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  • ADVISORY: Tropical Depression Two Advisory Number 2

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, June 29, 2025 02:32:47
    199
    WTNT32 KNHC 290232
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Two Advisory Number 2
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022025
    1000 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

    ...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
    BAY OF CAMPECHE...


    SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...19.7N 95.1W
    ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
    ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Gulf coast of Mexico from Boca de Catan southward to Tecolutla

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
    located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 95.1 West. The
    depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h)
    and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or
    two. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to make
    landfall along the Mexico coast Sunday night and move further
    inland on Monday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Some intensification is expected over the next day or so, and
    the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm before
    reaching the coast of Mexico. Weakening is expected after
    landfall, and the system is forecast to dissipate over eastern
    Mexico on Monday.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Depression Two can be found in the
    Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
    header WTNT42 KNHC.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Two is expected to produce rainfall
    totals of 3 to 6 inches, with maximum totals of 10 inches possible
    across the Mexican states of Veracruz, San Luis Potosi, and
    Tamaulipas. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and
    mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
    associated with Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, please see the
    National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf

    WIND: Tropical Storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm
    warning area beginning Sunday afternoon.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
    Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven


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