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  • FORECAST: Hurricane Melissa Forecast/advisory Number 19

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, October 26, 2025 02:51:35
    453
    WTNT23 KNHC 260251
    TCMAT3

    HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
    0300 UTC SUN OCT 26 2025

    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 75.9W AT 26/0300Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 3 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
    EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
    64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
    50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT.......140NE 110SE 40SW 80NW.
    4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 75.9W AT 26/0300Z
    AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 75.7W

    FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.4N 76.4W
    MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
    64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
    34 KT...155NE 110SE 60SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.4N 77.0W
    MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 55NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
    34 KT...150NE 120SE 50SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.6N 77.5W
    MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
    34 KT...160NE 140SE 60SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.2N 77.7W
    MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 55NE 50SE 35SW 45NW.
    34 KT...150NE 140SE 60SW 110NW.

    FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.0N 77.2W...INLAND JAMAICA
    MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
    34 KT...140NE 140SE 70SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.4N 76.1W...OVER WATER
    MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 35SE 20SW 20NW.
    50 KT... 65NE 70SE 40SW 45NW.
    34 KT...130NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 23.0N 72.8W
    MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
    50 KT... 65NE 75SE 55SW 50NW.
    34 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 80NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 28.0N 68.0W
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 50NW.
    34 KT...120NE 170SE 120SW 100NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 75.9W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/0600Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN



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