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  • FORECAST: Hurricane Melissa Forecast/advisory Number 20

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, October 26, 2025 08:55:10
    714
    WTNT23 KNHC 260855
    TCMAT3

    HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
    0900 UTC SUN OCT 26 2025

    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 76.3W AT 26/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 944 MB
    EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
    64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
    50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT.......150NE 110SE 50SW 80NW.
    4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 76.3W AT 26/0900Z
    AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 76.1W

    FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.3N 76.8W
    MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
    64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
    50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
    34 KT...160NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.5N 77.5W
    MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
    34 KT...160NE 130SE 60SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N 77.9W
    MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
    34 KT...160NE 130SE 60SW 110NW.

    FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.5N 77.7W
    MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
    34 KT...140NE 140SE 70SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.7N 76.8W
    MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
    50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
    34 KT...130NE 150SE 80SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.5N 75.4W...INLAND
    MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
    64 KT... 35NE 40SE 25SW 20NW.
    50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
    34 KT...130NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 24.8N 71.6W...OVER WATER
    MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
    34 KT...130NE 150SE 110SW 90NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 30.3N 66.2W
    MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
    34 KT...120NE 160SE 130SW 90NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 76.3W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/1200Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

    $$
    FORECASTER BERG



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