• ADVISORY: Tropical Storm Chantal Intermediate Advisory Number 4a

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, July 05, 2025 17:35:23
    814
    WTNT33 KNHC 051735
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Chantal Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032025
    200 PM EDT Sat Jul 05 2025

    ...CHANTAL STRENGTHENS...
    ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE WARNING AREA
    THIS EVENING...


    SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...31.6N 78.7W
    ABOUT 105 MI...175 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
    ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * South Santee River, SC to Surf City, NC

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * Edisto Beach to South Santee River, SC

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
    the next 12 hours

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12
    hours.

    Interests elsewhere along the southeast coast of the United States
    should monitor the progress of Chantal.

    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chantal was
    located near latitude 31.6 North, longitude 78.7 West. Chantal is
    moving toward the north near 3 mph (6 km/h). A motion toward the north-northwest is expected to begin later today, followed by a turn
    to the northeast by Sunday night. On the forecast track, the center
    of Chantal is expected to move across the coast of South Carolina
    overnight or early Sunday morning.

    Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
    higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is expected before
    Chantal reaches the coast.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
    primarily to the east of the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is
    1006 mb (29.71 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Storm Chantal can be found in the
    Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO
    header WTNT43 KNHC.

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
    beginning this evening and continuing through Sunday morning.
    Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area beginning
    later today.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Chantal is expected to produce heavy
    rainfall across portions of the coastal plain of the Carolinas
    through Monday. Storm total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with local
    amounts up to 6 inches, is expected and these rains could cause
    flash flooding.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
    associated with Tropical Storm Chantal, please see the National
    Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

    STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
    normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
    moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
    following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
    the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

    South Santee River, SC to Surf City, NC...1-3 ft
    Edisto Beach, SC to South Santee River, SC...1-2 ft

    TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight into Sunday
    along the coast of eastern South Carolina and much of North
    Carolina.

    SURF: The tropical storm is expected to bring life-threatening
    surf and rip currents along the coast from northeastern Florida to
    the Mid-Atlantic states during the next couple of days.

    A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
    at: hurricanes.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/?ripCurrents


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/Konarik


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