• FORECAST: Hurricane Melissa Forecast/advisory Number 24

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, October 27, 2025 08:50:04
    613
    WTNT23 KNHC 270849
    TCMAT3

    HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
    0900 UTC MON OCT 27 2025

    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 77.8W AT 27/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 3 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 917 MB
    EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
    64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 30SW 45NW.
    34 KT.......170NE 130SE 50SW 80NW.
    4 M SEAS....210NE 165SE 90SW 120NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 77.8W AT 27/0900Z
    AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 77.7W

    FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.6N 78.1W
    MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 45NW.
    34 KT...170NE 130SE 50SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.3N 78.1W
    MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
    34 KT...170NE 140SE 70SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.5N 77.3W
    MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
    34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.1N 76.0W...INLAND
    MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
    50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
    34 KT...130NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N 74.4W...OVER WATER
    MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
    64 KT... 35NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
    34 KT...130NE 170SE 100SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 24.7N 72.3W
    MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
    64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
    50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
    34 KT...140NE 170SE 130SW 100NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 32.3N 65.1W
    MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
    50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 50NW.
    34 KT...140NE 170SE 150SW 90NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 41.4N 53.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE 100SE 80SW 0NW.
    34 KT...180NE 190SE 190SW 90NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 77.8W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 27/1200Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

    $$
    FORECASTER BERG/HAGEN



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