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  • FORECAST: Hurricane Melissa Forecast/advisory Number 23

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, October 27, 2025 02:41:28
    292
    WTNT23 KNHC 270241
    TCMAT3

    HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
    0300 UTC MON OCT 27 2025

    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 77.5W AT 27/0300Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 933 MB
    EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
    64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 30SW 45NW.
    34 KT.......170NE 120SE 50SW 80NW.
    4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 77.5W AT 27/0300Z
    AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 77.3W

    FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.5N 78.0W
    MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
    64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 40NW.
    34 KT...170NE 120SE 50SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.1N 78.2W
    MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 25SE 30SW 30NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 45NW.
    34 KT...170NE 130SE 60SW 110NW.

    FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.0N 77.8W
    MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
    34 KT...160NE 150SE 70SW 110NW.

    FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.4N 76.7W
    MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 65NE 65SE 45SW 50NW.
    34 KT...140NE 140SE 70SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.1N 75.2W
    MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
    64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 20NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 70SE 45SW 50NW.
    34 KT...130NE 170SE 100SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.4N 73.2W
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    64 KT... 35NE 45SE 30SW 20NW.
    50 KT... 75NE 80SE 55SW 50NW.
    34 KT...140NE 170SE 130SW 100NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 30.1N 67.0W
    MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
    50 KT... 90NE 95SE 65SW 50NW.
    34 KT...150NE 170SE 140SW 100NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 38.1N 56.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 90NE 120SE 80SW 50NW.
    34 KT...130NE 200SE 190SW 100NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 77.5W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 27/0600Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

    $$
    FORECASTER PASCH



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