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  • FORECAST: Hurricane Melissa Forecast/advisory Number 27

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, October 28, 2025 02:56:53
    912
    WTNT23 KNHC 280256
    TCMAT3

    HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
    0300 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025

    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 78.5W AT 28/0300Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 2 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 903 MB
    EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT.
    64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 30SW 45NW.
    34 KT.......170NE 130SE 50SW 80NW.
    4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 90SW 120NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 78.5W AT 28/0300Z
    AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 78.6W

    FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 78.3W
    MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 45NW.
    34 KT...170NE 140SE 60SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.8N 77.4W
    MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
    34 KT...160NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.7N 76.0W...INLAND
    MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
    34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.0N 74.3W...OVER WATER
    MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
    34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 25.8N 72.0W
    MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
    64 KT... 35NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
    34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 29.8N 68.2W
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
    50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
    34 KT...150NE 170SE 150SW 100NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 38.9N 56.5W
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 40NW.
    34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 90NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 47.5N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE 100SE 80SW 0NW.
    34 KT...200NE 200SE 190SW 90NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 78.5W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 28/0600Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

    $$
    FORECASTER PASCH



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