• FORECAST: Hurricane Melissa Forecast/advisory Number 28

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, October 28, 2025 08:55:58
    605
    WTNT23 KNHC 280855
    TCMAT3

    HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
    0900 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025

    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 78.3W AT 28/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 4 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 901 MB
    EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT.
    64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT....... 50NE 35SE 30SW 45NW.
    34 KT.......170NE 130SE 60SW 80NW.
    4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 90SW 150NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 78.3W AT 28/0900Z
    AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 78.4W

    FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.2N 77.7W...INLAND
    MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
    34 KT...160NE 140SE 70SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.9N 76.5W...NEAR THE COAST
    MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
    50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
    34 KT...160NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.9N 75.1W
    MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
    64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
    34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.

    FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 24.6N 73.1W
    MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
    64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
    34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 110NW.

    FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 28.1N 70.0W
    MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
    64 KT... 40NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
    50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
    34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 110NW.

    FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 32.4N 65.4W
    MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
    64 KT... 40NE 50SE 35SW 30NW.
    50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
    34 KT...170NE 190SE 160SW 110NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 43.0N 52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 40NW.
    34 KT...200NE 220SE 200SW 100NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 51.0N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
    34 KT...210NE 250SE 200SW 90NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 78.3W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 28/1200Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

    $$
    FORECASTER REINHART



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