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  • FORECAST: Hurricane Erin Forecast/advisory Number 28

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, August 18, 2025 08:35:32
    836
    WTNT25 KNHC 180835
    TCMAT5

    HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025
    0900 UTC MON AUG 18 2025

    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 70.2W AT 18/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB
    EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
    64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
    50 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW.
    34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW.
    4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 150SW 240NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 70.2W AT 18/0900Z
    AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 69.9W

    FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.6N 71.2W
    MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
    64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
    50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW.
    34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW.

    FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.0N 72.2W
    MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
    64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
    50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW.
    34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW.

    FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.6N 72.9W
    MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
    64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
    50 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 80NW.
    34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.

    FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.6N 73.4W
    MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
    64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
    50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
    34 KT...210NE 220SE 170SW 180NW.

    FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.7N 73.4W
    MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
    64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.
    50 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW.
    34 KT...210NE 230SE 180SW 180NW.

    FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 32.9N 72.2W
    MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
    64 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
    50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
    34 KT...230NE 250SE 200SW 200NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 37.2N 66.1W
    MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
    50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW.
    34 KT...270NE 280SE 230SW 230NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 41.6N 56.0W
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW.
    34 KT...300NE 300SE 270SW 250NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 70.2W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/1200Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

    $$
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



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