1. Forum
  2. FidoNET
  3. WEATHER.TROPIC

  • FORECAST: Hurricane Erin Forecast/advisory Number 45

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, August 22, 2025 14:38:42
    405
    WTNT25 KNHC 221438
    TCMAT5

    HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025
    1500 UTC FRI AUG 22 2025

    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 63.1W AT 22/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 24 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
    64 KT.......100NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
    50 KT.......180NE 190SE 180SW 150NW.
    34 KT.......380NE 350SE 270SW 280NW.
    4 M SEAS....360NE 420SE 660SW 360NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 63.1W AT 22/1500Z
    AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 64.6W

    FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 40.4N 58.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
    64 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
    50 KT...180NE 180SE 160SW 150NW.
    34 KT...360NE 350SE 290SW 280NW.

    FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 42.3N 51.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    64 KT... 0NE 80SE 90SW 90NW.
    50 KT...150NE 170SE 150SW 120NW.
    34 KT...400NE 360SE 320SW 260NW.

    FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 45.5N 41.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    64 KT... 0NE 80SE 100SW 70NW.
    50 KT...120NE 190SE 150SW 100NW.
    34 KT...370NE 360SE 360SW 260NW.

    FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 49.6N 32.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
    64 KT... 0NE 100SE 120SW 50NW.
    50 KT...120NE 220SE 180SW 130NW.
    34 KT...350NE 400SE 380SW 300NW.

    FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 52.9N 25.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
    64 KT... 0NE 100SE 100SW 50NW.
    50 KT...120NE 220SE 180SW 120NW.
    34 KT...320NE 400SE 450SW 350NW.

    FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 55.9N 22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 180SE 170SW 60NW.
    34 KT...300NE 380SE 550SW 340NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 58.1N 21.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...180NE 280SE 500SW 240NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 56.5N 18.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
    34 KT... 0NE 280SE 500SW 160NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.8N 63.1W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

    $$
    FORECASTER BLAKE



    = = = = = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)