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  • ADVISORY: Tropical Depression Two Intermediate Advisory Number 2a

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, June 29, 2025 05:49:47
    797
    WTNT32 KNHC 290549
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Two Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022025
    100 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

    ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF
    EASTERN MEXICO...


    SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...19.7N 95.7W
    ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
    ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Gulf coast of Mexico from Boca de Catan southward to Tecolutla

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
    located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 95.7 West. The
    depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h)
    and this general motion is anticipated to continue for the next day
    or two. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to make
    landfall along the eastern coast of Mexico tonight and move inland
    early Monday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Some gradual strengthening is expected through tonight, and the
    depression is forecast to become a tropical storm before it reaches
    the coast of Mexico. Weakening is expected after landfall, and the
    system is forecast to dissipate over eastern Mexico on Monday.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Depression Two can be found in the
    Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
    header WTNT42 KNHC.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Two is expected to produce rainfall
    totals of 3 to 6 inches, with maximum totals of 10 inches possible
    across the Mexican states of Veracruz, San Luis Potosi, and
    Tamaulipas. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and
    mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
    associated with Tropical Depression Two, please see the National
    Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm
    warning area beginning this afternoon.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi


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