Africa. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 12N between 21W and 31W.
    Elsewhere, convective activity across the area is related to the
    tropical waves.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A low level trough over the eastern Gulf extends from the Florida
    Big Bend area to near 26N85.5W. Scattered moderate convection is
    seen east of this trough to interior portions of central Florida.
    A 1023 mb Bermuda High extends a weak ridge westward along 32N and
    inland across the northern Gulf states, and drapped across the
    low level trough. This weak pressure pattern across the Gulf is
    supporting mostly light to gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas across
    the basin. Moderate to fresh NE winds are occurring across the
    western coastal waters of the Yucatan Peninsula, ahead of a
    thermal trough there. Diffluent flow aloft is supporting
    scattered showers and a few thunderstorms across the central
    portions of the basin, and along the Mexican coast between Cabo
    Rojo and Veracruz.

    For the forecast, the surface trough extending southwestward from
    the Florida Big Bend into the eastern Gulf will support scattered
    showers and thunderstorms through tonight as the trough shifts NW
    and inland. Similar activity is expected in the Bay of Campeche
    and SW Gulf with the passage of a diurnal surface trough.
    Otherwise, a surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High westward
    across the northern Gulf, and will dominate most of the basin
    through late Tue. This will support gentle to moderate E to SE
    winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds will
    occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of
    Campeche each evening and night as a diurnal surface trough
    migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in effect
    for the waters north of Colombia.

    The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located just west
    of Bermuda and a 1007 mb Colombian low continues to support fresh
    to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean south of 16N and
    between 68W and 80W. Seas are 6 to 11 ft across much of this
    area. Fresh to locally strong trade accompany a tropical wave
    across the eastern Caribbean, to the N of 14N, where seas are 4 to
    6 ft. Active weather near the wave is described above. Moderate
    to fresh trades are over the remainder of the E Caribbean while
    gentle to moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are
    2 to 5 ft with these winds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continue between Cuba and Jamaica, across the Cayman Islands and
    regional waters, including the Yucatan Channel, and are supported
    by upper level troughing extending from the NE Caribbean west-
    northwestward to the Yucatan channel.

    For the forecast, the ridge N of the basin will gradually shift
    southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to near
    gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
    each night. Winds will pulse fresh to strong speeds during the
    evenings and nights in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage
    through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades
    will prevail elsewhere. The Atlantic ridge will shift farther
    southward later next week, which may combine with an approaching
    tropical wave to increase easterly trade winds again across the
    basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms continue off northeast
    Florida, N of 29N and extend northeastward to 74W, to the east of
    a low level trough moving across the NE Gulf of America and
    extending into SE Georgia. A broad ridge dominates the waters
    north of 25N across the basin, broken only by a trough reaching
    from 32N50W to 28N57W. Saharan air and suspended dust is evident
    east of this trough, north of 13N. The pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh trade winds south of 22N and west of 55W into
    the E Caribbean, where seas are 4 to 7 ft. South of 22N and east
    of 55W gentle to moderate trades prevail to the Cabo Verde
    Islands, where seas are 4 to 5 ft. Fresh to strong NE winds and
    5-8 ft seas extend from the Canary Islands southwestward to 20N.
    Elsewhere within the ridge, mostly gentle to moderate breezes and
    3-5 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers across the NW
    zones off of Florida will diminish overnight as a surface trough,
    currently over the eastern Gulf of America, continues to move W
    away from the area. Otherwise, a 1023 mb Bermuda High will shift
    southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds will prevail N
    of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward Passage through
    the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening and night. The
    Atlantic ridge will sink a bit farther southward later next week,
    which may combine with an approaching tropical wave to produce
    stronger easterly winds. Of note, a tropical wave is expected to
    move off the west coast of Africa on Tuesday. Gradual development
    will be possible thereafter and a tropical depression could form
    during the second half of next week while the system moves
    westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. The
    latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium chance
    of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.

    $$
    Stripling

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, August 09, 2026 04:03:56
    413
    AXNT20 KNHC 090403
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0340 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb
    Bermuda High and relatively lower pressure in northern South
    America will continue to support fresh to strong trades in the
    south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean through the middle
    of next week, with gale-force winds occurring tonight offshore of
    Colombia, and near gale-force winds occurring inside the Gulf of
    Venezuela. The ridge N of the region will gradually shift
    southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to near
    gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
    each night. Seas will build into the 12 to 13 ft range during the
    time of the gale-force winds tonight, and then peak at 10 to 11
    ft each of the next few nights.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7sOfUjK2cVim8C7KqcHthSxxwJvVvnTNEB6tjUCOX-vCs0tXg3XC0z1m3cEk_Vv4Bj9qsmqoPUVk_0KmEdZwJpUcZPE$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is near 35W-36W from 07N to 19N, moving west near
    15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is where the wave meets the
    monsoon trough. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    from 07.5N to 12.5N between 32W and 42W.

    A tropical wave is along 43W from 12N to 21N, moving west at 10
    to 15 kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no
    significant convection currently accompanies the wave.

    A tropical wave has entered the eastern Caribbean, and is along
    62W from 09N to 18N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is from 12N to 16N between 59W and 65W. Recent
    satellite scatterometer data shows fresh to strong winds from 13N
    to 21.5N on either side of the wave axis.

    Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
    coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
    be possible during the middle to latter part of next week while it
    moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium
    chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 20N16N and continues southwestward to near 11N22.5W
    then on to 11N43W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N44W to 09N50W to
    12N61W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 06N
    to 17N E of 20W to the coast of Africa. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 12N between 21W and 31W.
    Elsewhere, convective activity across the area is related to the
    tropical waves.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A low level trough over the eastern Gulf extends from the Florida
    Big Bend area to near 26N85.5W. Scattered moderate convection is
    seen east of this trough to interior portions of central Florida.
    A 1023 mb Bermuda High extends a weak ridge westward along 32N and
    inland across the northern Gulf states, and drapped across the
    low level trough. This weak pressure pattern across the Gulf is
    supporting mostly light to gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas across
    the basin. Moderate to fresh NE winds are occurring across the
    western coastal waters of the Yucatan Peninsula, ahead of a
    thermal trough there. Diffluent flow aloft is supporting
    scattered showers and a few thunderstorms across the central
    portions of the basin, and along the Mexican coast between Cabo
    Rojo and Veracruz.

    For the forecast, the surface trough extending southwestward from
    the Florida Big Bend into the eastern Gulf will support scattered
    showers and thunderstorms through tonight as the trough shifts NW
    and inland. Similar activity is expected in the Bay of Campeche
    and SW Gulf with the passage of a diurnal surface trough.
    Otherwise, a surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High westward
    across the northern Gulf, and will dominate most of the basin
    through late Tue. This will support gentle to moderate E to SE
    winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds will
    occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of
    Campeche each evening and night as a diurnal surface trough
    migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in effect
    for the waters north of Colombia.

    The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located just west
    of Bermuda and a 1007 mb Colombian low continues to support fresh
    to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean south of 16N and
    between 68W and 80W. Seas are 6 to 11 ft across much of this
    area. Fresh to locally strong trade accompany a tropical wave
    across the eastern Caribbean, to the N of 14N, where seas are 4 to
    6 ft. Active weather near the wave is described above. Moderate
    to fresh trades are over the remainder of the E Caribbean while
    gentle to moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are
    2 to 5 ft with these winds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continue between Cuba and Jamaica, across the Cayman Islands and
    regional waters, including the Yucatan Channel, and are supported
    by upper level troughing extending from the NE Caribbean west-
    northwestward to the Yucatan channel.

    For the forecast, the ridge N of the basin will gradually shift
    southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to near
    gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
    each night. Winds will pulse fresh to strong speeds during the
    evenings and nights in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage
    through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades
    will prevail elsewhere. The Atlantic ridge will shift farther
    southward later next week, which may combine with an approaching
    tropical wave to increase easterly trade winds again across the
    basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms continue off northeast
    Florida, N of 29N and extend northeastward to 74W, to the east of
    a low level trough moving across the NE Gulf of America and
    extending into SE Georgia. A broad ridge dominates the waters
    north of 25N across the basin, broken only by a trough reaching
    from 32N50W to 28N57W. Saharan air and suspended dust is evident
    east of this trough, north of 13N. The pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh trade winds south of 22N and west of 55W into
    the E Caribbean, where seas are 4 to 7 ft. South of 22N and east
    of 55W gentle to moderate trades prevail to the Cabo Verde
    Islands, where seas are 4 to 5 ft. Fresh to strong NE winds and
    5-8 ft seas extend from the Canary Islands southwestward to 20N.
    Elsewhere within the ridge, mostly gentle to moderate breezes and
    3-5 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers across the NW
    zones off of Florida will diminish overnight as a surface trough,
    currently over the eastern Gulf of America, continues to move W
    away from the area. Otherwise, a 1023 mb Bermuda High will shift
    southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds will prevail N
    of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward Passage through
    the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening and night. The
    Atlantic ridge will sink a bit farther southward later next week,
    which may combine with an approaching tropical wave to produce
    stronger easterly winds. Of note, a tropical wave is expected to
    move off the west coast of Africa on Tuesday. Gradual development
    will be possible thereafter and a tropical depression could form
    during the second half of next week while the system moves
    westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. The
    latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium chance
    of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.

    $$
    Stripling

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, August 09, 2026 10:16:42
    299
    AXNT20 KNHC 091016
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb
    Bermuda High and lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
    and portions of the SW Caribbean through the middle of next week,
    with gale-force winds occurring through this morning offshore of
    Colombia, and near gale-force winds in the Gulf of Venezuela. The
    ridge N of the region will shift southward to along 28N through
    Tue and maintain strong to near-gale winds offshore Colombia and
    in the Gulf of Venezuela each night. Seas to 13 ft are expected
    during the time of the gale-force winds, and then peak at 10 to
    11 ft each of the next few nights.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8SjfH9fnSpmZbvwBss_HVrGoTSeYLCwmXkmcAqB4X2urBaL5KWlwcXcGr2Yz4nrHTfNiqph7Gt6_ZJIXUZe6mV3Qt4g$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is near 37W from 08N to 17N, moving west near 15
    kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 13N between
    32W-44W.

    A tropical wave is along 46W from 13N to 24N, moving west at 10
    to 15 kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no significant
    convection currently accompanies the wave.

    A tropical wave is along 64W and S of 20N, moving west at 10 to
    15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is along the wave axis and N
    of 14N.

    Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
    coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
    be possible during the middle to latter part of the week while it
    moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium
    chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N17N and continues
    southwestward to 10N44W. The ITCZ extends from 10N46W to 12N64W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted alond the ITCZ between 48W
    and 54W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A low level trough over the northeastern Gulf extends from the
    Florida panhandle area to near 26N92W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted with this trough. A 1023 mb Bermuda High
    extends a weak ridge westward along 32N and inland across the
    northern Gulf states, and drapped across the trough. This weak
    pressure pattern across the Gulf is supporting mostly light to
    gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas across the basin. Moderate to fresh
    NE winds are occurring across the western coastal waters of the
    Yucatan Peninsula, ahead of a thermal trough there. Diffluent flow
    aloft is supporting scattered showers and a few thunderstorms
    across the central portions of the basin, and along the Mexican
    coast between Cabo Rojo and Veracruz.

    For the forecast, the surface trough will support scattered
    showers and thunderstorms through today as the trough moves
    inland. Similar activity is noted in the Bay of Campeche and SW
    Gulf with the passage of a diurnal surface trough. The surface
    ridge will dominate most of the basin through late Tue. This will
    support gentle to moderate E to SE winds north of 24N with slight
    seas. Pulses of fresh winds will occur north and west of the
    Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and
    night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan
    Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in effect
    for the waters north of Colombia and the tropical wave moving
    across the basin.

    The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located just west
    of Bermuda and a 1008 mb Colombian low continues to support fresh
    to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean south of 16N
    and between 68W and 80W. Seas are 6 to 11 ft across much of this
    area. Fresh to strong trade accompany a tropical wave across the
    eastern Caribbean, to the N of 14N, where seas are 4 to 6 ft.
    Active weather near the wave is described above. Moderate to fresh
    trades are over the remainder of the E Caribbean while gentle to
    moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are 2 to 5 ft with
    these winds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continue
    between Cuba and Jamaica, across the Cayman Islands and regional
    waters, including the Yucatan Channel, and are supported by upper
    level troughing extending from the NE Caribbean west-
    northwestward to the Yucatan channel.

    For the forecast, the ridge N of the basin will gradually shift
    southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to near
    gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
    each night. Winds will pulse fresh to strong speeds during the
    evenings and nights in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage
    through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades
    will prevail elsewhere. The Atlantic ridge will shift farther
    southward later this week, which may combine with an approaching
    tropical wave to increase easterly trade winds again across the
    basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the section above for details on the tropical waves
    moving across the basin.

    Scattered showers continue off northeast Florida, N of 29N and W
    of 80W, to the east of a low level trough moving across the NE
    Gulf of America and extending into SE Georgia. A broad ridge
    dominates the waters north of 25N across the basin, broken only by
    a trough reaching from 31N49W to 27N56W. Saharan air and
    suspended dust is evident east of this trough, north of 13N. The
    pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds south of 22N
    and west of 55W into the E Caribbean, where seas are 4 to 7 ft.
    South of 22N and east of 55W gentle to moderate trades prevail to
    the Cabo Verde Islands, where seas are 4 to 5 ft. Fresh to strong
    NE winds and 5-8 ft seas extend from the Canary Islands
    southwestward to 20N. Elsewhere within the ridge, gentle to
    moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers across the NW
    zones off of Florida will diminish today as the surface trough
    over the northeastern Gulf of America, continues to move NW away
    from the area. The Bermuda High will shift southward to along 28N
    through Tue. Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in
    the approach to the Windward Passage through the period, pulsing
    to strong speeds each evening and night. The Atlantic ridge will
    drop a bit farther southward later next week, which may result in
    stronger easterly winds.

    $$
    ERA

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, August 09, 2026 10:16:44
    300
    AXNT20 KNHC 091016
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb
    Bermuda High and lower pressure in northern South America will
    continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
    and portions of the SW Caribbean through the middle of next week,
    with gale-force winds occurring through this morning offshore of
    Colombia, and near gale-force winds in the Gulf of Venezuela. The
    ridge N of the region will shift southward to along 28N through
    Tue and maintain strong to near-gale winds offshore Colombia and
    in the Gulf of Venezuela each night. Seas to 13 ft are expected
    during the time of the gale-force winds, and then peak at 10 to
    11 ft each of the next few nights.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_hk48wtFMMjZUWboreG4u-4fhFYKF7Nvkqz6STzWghb92J_busYMBpduU9H7uDt7GW7DKOpLU3o6a-WcsVVszRyicaE$ for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is near 37W from 08N to 17N, moving west near 15
    kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 13N between
    32W-44W.

    A tropical wave is along 46W from 13N to 24N, moving west at 10
    to 15 kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no significant
    convection currently accompanies the wave.

    A tropical wave is along 64W and S of 20N, moving west at 10 to
    15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is along the wave axis and N
    of 14N.

    Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
    coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
    be possible during the middle to latter part of the week while it
    moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium
    chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N17N and continues
    southwestward to 10N44W. The ITCZ extends from 10N46W to 12N64W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted alond the ITCZ between 48W
    and 54W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A low level trough over the northeastern Gulf extends from the
    Florida panhandle area to near 26N92W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted with this trough. A 1023 mb Bermuda High
    extends a weak ridge westward along 32N and inland across the
    northern Gulf states, and drapped across the trough. This weak
    pressure pattern across the Gulf is supporting mostly light to
    gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas across the basin. Moderate to fresh
    NE winds are occurring across the western coastal waters of the
    Yucatan Peninsula, ahead of a thermal trough there. Diffluent flow
    aloft is supporting scattered showers and a few thunderstorms
    across the central portions of the basin, and along the Mexican
    coast between Cabo Rojo and Veracruz.

    For the forecast, the surface trough will support scattered
    showers and thunderstorms through today as the trough moves
    inland. Similar activity is noted in the Bay of Campeche and SW
    Gulf with the passage of a diurnal surface trough. The surface
    ridge will dominate most of the basin through late Tue. This will
    support gentle to moderate E to SE winds north of 24N with slight
    seas. Pulses of fresh winds will occur north and west of the
    Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and
    night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan
    Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in effect
    for the waters north of Colombia and the tropical wave moving
    across the basin.

    The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located just west
    of Bermuda and a 1008 mb Colombian low continues to support fresh
    to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean south of 16N
    and between 68W and 80W. Seas are 6 to 11 ft across much of this
    area. Fresh to strong trade accompany a tropical wave across the
    eastern Caribbean, to the N of 14N, where seas are 4 to 6 ft.
    Active weather near the wave is described above. Moderate to fresh
    trades are over the remainder of the E Caribbean while gentle to
    moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are 2 to 5 ft with
    these winds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continue
    between Cuba and Jamaica, across the Cayman Islands and regional
    waters, including the Yucatan Channel, and are supported by upper
    level troughing extending from the NE Caribbean west-
    northwestward to the Yucatan channel.

    For the forecast, the ridge N of the basin will gradually shift
    southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to near
    gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
    each night. Winds will pulse fresh to strong speeds during the
    evenings and nights in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage
    through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades
    will prevail elsewhere. The Atlantic ridge will shift farther
    southward later this week, which may combine with an approaching
    tropical wave to increase easterly trade winds again across the
    basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the section above for details on the tropical waves
    moving across the basin.

    Scattered showers continue off northeast Florida, N of 29N and W
    of 80W, to the east of a low level trough moving across the NE
    Gulf of America and extending into SE Georgia. A broad ridge
    dominates the waters north of 25N across the basin, broken only by
    a trough reaching from 31N49W to 27N56W. Saharan air and
    suspended dust is evident east of this trough, north of 13N. The
    pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds south of 22N
    and west of 55W into the E Caribbean, where seas are 4 to 7 ft.
    South of 22N and east of 55W gentle to moderate trades prevail to
    the Cabo Verde Islands, where seas are 4 to 5 ft. Fresh to strong
    NE winds and 5-8 ft seas extend from the Canary Islands
    southwestward to 20N. Elsewhere within the ridge, gentle to
    moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers across the NW
    zones off of Florida will diminish today as the surface trough
    over the northeastern Gulf of America, continues to move NW away
    from the area. The Bermuda High will shift southward to along 28N
    through Tue. Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in
    the approach to the Windward Passage through the period, pulsing
    to strong speeds each evening and night. The Atlantic ridge will
    drop a bit farther southward later next week, which may result in
    stronger easterly winds.

    $$
    ERA

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, August 09, 2026 17:07:12
    506
    AXNT20 KNHC 091706
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A new tropical wave was analyzed at 1200 UTC along 18W, from 06N
    to 17N. The wave is moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers
    are seen near the wave axis.

    A tropical wave is near 36/37W from 07N to 17N, moving west at
    around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N to 14N
    between 33W-41W.

    A tropical wave is along 47W from 12N to 23N, moving west at
    10-15 kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no significant
    convection currently accompanies the wave.

    A tropical wave is along 66W and S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
    20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is in the eastern Caribbean
    between 13N and the coast of Puerto Rico.

    Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
    coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
    be possible during the middle to latter part of the week while it
    moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium
    chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16N and continues
    southwestward to 11N45W. The ITCZ extends from 11N45W to 12N62W.
    In addition to the convection discussed in the Tropical Waves
    section above, scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to
    11N between 20W and 27W, as well as from 08N to 12N between 41W
    and 55W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough over the northern Gulf supports scattered
    moderate convection along the northern Gulf coast from SE
    LA to the western FL Panhandle. More scattered moderate convection
    is active over the Gulf W of 91W near the south end of this
    trough, also enhanced by another surface trough in the SW Gulf and
    a divergent pattern aloft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    also active over the FL Straits. A 1023 mb Bermuda High extends
    a weak ridge inland across the northern Gulf states. This weak
    pressure pattern across the Gulf is supporting mostly light to
    gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas across the basin. Moderate to fresh
    NE winds are occurring across the western coastal waters of the
    Yucatan Peninsula, ahead of a thermal trough there.

    For the forecast, a surface trough extends from near Panama City,
    Florida to 29N89W and to near 28N93W. Isolated showers and
    thunderstorms are near the trough. The trough will move inland the
    northern Gulf coast this evening. Otherwise, a surface ridge
    extends from the Bermuda High westward across the northern Gulf,
    and will dominate most of the basin through late Tue. This will
    support gentle to moderate E to SE winds north of 24N with slight
    seas. Pulses of fresh winds will occur north and west of the
    Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and
    night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan
    Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located
    just west of Bermuda and a 1008 mb Colombian low continues to
    support fresh to near gale force trades over the south-central to
    SW Caribbean. Seas are 7 to 11 ft across much of this area. Fresh
    to strong trade accompany a tropical wave across the eastern
    Caribbean N of 15N, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Moderate to fresh
    trades are over the remainder of the E Caribbean and the Gulf of
    Honduras while gentle to moderate E winds are observed elsewhere.
    Seas are 2 to 5 ft with these winds. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms continue between Cuba and Jamaica, across
    the Cayman Islands and regional waters including the Yucatan
    Channel, and are supported by upper level troughing over the W
    Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a 1023 mb Bermuda
    High and lower pressure in northern South America will continue
    to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central and
    portions of the SW basin will into the week. The associated ridge
    will gradually shift southward to near 28N through midweek
    maintaining strong to near-gale winds offshore Colombia and in the
    Gulf of Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to
    strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the Gulf of
    Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period.
    Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere. The
    Atlantic ridge will shift farther southward later next week, which
    may act to increase the trades again across the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the section above for details on the tropical waves
    moving across the basin.

    A broad ridge dominates the waters north of 25N across the basin,
    broken only by a pair of troughs N of 26N between 48W and 59W.
    Saharan air and suspended dust is evident south and east of these
    troughs to as far sout has the monsoon trough and ITCZ. The
    pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds south of 22N
    and west of 55W into the E Caribbean, where seas are 4 to 7 ft.
    North of 22N and east of 55W gentle to moderate trades prevail to
    the Cabo Verde Islands, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Fresh to strong
    NE winds and 5-8 ft seas extend from the Canary Islands
    southwestward to 20N. Elsewhere within the ridge, gentle to
    moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weak trough along the U.S.
    southeastern coast in combination with ample deep moisture in
    place will help maintain scattered showers and thunderstorms
    offshore northern Florida east to near 74W. Otherwise, the ridge
    associated to high pressure of 1023 mb will shift southward to
    along 28N through Tue. Fresh trades will prevail N of Hispaniola
    and in the approach to the Windward Passage through the period,
    pulsing to strong speeds each evening and night. The Atlantic
    ridge will drop a bit farther southward later next week, which may
    result in stronger easterly winds. Of note, a tropical wave is
    expected to move off the west coast of Africa early in the week.
    Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual
    development thereafter and a tropical depression could form during
    the latter half of this week while the system moves generally
    westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

    $$
    Adams

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sunday, August 09, 2026 23:15:54
    345
    AXNT20 KNHC 092315
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon Aug 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2300 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 21W and extends from 06N to 17N. The
    wave is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is ahead of the wave axis from 08N to
    11N between 21W and 30W..

    A tropical wave is near 36/37W from 07N to 17N, moving west at
    around 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
    is from 08N to 14N between 35W and 44W. Some gradual development
    of this system is possible during the early to middle part of
    this week while it moves westward across the central tropical
    Atlantic. Upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive
    for development later in the week when the system approaches the
    Lesser Antilles. The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this
    system a low chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.

    A tropical wave is along 49W/50W from 12N to 23N, moving west at
    10-15 kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no significant
    convection currently accompanies the wave. A swirl of low clouds
    is just ahead of the wave axis near 16N51W.

    A tropical wave is along 68W and extends from the Mona Passage to
    north-central Venezuela, moving west at 15 to 20 kt. The wave is
    enhancing convection over parts of Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic,
    the eastern Caribbean, and NE and north-central Venezuela.

    Looking ahead, another tropical wave is expected to move off the
    west coast of Africa early this week. Environmental conditions
    are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter,
    and a tropical depression could form during the latter half of
    this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
    across the central tropical Atlantic. The latest Tropical Weather
    Outlook gives this system a low chance of tropical cyclone formation
    through 48 hours, and medium chance through 7 days.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
    near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 11N45W. The ITCZ extends
    from 11N45W to 12N60W. Aside from the convection associated with
    the tropical waves, no significant convection is noted elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Showers and thunderstorms continues to dot the Gulf region, mainly
    near west Florida and over the NW part of the basin. A diffluent
    pattern aloft is helping to induce this convective activity. In
    addition, a surface trough extending from near Destin, Florida
    to 28N91W and to near 27N94W also supports scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms. Convection has flared-up over the
    Yucatan Peninsula and the NW Caribbean. A surface ridge extends
    from the Bermuda High across Florida into the Gulf region, and
    supports mostly light to gentle winds and slight to moderate
    seas. Gentle to moderate SE winds are evident per scatterometer
    data on the east side of a surface trough located over the central
    Bay of Campeche.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned surface trough that extends
    from near Destin, Florida to 27N94W is expected to dissipate as
    it moves inland the northern Gulf coast tonight. Otherwise, a
    surface ridge will dominate the general wind flow pattern across
    basin well into the week, generally supporting gentle to moderate
    E to SE winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of
    fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula
    and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a diurnal
    surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across
    the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1022 mb high pressure located
    just south of Bermuda and a 1008 mb Colombian low continues to
    promote fresh to strong trade winds over the central Caribbean,
    with the strongest winds of 30 kt offshore Colombia. Seas are 8
    to 11 ft with these winds. Mainly moderate to fresh winds are
    N of 15N associated with the tropical wave located across the
    eastern Caribbean. Seas are 4 to 6 ft. Similar winds speeds are
    present across the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate trades
    prevail elsewhere, with moderate seas. Aside from the convection
    associated with the tropical wave, scattered showers, with
    embedded thunderstorms, are occurring over the NW Caribbean and
    parts of Cuba.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a 1023 mb Bermuda
    High and lower pressure in northern South America will continue
    to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central and
    portions of the SW basin will into the week. The associated ridge
    will gradually shift southward to near 28N through midweek
    maintaining strong to near-gale winds offshore Colombia and in
    the Gulf of Venezuela each night, except Wed night. Winds will
    pulse up to fresh to strong speeds during the evenings and at
    night in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through the
    forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail
    elsewhere. The Atlantic ridge will shift farther southward later
    this week, which may act to increase the trades again across the
    basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward between W Africa and the
    Lesser Antilles, and the National Hurricane Center is monitoring
    a couple of areas with the potential of tropical cyclone formation.
    Refer to the tropical wave section above for more details.

    A weak trough along the U.S. southeastern coast in combination
    with ample deep moisture in place are helping to support a band
    of showers and thunderstorms offshore northern Florida east to
    near 74W. Otherwise, a ridge dominates the remainder of the
    Atlantic forecast waters. This pattern is promoting moderate to
    fresh trade winds south of 22N and west of 60W, where seas are 4
    to 6 ft. Moderate to fresh winds are near the tropical wave along
    36W/37W. Moderate to locally fresh N to NE winds and 5 to 8 ft
    seas extend from the Canary Islands southwestward to near 20N.
    Elsewhere within the ridge, gentle to moderate winds and moderate
    seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the weak trough offshore the U.S.
    southeastern coast will help maintain scattered showers and
    thunderstorms offshore northern Florida through tonight. The Atlantic
    ridge will drop a bit farther southward later this week, which
    may result in stronger easterly winds. Fresh trades will prevail
    N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward Passage through
    the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening and night.

    Of note, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast
    of Africa early in the week. Environmental conditions are
    forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and
    a tropical depression could form during the latter half of the
    week while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward
    across the central tropical Atlantic.

    $$
    GR

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  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, August 10, 2026 04:13:12
    031
    AXNT20 KNHC 100412
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Aug 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0330 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 24W and extends from 06N to 18N, moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is ahead of the wave axis, from 07.5N to 12.5N between
    24W and 30W. Low pressure has formed in the lower levels ahead of
    this wave, where the convection is occurring. This system is
    forecast to move slowly westward and merge with the next tropical
    wave to move off of Africa in a couple of days. Environmental
    conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development by
    midweek. A tropical depression could form during the latter half
    of this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
    across the central tropical Atlantic. The latest Tropical Weather
    Outlook gives this system a medium chance of tropical cyclone
    formation through 7 days.

    A tropical wave is near 41W-42W from 07N to 17N, moving west at
    around 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    from 07.5N to 14.5N between 36W and 49W. Some gradual development
    of this wave is possible during the early to middle part of this
    week while it moves quickly westward across the central tropical
    Atlantic. Upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive
    for development later in the week when the system approaches the
    Lesser Antilles. The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this
    system a low chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.

    A tropical wave is along 52W from 13N to 24N, moving west at
    15 kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no significant
    convection currently accompanies the wave. A swirl of low clouds
    is just ahead of the wave axis near 15N53W.

    A tropical wave is along 71W and extends from the western
    Dominican Republic to northwest Venezuela, moving west at 15 to
    20 kt. Widely scattered moderate convection is noted behind the
    wave, from 14N to 18.5N between 63W and 70W, including the Mona
    Passage and coastal portions of the Dominican Republic. A cluster
    of moderate convection is also noted across north-central Venezuela.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
    near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 11N24W to 10.5N45W.
    The ITCZ extends from 11N46W to 11.5N62W. Aside from the
    convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 07N to 11.5N between 36W and the coast of
    Africa.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to dot the Gulf
    waters, mainly near southwest Florida, the Yucatan Channel, and
    over the NW part of the basin. A diffluent pattern aloft is
    helping to induce this convective activity. Convection has also
    flared-up over the Yucatan Peninsula and is slowly shifting
    westward into the eastern Bay of Campeche. A surface ridge
    extends from the Bermuda High west-southwestward across northern
    Florida and across the northern Gulf along 29N. This pattern is
    supporting mostly light to gentle winds and slight of 3 ft or less
    over most of the basin. Moderate to locally fresh NE winds are
    occurring across the nearshore waters along the N and W coast of
    the Yucatan Peninsula, W of a surface trough over the Peninsula.
    Moderate easterly winds and seas of 3 to 4 ft prevail across the
    Straits of Florida.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge extending across the northern
    Gulf will dominate the general wind flow pattern across basin
    well into the upcoming week, generally supporting gentle to
    moderate E to SE winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses
    of fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula
    and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a diurnal
    surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across
    the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located
    just southwest of Bermuda and a 1007 mb Colombian low continues
    to promote fresh to strong trade winds over the central Caribbean
    between 66W and 80W, with the strongest winds around 30 kt
    offshore Colombia and inside the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas are 7 to
    10 ft with these winds. Winds have increased to strong near the
    southern coast of the Dominican Republic, near the Barahona
    Peninsula, as a tropical wave is morning through the area.
    Scattered moderate convection trails the wave, as described above.
    Mainly moderate to locally fresh winds are E of 66W across the
    eastern Caribbean behind the tropical wave. Seas are 4 to 6 ft
    there. Fresh to strong NE winds are also present across the
    Windward Passage, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Gentle to moderate
    trades prevail elsewhere across NW portions, with moderate seas.
    Aside from the convection associated with the tropical wave,
    scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are occurring over
    south coastal portions of Cuba, and in the Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient across the Caribbean basin
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-
    central and portions of the SW basin will into the week. The
    associated Atlantic ridge will gradually shift southward to near
    28N through midweek maintaining strong to near-gale winds offshore
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night. Winds will
    pulse up to fresh to strong speeds during the evenings and at
    night in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through the
    forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail
    elsewhere. The Atlantic ridge will shift farther southward later
    this week, which may act to increase the trades again across the
    basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward across the Atlantic between
    W Africa and the Lesser Antilles. The National Hurricane Center
    is monitoring two areas with the potential of tropical cyclone
    formation during the coming week. Refer to the tropical wave
    section above for more details.

    A weak trough offshore of the U.S. southeastern coast in
    combination with ample deep moisture in place is helping to
    support a showers and a few thunderstorms well offshore of
    northern Florida, N of 29N between between 72W and 77W.
    Otherwise, a ridge dominates the remainder of the Atlantic
    forecast waters, centered on a 1023 mb Bermuda High, and a 1024 mb
    high near 28N38W. A weakening stationary front extends into the
    area along 31N48W and disrupts the ridge there between 45W and
    55W. This ridge is promoting moderate to fresh trade winds south
    of 24N and west of 30W, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Moderate to
    fresh winds are near the tropical wave along 41W-42W. Moderate to
    locally fresh N to NE winds and 5 to 9 ft seas extend from the
    Canary Islands southwestward to near 19N. Elsewhere within the
    ridge, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge will
    shift gradually southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh trades
    will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
    Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening
    and night. The ridge will sink a bit farther southward later next
    week, which may result in stronger easterly winds.

    Of note, weak low pressure across the eastern Atlantic is
    forecast to move slowly westward, and merge with a tropical wave
    exiting Africa in a couple of days. Environmental conditions are
    forecast to be more conducive for development by midweek. A
    tropical depression could form during the latter half of this week
    while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the
    central tropical Atlantic. There is a medium chance for tropical
    development for this system within the next 7 days.

    $$
    Stripling

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, August 10, 2026 10:03:16
    394
    AXNT20 KNHC 101002
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Mon Aug 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 26W and extends from 08N to 17N, moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from
    06N to 12N between 24W and 33W.

    A tropical wave is near 43W from 07N to 17N, moving west at
    around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 14N
    between 39W and 50W.

    A tropical wave is along 55W from 13N to 24N, moving west at 15
    kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no significant
    convection currently accompanies the wave.

    A tropical wave is along 74W and S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
    20 kt. No convection is noted in this wave's environment at this
    time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
    near 20N17W and continues southwestward to 11N47W. The ITCZ
    extends from 11N47W to 10N61W. Aside from the convection
    associated with the tropical waves, no convection is noted at this
    time.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to dot the Gulf
    waters, mainly near southwest Florida, the Yucatan Channel, and
    over the NW part of the basin. A diffluent pattern aloft is
    helping to induce this convective activity. Convection has also
    flared-up over the Yucatan Peninsula and is slowly shifting
    westward into the eastern Bay of Campeche. A surface ridge
    extends from the Bermuda High west-southwestward across northern
    Florida and across the northern Gulf along 29N. This pattern is
    supporting light to gentle winds and slight of 3 ft or less over
    most of the basin. Moderate to fresh NE winds are occurring
    across the nearshore waters along the N and W coast of the Yucatan
    Peninsula, W of a surface trough over the Peninsula. Moderate
    easterly winds and seas of 3 to 4 ft prevail across the Straits of
    Florida.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will dominate the general
    wind flow pattern across basin well into the upcoming week,
    generally supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds north of 24N
    along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds will occur north
    and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche
    each evening and night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from
    the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located
    just southwest of Bermuda and a 1007 mb Colombian low continues
    to promote fresh to strong trade winds over the central Caribbean
    between 66W and 80W, with the strongest winds around 30 kt
    offshore Colombia and inside the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas are 7 to
    10 ft with these winds. Winds have increased to strong near the
    southern coast of the Dominican Republic, near the Barahona
    Peninsula, as a tropical wave is moving through the area.
    Scattered moderate convection trails the wave. Moderate to fresh
    winds are E of 66W across the eastern Caribbean behind the
    tropical wave. Seas are 4 to 6 ft there. Fresh to strong NE winds
    are also present across the Windward Passage, where seas are 5 to
    7 ft. Gentle to moderate trades prevail elsewhere across NW
    portions, with moderate seas. Aside from the convection associated
    with the tropical wave, scattered showers and a few thunderstorms
    are occurring over south coastal portions of Cuba, and in the
    Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient across the Caribbean basin
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-
    central and portions of the SW basin will into the week. The
    Atlantic ridge will gradually shift southward to near 28N through
    midweek maintaining strong to near-gale winds offshore Colombia
    and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse up to
    fresh to strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the
    Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period.
    Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere. The
    Atlantic ridge will shift farther southward later this week, which
    may act to increase the trades again across the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward across the Atlantic between
    W Africa and the Lesser Antilles. The National Hurricane Center
    is monitoring two areas with the potential of tropical cyclone
    formation during the coming week.

    A ridge dominates the Atlantic forecast waters, centered on a
    1023 mb Bermuda High, and a 1022 mb high near 28N36W. A weakening
    cold front is analyzed N of 30N between 40W and 48W. The ridge is
    promoting moderate to fresh trade winds south of 24N and west of
    30W, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Moderate to fresh winds are near
    the tropical wave along 41W-42W. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds
    and 5 to 9 ft seas extend from the Canary Islands southwestward to
    near 19N. Elsewhere within the ridge, gentle to moderate winds
    and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge will
    shift gradually southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh trades
    will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
    Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each night.
    The ridge will sink a bit farther southward later next week, which
    may result in stronger easterly winds.

    Of note, a low pres system is forecast to move slowly across the
    East Atlantic and merge with a tropical wave in a couple of days,
    and environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for
    development by midweek. A tropical depression could form during
    the latter half of this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. There is
    a medium chance for tropical development for this system within
    the next 7 days.

    $$
    ERA

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Monday, August 10, 2026 10:03:20
    393
    AXNT20 KNHC 101002
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Mon Aug 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 26W and extends from 08N to 17N, moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from
    06N to 12N between 24W and 33W.

    A tropical wave is near 43W from 07N to 17N, moving west at
    around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 14N
    between 39W and 50W.

    A tropical wave is along 55W from 13N to 24N, moving west at 15
    kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no significant
    convection currently accompanies the wave.

    A tropical wave is along 74W and S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
    20 kt. No convection is noted in this wave's environment at this
    time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
    near 20N17W and continues southwestward to 11N47W. The ITCZ
    extends from 11N47W to 10N61W. Aside from the convection
    associated with the tropical waves, no convection is noted at this
    time.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to dot the Gulf
    waters, mainly near southwest Florida, the Yucatan Channel, and
    over the NW part of the basin. A diffluent pattern aloft is
    helping to induce this convective activity. Convection has also
    flared-up over the Yucatan Peninsula and is slowly shifting
    westward into the eastern Bay of Campeche. A surface ridge
    extends from the Bermuda High west-southwestward across northern
    Florida and across the northern Gulf along 29N. This pattern is
    supporting light to gentle winds and slight of 3 ft or less over
    most of the basin. Moderate to fresh NE winds are occurring
    across the nearshore waters along the N and W coast of the Yucatan
    Peninsula, W of a surface trough over the Peninsula. Moderate
    easterly winds and seas of 3 to 4 ft prevail across the Straits of
    Florida.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will dominate the general
    wind flow pattern across basin well into the upcoming week,
    generally supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds north of 24N
    along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds will occur north
    and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche
    each evening and night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from
    the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located
    just southwest of Bermuda and a 1007 mb Colombian low continues
    to promote fresh to strong trade winds over the central Caribbean
    between 66W and 80W, with the strongest winds around 30 kt
    offshore Colombia and inside the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas are 7 to
    10 ft with these winds. Winds have increased to strong near the
    southern coast of the Dominican Republic, near the Barahona
    Peninsula, as a tropical wave is moving through the area.
    Scattered moderate convection trails the wave. Moderate to fresh
    winds are E of 66W across the eastern Caribbean behind the
    tropical wave. Seas are 4 to 6 ft there. Fresh to strong NE winds
    are also present across the Windward Passage, where seas are 5 to
    7 ft. Gentle to moderate trades prevail elsewhere across NW
    portions, with moderate seas. Aside from the convection associated
    with the tropical wave, scattered showers and a few thunderstorms
    are occurring over south coastal portions of Cuba, and in the
    Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient across the Caribbean basin
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-
    central and portions of the SW basin will into the week. The
    Atlantic ridge will gradually shift southward to near 28N through
    midweek maintaining strong to near-gale winds offshore Colombia
    and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse up to
    fresh to strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the
    Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period.
    Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere. The
    Atlantic ridge will shift farther southward later this week, which
    may act to increase the trades again across the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward across the Atlantic between
    W Africa and the Lesser Antilles. The National Hurricane Center
    is monitoring two areas with the potential of tropical cyclone
    formation during the coming week.

    A ridge dominates the Atlantic forecast waters, centered on a
    1023 mb Bermuda High, and a 1022 mb high near 28N36W. A weakening
    cold front is analyzed N of 30N between 40W and 48W. The ridge is
    promoting moderate to fresh trade winds south of 24N and west of
    30W, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Moderate to fresh winds are near
    the tropical wave along 41W-42W. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds
    and 5 to 9 ft seas extend from the Canary Islands southwestward to
    near 19N. Elsewhere within the ridge, gentle to moderate winds
    and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge will
    shift gradually southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh trades
    will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
    Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each night.
    The ridge will sink a bit farther southward later next week, which
    may result in stronger easterly winds.

    Of note, a low pres system is forecast to move slowly across the
    East Atlantic and merge with a tropical wave in a couple of days,
    and environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for
    development by midweek. A tropical depression could form during
    the latter half of this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. There is
    a medium chance for tropical development for this system within
    the next 7 days.

    $$
    ERA

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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)