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  • FORECAST: Hurricane Erin Forecast/advisory Number 37

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, August 20, 2025 14:53:55
    680
    WTNT25 KNHC 201453
    TCMAT5

    HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025
    1500 UTC WED AUG 20 2025

    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 73.7W AT 20/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 11 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 941 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
    64 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
    50 KT.......140NE 140SE 70SW 90NW.
    34 KT.......220NE 230SE 130SW 160NW.
    4 M SEAS....420NE 420SE 300SW 360NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 73.7W AT 20/1500Z
    AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 73.7W

    FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 32.0N 73.6W
    MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
    64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW.
    50 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 90NW.
    34 KT...230NE 230SE 160SW 170NW.

    FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 34.4N 72.2W
    MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
    64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW.
    50 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
    34 KT...230NE 240SE 200SW 190NW.

    FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 36.6N 69.4W
    MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
    64 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
    50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
    34 KT...250NE 270SE 230SW 230NW.

    FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 38.6N 65.5W
    MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
    64 KT... 70NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
    50 KT...170NE 180SE 130SW 130NW.
    34 KT...290NE 280SE 240SW 250NW.

    FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 40.4N 60.5W
    MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
    64 KT... 50NE 100SE 110SW 80NW.
    50 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 130NW.
    34 KT...320NE 330SE 260SW 250NW.

    FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 42.5N 54.3W
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 90SE 100SW 60NW.
    50 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW 130NW.
    34 KT...350NE 340SE 270SW 260NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 47.4N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 80NE 200SE 180SW 120NW.
    34 KT...300NE 360SE 340SW 260NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 52.5N 27.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 50NE 90SE 210SW 120NW.
    34 KT...280NE 380SE 420SW 360NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 73.7W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/1800Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

    $$
    FORECASTER PASCH



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