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  • OUTLOOK: Nws National Hurricane Center Miami Fl

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, August 18, 2025 05:35:49
    ABNT20 KNHC 180533
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located about 100 miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos
    Islands.

    Tropical Atlantic:
    A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the
    eastern tropical Atlantic is associated with a tropical wave.
    Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development
    of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the
    latter part of the week while moving westward to west-northwestward
    at about 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic, possibly
    approaching the vicinity of the Leeward Islands on Friday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, August 18, 2025 11:31:47
    ABNT20 KNHC 181131
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located a little over 100 miles north-northeast of Grand Turk
    Island.

    Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
    producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
    and a tropical depression could form during the latter part of the
    week. This system should move westward to west-northwestward at
    about 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic and approach the
    vicinity of the Leeward Islands toward the end of the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, August 18, 2025 17:40:55
    ABNT20 KNHC 181740
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located near the Southeast Bahamas.

    Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
    producing limited disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression could form toward the end of
    the week. This system should move westward to west-northwestward at
    about 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic and approach the
    vicinity of the Leeward Islands on Friday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, August 18, 2025 23:39:13
    ABNT20 KNHC 182338
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located near the Southeast Bahamas.

    Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is
    producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
    and a tropical depression could form toward the end of the week.
    This system should move westward to west-northwestward at about 20
    mph across the central tropical Atlantic and approach the vicinity
    of the Leeward Islands on Friday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located just off the coast of Africa is producing a
    persistent cluster of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some
    slight development of this system is possible over the next day or
    two as it moves westward at around 15 mph. On Thursday, this system
    should reach a less favorable environment, which should reduce its
    chances for development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, August 19, 2025 05:35:27
    ABNT20 KNHC 190534
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located a couple hundred miles to the northeast of the
    Southeast Bahamas.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues
    to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression could form toward the end of
    the week or weekend. This system should move westward to
    west-northwestward at about 20 mph across the central tropical
    Atlantic and approach the vicinity of the Leeward Islands on Friday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located a few hundred miles to the southeast of the
    Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a concentrated area of
    showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear generally
    favorable for additional development over the next couple of days as
    the system moves westward at around 15 mph. Towards the end of this
    week, this system could encounter a less favorable environment,
    limiting its development chances after that time.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, August 19, 2025 11:46:33
    ABNT20 KNHC 191146
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located a couple hundred miles to the northeast of the
    Southeast Bahamas.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues
    to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression could form toward the end of
    the week or this weekend. This system should move westward to west-northwestward at about 20 mph and approach the vicinity of the
    Leeward Islands on Friday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    A tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles to the southeast
    of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a concentrated area
    of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear
    generally favorable for additional development over the next couple
    of days as the system moves westward at around 15 mph. Towards the
    end of this week, this system could encounter a less favorable
    environment, limiting its development chances after that time.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, August 19, 2025 17:38:21
    ABNT20 KNHC 191738
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located a couple of hundred miles to the northeast of the
    Southeast Bahamas.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues
    to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression could form toward the end of
    the week or this weekend. This system should move westward to west-northwestward at about 20 mph and approach the vicinity of the
    northern Leeward Islands on Friday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    A tropical wave located about a hundred miles to the south of the
    Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable
    for additional development over the next couple of days as the
    system moves westward at around 15 mph. Towards the end of this
    week, this system could encounter a less favorable environment,
    limiting its development chances after that time.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, August 19, 2025 23:50:26
    ABNT20 KNHC 192350
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues
    to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression could form late this
    week or over the weekend while it moves near or the north of the
    northern Leeward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    A tropical wave located just southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
    continues to produce shower and thunderstorm activity while it
    moves westward at about 15 mph. A short-lived tropical depression
    could form during the next day or two before environmental
    conditions before unfavorable for further development late this
    week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, August 20, 2025 05:14:16
    ABNT20 KNHC 200514
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues
    to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression could form late this
    week or over the weekend while it moves near or the north of the
    northern Leeward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that a concentrated
    area of showers and thunderstorms located just southwest of the Cabo
    Verde Islands lacks a closed surface circulation. Environmental
    conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development
    over the next day or so while the system moves westward at around 15
    mph. By the end of the week, environmental conditions are expected
    to become unfavorable for further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, August 20, 2025 11:44:21
    ABNT20 KNHC 201144
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues
    to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression could form late this week or
    over the weekend while it moves near or to the north of the northern
    Leeward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    A tropical wave located to the southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
    continues to produce a concentrated area of showers and
    thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable
    for additional development over the next day or so while the system
    moves westward at around 15 mph and a short-lived tropical
    depression could form. By the end of the week, environmental
    conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further
    development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium..40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci/R. Zelinsky

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, August 20, 2025 17:35:42
    ABNT20 KNHC 201735
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Leeward
    Islands continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers
    and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
    form by this weekend while it moves near or to the north of the
    northern Leeward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Satellite-derived surface wind data from earlier today revealed that
    a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms located several
    hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands lacks a closed
    surface circulation. Environmental conditions appear marginally
    favorable for additional development over the next day or so while
    the system moves west-southwestward at around 15 mph and a
    short-lived tropical depression could form. By the end of the
    week, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable
    for further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium..40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, August 20, 2025 17:43:45
    ABNT20 KNHC 201743
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Leeward
    Islands continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers
    and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
    form by this weekend while it moves near or to the north of the
    northern Leeward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Satellite-derived surface wind data from earlier today revealed that
    a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms located several
    hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands lacks a closed
    surface circulation. Environmental conditions appear marginally
    favorable for additional development over the next day or so while
    the system moves west-southwestward at around 15 mph and a
    short-lived tropical depression could form. By the end of the
    week, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable
    for further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, August 20, 2025 23:39:18
    ABNT20 KNHC 202339
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Leeward
    Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
    form by this weekend while it moves near or to the north of the
    northern Leeward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
    Verde Islands continues to produce a concentrated area of showers
    and thunderstorms. Earlier satellite-derived surface wind data
    depicted that the system does not have a well-defined center.
    Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional
    development over the next day or so while the system moves
    west-southwestward at around 15 mph and a short-lived tropical
    depression could form. By the end of the week, environmental
    conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further
    development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, August 21, 2025 05:24:21
    ABNT20 KNHC 210524
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
    Shower and thunderstorm activity has become a bit more concentrated
    in association with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east
    of the Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive
    for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is
    likely to form this weekend while it moves near or to the north of
    the northern Leeward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands are
    starting to show some signs of organization. However, recent
    satellite-derived wind data depict that the system does not have a
    well-defined center. Environmental conditions appear marginally
    favorable for additional development over the next day or so while
    the system moves west-southwestward at around 15 mph, and a
    short-lived tropical depression could form. By the end of the week, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for
    further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, August 21, 2025 11:54:52
    ABNT20 KNHC 211154
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
    An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
    wave located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands has
    changed little over the past several hours. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for further development of this system,
    and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend while it
    moves near or to the north of the northern Leeward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium..40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands show
    some signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear
    marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or
    so while the system moves west-southwestward at around 15 mph, and
    a short-lived tropical depression could form. In a couple of
    days, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable
    for further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Central Atlantic:
    A small area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of
    the Azores is producing limited showers and thunderstorms.
    Upper-level winds are only marginally conducive for development
    while the system moves slowly eastward over the next couple of days
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, August 21, 2025 17:31:58
    ABNT20 KNHC 211731
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic (AL90):
    An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with
    a tropical wave is located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward
    Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further
    development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
    form this weekend while it moves near or to the north of the
    northern Leeward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium..50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have
    changed little in organization since earlier today. Environmental
    conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development
    over the next day or so while the system moves generally
    westward at 10 to 15 mph, and a short-lived tropical depression
    could form. In a couple of days, environmental conditions are
    expected to
    become unfavorable for further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Central Atlantic:
    A small area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of
    the Azores is producing a few showers and thunderstorms.
    Upper-level winds are only marginally conducive for development
    while the system moves slowly eastward over the next couple of days
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, August 21, 2025 23:10:02
    ABNT20 KNHC 212309
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic (AL90):
    An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a
    tropical wave is located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward
    Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further
    development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
    form this weekend while it moves near or to the north of the
    northern Leeward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium..60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have
    become better organized this evening. However, earlier
    satellite-derived surface wind data showed that the system does not
    have a well-defined center. Environmental conditions appear
    marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or
    so while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph, and a
    short-lived tropical depression could form. In a couple of days,
    environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for
    further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    Central Atlantic:
    A small area of low pressure located well southwest of the Azores
    has moved into a drier environment and is currently producing
    occasional showers. Upper-level winds are only marginally conducive
    for development while the system moves slowly eastward over the next
    couple of days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, August 22, 2025 05:10:07
    ABNT20 KNHC 220510
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Near the Leeward Islands (AL90):
    An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a
    tropical wave is located a couple hundred miles east-northeast of
    the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions appear
    conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical
    depression is likely to form this weekend while it moves
    northwestward and then northward, in between the Lesser Antilles and
    Bermuda.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high..70 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    about a thousand miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
    remain well organized. This system could become a tropical
    depression at any time, but the latest satellite-derived wind data
    indicate that the system does not have a well-defined circulation
    center. The system is expected to move into a less conducive
    environment later today through Saturday, but could reach a slightly
    more favorable environment again late this weekend into early next
    week as it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical
    Atlantic and approaches the Lesser Antilles.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Central Subtropical Atlantic:
    A small area of low pressure located well southwest of the Azores
    is moving through a dry environment and only producing occasional
    showers. Upper-level winds appear unfavorable, and development
    chances are decreasing. The weak low is likely to dissipate over the
    next day or so as it moves little.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, August 22, 2025 11:44:14
    ABNT20 KNHC 221144
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Near the Leeward Islands (AL90):
    Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in
    association with a tropical wave located about a hundred miles
    east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for further development of this system,
    and a tropical depression or tropical storm is very likely to form
    this weekend while it moves northwestward and then northward, in
    between the northern Leeward Islands and Bermuda.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    about midway between Africa and the Windward Islands have become
    less organized overnight. While there is still some chance that a
    short-lived tropical depression could form during the next day or
    so, the system is expected to move through a less conducive
    environment into Saturday. The wave could reach a slightly more
    favorable environment again late this weekend into early next week
    as it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical
    Atlantic and approaches the Lesser Antilles.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    Central Subtropical Atlantic:
    A small area of low pressure located well southwest of the Azores
    has weakened overnight, and no development is expected while it
    drifts northward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, August 22, 2025 17:51:46
    ABNT20 KNHC 221751
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

    Southwestern Atlantic (AL90):
    Showers and thunderstorms continue to show some signs of
    organization in association with a trough of low pressure located
    about 250 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.
    Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of
    this system, and a tropical storm is very likely to form this
    weekend while it moves northwestward and then northward over the
    southwestern Atlantic. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the
    progress of this system as watches or warnings could be required on
    Saturday. For additional information, including gale warnings,
    please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    about midway between Africa and the Windward Islands remain
    disorganized. While there is still some chance that a short-lived
    tropical depression could form during the next day or so, the system
    is expected to move through a less conducive environment into
    Saturday. The wave could reach a slightly more favorable
    environment late this weekend into early next week as it approaches
    the Windward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    &&

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, August 22, 2025 23:40:20
    ABNT20 KNHC 222340
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic
    Ocean.

    Southwestern Atlantic (AL90):
    Showers and thunderstorms have not become any better organized this
    evening in association with a trough of low pressure located a
    couple hundred miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.
    Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of
    this system, and a tropical storm is very likely to form this
    weekend while it moves northwestward and then northward over the
    southwestern Atlantic. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the
    progress of this system as watches or warnings could be required on
    Saturday. For additional information, including gale warnings,
    please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    about midway between Africa and the Windward Islands remain
    disorganized. While there is still some chance that a short-lived
    tropical depression could form during the next day or so, the system
    is expected to move through a less conducive environment on
    Saturday. The wave could reach a slightly more favorable
    environment late this weekend into early next week as it approaches
    the Windward Islands.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    &&

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, August 23, 2025 05:10:54
    ABNT20 KNHC 230510
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Southwestern Atlantic (AL90):
    Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized in
    association with a trough of low pressure located a few hundred
    miles north of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for further development of this system,
    and a tropical storm is expected to form this weekend while it moves north-northwestward and then northward over the southwestern
    Atlantic. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this
    system as watches or warnings could be required later today. For
    additional information, including gale warnings, please see High
    Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    more than one thousand miles east of the Windward Islands have
    become less organized over the past 24 hours, and the system is
    currently being affected by strong wind shear. No development is
    expected through tonight while the system traverses the area of
    strong wind shear. The wave could reach a slightly more favorable
    environment Sunday and Monday as it approaches the Windward Islands,
    and some slow development is possible during that time. By the
    middle of next week, conditions over the Caribbean are expected to
    be unfavorable for further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, August 23, 2025 11:56:28
    ABNT20 KNHC 231156
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Southwestern Atlantic (AL90):
    Satellite images indicate that an area of low pressure has formed
    about 500 miles south-southeast of Bermuda, and the associated
    showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization. A
    tropical depression is expected to form later today or tonight, with
    further intensification to a tropical storm likely on Sunday while
    the low moves northward over the southwestern Atlantic. An Air
    Force Reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low
    this afternoon. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of
    this system as watches could be still required later today. For
    additional information, including gale warnings, please see High
    Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

    East of the Windward Islands (AL99):
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
    a tropical wave located about 850 miles east of the Windward
    Islands. Some development of this system could occur during the
    next few days while the system moves quickly westward at about 20
    mph. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible across
    portions of the Windward Islands as the system moves through on
    Sunday and Monday. By the middle of next week, conditions over the
    central Caribbean are expected to be unfavorable for further
    development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, August 23, 2025 17:54:35
    ABNT20 KNHC 231754
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Southwestern Atlantic (AL90):
    Satellite images and Air Force Reserve aircraft reconnaissance data
    indicate that an area of low pressure about 400 miles south-
    southeast of Bermuda continues to get better-defined, and recent satellite-derived winds indicate that the low pressure area has
    gale-force winds east of the center. This system is expected to
    become a tropical storm this afternoon or evening, with further
    intensification likely through Sunday while the low moves northward
    at 10 to 15 mph over the southwestern Atlantic. Interests in
    Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system, though the
    threat to that island appears to be less than yesterday. For
    additional information, including gale warnings, please see High
    Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

    East of the Windward Islands (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical
    wave located about 650 miles east of the Windward Islands. Some
    development of this system could occur during the next couple of
    days while the system moves quickly westward at about 20 to 25 mph.
    Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible across portions
    of the Windward Islands as the system moves through on Sunday and
    Monday. By Tuesday, conditions over the central Caribbean are
    expected to be unfavorable for further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, August 23, 2025 23:14:43
    ABNT20 KNHC 232314
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly
    formed Tropical Storm Fernand, located several hundred miles
    south-southeast of Bermuda.

    East of the Windward Islands (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms have increased and are beginning to show
    signs of organization in association with a tropical wave located
    about 500 miles east of the Windward Islands. This system could
    become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it
    moves quickly westward at about 20 to 25 mph, passing through the
    Windward and Leeward Islands late on Sunday. Regardless of
    development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible
    across portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands on Sunday and
    Monday. The system is expected to reach the central Caribbean on
    Tuesday, where conditions are expected to become less favorable for
    additional development. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is
    scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow, if necessary.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    &&

    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fernand are issued under WMO
    header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fernand are issued under WMO
    header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/Kelly

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, August 24, 2025 05:20:46
    ABNT20 KNHC 240520
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda.

    East of the Windward Islands (AL99):
    During the past several hours, showers and thunderstorms associated
    with a tropical wave located about 450 miles east of the Windward
    Islands have changed little in organization. This system could
    become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it
    moves quickly westward at about 20 to 25 mph, passing through the
    Windward and Leeward Islands late today or tonight. Regardless of
    development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible
    across portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands today and
    Monday. The system is expected to reach the central Caribbean on
    Tuesday, where conditions are expected to become less favorable for
    additional development. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is
    scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    &&

    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fernand are issued under WMO
    header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fernand are issued under WMO
    header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven


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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, August 24, 2025 11:39:18
    ABNT20 KNHC 241139
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    East of the Windward Islands (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    about 200 miles east of the Windward Islands have increased since
    yesterday. However, the wave does not appear to have a surface
    circulation. This system could still become a tropical depression
    during the next day or two while it moves quickly westward at about
    20 to 25 mph, passing through the Windward and Leeward Islands
    later today and early Monday. Regardless of development, locally
    heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely across portions of the
    Windward and Leeward Islands today and Monday. The system is
    expected to reach the central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, where
    conditions are forecast to become less favorable for additional
    development. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
    investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    &&

    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fernand are issued under WMO
    header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fernand are issued under WMO
    header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, August 24, 2025 17:52:49
    ABNT20 KNHC 241752
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    East of the Windward Islands (AL99):
    A tropical wave located just east of the Windward Islands continues
    to produce shower and thunderstorm activity. While satellite data
    indicates that the wave does not appear to have a surface
    circulation, an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
    currently investigating the area. This system could still become a
    tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves
    quickly westward at about 20 to 25 mph, passing through the Windward
    and Leeward Islands later today and early Monday. Regardless of
    development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds to tropical storm force
    are likely across portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands
    today and Monday. The system is expected to reach the central
    Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, where conditions are forecast to become
    less favorable for additional development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, August 24, 2025 20:19:24
    ABNT20 KNHC 242019
    TWOAT

    Special Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    420 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to update the the system
    east of the Windward Islands (AL99).

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    East of the Windward Islands (AL99):
    Data from the Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the
    system located near the Windward Islands does not have a closed
    low-level circulation. However, the system is still producing a
    large area of showers and thunderstorms and winds to near gale
    force, and these conditions are expected to affect the Windward and
    Leeward Islands tonight and Monday. The system is expected to reach
    the central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, where conditions are forecast
    to become less favorable for additional development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/Kelly

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, August 24, 2025 23:14:53
    ABNT20 KNHC 242314
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    East the Windward Islands (AL99):
    The tropical wave just east of the Windward Islands is producing a
    large area of showers and thunderstorms with winds to near gale
    force. These conditions are expected to affect the Windward and
    Leeward Islands tonight and Monday. Earlier reconnaissance aircraft
    data indicated that the system did not have a closed low-level
    circulation. Another Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled
    to investigate the system overnight, if necessary. The disturbance
    is expected to reach the central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, where
    conditions are forecast to become less favorable for additional
    development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, August 25, 2025 05:11:26
    ABNT20 KNHC 250511
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Mon Aug 25 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    East the Windward Islands (AL99):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave over the
    Windward Islands have decreased over the past 24 hours, and recent
    satellite wind data indicate the winds associated with the system
    have also decreased. The disturbance is moving into a less
    favorable environment, and the chances of development are
    diminishing. Although the system is weakening, gusty winds are
    possible over the Windward Islands through this morning.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, August 25, 2025 11:32:03
    ABNT20 KNHC 251131
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Aug 25 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    Eastern Caribbean Sea (AL99):
    A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system has become
    less organized since yesterday, and further development is not
    anticipated as it moves quickly westward during the next few days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, August 25, 2025 17:37:34
    ABNT20 KNHC 251737
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Mon Aug 25 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, August 25, 2025 23:13:39
    ABNT20 KNHC 252313
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Mon Aug 25 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central Atlantic.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, August 26, 2025 05:11:16
    ABNT20 KNHC 260511
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Tue Aug 26 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central Atlantic.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, August 26, 2025 11:16:53
    ABNT20 KNHC 261116
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Aug 26 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central Atlantic.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, August 26, 2025 17:23:46
    ABNT20 KNHC 261723
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Tue Aug 26 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, August 26, 2025 23:12:51
    ABNT20 KNHC 262312
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Tue Aug 26 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, August 27, 2025 05:13:27
    ABNT20 KNHC 270513
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Wed Aug 27 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, August 27, 2025 11:13:30
    ABNT20 KNHC 271113
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Aug 27 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, August 27, 2025 17:12:13
    ABNT20 KNHC 271712
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed Aug 27 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, August 27, 2025 23:13:47
    ABNT20 KNHC 272313
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Wed Aug 27 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster D. Zelinsky

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, August 28, 2025 05:53:25
    ABNT20 KNHC 280553
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
    by this weekend to the south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear favorable for some slow development
    of this system as it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to
    20 mph, moving across the eastern into central Tropical Atlantic
    through the middle of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, August 28, 2025 11:19:00
    ABNT20 KNHC 281118
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand, located over the central Atlantic.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
    on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
    slow development of this system while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, moving across the eastern and
    central tropical Atlantic next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, August 28, 2025 17:12:01
    ABNT20 KNHC 281711
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
    on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
    slow development of this system while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, August 28, 2025 23:29:02
    ABNT20 KNHC 282328
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
    on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
    slow development of this system while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, August 29, 2025 05:09:39
    ABNT20 KNHC 290509
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Fri Aug 29 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
    on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
    slow development of this system while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, August 29, 2025 11:40:11
    ABNT20 KNHC 291140
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Aug 29 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
    on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
    slow development of this system while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, August 29, 2025 17:13:13
    ABNT20 KNHC 291713
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Fri Aug 29 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
    on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
    slow development of this system while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, August 29, 2025 23:13:18
    ABNT20 KNHC 292313
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Fri Aug 29 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
    on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
    slow development of this system while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, August 30, 2025 05:10:50
    ABNT20 KNHC 300510
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
    on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
    slow development of this system while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, August 30, 2025 11:37:55
    ABNT20 KNHC 301137
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
    on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
    slow development of this system while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, September 05, 2025 05:38:28
    ABNT20 KNHC 050538
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
    A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic,
    associated with a tropical wave, is producing a concentrated but
    disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms mainly to the north
    of the center. Environmental conditions are favorable for
    development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
    form by this weekend as it moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph
    across the central tropical Atlantic. This system is likely to be
    near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to latter part of next week,
    and interests there should monitor its progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, September 05, 2025 11:32:31
    ABNT20 KNHC 051132
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
    A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic,
    associated with a tropical wave, is producing a disorganized area of
    showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are favorable
    for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely
    to form over the weekend or early next week as it moves slowly
    westward at 5 to 10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. This
    system is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to
    latter part of next week, and interests there should monitor its
    progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, September 01, 2025 05:18:39
    ABNT20 KNHC 010518
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic is
    producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for slow development of this system, and
    a tropical depression could form late this week or next weekend.
    This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at
    around 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic
    throughout the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, September 01, 2025 11:37:59
    ABNT20 KNHC 011137
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic is
    producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for slow development of this system, and
    a tropical depression could form later this week or next weekend.
    This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at
    around 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic
    throughout the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, September 01, 2025 17:27:34
    ABNT20 KNHC 011727
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
    south-southeast of the Cabo Verde islands is producing disorganized
    showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear
    conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
    depression could form by the middle or later part of this week.
    This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at
    around 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic
    throughout the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, September 01, 2025 23:18:07
    ABNT20 KNHC 012318
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
    south of the Cabo Verde islands is producing disorganized showers
    and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
    form by the middle or latter part of this week. This system is
    expected to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph
    across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic throughout the
    week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, September 02, 2025 05:19:36
    ABNT20 KNHC 020519
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic south
    of the Cabo Verde islands is producing disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
    form by the middle or latter part of this week. This system is
    expected to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph
    across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic throughout the
    week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, September 03, 2025 23:20:41
    ABNT20 KNHC 032320
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic:
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    over the eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles
    west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands remain disorganized.
    Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this
    system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is
    likely to form late this week or this weekend over the eastern or
    central tropical Atlantic while moving slowly toward the
    west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. The system is likely to move faster
    toward the west or west-northwest thereafter and reach the waters
    east of the Lesser Antilles by the middle of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, September 04, 2025 05:14:13
    ABNT20 KNHC 040514
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic:
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    over the eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles
    west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have become a little more
    concentrated during the past several hours. Environmental
    conditions are conducive for development of this system during the
    next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late
    this week or this weekend over the eastern or central tropical
    Atlantic while moving slowly toward the west-northwest at 5 to 10
    mph. The system is likely to move faster toward the west or
    west-northwest thereafter and reach the waters east of the Lesser
    Antilles by the middle of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, September 04, 2025 11:24:45
    ABNT20 KNHC 041124
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic:
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    over the eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles
    west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have started to consolidate
    and become slightly better organized. Environmental conditions are
    conducive for development of this system during the next several
    days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or
    this weekend over central tropical Atlantic while moving slowly
    toward the west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. The system is likely to
    move faster toward the west or west-northwest thereafter and reach
    the waters east of the Lesser Antilles by the middle of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, September 04, 2025 17:52:26
    ABNT20 KNHC 041752
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    200 PM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
    A broad area of low pressure has formed along a tropical wave over
    the eastern tropical Atlantic. Recent satellite imagery suggests the
    system continues to slowly become better organized with shower and
    thunderstorm activity along its eastern periphery. Environmental
    conditions are favorable for additional development of the system
    and a tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend as it
    moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles and Leeward
    Islands should monitor the progress of this system as it approaches
    from the east by the middle of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kleebauer/Papin

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, September 04, 2025 23:30:24
    ABNT20 KNHC 042330
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
    A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
    producing a concentrated but still disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Environmental
    conditions are favorable for development of this system, and a
    tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend as it moves
    slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic.
    This system is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle
    to latter part of next week, and interests there should continue to
    monitor its progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, September 03, 2025 05:35:57
    ABNT20 KNHC 030535
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
    southwest of the Cabo Verde islands continues to produce
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
    remain conducive for gradual development of this system during the
    next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late
    this week or this weekend. This system is expected to move westward
    to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and
    central tropical Atlantic into early next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, September 03, 2025 11:21:29
    ABNT20 KNHC 031121
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic a few
    hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde islands continues to
    produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions remain conducive for gradual development of this system
    during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to
    form late this week or this weekend. This system is expected to
    move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the
    eastern and central tropical Atlantic into early next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, September 02, 2025 23:22:22
    ABNT20 KNHC 022322
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
    southwest of the Cabo Verde islands continues to produce
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
    remain conducive for gradual development of this system during
    the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form
    late this week or this weekend. This system is expected to
    move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the
    eastern and central tropical Atlantic into early next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, September 03, 2025 17:46:41
    ABNT20 KNHC 031746
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    200 PM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic a few
    hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde islands continues to
    produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions remain conducive for additional development of this
    system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is
    likely to form late this week or this weekend. This system is
    expected to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph
    across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic into early next
    week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bann

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, September 05, 2025 17:35:06
    ABNT20 KNHC 051735
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
    Shower and thunderstorm activity is currently limited and
    disorganized in association with a tropical wave over the central
    tropical Atlantic. Although upper-level winds are generally
    favorable for development, environmental dry air is likely to limit
    development over the next couple of days. However, a tropical
    depression could still form early next week as the system moves
    westward at around 10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. This
    system is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to
    latter part of next week, and interests there should monitor its
    progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, September 05, 2025 23:13:40
    ABNT20 KNHC 052313
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
    Shower and thunderstorm activity remains limited in association with
    a tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic. A drier air mass
    is limiting the potential for development over the next couple of
    days, and environmental conditions will remain only marginally
    favorable thereafter. A tropical depression could form during the
    early to middle part of next week as the system moves westward at
    around 10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. This system is
    likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to latter part
    of next week, and interests there should monitor its progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, September 06, 2025 05:08:16
    ABNT20 KNHC 060508
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
    Shower and thunderstorm activity remains limited in association with
    a tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic. A drier air mass
    is limiting the potential for development over the next couple of
    days, and environmental conditions will remain only marginally
    favorable thereafter. A tropical depression could form during the
    early to middle part of next week as the system moves westward at
    around 10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. This system is
    likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to latter part
    of next week, and interests there should monitor its progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, August 30, 2025 17:19:30
    ABNT20 KNHC 301719
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
    on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
    slow development of this system while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, August 30, 2025 23:27:36
    ABNT20 KNHC 302327
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off of the west coast of
    Africa on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support
    some slow development of this system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, August 31, 2025 05:12:43
    ABNT20 KNHC 310512
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off of the west coast of
    Africa by Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support
    some slow development of this system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic this week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, August 31, 2025 11:41:41
    ABNT20 KNHC 311141
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is about emerge off of the west coast of Africa.
    Environmental conditions are conducive for slow development of this
    system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 15
    mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic this week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, August 31, 2025 17:30:49
    ABNT20 KNHC 311730
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is now moving westward from the west coast of
    Africa. Environmental conditions are conducive for slow development
    of this system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at
    around 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic this
    week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, August 31, 2025 23:12:54
    ABNT20 KNHC 312312
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic is
    producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for slow development of this system, and
    a tropical depression could form late this week or next weekend.
    This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at
    around 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic
    throughout the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, September 02, 2025 11:26:15
    ABNT20 KNHC 021126
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic south
    of the Cabo Verde islands is producing disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    gradual development of this system during the next several days, and
    a tropical depression is likely to form later this week or this
    weekend. This system is expected to move westward to
    west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic through the weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Brown

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, September 02, 2025 17:34:01
    ABNT20 KNHC 021733
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    200 PM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
    southwest of the Cabo Verde islands and continues to produce
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
    remain conducive for gradual development of this system during
    the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form
    late this week or this weekend. This system is expected to
    initially move slowly westward and then gradually accelerate
    westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern
    and central tropical Atlantic into early next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Gallina

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, September 06, 2025 11:39:18
    ABNT20 KNHC 061139
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
    A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a
    small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions are only marginally conducive for development, and the
    chances of this system becoming a tropical depression are
    decreasing. The wave is expected to move generally westward at 10
    to 15 mph, and will likely be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle
    part of next week. Interests there should monitor its progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts/Pasch

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, September 06, 2025 17:15:21
    ABNT20 KNHC 061715
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
    A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a
    small area of shower activity. Environmental conditions are only
    marginally conducive for development, and the chances of this
    system becoming a tropical depression continue to diminish. The
    wave is expected to move generally westward at 10 to 15 mph, and
    will likely be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle part of next
    week. Interests there should monitor its progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, September 06, 2025 23:20:59
    ABNT20 KNHC 062320
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a
    limited amount of shower activity. Development of this system is
    not expected while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/Kelly

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, September 07, 2025 05:17:00
    ABNT20 KNHC 070516
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, September 07, 2025 11:24:36
    ABNT20 KNHC 071124
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, September 07, 2025 17:09:39
    ABNT20 KNHC 071709
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, September 07, 2025 23:15:15
    ABNT20 KNHC 072315
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, September 08, 2025 05:05:48
    ABNT20 KNHC 080505
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Mon Sep 8 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Jelsema

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, September 08, 2025 11:18:53
    ABNT20 KNHC 081118
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Sep 8 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, September 08, 2025 17:15:57
    ABNT20 KNHC 081715
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Mon Sep 8 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, September 08, 2025 23:11:30
    ABNT20 KNHC 082311
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Mon Sep 8 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, September 09, 2025 05:19:05
    ABNT20 KNHC 090518
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Jelsema

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, September 09, 2025 17:36:08
    ABNT20 KNHC 091736
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, September 09, 2025 23:41:44
    ABNT20 KNHC 092341
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, September 10, 2025 05:03:57
    ABNT20 KNHC 100503
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Jelsema

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, September 10, 2025 11:32:55
    ABNT20 KNHC 101132
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, September 10, 2025 17:51:00
    ABNT20 KNHC 101750
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge offshore of west Africa in a
    couple of days. Environmental conditions could support some slow
    development of the system over the weekend into early next week as
    the wave moves to the west-northwest at about 15 mph over the
    eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, September 10, 2025 23:10:11
    ABNT20 KNHC 102310
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge offshore of west Africa in a
    couple of days. Environmental conditions could support some slow
    development of the system over the weekend into early next week as
    the wave moves to the west-northwest at about 15 mph over the
    eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, September 11, 2025 05:25:44
    ABNT20 KNHC 110525
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge offshore of west Africa in a
    couple of days. Environmental conditions could support some slow
    development of the system over the weekend into early next week as
    the wave moves to the west or west-northwest at about 15 mph over
    the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Jelsema

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, September 11, 2025 11:31:21
    ABNT20 KNHC 111131
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge offshore of west Africa by
    Friday. Environmental conditions could support some slow
    development of the system over the weekend into early next week as
    the wave moves to the west or west-northwest at about 15 mph over
    the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, September 11, 2025 17:17:22
    ABNT20 KNHC 111717
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge offshore of west Africa by
    Friday. Environmental conditions could support some slow
    development of this system over the weekend and into early next
    week while the wave moves toward the west or west-northwest at 10
    to 15 mph over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, September 11, 2025 23:16:02
    ABNT20 KNHC 112315
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to emerge offshore of west Africa by
    Friday. Environmental conditions could support some slow
    development of this system over the weekend and into early next
    week while the wave moves toward the west or west-northwest at 10
    to 15 mph over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, September 12, 2025 05:26:15
    ABNT20 KNHC 120526
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is producing
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern
    Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system over the next several days. A tropical
    depression could form during the early to middle part of next week
    while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over
    the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart

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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, September 12, 2025 11:33:44
    ABNT20 KNHC 121133
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is producing
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern
    Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some
    gradual development of this system over the next several days. A
    tropical depression could form by the middle part of next week while
    it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the
    eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

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