342
WTNT25 KNHC 202035
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025
2100 UTC WED AUG 20 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 73.6W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT.......140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT.......220NE 230SE 180SW 180NW.
4 M SEAS....450NE 420SE 330SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 73.6W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 73.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 33.2N 72.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 90SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 190SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 35.5N 70.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
34 KT...230NE 240SE 220SW 230NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 37.5N 67.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
50 KT...160NE 150SE 140SW 130NW.
34 KT...280NE 240SE 240SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.2N 63.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
50 KT...170NE 180SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 240SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.0N 57.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 80SE 110SW 80NW.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT...320NE 300SE 260SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 43.1N 50.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT...320NE 340SE 270SW 260NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 49.0N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 200SE 180SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 340SW 260NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 54.0N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...280NE 360SE 360SW 260NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 73.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 21/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



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