665
AXNT20 KNHC 021505
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Apr 2 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1455 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 09N13W and continues southwestward to 04N19W.
The ITCZ extends from 04N19W to 02S45W. A few showers are seen
near the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Converging low-level winds in the south-central Gulf result in a
line of showers from near 26N90W to the Yucatan Channel. At the
surface, a broad subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic
extends into the Gulf waters, supporting moderate to locally fresh
SE winds and moderate seas, except for lighter winds in the Bay of
Campeche.

For the forecast, a broad western Atlantic surface ridge extends
westward across the northern Gulf states and will dominate the
Gulf region through Sat, then weaken through Sun. This pattern
will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds with occasional
strong winds north of the Yucatan Peninsula, in the northwestern
Gulf and Florida Straits. On Sun, a cold front will enter the
northwestern Gulf and move southeastward through early next week,
bringing strong to near gale-force winds and rough seas behind it.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Divergence aloft in the NW Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras is
supporting numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially
west of 83W. Converging low-level winds result in scattered
showers in the SW Caribbean, especially off Costa Rica and western
Panama. High pressure north of the area forces moderate to fresh
easterly trade winds and seas of 4-8 ft across much of the
central and western Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, a broad western Atlantic ridge continues along about
34N and into the SE U.S. this morning, and will change little
through Sun morning. The pressure gradient between this surface
ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds and
rough seas offshore Colombia through Sat night. This pattern will
also support fresh to strong NE to E winds and moderate to rough
seas in the lee side of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and south of
Hispaniola through Fri night before winds and seas diminish there
over the weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A deep layer trough, along with a surface trough, centered
northeast of the Leeward Islands, combine to generate scattered
moderate convection from 20N to 27N and between 50W and 62W. A
surface trough along Florida's east coast is triggering a few
showers near the northwest Bahamas and southeastern Florida. An
expansive 1035 mb high in the north Atlantic is supporting fresh
to strong NE to E winds and rough seas north of 20N between 45W
and the Bahamas, except gentle to moderate SE winds with 4 to 7 ft
seas off northeastern Florida.

Moderate or weaker winds and rough seas are evident south of 20N
and west of 40W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate to
rough seas are noted north of 24N and east of 45W. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent. Lastly,
a plume of Saharan dust covers much of the eastern Atlantic,
reducing the visibility for vessels in the area.

For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure extends from
the central Atlantic west-southwestward and into the SE U.S. this
morning, and will shift gradually SW and weaken modestly through
Sun morning. This pattern will sustain fresh to strong NE to E
winds and rough seas mainly south of 29N, including the central
and southeast Bahamas, through this weekend. By Sun, the high will
have weakened and shifted to just NE of Bermuda, leading to
gradually diminishing winds and seas Sun afternoon through Mon. A
cold front is expected to exit the southeastern U.S. on Mon and
move slowly southeastward, with increasing winds and and building
seas developing behind it, across northeastern Florida waters.

$$
Delgado

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373
AXNT20 KNHC 022031
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Apr 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 11N14.5W and continues southwestward to 06N18W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N18W to 02S44W. Scattered moderate convection
is noted from 01N to 05N between 20W and 25W, and from 02S to 03N
between 34W and 48W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters. The pressure gradient
between this area of high pressure and a 1004 mb low over Mexico
is supporting moderate to fresh winds over the basin. These winds
are generating seas in the 3-6 ft range.

For the forecast, a broad western Atlantic surface ridge extends
westward across the northern Gulf states and will dominate the
Gulf region through Sat morning, then weaken Sat afternoon and
night as a cold front approaches. This will support moderate to
fresh E to SE winds across the basin, with occasional strong
winds north of the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the northwestern
Gulf and through the Florida Straits through Sat. A cold front
will enter the northwestern Gulf early Sun and move southeastward
through early next week, reaching from near Fort Myers, FL to
23N94W to the central Bay of Campeche Tue morning. Expected strong
to near gale-force winds and rough seas behind the front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds in the south
central Caribbean. Seas over this area are in the 6-8 ft range.
Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, a broad western Atlantic ridge continues along
about 34N and into the SE U.S., and will weaken modestly through
Sun morning. The pressure gradient between this surface ridge and
the Colombian low will support fresh winds pulsing to strong with
rough seas offshore Colombia through Sat night, and fresh to
locally strong NE to E winds and moderate to rough seas in the lee
side of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola
through Fri night, before winds and seas diminish over the
weekend. An inverted trough will develop from Hispaniola northward
into the open Atlantic Mon through Tue, and yield fresh trade
winds across the eastern Caribbean and gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends from 26N55W to 17N60W. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is in the vicinity of the trough.
High pressure is centered N and W of the trough. The pressure
gradient between these features is supporting fresh to strong
winds N of 20N between 50W and 75W. A second trough is over the
eastern waters from 28N25W to 20N22W. High pressure is north of
the trough. The pressure gradient between these features is
supporting fresh winds N of the trough. Gentle to moderate winds
prevail elsewhere. Mostly rough seas prevail N of 20N between 40W
and 75W, and N of 24N between 23W and 40W. Moderate seas are found
elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure extends from
the central Atlantic west-southwestward into the SE U.S., and will
drift slowly SW and weaken modestly through Sun morning. This
pattern will sustain fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas
mainly south of 29N, including the central and southeast Bahamas,
through this weekend. By late Sun, the high will have weakened and
shifted to NE of Bermuda, while an inverted surface trough forms
from Hispaniola northward into the open Atlantic. A cold front is
expected to exit the southeastern U.S. early Mon and move slowly
southeastward, reaching from 31N72W to central Florida by Tue
morning.

$$
AL

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515
AXNT20 KNHC 022031
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Apr 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 11N14.5W and continues southwestward to 06N18W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N18W to 02S44W. Scattered moderate convection
is noted from 01N to 05N between 20W and 25W, and from 02S to 03N
between 34W and 48W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters. The pressure gradient
between this area of high pressure and a 1004 mb low over Mexico
is supporting moderate to fresh winds over the basin. These winds
are generating seas in the 3-6 ft range.

For the forecast, a broad western Atlantic surface ridge extends
westward across the northern Gulf states and will dominate the
Gulf region through Sat morning, then weaken Sat afternoon and
night as a cold front approaches. This will support moderate to
fresh E to SE winds across the basin, with occasional strong
winds north of the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the northwestern
Gulf and through the Florida Straits through Sat. A cold front
will enter the northwestern Gulf early Sun and move southeastward
through early next week, reaching from near Fort Myers, FL to
23N94W to the central Bay of Campeche Tue morning. Expected strong
to near gale-force winds and rough seas behind the front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds in the south
central Caribbean. Seas over this area are in the 6-8 ft range.
Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, a broad western Atlantic ridge continues along
about 34N and into the SE U.S., and will weaken modestly through
Sun morning. The pressure gradient between this surface ridge and
the Colombian low will support fresh winds pulsing to strong with
rough seas offshore Colombia through Sat night, and fresh to
locally strong NE to E winds and moderate to rough seas in the lee
side of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola
through Fri night, before winds and seas diminish over the
weekend. An inverted trough will develop from Hispaniola northward
into the open Atlantic Mon through Tue, and yield fresh trade
winds across the eastern Caribbean and gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends from 26N55W to 17N60W. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is in the vicinity of the trough.
High pressure is centered N and W of the trough. The pressure
gradient between these features is supporting fresh to strong
winds N of 20N between 50W and 75W. A second trough is over the
eastern waters from 28N25W to 20N22W. High pressure is north of
the trough. The pressure gradient between these features is
supporting fresh winds N of the trough. Gentle to moderate winds
prevail elsewhere. Mostly rough seas prevail N of 20N between 40W
and 75W, and N of 24N between 23W and 40W. Moderate seas are found
elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure extends from
the central Atlantic west-southwestward into the SE U.S., and will
drift slowly SW and weaken modestly through Sun morning. This
pattern will sustain fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas
mainly south of 29N, including the central and southeast Bahamas,
through this weekend. By late Sun, the high will have weakened and
shifted to NE of Bermuda, while an inverted surface trough forms
from Hispaniola northward into the open Atlantic. A cold front is
expected to exit the southeastern U.S. early Mon and move slowly
southeastward, reaching from 31N72W to central Florida by Tue
morning.

$$
AL

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447
AXNT20 KNHC 030505
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Apr 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 03N20W.
The ITCZ extends from 03N20W and continues to 01N35W to 01S48W.
Scattered moderate convection is from 06S to 05N between 15W and
50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A surface ridge prevails over the Gulf waters. A scatterometer
pass show mainly moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the eastern
half of the basin where altimeter, buoys and ship data are
showing 3 to 6 ft seas. Winds and seas of similar magnitude are
ongoing also over the Gulf waters W of 90W.

For the forecast, a broad western Atlantic surface ridge will
dominate the Gulf region through Sat morning, then weaken Sat
afternoon and night as a cold front approaches. This will support
moderate to fresh E to SE winds across the basin, with occasional
strong winds north of the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the
northwestern Gulf and through the Florida Straits through Sat. A
cold front will enter the northwestern Gulf early Sun and move
southeastward through early next week, reaching from near Fort
Myers, FL to 23N94W to the central Bay of Campeche Tue morning.
Expected strong to near gale-force winds and rough seas behind the
front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area extending into
the northern basin, and the Colombian low, is supporting fresh to
strong NE winds offshore Colombia, south of Hispaniola and also
in the Winward Passage as indicated by scatterometer data. Seas
over these areas are in the 6-8 ft range. Moderate to fresh NE to
E winds, and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the surface ridge
and the Colombian low will support fresh winds pulsing to strong
with rough seas offshore Colombia through Sat night, and fresh to
locally strong NE to E winds and moderate to rough seas in the
south sides of Cuba and Hispaniola as well as the Windward Passage
through Fri night, before winds and seas diminish over the
weekend. An inverted trough will develop from Hispaniola northward
into the open Atlantic Mon through Tue, and yield fresh trade
winds across the eastern Caribbean and gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A series of six centers of high pressure N of the area extend a
ridge across the entire subtropical waters. A surface trough is
over the offshore waters E of the Leeward Islands and is
generating scattered to isolated showers over the central
subtropical waters between 41W and 58W. Scatterometer data show
that the pressure gradient between the ridge and the trough is
supporting fresh to locally strong NE to E winds across the
offshores NW of the trough, the southern Bahamas offshores as well
as the approaches to the Windward Passage. Fresh to strong NE
to E winds are also between the trough and the Bahamas, or between
55W and 70W where seas are rough to 11 ft. Fresh E winds are
across the Great Bahama Bank while moderate winds are elsewhere W
of 50W. Over the far E Atlantic, another surface trough extends
from 26N22W to 21N28W, which is tightening the gradient of
pressure and supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds E of 37W,
including the Canary Islands. Seas over this region are 7-8 ft.
Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure extending from
the central Atlantic west-southwestward into the SE U.S. will
drift slowly SW and weaken modestly through Sun morning. This
pattern will sustain fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas
mainly south of 29N, including the central and southeast Bahamas,
through this weekend. By late Sun, the high will have weakened and
shifted to NE of Bermuda, while an inverted surface trough forms
from Hispaniola northward into the open Atlantic. A cold front is
expected to exit the southeastern U.S. early Mon and move slowly
southeastward, reaching from 31N72W to central Florida by Tue
morning.

$$
Ramos

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132
AXNT20 KNHC 031003
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Apr 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 03N20W.
The ITCZ extends from 03N20W and continues to 01N42W. Scattered
moderate convection is S of 04N between 15W and 35W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

With high pressure centered NE of the basin, moderate to fresh SE
winds dominate, along with seas of 3 to 6 ft. No significant
convection is ongoing.

For the forecast, high pressure dominating the basin will weaken
and slide east by Sat, allowing a cold front to move offshore
Texas Sat night. Ahead of the front, moderate to fresh SE winds
will dominate, except for the Florida Straits where locally strong
E winds will prevail. The cold front will slowly track into the
SE basin by early next week, with strong NE winds expect across
portions of the northern and western Gulf behind the front, along
with rough seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong NE winds offshore
Colombia, south of Hispaniola and also in the Windward Passage.
Seas over these areas are in the 6-8 ft range. Moderate to fresh
NE to E winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Upper-level
divergence is yielding scattered moderate convection in the NW
basin.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia, Cuba,
Hispaniola, and through the Windward Passage into Sat. This
weekend, the high will weaken some and move east, loosening the
gradient and allowing winds and seas to decrease some. An inverted
trough will develop from Hispaniola northward into the open
Atlantic Mon through Tue, maintaining fresh trade winds across the
eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure N of the area extends a ridge across the entire
subtropical waters. The pressure gradient between the ridge and
the trough is supporting fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
across the offshores N of the Greater Antilles, including the
southern and central Bahamas and the Windward Passage. Seas in
this area are up to 11 ft. Over the far E Atlantic, a surface
trough extends from 26N22W to 21N28W, which is tightening the
gradient of pressure and supporting moderate to fresh NE to E
winds E of 37W, including the Canary Islands. It is also now
generating scattered moderate convection from 23N to 27N between
19W and 24W. Moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, winds and seas will only slowly
decrease through the weekend as the high weakens and slides
eastward. An inverted surface trough will from Hispaniola
northward into the open Atlantic by Sun night, weakening winds
further. A cold front is expected to exit the southeastern U.S.
early Mon and move slowly southeastward, reaching from 31N70W to
South Florida by Tue morning.

$$
Konarik

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587
AXNT20 KNHC 031741
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Apr 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 03N20W.
The ITCZ extends from 03N20W and continues to 01N42W. Scattered
moderate convection is S of 04N between 15W and 35W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

With high pressure centered NE of the basin, moderate to fresh SE
winds dominate, along with seas of 3 to 6 ft. No significant
convection is ongoing.

For the forecast, high pressure over the region will begin to
retreat eastward Sat evening in response to a cold front that will
be approaching the Texas coast. The cold front will reach from
the southeastern United States to the central Gulf and to the
west- central Gulf Sun, then stall from S Florida to the central
Gulf and to the west-centrtal Gulf from early next week into the
mid-week. Low pressure may develop along the western part of the
front during the weekend. Strong northeast winds are expected
across portions of the northern and western Gulf behind the front
along with rough seas. Moderate to fresh southeast winds will
precede the front, except in the Straits of Florida, where locally
strong east winds will prevail.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong E to NE winds
offshore Colombia, south of Hispaniola and also in the Windward
Passage. Seas over these areas are in the 6-8 ft range. Moderate
to fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Upper-
level divergence is yielding scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms in the NW basin.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
centered near Bermuda and low pressure near Colombia will continue
to support pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia,
Cuba, Hispaniola, and through the Windward Passage into Sat. The
high pressure will weaken some as it slides eastward this weekend
allowing for the the gradient to slacken. This will lead to
diminishing winds and subsiding seas. An inverted trough will
develop from Hispaniola northward into the open Atlantic Mon
through Tue, maintaining fresh trade winds across the eastern
Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure N of the area extends a ridge across the entire
subtropical waters. The pressure gradient between the ridge and
the trough is supporting fresh to strong NE to E winds across the
offshores N of the Greater Antilles, including the southern and
central Bahamas and the Windward Passage. Seas in this area are up
to 11 ft. Over the far E Atlantic, a surface trough extends from
26N22W to 22N29W, which is tightening the gradient of pressure
and supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds E of 35W,
including the Canary Islands. It is also now generating scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms N of 20N and E of 32W.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between high
pressure located well north of the area and relatively lower
pressure to the south is allowing for generally strong northeast
to east winds along with rough seas over much of the waters S of
26N. These conditions will gradually diminish through the weekend
as the high weakens while shifting eastward. An inverted surface
trough is forecast to develop from Hispaniola northward into the
open Atlantic by Sun night allowing for winds to weaken further. A
cold front is expected to emerge off the southeastern United
States coast early on Mon, then slowly move southeastward reaching
from near 31N70W to South Florida by Tue morning. Strong to near
gale-force winds northeast winds and seas building to a rough
state are expected behind this front.

$$
Adams

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679
AXNT20 KNHC 031741
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Apr 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 03N20W.
The ITCZ extends from 03N20W and continues to 01N42W. Scattered
moderate convection is S of 04N between 15W and 35W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

With high pressure centered NE of the basin, moderate to fresh SE
winds dominate, along with seas of 3 to 6 ft. No significant
convection is ongoing.

For the forecast, high pressure over the region will begin to
retreat eastward Sat evening in response to a cold front that will
be approaching the Texas coast. The cold front will reach from
the southeastern United States to the central Gulf and to the
west- central Gulf Sun, then stall from S Florida to the central
Gulf and to the west-centrtal Gulf from early next week into the
mid-week. Low pressure may develop along the western part of the
front during the weekend. Strong northeast winds are expected
across portions of the northern and western Gulf behind the front
along with rough seas. Moderate to fresh southeast winds will
precede the front, except in the Straits of Florida, where locally
strong east winds will prevail.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong E to NE winds
offshore Colombia, south of Hispaniola and also in the Windward
Passage. Seas over these areas are in the 6-8 ft range. Moderate
to fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Upper-
level divergence is yielding scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms in the NW basin.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
centered near Bermuda and low pressure near Colombia will continue
to support pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia,
Cuba, Hispaniola, and through the Windward Passage into Sat. The
high pressure will weaken some as it slides eastward this weekend
allowing for the the gradient to slacken. This will lead to
diminishing winds and subsiding seas. An inverted trough will
develop from Hispaniola northward into the open Atlantic Mon
through Tue, maintaining fresh trade winds across the eastern
Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure N of the area extends a ridge across the entire
subtropical waters. The pressure gradient between the ridge and
the trough is supporting fresh to strong NE to E winds across the
offshores N of the Greater Antilles, including the southern and
central Bahamas and the Windward Passage. Seas in this area are up
to 11 ft. Over the far E Atlantic, a surface trough extends from
26N22W to 22N29W, which is tightening the gradient of pressure
and supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds E of 35W,
including the Canary Islands. It is also now generating scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms N of 20N and E of 32W.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between high
pressure located well north of the area and relatively lower
pressure to the south is allowing for generally strong northeast
to east winds along with rough seas over much of the waters S of
26N. These conditions will gradually diminish through the weekend
as the high weakens while shifting eastward. An inverted surface
trough is forecast to develop from Hispaniola northward into the
open Atlantic by Sun night allowing for winds to weaken further. A
cold front is expected to emerge off the southeastern United
States coast early on Mon, then slowly move southeastward reaching
from near 31N70W to South Florida by Tue morning. Strong to near
gale-force winds northeast winds and seas building to a rough
state are expected behind this front.

$$
Adams

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822
AXNT20 KNHC 032304
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Apr 4 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 04N20W.
The ITCZ extends from 04N20W to 03N34W, then resumes W of a
surface trough located S of 10N along 35W/36W from 00N37W to
00N50W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 06N
between 05W and 15W, and from 02N to 06N between 30W and 38W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends across Florida into the Gulf region. Under the
influence of this system, scatterometer data indicate fresh to
locally strong E to SE winds from 23N to 27N E of 87W, including
the Straits of Florida. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with these winds,
occasionally higher in the Straits of Florida. Elsewhere moderate
to locally fresh winds and moderate seas prevail except offshore
west Florida where seas of 1 to 3 ft are noted. Scattered
showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are occurring over parts of
the eastern Gulf and western Florida.

For the forecast, high pressure over the region will begin to
retreat eastward Sat evening in response to a cold front that
will be approaching the Texas coast. The cold front will reach
from the southeastern United States to the central Gulf and to
the west-central Gulf Sun, then stall from S Florida to the
central Gulf and to the west-centrtal Gulf from early next week
into the mid-week. Low pressure may track from W to E along the
frontal boundary at about mid-week. Strong northeast winds are
expected across portions of the northern and western Gulf behind
the front along with rough seas. Moderate to fresh east to southeast
winds over the Gulf, with the exception of NE part, will diminish
on Sat, but continue at fresh speeds in the Straits of Florida
through late Sat night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the Colombian
low is supporting fresh to strong NE to E winds offshore Colombia,
south of Hispaniola, and also in the Windward Passage. Seas within
these wind speeds are 8 to 9 ft offshore Colombia, based on altimeter
data, and 6 to 8 ft elsewhere. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds and
moderate seas prevail over the remainder of the basin. A diffluent
pattern aloft is helping to induce scattered showers and thunderstorms
over the NW Caribbean, including parts of Cuba, the Cayman Islands
and Jamaica.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure centered
near Bermuda and low pressure near Colombia will continue to support
pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia, Cuba, Hispaniola,
and through the Windward Passage into Sat. The high pressure will weaken
some as it slides eastward this weekend allowing for the pressure
gradient to slacken. This will lead to diminishing winds and subsiding
seas. An inverted trough will develop from Hispaniola northward into
the open Atlantic Mon through Tue and drift westward toward the Bahamas.
The pressure gradient between it and central Atlantic high pressure
will maintain fresh trade winds across the eastern Caribbean, with
gentle to moderate winds elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure of 1032 mb located N of the area near 34N65W extends
a ridge across most of the Atlantic forecast waters producing a
pretty tight pressure gradient N of 20N and W of 55W. As a result, scatterometer data provide observations of fresh to strong NE to
E winds across the weaters N of the Greater Antilles, including
the southern and central Bahamas and the Windward Passage. Seas
in this area are up to 11 ft based on altimeter data. Over the far
E Atlantic, a surface trough extends from a 1014 mb low pressure
situated near 26N25W to 20N31W. These features are associated
with an upper-level low which generating scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms, more concentrated in the vicinity of
22N21W. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are seen between the low
center and a ridge that extends southward across the Madeira and
Canary Islands. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are present.

For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between high
pressure located well north of the area and relatively lower
pressure in the subtropics and tropics is allowing for generally
strong northeast to east winds along with rough seas over much of
the waters S of 26N. These conditions will gradually diminish
through the weekend as the high weakens while shifting eastward.
An inverted surface trough is forecast to develop from Hispaniola
northward into the open Atlantic by Sun night allowing for winds
to weaken. The trough will track in a general northwestward
direction into mid-week. A cold front is expected to emerge off
the southeastern United States coast early on Mon, then slowly
move southeastward reaching from near 31N70W to South Florida by
Tue morning and stall into mid-week. Low pressure may then
develop along the trough at about mid-week as it merges with the
frontal boundary and while high pressure builds southward N of
the frontal boundary. The resulting tight pressure gradient will
bring strong to near gale-force northeast winds along with seas
building to a rough state behind this front starting early next
week. Mariners are advised to keep up with the latest forecast,
especially beyond Mon night.

$$
GR

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532
AXNT20 KNHC 040545
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Apr 4 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0540 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Liberia near 10N14W and continues SW to 03N27W. The ITCZ extends
from 03N27W to 00N37W to 01S49W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 06S to 03N between 05W and 15W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends across Florida into the Gulf region. Under the
influence of this ridge, moderate to fresh SE winds and moderate
seas prevail, except in the Straits of Florida where strong E
winds and 7 to 8 ft seas are ongoing.

For the forecast, high pressure over the region will begin to
retreat eastward Sat evening as a cold front approaches the Texas
coast. The cold front will reach from the Florida Panhandle to Bay
of Campeche by Sun, then stall as low pressure tracks eastward
along it into the middle of next week. Strong northeast winds are
expected across portions of the northern and western Gulf behind
the front along with rough seas. Moderate to fresh east to
southeast winds over the Gulf, with the exception of NE part, will
diminish on Sat, but continue at fresh speeds in the Straits of
Florida through late Sat night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the Colombian
low is supporting fresh trades over the central basin, except for
strong NE winds offshore Colombia. Seas are moderate except rough
within the strong speed winds. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are
across the NW Caribbean while moderate trades are over the E
basin. Seas over both the NW and E Caribbean are moderate to 5 ft.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
centered near Bermuda and low pressure near Colombia will continue
to support pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia
and through the Windward Passage through Sat. The high pressure
will weaken some as it slides eastward this weekend allowing for
the the gradient to slacken. This will lead to diminishing winds
and subsiding seas. An inverted trough will develop from
Hispaniola northward into the open Atlantic Mon through Tue and
drift westward toward the Bahamas. The gradient between it and
central Atlantic high pressure will maintain fresh trade winds
across the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The pressure gradient between high pressure located well north of
the area and relatively lower pressure in the subtropics and
tropics is allowing for generally strong northeast to east winds
along with rough seas over much of the waters S of 26N as
indicated by scatterometer data. Over the far E Atlantic, a
surface trough extends from a 1017 mb low pressure situated near
25N26W to 30N23W. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, strong NE to E winds and rough seas
over much of the waters S of 26N will gradually diminish through
the weekend as the high weakens while shifting eastward. An
inverted surface trough is forecast to develop from Hispaniola
northward into the open Atlantic by Sun night allowing for winds
to weaken. The trough will track in a general northwestward
direction into mid-week. A cold front is expected to emerge off
the southeastern United States coast early on Mon, then slowly
move southeastward reaching from near 31N70W to South Florida by
Tue morning and stall into mid-week. Low pressure may then develop
along the trough at about mid-week as it merges with the frontal
boundary and while high pressure builds southward N of the frontal
boundary. The resulting tight pressure gradient will bring strong
to near gale-force northeast winds along with seas building to a
rough state behind this front starting early next week. Mariners
are advised to keep up with the latest forecast, especially beyond
Mon night.

$$
Ramos

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013
AXNT20 KNHC 041004
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Apr 4 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
SW to 03N27W. The ITCZ extends from 03N27W to 00N43W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted S of 03N and E of 20W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends SE into the basin. Under the influence of this
ridge, moderate to fresh SE winds and moderate seas prevail,
except in the Straits of Florida where strong E winds and 7 to 8
ft seas are ongoing.

For the forecast, a cold front will move off Texas tonight, then
track slowly SE across the basin through Mon night. Ahead of the
front, fresh to strong E winds will prevail in the Florida Straits
into tonight. Behind the front, strong NE winds and rough seas
are expect across portions of the western Gulf Sun into Mon, with
these conditions spreading into the NE Gulf Mon night through Wed.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the Colombian
low is supporting fresh trades over the most basin, except for
strong NE winds offshore Colombia. Seas are moderate except rough
within the strong speed winds. Scattered moderate convection in
association with a land breeze has developed within 90 nm of the
southern coast of Haiti.

For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
continue to support pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore
Colombia into tonight. The high pressure will weaken some as it
slides eastward Sun allowing for the the gradient to slacken. This
will lead to diminishing winds and subsiding seas. An inverted
trough will develop from Hispaniola northward into the open
Atlantic Mon through Tue and drift westward toward the Bahamas.
The gradient between it and central Atlantic high pressure will
maintain fresh trade winds across the eastern Caribbean, with
gentle to moderate winds elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of the
area and relatively lower pressure in the tropics is allowing for
strong northeast to east winds along with rough seas over much of
the waters S of 25N and E of 55W. A low and mid-level trough
drifting W through the Turks and Caicos and SE Bahamas is
generating scattered moderate convection. A weak 1015 mb low
pressure in the far eastern Atlantic near 22N28W is no longer
producing any sensible weather. Thus, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the basin outside of
the corridor of strong winds and rough seas N of the Greater
Antilles.


For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will dominate waters
N of 25N this weekend. The pressure gradient between this high and
lower pressure in tropics will lead to fresh to strong E winds S
of 23N, along with rough seas. Conditions will improve Sun night
into Mon as the high weakens and moves E. In the wake of the high,
a cold front will move off the SE United States, then move slowly
SE, reaching near 31N70W to South Florida Tue, then Bermuda to
the Florida Straits by Wed. Low pressure may track along this
front during this time, will high pressure builds into the SE
United States N of the boundary. The resulting pressure gradient
will lead to widespread strong to near gale force NE to E winds
behind the cold front, along with rough to very rough seas
starting Tue. Mariners are advised to keep up with the latest
forecast.

$$
Konarik

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091
AXNT20 KNHC 041733
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Apr 4 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic near 08N13W and continues
SW to 05N19W. The ITCZ extends from 05N19W to 02S45W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted S of 05N and E of 30W, as well as off
the coast of northern Brazil.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends SE into the basin. Under the influence of this
ridge, moderate to fresh SE winds and moderate seas prevail,
except in the Straits of Florida where strong E winds are
ongoing. Scattered showers are ongoing in the NW Gulf as a cold
front approaches the region and convergence at the surface
increases.

For the forecast, a cold front will push offshore the Texas coast
tonight and move slowly southeastward across the basin through
Mon night. Ahead of the front, fresh to strong east winds will
prevail in the Florida Straits into tonight. Behind the front,
strong northeast winds and rough seas are expect across portions
of the western Gulf Sun into Mon, with these conditions spreading
into the NE Gulf Mon night through Wed. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms may precede the front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the Colombian
low is supporting fresh trades over the most basin, except for
locally strong NE winds offshore Colombia. Seas are generally
moderate, except locally rough seas within the strong winds
offshore Colombia. Convergent surface winds are leading to
isolated showers and thunderstorms in the eastern Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
centered near Bermuda and low pressure near Colombia will continue
to support pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia
into tonight. The high pressure will weaken some as it slides
eastward Sun allowing for the the gradient to slacken. This will
lead to diminishing winds and subsiding seas. An inverted trough
will develop from Hispaniola northward into the open Atlantic Mon
through Tue and drift westward toward the Bahamas. The gradient
between it and central Atlantic high pressure will maintain fresh
trade winds across the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate
winds elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of the
area and relatively lower pressure in the tropics is allowing for
a corridor of fresh to strong E winds and rough seas N of the
Greater Antilles, generally S of 28N between 60W and a surface
trough along 73W. Farther east, moderate to fresh northeast to
east winds along with moderate seas over much of the waters E of
60W. A low and mid- level trough drifting W through the Turks and
Caicos and SE Bahamas is generating scattered moderate convection.
In the central to east Atlantic, an upper level low is inducing a
surface trough along 43W from 22N to 30N, as well as a weak 1016
mb low and trough near 24N27W. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring near these features. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure is over just about
the entire area. The pressure gradient between the high pressure
and relatively lower pressure in the subtropics and tropics is
producing fresh to strong east winds south of about 26N. Rough
seas have materialized from this winds east of the Bahamas.
Conditions will improve Sun night into Mon as the high weakens
slides eastward in response to an approaching cold front. This
front will slowly move off the southeastern U.S. and northeast
Florida Sun night reaching from near 31N76W to east-central
Florida Mon afternoon, from near 31N70W to South Florida Tue
afternoon, then from near 31N63W to the Straits of Florida by Wed
afternoon. Low pressure may track along this front during this
time while an expansive area of strong high pressure builds
southward up against the frontal boundary. The resulting pressure
gradient will lead to widespread strong to near gale force
northeast to east winds behind the cold front, along with rough to
very rough seas beginning Tue. The potential exists for these
winds attaining gale-force. Mariners are advised to keep up with
the latest forecast.

$$
Adams

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283
AXNT20 KNHC 041809 CCA
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Apr 4 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic near 08N13W and continues
SW to 05N19W. The ITCZ extends from 05N19W to 02S45W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted S of 05N and E of 30W, as well as off
the coast of northern Brazil.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends SE into the basin. Under the influence of this
ridge, moderate to fresh SE winds and moderate seas prevail,
except in the Straits of Florida where strong E winds are
ongoing. Scattered showers are ongoing in the NW Gulf as a cold
front approaches the region and convergence at the surface
increases.

For the forecast, a cold front will push offshore the Texas coast
tonight and move slowly southeastward across the basin through
Mon night. Ahead of the front, fresh to strong east winds will
prevail in the Florida Straits into tonight. Behind the front,
strong northeast winds and rough seas are expect across portions
of the western Gulf Sun into Mon, with these conditions spreading
into the NE Gulf Mon night through Wed. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms may precede the front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the Colombian
low is supporting fresh trades over the most basin, except for
locally strong NE winds offshore Colombia. Seas are generally
moderate, except locally rough seas within the strong winds
offshore Colombia. Convergent surface winds are leading to
isolated showers and thunderstorms in the eastern Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
centered near Bermuda and low pressure near Colombia will continue
to support pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia
into tonight. The high pressure will weaken some as it slides
eastward Sun allowing for the the gradient to slacken. This will
lead to diminishing winds and subsiding seas. An inverted trough
will develop from Hispaniola northward into the open Atlantic Mon
through Tue and drift westward toward the Bahamas. The gradient
between it and central Atlantic high pressure will maintain fresh
trade winds across the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate
winds elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of the
area and relatively lower pressure in the tropics is allowing for
a corridor of fresh to strong E winds and rough seas N of the
Greater Antilles, generally S of 28N between 60W and a surface
trough along 73W. Farther east, moderate to fresh northeast to
east winds along with moderate seas over much of the waters E of
60W. A low and mid- level trough drifting W through the Turks and
Caicos and SE Bahamas is generating scattered moderate convection.
In the central to east Atlantic, an upper level low is inducing a
surface trough along 43W from 22N to 30N, as well as a weak 1016
mb low and trough near 24N27W. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring near these features. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure is over just about
the entire area. The pressure gradient between the high pressure
and relatively lower pressure in the subtropics and tropics is
producing fresh to strong east winds south of about 26N. Rough seas
have materialized from these winds east of the Bahamas. Conditions
will improve Sun night into Mon as the high weakens slides eastward
in response to an approaching cold front. This front will slowly
move off the southeastern U.S. and northeast Florida Sun night
reaching from near 31N76W to east-central Florida Mon afternoon,
from near 31N70W to South Florida Tue afternoon, then from near
31N63W to the Straits of Florida by Wed afternoon. Low pressure may
track along this front during this time while an expansive area of
strong high pressure builds southward up against the frontal
boundary. The resulting pressure gradient will lead to widespread
strong to near gale force northeast to east winds behind the cold
front, along with rough to very rough seas beginning Tue. The
potential exists for these winds attaining gale-force. Mariners are
advised to keep up with the latest forecast.

$$
Adams

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724
AXNT20 KNHC 042311
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Apr 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 05N18W.
The ITCZ extends from 05N18W to the coast of Brazil near 02S45W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 05N between 10W and
30W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends from a 1029 high pressure located near Bermuda
across Florida into the Gulf region. Under the influence of this
system, moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds are present,
except in the Straits of Florida where fresh to locally strong E
winds are ongoing. Seas are in general 5 to 8 ft with these
winds, occasionally higher in the Straits of Florida. Scattered
showers are ongoing in the NW Gulf as a cold front approaches the
region.

For the forecast, a cold front will push offshore the Texas coast
tonight and move slowly southeastward across the basin through
Mon night. Ahead of the front, fresh to strong east winds will
continue across the Straits of Florida and over the far southeastern
Gulf through late tonight. Behind the front, strong northeast
winds and rough seas are expect across portions of the western
Gulf Sun into Mon, with these conditions spreading into the NE
Gulf Mon night through early Thu, at which time they will improve
some. There may be potential for winds in the northeast part of
the NE Gulf to reach gale-force Wed and Wed night. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms may precede the front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the Colombian
low continues to support fresh to strong NE to E winds offshore
Colombia with seas in the 7 to 9 ft range. Elsewhere, moderate to
fresh trade winds are and moderate seas noted, except in the SW
Caribbean where gentle to moderate winds are occurring. A diffluent
pattern aloft is helping to induce scattered showers and thunderstorms
over parts of Cuba, Jamaica, Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure centered
near Bermuda and low pressure near Colombia will continue to support
pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia into tonight.
The high pressure will weaken some as it slides eastward Sun allowing
for the pressure gradient to slacken. This will lead to diminishing
winds and subsiding seas. A surface trough located just north of
Hispaniola will drift west- northwestward toward the Bahamas through
Tue. The gradient between it and central Atlantic high pressure
will maintain fresh trade winds across the eastern Caribbean, with
gentle to moderate winds elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough is analyzed from 29N72W to the SE Bahamas. Showers
and thunderstorms are on increase on either side of the trough axis.
Currently, the associated convective activity covers the waters
south of 25N between 65W and 80W, including most of the Bahamas.
All these weather conditions are related to a short-wave trough
located over the same area. High pressure is over just about the
entire forecast region. The pressure gradient between the high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in the subtropics and
tropics is producing fresh to strong east winds south of about
26N and W of 55W. Rough seas up to 11 ft are present with these
winds east of the Bahamas. Farther E, another surface trough,
associated with an upper-level low, extends from 30N43W to
21N42W. A few showers and thunderstorms are near the trough axis
that is clearly defined in scatterometer data. Mainly gentle to
moderate winds are on either side of the trough axis. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are present.

For the forecast west of 55W, marine conditions will improve Sun
night into Mon as the high pressure weakens and slides eastward
in response to an approaching cold front. This front will slowly
move off the southeastern U.S. and northeast Florida Sun night
reaching from near 31N76W to east-central Florida Mon afternoon,
from near 31N70W to South Florida Tue afternoon, from near 31N63W
to the Straits of Florida by Wed afternoon. then stall into Thu
night. The aforementioned trough will continue to drift west-
northwestward eventually merging with the frontal boundary late
Tue. Low pressure may then form along the frontal boundary and
track northeastward to north of 31N on Wed, while an expansive
area of strong high pressure builds southward up against the
frontal boundary and low pressure. The resulting tight pressure
gradient will lead to widespread strong to near gale-force
northeast to east winds behind the frontal boundary along with
rough to very rough seas beginning Tue. The potential exists for
these winds attaining gale-force speeds. Mariners are advised to
keep up with the latest forecast.

$$
GR

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811
AXNT20 KNHC 042311
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Apr 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 05N18W.
The ITCZ extends from 05N18W to the coast of Brazil near 02S45W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 05N between 10W and
30W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends from a 1029 high pressure located near Bermuda
across Florida into the Gulf region. Under the influence of this
system, moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds are present,
except in the Straits of Florida where fresh to locally strong E
winds are ongoing. Seas are in general 5 to 8 ft with these
winds, occasionally higher in the Straits of Florida. Scattered
showers are ongoing in the NW Gulf as a cold front approaches the
region.

For the forecast, a cold front will push offshore the Texas coast
tonight and move slowly southeastward across the basin through
Mon night. Ahead of the front, fresh to strong east winds will
continue across the Straits of Florida and over the far southeastern
Gulf through late tonight. Behind the front, strong northeast
winds and rough seas are expect across portions of the western
Gulf Sun into Mon, with these conditions spreading into the NE
Gulf Mon night through early Thu, at which time they will improve
some. There may be potential for winds in the northeast part of
the NE Gulf to reach gale-force Wed and Wed night. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms may precede the front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the Colombian
low continues to support fresh to strong NE to E winds offshore
Colombia with seas in the 7 to 9 ft range. Elsewhere, moderate to
fresh trade winds are and moderate seas noted, except in the SW
Caribbean where gentle to moderate winds are occurring. A diffluent
pattern aloft is helping to induce scattered showers and thunderstorms
over parts of Cuba, Jamaica, Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure centered
near Bermuda and low pressure near Colombia will continue to support
pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia into tonight.
The high pressure will weaken some as it slides eastward Sun allowing
for the pressure gradient to slacken. This will lead to diminishing
winds and subsiding seas. A surface trough located just north of
Hispaniola will drift west- northwestward toward the Bahamas through
Tue. The gradient between it and central Atlantic high pressure
will maintain fresh trade winds across the eastern Caribbean, with
gentle to moderate winds elsewhere.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough is analyzed from 29N72W to the SE Bahamas. Showers
and thunderstorms are on increase on either side of the trough axis.
Currently, the associated convective activity covers the waters
south of 25N between 65W and 80W, including most of the Bahamas.
All these weather conditions are related to a short-wave trough
located over the same area. High pressure is over just about the
entire forecast region. The pressure gradient between the high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in the subtropics and
tropics is producing fresh to strong east winds south of about
26N and W of 55W. Rough seas up to 11 ft are present with these
winds east of the Bahamas. Farther E, another surface trough,
associated with an upper-level low, extends from 30N43W to
21N42W. A few showers and thunderstorms are near the trough axis
that is clearly defined in scatterometer data. Mainly gentle to
moderate winds are on either side of the trough axis. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are present.

For the forecast west of 55W, marine conditions will improve Sun
night into Mon as the high pressure weakens and slides eastward
in response to an approaching cold front. This front will slowly
move off the southeastern U.S. and northeast Florida Sun night
reaching from near 31N76W to east-central Florida Mon afternoon,
from near 31N70W to South Florida Tue afternoon, from near 31N63W
to the Straits of Florida by Wed afternoon. then stall into Thu
night. The aforementioned trough will continue to drift west-
northwestward eventually merging with the frontal boundary late
Tue. Low pressure may then form along the frontal boundary and
track northeastward to north of 31N on Wed, while an expansive
area of strong high pressure builds southward up against the
frontal boundary and low pressure. The resulting tight pressure
gradient will lead to widespread strong to near gale-force
northeast to east winds behind the frontal boundary along with
rough to very rough seas beginning Tue. The potential exists for
these winds attaining gale-force speeds. Mariners are advised to
keep up with the latest forecast.

$$
GR

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621
AXNT20 KNHC 050353
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Apr 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0340 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 03N24W.
The ITCZ extends from 03N24W to 00N40W to the coast of Brazil
near 00N51W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to
05N between 10W and 24W, and from 02S to 06N between 41W and 50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends from a 1029 high pressure located NW of Bermuda,
across Florida and into the Gulf region. Under the influence of
this ridge, moderate to fresh E to SE winds are present S of 26N
and E of 90W, while NE to E winds of the same magnitude are
ongoing over the SW Gulf. North of 26N, winds are moderate or
weaker, except likely higher in the vicinity of a pre-frontal
trough that is generating scattered heavy showers and tstms from
SW Louisiana to southern Texas coastal waters. Otherwise, moderate
seas to 6 ft are ongoing with the strongest winds in the SE Gulf
while slight to moderate seas remain elsewhere.

For the forecast, a cold front will push offshore the Texas coast
tonight and move slowly southeastward across the basin into Tue.
Ahead of the front, fresh east winds will continue across the
Straits of Florida and over the far southeastern Gulf through late
tonight. Behind the front, strong northeast winds and rough seas
are expected across portions of the western Gulf Sun into Mon,
with these conditions spreading into the NE Gulf Tue through Thu.
There is potential for winds in the far NE Gulf to reach gale-
force Wed and Wed night. Scattered thunderstorms may precede the
front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the
Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong NE to E winds
offshore Colombia with seas in the 7 to 8 ft range. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas are noted.
Otherwise, scattered showers and tstms prevail in the SE
Caribbean.

For the forecast, the Bermuda high will weaken some and slide
east Sun, allowing pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore
Colombia to end. A trough just north of Hispaniola will drift west-northwestward toward the Bahamas through Tue. The gradient
between it and central Atlantic high pressure will maintain fresh
trade winds across the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate
winds elsewhere. Winds may increase again by late next week in the south-central Caribbean as high pressure to the north strengthens
and builds southward.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure near Bermuda and the Azores extends over just about
the entire forecast region. The pressure gradient between the
high pressure and relatively lower pressure in the subtropics and
tropics is producing fresh to strong east winds and rough seas
south of about 26N and W of 58W. Rough seas up to 11 ft are
present with these winds east of the Bahamas. Moderate to fresh
trades are over the tropical waters between 50W and the Lesser
Antilles where IR satellite imagery show scattered showers ongoing.
Scattered showers are also across the southern and central Bahamas
offshores as well as the approaches to the Windward Passage and
the Great Bahama Bank. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas are present.

For the forecast west of 55W, conditions south of 26N will improve
Sun night into Mon as the high weakens and slides eastward as a
cold front moves slowly off the southeast U.S. By Tue, this front
will stall from near Bermuda to the Florida Keys. Low pressure may
form along this stationary boundary Tue night then track NE along
it and N of the area Wed. The gradient between this low and high
pressure building into the southeast U.S. will lead to widespread near-gale-force NE winds and very rough seas N and W of the
frontal boundary for the middle of next week. Mariners are advised
to keep up with the latest forecast and stay abreast for possible
gale conditions developing as early as Tue.

$$
Ramos

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664
AXNT20 KNHC 050353
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Apr 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0340 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 03N24W.
The ITCZ extends from 03N24W to 00N40W to the coast of Brazil
near 00N51W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to
05N between 10W and 24W, and from 02S to 06N between 41W and 50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends from a 1029 high pressure located NW of Bermuda,
across Florida and into the Gulf region. Under the influence of
this ridge, moderate to fresh E to SE winds are present S of 26N
and E of 90W, while NE to E winds of the same magnitude are
ongoing over the SW Gulf. North of 26N, winds are moderate or
weaker, except likely higher in the vicinity of a pre-frontal
trough that is generating scattered heavy showers and tstms from
SW Louisiana to southern Texas coastal waters. Otherwise, moderate
seas to 6 ft are ongoing with the strongest winds in the SE Gulf
while slight to moderate seas remain elsewhere.

For the forecast, a cold front will push offshore the Texas coast
tonight and move slowly southeastward across the basin into Tue.
Ahead of the front, fresh east winds will continue across the
Straits of Florida and over the far southeastern Gulf through late
tonight. Behind the front, strong northeast winds and rough seas
are expected across portions of the western Gulf Sun into Mon,
with these conditions spreading into the NE Gulf Tue through Thu.
There is potential for winds in the far NE Gulf to reach gale-
force Wed and Wed night. Scattered thunderstorms may precede the
front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the
Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong NE to E winds
offshore Colombia with seas in the 7 to 8 ft range. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas are noted.
Otherwise, scattered showers and tstms prevail in the SE
Caribbean.

For the forecast, the Bermuda high will weaken some and slide
east Sun, allowing pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore
Colombia to end. A trough just north of Hispaniola will drift west-northwestward toward the Bahamas through Tue. The gradient
between it and central Atlantic high pressure will maintain fresh
trade winds across the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate
winds elsewhere. Winds may increase again by late next week in the south-central Caribbean as high pressure to the north strengthens
and builds southward.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure near Bermuda and the Azores extends over just about
the entire forecast region. The pressure gradient between the
high pressure and relatively lower pressure in the subtropics and
tropics is producing fresh to strong east winds and rough seas
south of about 26N and W of 58W. Rough seas up to 11 ft are
present with these winds east of the Bahamas. Moderate to fresh
trades are over the tropical waters between 50W and the Lesser
Antilles where IR satellite imagery show scattered showers ongoing.
Scattered showers are also across the southern and central Bahamas
offshores as well as the approaches to the Windward Passage and
the Great Bahama Bank. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas are present.

For the forecast west of 55W, conditions south of 26N will improve
Sun night into Mon as the high weakens and slides eastward as a
cold front moves slowly off the southeast U.S. By Tue, this front
will stall from near Bermuda to the Florida Keys. Low pressure may
form along this stationary boundary Tue night then track NE along
it and N of the area Wed. The gradient between this low and high
pressure building into the southeast U.S. will lead to widespread near-gale-force NE winds and very rough seas N and W of the
frontal boundary for the middle of next week. Mariners are advised
to keep up with the latest forecast and stay abreast for possible
gale conditions developing as early as Tue.

$$
Ramos

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146
AXNT20 KNHC 051011
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Apr 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 03N24W.
The ITCZ extends from 03N24W to 00N40W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 00N to 05N between 10W and 24W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Ridging that has dominated the basin much of last week is moving
E away from the region, and a cold front is exiting the Texas
coast early this morning. Decaying diurnal troughs are moving W
offshore the Florida and Yucatan peninsulas, with little sensible
weather impact. NE winds behind the cold front off TX are fresh,
otherwise mainly gentle E winds dominate, aside from moderate E
winds in the Florida Straits. Seas are 3 to 6 ft, and are likely
building behind the cold front. No convection is impacting the
basin early this morning, as activity associated with the cold
front is currently inland over the U.S. and Mexico.

For the forecast, the cold front will slowly cross the basin into
Tue, accompanied by scattered thunderstorms. Strong NE winds and
rough seas will develop behind the front across portions of the
western Gulf into Mon, then similar conditions will evolve over
the NE Gulf Tue through Thu. Near gale-conditions are possible
near Florida Wed and Wed night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the
Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong NE to E winds
offshore Colombia with seas in the 7 to 8 ft range. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas are noted in the
eastern and central basin, with gentle to moderate winds in the
west. Earlier convection in the SE Caribbean has waned overnight,
but some thunderstorms associated with a forming trough to the
north are noted within 90 nm of the southern coast of Dominican
Republic.

For the forecast, the Bermuda high will weaken some and slide east
today, allowing pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore
Colombia to end. A trough just north of Hispaniola will drift
west- northwestward toward the Bahamas through Tue. The gradient
between it and central Atlantic high pressure will maintain fresh
trade winds across the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate
winds elsewhere. Winds may increase again by late this week in
the south-central Caribbean as high pressure to the north
strengthens and builds southward.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure centered between the Azores and Bermuda is generally
dominating the entire basin. Where the pressure gradient between
it at the Colombian low is tightest, fresh to strong winds and
rough seas are present N of the Antilles to about 26N, between
South Florida and about 50W. Elsewhere, mainly gentle to moderate
winds and moderate seas prevail. Scattered moderate convection
between Puerto Rico and the Bahamas in association a developing
low-pressure trough.

For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong E winds and rough
seas E of the Bahamas and N of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico will
gradually decrease into Mon as Bermuda high pressure moves E and
weakens. In the wake of the high, a cold front will move off the
SE U.S. coast early Mon, then slide slowly eastward through early
week. As it does, a westward moving inverted trough N of
Hispaniola will likely interact with the front and low pressure
may form as a result along the front in the vicinity of the
Bahamas. Any low that forms will track NE along the frontal
boundary, then N of the region Wed into Thu. The pressure gradient
between the low pressure and high pressure building in to the SE
U.S. will lead to widespread strong to near gale-force NE winds N
and W of the cold front Tue through late week, along with very
rough seas. Mariners are advised to keep up with the latest
forecast and stay abreast for possible gale conditions developing
as early as Tue.

$$
Konarik

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638
AXNT20 KNHC 051641
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Apr 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1620 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Liberia near 06N09W and continues southwestward to 02N16W. The
ITCZ extends from 02N16W to 02S43W. Scattered showers are along
the ITCZ and monsoon trough.

GULF OF AMERICA...

A new cold front extends from SE Louisiana to NE Mexico. Fresh to
strong NE winds and building 4-6 ft seas follow the front in the
NW Gulf. Scattered moderate convection is from 24N to 28N west of
94W, and within 120 nm ahead of the remainder of the front.
Elsewhere, the diurnal trough is analyzed in the Bay of Campeche,
and weak troughs are analyzed in the E Gulf and inland over the
Florida Peninsula. Scattered showers are near these troughs.
Gentle to moderate trades, and 2-4 ft seas, prevail across the
waters ahead of the front.

For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will reach from
near Apalachicola, Florida to 26N95W and to 19N95W by this
evening, then slow down as it reaches from near Tampa to 26N92W
and stationary to 18N94W Mon afternoon, from southwest Florida to
25N90W to 24N94W and stationary to 18N94W late Mon night, then
stall and perhaps linger into most of Thu. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms, some with gusty winds, are expected near the
front. Fresh to strong northeast northeast winds and rough seas
will develop behind the front across portions of the western Gulf
into Mon, then similar conditions will materialize over the NE
Gulf Tue through Thu. Near gale, to at times gale, conditions are
possible near Florida Wed and Wed night.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between subtropical Atlantic high pressure
and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to locally strong
trades offshore Colombia. Seas are analyzed to be 7-9 ft, per the
latest satellite altimeter data received for the region.
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trade winds and 4-7 ft seas are noted
in the eastern and central basin, and gentle trades with 2-4 ft
seas are analyzed in the western basin. Scattered moderate
convection is apparent across the southern Windward Islands.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the basin will shift
eastward through Mon allowing for pulsing strong winds and rough
seas offshore Colombia to diminish. A trough just north of
Hispaniola will drift west-northwestward toward the Bahamas
through Tue. The gradient between it and central Atlantic high
pressure will maintain fresh trade winds across the eastern
Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Trades may
increase again in the south-central Caribbean beginning during the
middle part of the week as a new and stronger area of high
pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic in the wake of
a cold front.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Areas of high pressure centered near the Azores and Bermuda are
dominating the basin. Satellite scatterometer data indicates
moderate to fresh trades north of 18N west of 50W, across most of
the western Atlantic offshore zones. Seas have built to 8-10 ft
from 18N to 28N between 60W and 76W, including along the eastern
islands of the Bahamas and Turks and Caicos. Scattered showers are
also affecting these waters. Elsewhere across the tropical
Atlantic, trades are moderate or weaker with 4-7 ft seas in open
waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong east winds and
rough seas E of the Bahamas and N of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico
will gradually decrease into Mon as Bermuda high pressure moves E
and weakens. In the wake of the high, a cold front will move off
the SE U.S. coast early Mon, then slide slowly eastward through
early week. As it does, a westward moving inverted trough N of
Hispaniola will likely interact with the front and low pressure
may form as a result along the front in the vicinity of the
Bahamas. Any low that forms will track northeastward along the
frontal boundary, then N of the region Wed into Thu. The pressure
gradient between the low pressure and high pressure building in to
the SE U.S. will lead to widespread strong to near gale-force
northeast winds N and W of the cold front Tue through late week,
along with very rough seas. Mariners are advised to keep up with
the latest forecast and stay informed abreast for possible gale
conditions developing as early as Tue.

$$
Mahoney

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832
AXNT20 KNHC 052108
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Apr 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Liberia near 06N10W and continues southwestward to 02N17W. The
ITCZ extends from 02N17W to Brazil near 02S47W. Scattered moderate
convection is S of the Equator and W of 36W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front extends from the far western Panhandle of Florida
near Pensacola to just SE of the SE Louisiana to just S of
Brownsville, Texas in far NE Mexico. Fresh to strong N-NE winds
are W of the front and 4-7 ft seas. Gentle to moderate winds under
weak ridging are E of the front with two weak surface troughs
analyzed. Scattered convection is W of a line from 29N89W to
22N93W.

For the forecast, the cold front will reach from near
Apalachicola, Florida to 26N95W and to 19N95W this evening, from
northeast Florida to 26N94W and to 19N994.5W tonight, then begin
to slow down as it reaches from near Tampa to 26N92W and
stationary to 18N94W by early Mon afternoon, from southwest
Florida to 25N90W to 24N94W and stationary to 18N94W late Mon
night, then stall and perhaps linger into most of Thu. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms, some with gusty winds, are expected
near the front. Fresh to strong northeast northeast winds and
rough seas will develop behind the front across portions of the
western Gulf into Mon, then similar conditions will materialize
over the NE Gulf Tue through Thu. Near gale, to at times gale
conditions, are possible near Florida Wed and Wed night.
Conditions improve Fri and Fri night as high pressure from the
eastern U.S will stretch southwestward toward the northern Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between subtropical Atlantic high pressure
and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to locally strong
trades offshore Colombia, where seas are analyzed at 6-8 ft.
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trade winds and 4-7 ft seas are noted
in the eastern and central basin, with gentle to moderate trades
and 3-5 ft seas in the western basin. No significant convection is
noted on satellite imagery over the basin waters.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the basin will shift
eastward through Mon allowing for pulsing strong winds and rough
seas offshore Colombia to diminish. A trough just north of
Hispaniola will drift west-northwestward toward the Bahamas
through Tue. The gradient between it and central Atlantic high
pressure will maintain fresh trade winds across the eastern
Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Trades may
increase again in the south-central Caribbean beginning mid-week
as a new and stronger area of high pressure builds southward over
the western Atlantic in the wake of a cold front.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Areas of high pressure centered near Bermuda and the Iberian
Peninsula are dominating the basin. A band of fresh to strong E-SE
winds are noted S of 27N to 20N and E of the Bahamas to 55W. Seas
are 6-10 ft across these waters. Scattered moderate convection is
also across these waters. Moderate to fresh trades are elsewhere S
of 29N and W of 50W along with 5-8 ft seas, with gentle to
moderate winds and 4-7 ft seas across the remainder of the
waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong east winds and
rough seas E of the Bahamas and N of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico
will gradually decrease into Mon as Bermuda high pressure moves E
and weakens. In the wake of the high, a cold front will move off
the SE U.S. coast early Mon, then slide slowly eastward through
early week. As it does, a westward moving inverted trough N of
Hispaniola will likely interact with the front and low pressure
may form as a result along the front in the vicinity of the
Bahamas. Any low that forms will track northeastward along the
frontal boundary, then N of the region Wed into Thu. The pressure
gradient between the low pressure and high pressure building in to
the SE U.S. will lead to widespread strong to near gale-force
northeast winds N and W of the cold front Tue through late week,
along with very rough seas. Mariners are advised to keep up with
the latest forecast and stay informed for possible gale conditions
developing as early as Tue.

$$
Lewitsky

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071
AXNT20 KNHC 060559
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Apr 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0550 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 09N13W and continues southwestward to 04N21W.
The ITCZ extends from 04N21W to 01N36W to Brazil near 01S50W.
Scattered moderate convection is from 06S to 04N W of 26W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front extends from near Apalachicola, Florida, to south of
Tampico, Mexico. Recent scatterometer data show strong to near
gale force N to NW winds W and NW of the front across the
offshore waters N of Veracruz, Mexico and offshore Texas and
Louisiana. The front is also supporting scattered heavy showers
from the Florida Panhandle offshores to the NW Gulf offshore
waters. Seas behind the front are 8 to 11 ft based on the latest
altimeter data. Ahead of the front, winds are gentle to locally
moderate from the NE and seas are slight.

For the forecast, the cold front will move slowly SW and stretch
from near Tampa Bay to the central Bay of Campeche by Mon night.
The front will then stall Tue night into Thu from SW Florida into
the SW basin. Scattered thunderstorms with locally gusty winds
will accompany the front. Strong NE winds and rough seas will
continue in the western Gulf behind the front through Mon, then
strong NE winds will develop in the NE basin N of the boundary Tue
through Thu. Conditions will improve some Fri and Fri night as
high pressure from the eastern U.S builds southwestward toward the
northern Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between subtropical Atlantic high pressure
and the Colombian low continues to support moderate to fresh trades
across the central and eastern basin where seas are moderate to 6
ft. Elsewhere, winds are mainly gentle from the NE and seas are
slight.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the basin will shift
eastward into Mon allowing for pulsing strong winds and rough seas
offshore Colombia to diminish. A trough just north of the
Windward Passage will meander into mid-week, maintaining fresh
trade winds across the eastern Carribbean, with mainly gentle
winds to the west. Winds will likely increase again in the south-
central Caribbean starting Wed night as a new high pressure builds
southward from the western Atlantic.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A broad subtropical ridge covers the region and support moderate
to fresh NE to E winds across the central subtropical waters along
with moderate seas to 7 ft. Over the SW N Atlantic waters, winds
are also moderate to fresh from the E to SE, and seas are moderate
to rough in decaying NE swell E of the Bahamas. Otherwise, over
the far E Atlantic, winds are moderate or weaker from the N to NE
and seas are moderateb to 6 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move offshore the
SE coast late tonight, then move slowly SE and reach 31N75W to
near Melbourne, Florida, by Tuesday morning, and Bermuda to South
Florida by Wed morning, before stalling. Low pressure is likely to
form along the front NE of the Bahamas Tue night, then accelerate
NE toward Bermuda into Wed. The gradient between this low and
high pressure building into the SE U.S. in the wake of the front
will lead to widespread near-gale-force NE to E winds behind the
front, along with very rough seas. Mariners are advised to keep up
with the latest forecast, and stay informed for the possibility
of gale conditions developing as early as Tue.

$$
Ramos

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487=20
AXNT20 KNHC 061004
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Apr 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0930 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front will move offshore the SE=20
U.S. coast today, then move slowly SE and reach from 31N72W to=20
South Florida by Tue, then stall from Bermuda to the Florida=20
Straits Wed. Low pressure is forecast to form along the front in=20
the vicinity of the Bahamas on Tue, then accelerate NE along the=20
boundary and out of the basin toward Bermuda by Wed. As the=20
pressure gradient increases behind this low and strong high=20
pressure building into the SE U.S., already strong NE winds N and=20
W of the front will increase further, with gales developing Tue=20
afternoon offshore NE Florida, then spreading east between the=20
Bahamas and Bermuda Tue night into Wed. Very rough seas in excess=20
of 15 kt are likely in the area of gales. With the frontal=20
boundary remaining nearly stationary late this week, conditions=20
will be slow to improve.=20

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National=20
Hurricane Center at website:=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!7wx6JSB6zDNclkSJmXjfNAFFEWT6z7UZLAqu4ROIIXLvghtHRnUFbHSqRoL1xCD0P= Jas1qf0XxAKo5H-1a5En2egQQU$=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Sierra Leone near 09N13W and continues southwestward to 04N21W.=20
The ITCZ extends from 04N21W to 01N45W. Only isolated convection
exists within about 150 nm of both of these features.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front extends from Apalachicola Bay to just north of
Veracruz, Mexico. Strong to near gale force N winds are N of the
front within 150 nm of the Mexican coast as well as with 180 nm of
the Texas and Louisiana coasts. Scattered moderate convection is
noted ahead of the front from the Bay of Campeche northward to
around 27N between 91W and 96W. Seas where the strong winds exist
are 8 to 11 ft. S and E of the front, gentle winds and slight seas
prevail.=20

For the forecast, the cold front will move slowly SE and reach=20
from SW Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche tonight, then drift
slowly SE of the basin Tue and Tue night. Thunderstorms with=20
locally gusty winds will accompany the front. Strong NE winds and=20
rough seas will continue in the western Gulf behind the front
through tonight, then strong NE winds will develop in the NE=20
basin, as low pressure develops in the Atlantic after the front=20
exits the Gulf of America. Conditions will improve some Fri and=20
Fri night as high pressure from the eastern U.S builds=20
southwestward toward the northern Gulf.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A benign trade wind dominant weather pattern prevails through the
basin, with moderate to fresh E winds through the central and
eastern basin, and gentle NE winds in the west. Moderate seas are
present, except for slight in the NW basin.=20

For the forecast, a trough oriented north of Haiti will meander=20
into mid-week, disrupting the typical pressure gradient through=20
the basin and leading to mainly gentle winds over the western=20
basin, with moderate to fresh winds over the eastern Caribbean. By
Wed night, strong high pressure building south toward the region=20
will replace the trough and winds in the south-central Caribbean=20
will increase to fresh to strong.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on a Gale
Warning that has been issued for portions of the SW Atlantic
starting Tuesday.=20

A broad subtropical ridge covers the region and support moderate
to fresh NE to E winds across the central subtropical waters along
with seas to 7 ft. Over the SW N Atlantic waters, rough seas in
decaying NE to E swell exist E of the Bahamas. A weak trough along
70W is inducing scattered moderate convection N of the Antilles to
24N between 62W and 77W.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, hazardous marine conditions are
expected this week NW of a line from 31N60W to the SE Bahamas, as
very rough seas and gale conditions will impact some areas.
Details can be found in the Special Features section above.

$$
Konarik

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576=20
AXNT20 KNHC 061004
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Apr 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0930 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front will move offshore the SE=20
U.S. coast today, then move slowly SE and reach from 31N72W to=20
South Florida by Tue, then stall from Bermuda to the Florida=20
Straits Wed. Low pressure is forecast to form along the front in=20
the vicinity of the Bahamas on Tue, then accelerate NE along the=20
boundary and out of the basin toward Bermuda by Wed. As the=20
pressure gradient increases behind this low and strong high=20
pressure building into the SE U.S., already strong NE winds N and=20
W of the front will increase further, with gales developing Tue=20
afternoon offshore NE Florida, then spreading east between the=20
Bahamas and Bermuda Tue night into Wed. Very rough seas in excess=20
of 15 kt are likely in the area of gales. With the frontal=20
boundary remaining nearly stationary late this week, conditions=20
will be slow to improve.=20

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National=20
Hurricane Center at website:=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!-NJ9vj3yPJf-eBRzaGLL96V14uJXQnLv8Smzx-8Rrawk4qmrSLKp6I_a39FpMXbjO= xp_TesVzDmSvAwaFlbtJwBjUHI$=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Sierra Leone near 09N13W and continues southwestward to 04N21W.=20
The ITCZ extends from 04N21W to 01N45W. Only isolated convection
exists within about 150 nm of both of these features.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front extends from Apalachicola Bay to just north of
Veracruz, Mexico. Strong to near gale force N winds are N of the
front within 150 nm of the Mexican coast as well as with 180 nm of
the Texas and Louisiana coasts. Scattered moderate convection is
noted ahead of the front from the Bay of Campeche northward to
around 27N between 91W and 96W. Seas where the strong winds exist
are 8 to 11 ft. S and E of the front, gentle winds and slight seas
prevail.=20

For the forecast, the cold front will move slowly SE and reach=20
from SW Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche tonight, then drift
slowly SE of the basin Tue and Tue night. Thunderstorms with=20
locally gusty winds will accompany the front. Strong NE winds and=20
rough seas will continue in the western Gulf behind the front
through tonight, then strong NE winds will develop in the NE=20
basin, as low pressure develops in the Atlantic after the front=20
exits the Gulf of America. Conditions will improve some Fri and=20
Fri night as high pressure from the eastern U.S builds=20
southwestward toward the northern Gulf.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A benign trade wind dominant weather pattern prevails through the
basin, with moderate to fresh E winds through the central and
eastern basin, and gentle NE winds in the west. Moderate seas are
present, except for slight in the NW basin.=20

For the forecast, a trough oriented north of Haiti will meander=20
into mid-week, disrupting the typical pressure gradient through=20
the basin and leading to mainly gentle winds over the western=20
basin, with moderate to fresh winds over the eastern Caribbean. By
Wed night, strong high pressure building south toward the region=20
will replace the trough and winds in the south-central Caribbean=20
will increase to fresh to strong.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on a Gale
Warning that has been issued for portions of the SW Atlantic
starting Tuesday.=20

A broad subtropical ridge covers the region and support moderate
to fresh NE to E winds across the central subtropical waters along
with seas to 7 ft. Over the SW N Atlantic waters, rough seas in
decaying NE to E swell exist E of the Bahamas. A weak trough along
70W is inducing scattered moderate convection N of the Antilles to
24N between 62W and 77W.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, hazardous marine conditions are
expected this week NW of a line from 31N60W to the SE Bahamas, as
very rough seas and gale conditions will impact some areas.
Details can be found in the Special Features section above.

$$
Konarik

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366=20
AXNT20 KNHC 061751
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Apr 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1630 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front stretches southwestward from
off the Carolinas coast across 31N78W to beyond central Florida.
This front will gradually move southeastward and strengthen for
through Wed, then stall from 31N65W to near the northwest Bahamas
Wed evening through Thu night. A strong 1030 mb high pressure
behind the front will cause NE fresh to strong winds currently=20
off northeastern and central Florida to near 70W, to increase to=20
between near-gale to gale-force by Tue morning. Seas under these=20
winds will also build and reach 14 to 17 ft. As the stalled front=20
weakens, winds behind it should decrease to between strong and=20
near-gale by late Wed night. Seas will also steadily subside Thu=20
through Thu night.

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts=20
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!4sp18menQETeyKWCgTUMztSXITVTWoX_Gk8ZdY9SKWLyfrLrrndP1WYCQu1Xvvg8n= h388x62KN4lElI0JarBlG6IiwM$ and https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php__= ;!!DZ3fjg!4sp18menQETeyKWCgTUMztSXITVTWoX_Gk8ZdY9SKWLyfrLrrndP1WYCQu1Xvvg8n= h388x62KN4lElI0JarBeBACcl0$ for more=20
information.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
near Conakry, then reaches westward to 09N19W. Farther south, an=20
ITCZ extends westward from 01N20W to near the Amazon River Delta
area. No significant convection is seen near the monsoon trough.
Widely scattered moderate convection is evident up to 155 nm along
either side of the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends southwestward from just off Tampa,
Florida to a 1013 mb low near 24N94W, then curves southward as a
cold front to beyond Veracruz, Mexico. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are occurring north of the stationary front
across the entier northern Gulf. Scattered showers are found near
and west of the cold across the west-central and southwestern
Gulf, including the western Bay of Campeche. Fresh to strong NW to
NE winds with seas of 7 to 10 ft exist behind the stationary and
cold front. In addition, winds near Tampico and Veracruz, Mexico
are peaking at near gale-force. South and east of the fronts,
gentle NE to E winds with 3 to 6 ft seas prevail.

For the forecast, the stationary front will start moving
southeastward as a cold front and reach from SW Florida to the=20
eastern Bay of Campeche tonight, then drift slowly southeast of=20
the basin Tue and Tue night. Scattered thunderstorms with locally=20
gusty winds will accompany the front. Strong NE winds and rough=20
seas will continue in the western Gulf behind the front tonight,=20
then strong NE winds will develop in the northeastern basin, as=20
low pressure develops in the Atlantic after the front exits the=20
Gulf of America. Conditions will improve on as high pressure from=20
the eastern U.S builds southwestward toward the northern Gulf.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A fair and modest trade-wind regime continues across the entire
Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh E to SE trades with seas of 5 to
7 ft are present at the central and eastern basin. Gentle to
moderate NNE to ENE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail for the rest
of the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure to=20
the north and low pressure north of Colombia will maintain=20
moderate to fresh winds at the central and eastern through Wed.=20
By Wed night, stronger high pressure building south toward the=20
region will increase winds to between fresh and strong mainly=20
east of 72W.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section at the very beginning about an=20
upcoming Gale Warning. An upper-level trough extends southwestward
from northeast of Bermuda across 31N61W to the central Bahamas.=20

A cold front stretches southwestward from off the Carolinas coast
across 31N78W to beyond central Florida. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are noted behind this front. Coupling with
convergent southeasterly trade winds, scattered moderate
convection is found from 21N to 25N between 60W and 70W. In the
east Atlantic, another cold front reaches southwestward from
northwest of Medeira across 30N30W to near 29N43W. Scattered
showers are seen up to 50 nm along either side of the front. Refer
to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection in=20
the Atlantic Basin.

Fresh to strong NW to NE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are seen
off Georgia and northeastern Florida behind the first cold front.
Fresh NE to ENE winds with 10 to 14 ft seas in large N swell=20
exist behind the second cold front in the east Atlantic. Gentle
winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft are seen north of 29N between 43W and
the first cold front. For the remainder of the Atlantic west of
35W, moderate to fresh NE to E trades and 6 to 8 ft seas in
moderate to large N to NE swell exist.

For the forecast west of 55W, the first cold front will move=20
slowly southeastward and reach from 31N72W to South Florida by=20
Tue, then stall from Bermuda to the Florida Straits Wed. Low=20
pressure is forecast to form along the front in the vicinity of=20
the Bahamas on Tue, then accelerate northeastward along the=20
boundary and out of the basin toward Bermuda by Wed. As the=20
pressure gradient increases behind this low and strong high=20
pressure building into the southeastern U.S., already strong NE=20
winds north and west of the front will increase further, with=20
gales developing Tue afternoon offshore NE Florida, then spreading
east between the Bahamas and Bermuda Tue night into Wed. Very=20
rough seas in excess of 15 kt are likely in the area of gales.=20
With the frontal boundary remaining nearly stationary late this=20
week, conditions will be slow to improve.

$$

Chan

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978=20
AXNT20 KNHC 062109
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
2000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front stretches from well offshore
the United States Mid-Atlantic region through 31N76W to near Cape
Canaveral, Florida. The cold front will move slowly SE and reach
from just N of Bermuda to near Palm Beach, FL by Wed morning. Low
pressure is forecast to form along the front in the vicinity of=20
the NW Bahamas on Tue, then move NE along the boundary and out of=20
the basin toward Bermuda by Thu. Strong high pressure building N=20
of the front will produce strong to near gale- force NE winds by=20
early Tue, then increase to gale-force midday Tue through at least
Wed night as the low pressure moves along the front. Very rough=20
seas in excess of 15 ft are likely in the area of gales, and will=20
linger N of the front through late Thu. The front is expected to=20
stall from near Bermuda to the Straits of Florida by Thu night and
gradually weaken into the weekend, with marine conditions to=20
slowly improve.=20

Gulf of America Gale Warning: A stationary front extends from
N-central Florida along 28.5N to 1013 mb low pres centered near=20
25N93W, then continues southward as a cold front to the central=20
Bay of Campeche to near Coatzacoalcos. Strong to near gale-force=20
winds will prevail N of the front into tonight, with gale- force=20
winds near Veracruz through this evening. Rough to very rough seas
will accompany these winds.

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts=20
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!99VqNoBOIRZrFg406lN0TuAqo_Ixc40ssMOxHH1lER-LMbsXJG17QvC567QHgHIxu= V3duAfU99yj45ClDzbf6nKeY80$ and https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php__= ;!!DZ3fjg!99VqNoBOIRZrFg406lN0TuAqo_Ixc40ssMOxHH1lER-LMbsXJG17QvC567QHgHIxu= V3duAfU99yj45ClDzbfovc04mM$ for more information
on both Gale Warnings.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
near Conakry, then reaches westward to 09N19W. Farther south, the
ITCZ extends west-southwestward from 02N15W to near the Amazon=20
River Delta area. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N
to 06N between 07N and 13W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features above for details on a Gale
Warning in the SW Gulf of Mexico near Veracruz, Mexico.

Otherwise, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are=20
occurring from near and N of the stationary front across the=20
waters N of 24N and E of 92W per the latest infrared satellite=20
imagery. Scattered showers are found near and west of the cold=20
across the W-central and SW Gulf, including the western Bay of=20
Campeche. Fresh to strong NW to NE winds with seas of 6-12 ft=20
exist behind the stationary and cold front. In addition, winds=20
near Veracruz, Mexico are peaking at gale-force. S and E of the=20
fronts, gentle to locally moderate NE to E winds with 2-5 ft seas=20
prevail.

For the forecast, strong to near gale-force winds will prevail=20
N of the front into tonight, with gale-force winds near Veracruz=20
through this evening. The front will reach from near Sarasota,=20
Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche by midday Tue, then move S=20
and across the Straits of Florida Wed through Thu, where it will=20
dissipate. The low pressure will shift E-NE along the front Tue=20
through Wed night to produce scattered thunderstorms with locally=20
gusty winds, and also produce strong NE winds across much of the=20
NE basin. Conditions will begin to improve Fri through Sat as high
pressure over the NE U.S builds southwestward across the northern
Gulf.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A fair and modest trade-wind regime continues across the entire
Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh E-SE trades with seas of 5-7 ft=20
are present in the central and eastern basin, locally to 8 ft near
Atlantic Passages. Gentle to moderate NNE to ENE winds and 2-5 ft
seas prevail for the rest of the Caribbean Sea. No significant
convection is noted over the offshore waters.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure=20
across the N-central Atlantic and low pressure over South America
will continue to support fresh to locally strong E to SE winds=20
over the eastern half of the basin, S of 16N, through early Thu,=20
and gentle to moderate NE winds across the western portion. By=20
Thu, strong high pressure across the western Atlantic will build=20
southward toward the region to bring a return to more typical=20
fresh to strong winds across south-central portions offshore of=20
Colombia and NW Venezuela.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features above for details on a
developing Gale Warning in the SW N Atlantic.

A cold front is moving slowly SE across the northwestern zones=20
this afternoon, extending from 31N76W to near Daytona Beach, FL,=20
and Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted behind
this front. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas of 6-8 ft
are noted behind the front. Coupling with convergent=20
southeasterly trade winds, scattered moderate convection is found=20
from 20N to 25N between 58W and 69W. In the east Atlantic,=20
another cold front reaches southwestward from northwest of Madeira
across 31N23W to near 28N42W. Scattered showers are seen up to 650
nm along either side of the front. Fresh to strong N-NE winds and
8-14 ft seas in northerly swells are found behind the front.=20
Mainly moderate to fresh trades dominate the remainder of the=20
waters S of 29N and E of 68W, with gentle to moderate return flow=20
W of 68W and E of the front off the United States. Seas are 5-7 ft
in mainly N-NE swells S of the eastern Atlantic front and E of=20
35W, and 6-9 ft elsewhere/westward.

For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front in the SW N Atlantic=20
will move slowly SE and reach from just N of Bermuda to near Palm=20
Beach, FL by Wed morning. Low pressure is forecast to form along=20
the front in the vicinity of the NW Bahamas on Tue, then move NE=20
along the boundary and out of the basin toward Bermuda by Thu.=20
Strong high pressure building N of the front will produce strong=20
to near gale- force NE winds by early Tue, then increase to gale-=20
force midday Tue through at least Wed night as the low pressure=20
moves along the front. Very rough seas in excess of 15 ft are=20
likely in the area of gales, and will linger N of the front=20
through late Thu. The front is expected to stall from near Bermuda
to the Straits of Florida by Thu night and gradually weaken into=20
the weekend, with marine conditions to slowly improve.=20

$$
Lewitsky

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240=20
AXNT20 KNHC 070600
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0550 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front has stalled from 31N75W to=20
near Melbourne, Florida. This front will meander and drift slowly=20
SE through late week, eventually reaching from just N of Bermuda=20
to near Palm Beach, FL by Wed morning. Low pressure is forecast to
form along the front in the vicinity of the NW Bahamas on Tue,=20
then move NE along the boundary and out of the basin toward=20
Bermuda by Thu. Strong high pressure building N of the front will=20
produce strong to near gale-force NE winds by early Tue, then=20
increase to gale-force midday Tue through at least Wed night as=20
the low pressure moves along the front. Very rough seas in excess=20
of 15 ft are likely in the area of gales, and will linger N of the
front through late Thu. The front is expected to stall from near=20
Bermuda to the Straits of Florida by Thu night and gradually=20
weaken into the weekend, with marine conditions slowly improving.

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts=20
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!5caXXLA_G3Vu90X5gOLv9ADp4xXdgZ_MITG_aiedSfL7m30dXLSvHGGbyLZrzDvMB= L3EttCV5eFJiDpMp-n-yk4h0Fg$ and https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php__= ;!!DZ3fjg!5caXXLA_G3Vu90X5gOLv9ADp4xXdgZ_MITG_aiedSfL7m30dXLSvHGGbyLZrzDvMB= L3EttCV5eFJiDpMp-n-2nFgS0o$ for more information
on both Gale Warnings.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
near 09N13W, then reaches SW to 00N27W. The ITCZ extends west-
southwestward from 00N27W to 00N42W. Scattered moderate=20
convection is noted from 01N to 05N between 08W and 28W, and from
02S to 04N between 29W and 51W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends from the Tampa Bay area SW to a 1013=20
mb low pressure centered near 24N91W. A cold front extends=20
southward from the low into the eastern Bay of Campeche. Recent
scatterometer data show strong to near gale force winds across the
E Mexico offshores where rough seas are in the 8 to 10 ft range.
Across the NE Gulf offshore waters, the scatterometer show fresh=20
to strong NE winds and moderate to fresh NE winds over the NW
offshores. Seas are 7 to 8 ft in the NE basin with the strongest
winds N of the front. Aside from the winds and the seas, scattered
heavy showers are ongoing over the eastern Gulf waters E of 87W.=20

For the forecast, strong to near gale force winds will prevail W=20
of the cold front through tonight, with fresh to strong NE winds=20
N of the stationary front prevailing in the NE Gulf through Thu as
the low pressure tracks along the boundary. Ahead of the low,=20
scattered thunderstorms will produce locally gusty winds.=20
Conditions will begin to improve somewhat Fri as high pressure=20
over the NE U.S builds southwestward across the northern Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A frontal boundary moving across the Gulf of America and NE
Florida offshores is allowing for a relaxed pressure gradient over
the NW and SW Caribbean where light to gentle variable winds are
ongoing along with slight seas. Central Atlantic high pressure,
however, extends a ridge axis southwestward to the NE Caribbean,
thus supporting moderate to fresh trades over the central and
eastern basin along with moderate seas to 7 ft.=20

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure=20
across the north-central Atlantic and low pressure over South=20
America will continue to support fresh to locally strong E to SE=20
winds over the eastern half of the basin through early Thu and=20
gentle to moderate NE winds across the western portion. By Thu,=20
strong high pressure across the western Atlantic will build=20
southward toward the region to bring a return to more typical=20
fresh to strong winds across south-central portions offshore of=20
Colombia and NW Venezuela.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features above for details on a
developing Gale Warning in the SW N Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from 31N75W to near Melbourne,=20
Florida. Recent scatterometer data show fresh to strong NE winds
following the front and affecting the NE Florida offshores where
satellite imagery depict scattered heavy showers. Over the far
eastern Atlantic, a cold front extends from 31N20W SW to 27N30W to
27N42W. A pre-frontal trough extends across the Canary Islands,
but no significant convection is associated with either feature.
The remainder basin is under the influence of a 1033 mb high
centered SW of the Azores near 36N39W. The pressure gradient
between the cold front and the ridge supports moderate to fresh NE
to E winds across the central and eastern subtropical waters where
long period NW swell is ongoing with 8 to 15 ft seas.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, the front will meander and drift=20
slowly SE through late week, eventually reaching a line from=20
Bermuda to the Florida Straits Thu. During this time, weak low=20
pressure will move NE along the boundary from the Bahamas to=20
Bermuda, tightening the pressure gradient between the front and=20
building high pressure from the SE United States. This will induce
a broad area of northeasterly gales starting offshore NE Florida=20
Tue and spreading eastward to 72W by Wed night, before diminishing
slightly as the low pressure moves N of the area. Very rough seas
in excess of 15 ft will build in the area of gales, and will=20
linger N of the front through late Thu. The front may remain=20
stalled into the the weekend, so marine conditions could be slow=20
to improve.=20

$$
Ramos

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804=20
AXNT20 KNHC 071001
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0930 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: A stationary front extends from 31N75W to=20
near Melbourne, Florida. This front will drift SE today, then=20
stall through much of the week along a Bermuda to Florida Straits=20
line. Low pressure will track NE along the boundary from the=20
Florida Peninsula tonight to N of the area near Bermuda Thu.=20
Thunderstorms with gusty winds will accompany this low pressure.=20
As strong high pressure builds toward the region from the SE U.S.,
the pressure gradient between it and the cold front will be quite
tight, and NE gales will develop offshore NE Florida this=20
morning. These gales will spread E to about 73W, mainly N of 28N,=20
through Wed night, before gradually ending as the low pressure=20
moves N of the area. Very rough seas of 16 to 19 ft will be=20
generated by these gales,

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts=20
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!98iypmmS7axVfhJkEa5-Ucx0zuVFXe1v7YYMZ4q_7tv8gHKBbmAvO_jWrWT8edScM= YHo-i3k8tM8YvcYXR-T7tE7YdM$ and https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php__= ;!!DZ3fjg!98iypmmS7axVfhJkEa5-Ucx0zuVFXe1v7YYMZ4q_7tv8gHKBbmAvO_jWrWT8edScM= YHo-i3k8tM8YvcYXR-T4RRhDoI$ for more information
on the Gale Warning.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the African coast at
08N12W, then reaches SW to 01N24W. The ITCZ extends from 00N26W=20
to 00N45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
noted S of 04N along both of these features.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A nearly-stationary front extends from just south of Tampa Bay to
a 1013 mb low pressure centered near 24N91W. A cold front then
extends from the low to the western coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Scattered moderate convection is along and south of the
front in the SE Gulf. N of the boundary in the NE Gulf, fresh to
locally strong NE to E winds have developed, and rough seas are
building. W of the cold front as well as in the NW Gulf, fresh to
locally strong N winds prevail, with subsiding rough seas.

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds and rough seas in the SW=20
Gulf will decrease today, but strong NE winds and rough seas in=20
the NE Gulf will increase as the low tracks east along the slow-
moving front and across Florida into tonight. Thunderstorms with=20
locally gusty can be expected across the eastern Gulf ahead of the
low. The front will then stall into late week over the far SE=20
basin and only gradually dissipate, leaving a tight pressure=20
gradient between it and building high pressure from the SE U.S.=20
This will maintain the strong winds and rough seas over the NE=20
basin much of the week, with near gale conditions possible Wed and
Thu offshore Florida. Conditions will begin to improve somewhat=20
Fri as the high pressure builds southwestward across the northern=20
Gulf.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure in the central
Atlantic and lower pressure in South America is inducing fresh
trades over the central and eastern basin, with seas of 5 to 7 ft.
In the western Caribbean, the typical trade winds have been
disrupted by a cold front to the north in the Gulf of America,
causing winds to be light and seas to be slight. No significant
convection is occurring in the basin early this morning.=20

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trades will prevail=20
over the central and eastern basin into Thu, with gentle to=20
moderate winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build=20
southward from the western Atlantic, leading to increasing winds,=20
especially in the south-central basin.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features above for information on a=20
Gale Warning in the SW N Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from 31N75W to near Melbourne,=20
Florida. Strong to near gale force NE to E winds are N of this
boundary, with building rough seas. Scattered moderate convection
is south of this boundary, within 120 nm of the Florida coast. A
surface tough extends north from Puerto Rico along 68W to 24N. It
is inducing scattered moderate convection along and W of it to
70W, and is also producing strong southerly winds just E of its
axis. In the eastern Atlantic, a weakening cold front extends from
just NW of the Canary Islands, to 26N30W to 28N42N. Fresh to
locally strong NE winds follow this front, with building rough to
very rough seas. The rest of the basin, E of 65W, has mainly fresh
trades and moderate seas, although NE swell has propagated ahead
of the eastern Atlantic cold front, and rough seas now cover
waters N of 20N and E of 50W.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extends from=20
31N75W to near Melbourne, Florida. This front will drift SE today,
then stall through much of the week along a Bermuda to Florida=20
Straits line. Low pressure will track NE along the boundary from=20
the Florida Peninsula tonight to N of the area near Bermuda Thu.=20 Thunderstorms with gusty winds will accompany this low pressure.=20
As strong high pressure builds toward the region from the SE U.S.,
the pressure gradient between it and the cold front will be quite
tight, and NE gales will develop offshore NE Florida this=20
morning. These gales will spread E to about 73W, mainly N of 28N,=20
through Wed night, before gradually ending as the low pressure=20
moves N of the area. Very rough seas of 16 to 19 ft will be=20
generated by these gales, and rough seas in N swell will impact a=20
much larger area through the end of the week. The front is likely=20
to linger over the basin into the weekend, so marine conditions=20
could be slow to improve.

$$
Konarik

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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469=20
AXNT20 KNHC 071819
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1630 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning:=20
A stationary front extends southwestward from north of Bermuda
across 31N74W and central Florida to a low at the east-central
Gulf of America. Near-gale to gale-force NE to ENE winds are=20
found behind this front off northeastern Florida to near 78W. Seas
near these winds range from 10 to 12 ft. As the low starts=20
tracking east-northeastward tonight through Wednesday, it will=20
cause the front to sink southward and spread near-gale to strong=20
gale-force winds to off central Florida, and also eastward to near
70W. Seas are expected to peak at 14 to 18 ft under the strongest
winds. As the low begins to weaken Wed evening, both winds and=20
seas should gradually subside Wed night through Thu night.

East Atlantic Large Swell:
Large N swell behind a cold front is creating seas at 11 to 13 ft
north of 25N and east of 40W. These very rough seas are going to
shift southward through Thursday morning to as far south as 20N.=20
By late Thursday afternoon, the swell should decline enough to=20
allow seas to drop below 12 ft.=20

For both events above, please read the latest High Seas and=20
Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center=20
at website:=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!8B7m9mS-LUlYSqHp_rWr-9T3MndH1KW6IUhur42JGaXReQV1J9MmRnSwUv3i0gJvr= AKqWwyP8zzUrUv6BH5Ubwi040g$ and https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php__= ;!!DZ3fjg!8B7m9mS-LUlYSqHp_rWr-9T3MndH1KW6IUhur42JGaXReQV1J9MmRnSwUv3i0gJvr= AKqWwyP8zzUrUv6BH5U6l0JQqk$ for more information
on the Gale Warning.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough stays mostly over Africa. To the south, an ITCZ=20
extends west-southwestward from east of southern Liberia at 03N14W
across 00N30W to near the Amazon Delta area. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted up to 140 m along either side
of the ITCZ east of 22W. Widely scattered moderate convection is
found up to 50 nm along either side of the rest of the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends southwestward from near Sarasota,
Florida through a 1010 mb low near 26N84W to a 1012 mb low at
23N90W, then continues southward as a cold front to over the
Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are seen up to 120 nm north and 60 nm south of the stationary
front. A surface trough reaches northwestward from the 1012 mb low
to southeast of Corpus Christi. Patchy showers are occurring near
the cold front and surface trough, and over the western Bay of
Campeche. Fresh to strong NE to ENE winds and 7 to 9 ft seas exist
north of the stationary front at the northeastern Gulf, including
the Florida Big Bend area. Moderate to fresh with locally strong
ENE winds and 6 to 8 ft seas are present at the north-central=20
Gulf. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft exist
across the southwestern Gulf, including the Bay of Campeche.
Gentle to moderate NW to N winds and seas at 2 to 5 ft prevail=20
for the rest of the Gulf.

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds and rough seas in the
southwestern Gulf will decrease today, but strong NE winds and=20
rough seas in the northeastern Gulf will increase as the low=20
tracks east along the slow-moving front and across Florida into=20
tonight. Thunderstorms with locally gusty winds can be expected=20
across the eastern Gulf ahead of the low. The front will then=20
stall into late week over the far southeastern Gulf and gradually
dissipate, leaving a tight pressure gradient between it and=20
building high pressure from the southeastern U.S. This will=20
maintain the strong winds and rough seas over the northeastern=20
Gulf much of the week, with near gale conditions possible Wed and
Thu offshore Florida. Conditions will begin to improve somewhat=20
Fri as the high pressure builds southwestward across the northern=20
Gulf.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The southwestern end of the Atlantic Ridge is supporting moderate
to fresh NE to E trades and seas of 6 to 8 ft across the eastern
and south-central basin. Gentle to moderate NNE to ESE winds and 3
to 5 ft seas exist at the southwestern basin. Light to gentle
winds and seas at 1 to 3 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trades will prevail=20
over the central and eastern basin into Thu, with gentle to=20
moderate winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build=20
southward from the western Atlantic, leading to increasing winds,=20
especially in the south-central basin.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features Section at the very beginning
about a Gale Warning.

A stationary front extends southwestward from north of Bermuda=20
across 31N74W and central Florida. Scattered heavy showers and
strong isolated thunderstorms are noted near and south of the
front to near 26N, including the northwest Bahamas. Farther
southeast, a surface trough is triggering scattered showers from
25N to 28N between 65W and 71W. A cold front curves west-
southwestward from near the Canary Islands to 25N43W. Patchy
showers are evident up to 50 nm along either side of the front.
Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection
in the Atlantic Basin.

Outside the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong NE winds and seas
at 8 to 10 ft are evident behind the aforementioned stationary
front. Southeast of this front to near the Turks and Caicos
Islands and 70W, gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 5 to 7 ft
seas exist. For the rest of the western Atlantic north of 00Z
between 50W and 70W/Lesser Antilles, gentle to moderate with=20
locally fresh E to SE winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft in mixed
moderate to large swells dominate. For the remainder of the
Atlantic west of 35W outside the significant N swell mentioned in
the Special Features section, moderate to fresh NE to E winds and
7 to 11 ft seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will drift
southeastward tonight, then stall through much of the week along=20
a Bermuda to Florida Straits line. Low pressure will track east-
northeastward along the boundary from the Florida Peninsula=20
tonight to north of the area near Bermuda Thu. Thunderstorms with
gusty winds will accompany this low pressure. The pressure=20
gradient between strong high pressure and the front is supporting=20
NE gales offshore northeastern Florida. These gales will spread
east to about 73W, mainly north of 28N, through Wed night, before
gradually ending as the low pressure moves north of the area.=20
Very rough seas of 16 to 18 ft will be generated by these gales,=20
and rough seas in N swell will impact a much larger area through=20
the end of the week. The front is likely to linger over the basin=20
into the weekend, so marine conditions could be slow to improve.

$$

Chan

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581=20
AXNT20 KNHC 071819
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1630 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning:=20
A stationary front extends southwestward from north of Bermuda
across 31N74W and central Florida to a low at the east-central
Gulf of America. Near-gale to gale-force NE to ENE winds are=20
found behind this front off northeastern Florida to near 78W. Seas
near these winds range from 10 to 12 ft. As the low starts=20
tracking east-northeastward tonight through Wednesday, it will=20
cause the front to sink southward and spread near-gale to strong=20
gale-force winds to off central Florida, and also eastward to near
70W. Seas are expected to peak at 14 to 18 ft under the strongest
winds. As the low begins to weaken Wed evening, both winds and=20
seas should gradually subside Wed night through Thu night.

East Atlantic Large Swell:
Large N swell behind a cold front is creating seas at 11 to 13 ft
north of 25N and east of 40W. These very rough seas are going to
shift southward through Thursday morning to as far south as 20N.=20
By late Thursday afternoon, the swell should decline enough to=20
allow seas to drop below 12 ft.=20

For both events above, please read the latest High Seas and=20
Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center=20
at website:=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!5uTxciIusw9AFns20L2fJvLGNKWuloSTnQyA2DkoaJyw0ebGmv2HprN5rWsToMjE6= emUh0TjK_bXlbNwfQf5jMI4V4U$ and https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php__= ;!!DZ3fjg!5uTxciIusw9AFns20L2fJvLGNKWuloSTnQyA2DkoaJyw0ebGmv2HprN5rWsToMjE6= emUh0TjK_bXlbNwfQf5BQazSZQ$ for more information
on the Gale Warning.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough stays mostly over Africa. To the south, an ITCZ=20
extends west-southwestward from east of southern Liberia at 03N14W
across 00N30W to near the Amazon Delta area. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted up to 140 m along either side
of the ITCZ east of 22W. Widely scattered moderate convection is
found up to 50 nm along either side of the rest of the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends southwestward from near Sarasota,
Florida through a 1010 mb low near 26N84W to a 1012 mb low at
23N90W, then continues southward as a cold front to over the
Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are seen up to 120 nm north and 60 nm south of the stationary
front. A surface trough reaches northwestward from the 1012 mb low
to southeast of Corpus Christi. Patchy showers are occurring near
the cold front and surface trough, and over the western Bay of
Campeche. Fresh to strong NE to ENE winds and 7 to 9 ft seas exist
north of the stationary front at the northeastern Gulf, including
the Florida Big Bend area. Moderate to fresh with locally strong
ENE winds and 6 to 8 ft seas are present at the north-central=20
Gulf. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft exist
across the southwestern Gulf, including the Bay of Campeche.
Gentle to moderate NW to N winds and seas at 2 to 5 ft prevail=20
for the rest of the Gulf.

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds and rough seas in the
southwestern Gulf will decrease today, but strong NE winds and=20
rough seas in the northeastern Gulf will increase as the low=20
tracks east along the slow-moving front and across Florida into=20
tonight. Thunderstorms with locally gusty winds can be expected=20
across the eastern Gulf ahead of the low. The front will then=20
stall into late week over the far southeastern Gulf and gradually
dissipate, leaving a tight pressure gradient between it and=20
building high pressure from the southeastern U.S. This will=20
maintain the strong winds and rough seas over the northeastern=20
Gulf much of the week, with near gale conditions possible Wed and
Thu offshore Florida. Conditions will begin to improve somewhat=20
Fri as the high pressure builds southwestward across the northern=20
Gulf.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The southwestern end of the Atlantic Ridge is supporting moderate
to fresh NE to E trades and seas of 6 to 8 ft across the eastern
and south-central basin. Gentle to moderate NNE to ESE winds and 3
to 5 ft seas exist at the southwestern basin. Light to gentle
winds and seas at 1 to 3 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trades will prevail=20
over the central and eastern basin into Thu, with gentle to=20
moderate winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build=20
southward from the western Atlantic, leading to increasing winds,=20
especially in the south-central basin.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features Section at the very beginning
about a Gale Warning.

A stationary front extends southwestward from north of Bermuda=20
across 31N74W and central Florida. Scattered heavy showers and
strong isolated thunderstorms are noted near and south of the
front to near 26N, including the northwest Bahamas. Farther
southeast, a surface trough is triggering scattered showers from
25N to 28N between 65W and 71W. A cold front curves west-
southwestward from near the Canary Islands to 25N43W. Patchy
showers are evident up to 50 nm along either side of the front.
Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection
in the Atlantic Basin.

Outside the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong NE winds and seas
at 8 to 10 ft are evident behind the aforementioned stationary
front. Southeast of this front to near the Turks and Caicos
Islands and 70W, gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 5 to 7 ft
seas exist. For the rest of the western Atlantic north of 00Z
between 50W and 70W/Lesser Antilles, gentle to moderate with=20
locally fresh E to SE winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft in mixed
moderate to large swells dominate. For the remainder of the
Atlantic west of 35W outside the significant N swell mentioned in
the Special Features section, moderate to fresh NE to E winds and
7 to 11 ft seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will drift
southeastward tonight, then stall through much of the week along=20
a Bermuda to Florida Straits line. Low pressure will track east-
northeastward along the boundary from the Florida Peninsula=20
tonight to north of the area near Bermuda Thu. Thunderstorms with
gusty winds will accompany this low pressure. The pressure=20
gradient between strong high pressure and the front is supporting=20
NE gales offshore northeastern Florida. These gales will spread
east to about 73W, mainly north of 28N, through Wed night, before
gradually ending as the low pressure moves north of the area.=20
Very rough seas of 16 to 18 ft will be generated by these gales,=20
and rough seas in N swell will impact a much larger area through=20
the end of the week. The front is likely to linger over the basin=20
into the weekend, so marine conditions could be slow to improve.

$$

Chan

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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213=20
AXNT20 KNHC 072330
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Apr 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A frontal boundary extends from
31N70W to SE Florida. This front will drift southeastward tonight,
then stall from near Bermuda to the Straits of Florida through=20
the rest of the week. A low pressure will track NE along the=20
boundary from SE Florida to near Bermuda on Thu. The pressure=20
gradient between strong high pressure to the north of the=20
forecast area and the front is currently supporting NE gales=20
offshore NE Florida. These gale force winds will spread eastward=20
to about 72W, mainly north of 28N, through Wed night, before=20
gradually ending as the low pressure moves north of the area.=20
Very rough seas of 15 to 20 ft will be generated by these gales,=20
and rough seas in N swell will impact a much larger area through=20
the end of the week. The front is likely to linger over the basin
into the weekend, so marine conditions could be slow to improve.

East Atlantic Large Swell: Long period NW to N swell behind a=20
cold front that extends across the eastern and central Atlantic=20
is creating seas of 11 to 13 ft north of 25N and east of 40W.=20
This swell event will continue to propagate southward with seas=20
8 ft or greater reaching as far south as 10N on Wed. By late=20
Thursday afternoon, the swell should decline enough to allow seas
to drop below 12 ft.=20

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!5RlzaRNyGDGYdVDy3EkGbBsX3K0qmEWDkhGho_VxAT0w47xzNhU_Te4scwkKimKOi= dnrSuYhKkOG4mWjzCehcNH9eKE$ for more details.

Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for
the forecast zone of Madeira. The forecast calls for NW gales to
40 kt, with severe gusts from 08/12 UTC to 09/00 UTC at least.
Very rough seas in NW swell are also reaching the islands.=20

For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast=20
listed on their website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int_= _;!!DZ3fjg!5RlzaRNyGDGYdVDy3EkGbBsX3K0qmEWDkhGho_VxAT0w47xzNhU_Te4scwkKimKO= idnrSuYhKkOG4mWjzCeh5bZ5Qoc$=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough stays mostly over Africa. The ITCZ extends=20 west-southwestward from 03N12W to 00N30W to NE Brazil near 01S50W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is S of 05N=20
between 10W and 30W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends southwestward from SW Florida to a weak
1012 mb low pressure located just N of the Yucatan Peninsula.=20
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are over the SE=20
Gulf. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are N of the front=20
and E of 90W. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are=20
elsewhere N and W of the front. Light to gentle SW to W winds=20
and slight to moderate seas are noted ahead of the front, including
the Straits of Florida.=20

For the forecast, strong to locally near gale NE winds, rough seas,
and scattered showers will continue in the E Gulf through Thu, as
the frontal boundary stalls near the Florida Straits. Conditions
will gradually improve Fri into the weekend as high pressure builds southwestward across the northern Gulf.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The Atlantic ridge extends SW reaching the NE Caribbean. This
system is supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds and seas of
5 to 7 ft across the eastern part of the basin. Gentle to moderate
NE to E winds and 3 to 5 ft seas exist across the central Caribbean
while light and variable winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft dominate the=20
NW Caribbean. Scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms are
seen over the Greater Antilles. Low-topped trade wind showers are
noted elsewhere.=20

For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the=20
east and central Caribbean through Thu, with gentle to moderate=20
winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build southward
from the western Atlantic, with a tightening pressure gradient=20
leading to increasing winds, especially in the south-central
portion of the basin.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the western Atlantic. Please refer
to the Special Features section for more details.=20

A frontal boundary extends from 31N75W to SE Florida. Scattered=20
to numerous showers and thunderstorms are near the front affecting
mainly the waters from 24N to 30N W of 65W. Strong to gale force
winds are NW of the front while moderate to fresh E to SE winds=20
are ahead of the front based on scatterometer data. Farther E, a
cold front crosses just E of the Canary Islands and continues=20
westward to near 24N30W where it begins to dissipate. Mainly low=20
clouds, with possible showers, are associated with this front.=20
The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is under the influence
of a ridge, anchored by a 1037 mb high pressure located SW of=20
the Azores near 36N34W. This system is supporting fresh to strong
winds E of 60W, including the tropical Atlantic. Rough to very=20
rough seas in NW to N swell are observed per altimeter data N of=20
16N and E of 50W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas are observed.

For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features
section for all the information related to the above mentioned
frontal boundary.=20

$$
GR

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273=20
AXNT20 KNHC 072330
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Apr 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A frontal boundary extends from
31N70W to SE Florida. This front will drift southeastward tonight,
then stall from near Bermuda to the Straits of Florida through=20
the rest of the week. A low pressure will track NE along the=20
boundary from SE Florida to near Bermuda on Thu. The pressure=20
gradient between strong high pressure to the north of the=20
forecast area and the front is currently supporting NE gales=20
offshore NE Florida. These gale force winds will spread eastward=20
to about 72W, mainly north of 28N, through Wed night, before=20
gradually ending as the low pressure moves north of the area.=20
Very rough seas of 15 to 20 ft will be generated by these gales,=20
and rough seas in N swell will impact a much larger area through=20
the end of the week. The front is likely to linger over the basin
into the weekend, so marine conditions could be slow to improve.

East Atlantic Large Swell: Long period NW to N swell behind a=20
cold front that extends across the eastern and central Atlantic=20
is creating seas of 11 to 13 ft north of 25N and east of 40W.=20
This swell event will continue to propagate southward with seas=20
8 ft or greater reaching as far south as 10N on Wed. By late=20
Thursday afternoon, the swell should decline enough to allow seas
to drop below 12 ft.=20

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!5JOPcRFzPAFHZeBezCjxLU8uzLzriJ1OVOXwoOEFtgy2V7v-qDGy1Si4vd1-OCGkO= 3WjKcNpMhSGZSg8upesYHeYK0s$ for more details.

Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for
the forecast zone of Madeira. The forecast calls for NW gales to
40 kt, with severe gusts from 08/12 UTC to 09/00 UTC at least.
Very rough seas in NW swell are also reaching the islands.=20

For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast=20
listed on their website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int_= _;!!DZ3fjg!5JOPcRFzPAFHZeBezCjxLU8uzLzriJ1OVOXwoOEFtgy2V7v-qDGy1Si4vd1-OCGk= O3WjKcNpMhSGZSg8upes9Qo_J1I$=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough stays mostly over Africa. The ITCZ extends=20 west-southwestward from 03N12W to 00N30W to NE Brazil near 01S50W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is S of 05N=20
between 10W and 30W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends southwestward from SW Florida to a weak
1012 mb low pressure located just N of the Yucatan Peninsula.=20
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are over the SE=20
Gulf. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are N of the front=20
and E of 90W. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are=20
elsewhere N and W of the front. Light to gentle SW to W winds=20
and slight to moderate seas are noted ahead of the front, including
the Straits of Florida.=20

For the forecast, strong to locally near gale NE winds, rough seas,
and scattered showers will continue in the E Gulf through Thu, as
the frontal boundary stalls near the Florida Straits. Conditions
will gradually improve Fri into the weekend as high pressure builds southwestward across the northern Gulf.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The Atlantic ridge extends SW reaching the NE Caribbean. This
system is supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds and seas of
5 to 7 ft across the eastern part of the basin. Gentle to moderate
NE to E winds and 3 to 5 ft seas exist across the central Caribbean
while light and variable winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft dominate the=20
NW Caribbean. Scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms are
seen over the Greater Antilles. Low-topped trade wind showers are
noted elsewhere.=20

For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the=20
east and central Caribbean through Thu, with gentle to moderate=20
winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build southward
from the western Atlantic, with a tightening pressure gradient=20
leading to increasing winds, especially in the south-central
portion of the basin.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the western Atlantic. Please refer
to the Special Features section for more details.=20

A frontal boundary extends from 31N75W to SE Florida. Scattered=20
to numerous showers and thunderstorms are near the front affecting
mainly the waters from 24N to 30N W of 65W. Strong to gale force
winds are NW of the front while moderate to fresh E to SE winds=20
are ahead of the front based on scatterometer data. Farther E, a
cold front crosses just E of the Canary Islands and continues=20
westward to near 24N30W where it begins to dissipate. Mainly low=20
clouds, with possible showers, are associated with this front.=20
The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is under the influence
of a ridge, anchored by a 1037 mb high pressure located SW of=20
the Azores near 36N34W. This system is supporting fresh to strong
winds E of 60W, including the tropical Atlantic. Rough to very=20
rough seas in NW to N swell are observed per altimeter data N of=20
16N and E of 50W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas are observed.

For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features
section for all the information related to the above mentioned
frontal boundary.=20

$$
GR

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918=20
AXNT20 KNHC 080616
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Apr 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0550 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A stationary front extends from
31N72W SW to a 1010 mb low near 29N74W then transitions to a cold
front that moves across SE Florida near 25N80W. The low pressure=20
will track slowly NE, lifting N of the area near Bermuda Thu,=20
while the front drifts E, extending SW from near Bermuda to=20
western Cuba later Thu into Fri. Thunderstorms with gusty winds=20
will impact waters along and east of the track of the low=20
pressure. The pressure gradient between strong high pressure to=20
the north of our waters and the front is supporting NE gales=20
offshore NE Florida. These gales will spread eastward to about=20
72W, mainly north of 28N, through Wed night, before gradually=20
ending as the low pressure moves north of the area. Very rough=20
seas of 15 to 20 ft will be generated by these gales, and rough=20
seas in N swell will impact a much larger area through the end of=20
the week. The front is likely to linger over the basin into the=20
weekend, so marine conditions could be slow to improve.=20

East Atlantic Large Swell: Long period NW to N swell behind a=20
cold front that extends across NW Africa and the eastern Atlantic
is creating seas of 11 to 13 ft north of 21N and east of 40W.=20
This swell event will continue to propagate southward with seas 8=20
ft or greater reaching as far south as 10N on Wed. By late=20
Thursday afternoon or early in the evening, the swell should=20
decay enough to allow seas to drop below 12 ft.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!7PAIrUW_92K6jPX9emu42qa14eXlN8zn8r8bx-JH5aD_0zgJ8ev0AXkxJDuD3etsa= ShfAUCGpElgd8Lbw2jxg4iHapA$ for more details.

Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for
the forecast zone of Madeira. The forecast calls for NW gales to
40 kt, with severe gusts from 08/12 UTC to 09/00 UTC at least.
Very rough seas in NW swell are also reaching the islands.=20

For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast=20
listed on their website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int_= _;!!DZ3fjg!7PAIrUW_92K6jPX9emu42qa14eXlN8zn8r8bx-JH5aD_0zgJ8ev0AXkxJDuD3ets= aShfAUCGpElgd8Lbw2jxpS_lkqY$=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Liberia, Africa and continues SW to 02N21W. The ITCZ extends=20 west-southwestward from 02N21W to 00N35W to NE Brazil near=20
00N48W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from
03S to 07N between 05W and 38W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

The tail of a front stalls across southern Florida, entering the
Gulf SE waters near 25N81W and continuing to a 1010 mb low near
24N85W from where a cold front stretches SW the NE Yucatan
Peninsula offshore waters near 22N88W. Surface ridging has started
to build across the northern Gulf, and is supporting fresh to near
gale force NE winds across the NE Gulf offshores as confirmed by
recent scatterometer data. Seas with these winds are rough to 10
to 11 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker, and seas
moderate in the 4 to 7 ft range.=20

For the forecast, the front will stall over the far SE basin=20
through Thu, and strong to near gale-force NE winds and rough seas
will continue in the NE Gulf during this time. Conditions will=20
gradually improve Fri into the weekend as the high pressure builds southwestward across the northern basin.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The Atlantic ridge extends SW reaching the NE Caribbean. This
system is supporting fresh to locally strong E to SE winds and=20
seas of 5 to 7 ft across the eastern part of the basin. Gentle to=20
moderate NE to E winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are ongoing across the=20
SW Caribbean while light and variable winds and slight seas dominate
the NW Caribbean. Scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms=20
are seen over Hispaniola and E Cuba adjacent waters as well as in
the Windward Passage.

For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the=20
central and eastern basin into Thu, with gentle to moderate winds=20
to the west. Strong high pressure will then build southward from=20
the western Atlantic, with a tightening pressure gradient leading=20
to increasing winds, especially in the south-central basin.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the western Atlantic. Please refer
to the Special Features section for more details.=20

A stationary front extends from 31N72W SW to a 1010 mb low near=20
29N74W then transitions to a cold front that moves across SE=20
Florida near 25N80W. Recent scatterometer data confirm the
presence of gales west of the low and front, over the NE and
central Florida offshore waters. Seas with these winds are rough=20
to very rough with peak seas of 16 ft N of the Bahamas. Aside from
the winds and seas, heavy showers and tstms continue to affect the
offshore waters N of 20N between 62W and 77W. Over the far E
Atlantic, the tail of a cold front starts to weaken near 25N20W to
23N41W. Strong high pressure of 1038 mb SW of the Azores is
driving a long-period N to NW swell that is affecting the central,
eastern and tropical Atlantic waters. See the Special Features
Swell section for further details. Otherwise, a broad surface
ridge prevails elsewhere, supporting moderate to fresh E to SE
winds and moderate to rough seas.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features
Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for all the information=20
related to the above mentioned frontal boundary.=20

$$
Ramos

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150=20
AXNT20 KNHC 081004
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Apr 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0930 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A slow-moving cold front extends=20
from 31N72W to a 1009 mb low pressure centered near 29N73W to the=20
Florida Straits. The front will drift slowly eastward, before=20
stalling into the weekend from just E of Bermuda to eastern Cuba.=20
The low will move NE along the boundary and lift N of the area=20
near Bermuda Thu night. Thunderstorms with gusty winds will impact
waters along and east of the cold front through at least Thu. The
pressure gradient between strong high pressure to the north and=20
the front is supporting NE gales offshore NE Florida, mainly N of=20
28N and W of 72W. These gales will continue through tonight before
gradually diminishing as the low pressure weakens and begins to=20
move N of the region. Very rough seas have been generated by these
gales, and seas of up to 20 ft are forecast in the gale area=20
today into tonight. The very rough seas will linger across=20
portions of the waters N of the Bahamas into Thu night, with rough
seas in N swell impacting much of the waters N of 25N into the=20
weekend. With the stationary front lingering over the basin=20
through the weekend, NE winds W of the boundary will be slow to=20
diminish through the period.=20

East Atlantic Large Swell: Long period NW to N swell continues to
propagating through portions of the far eastern Atlantic, causing
seas of 12 to 14 ft N of 19N and E of 39W. Rough seas cover a much
broader area, N of 10N and E of 55W. The swell will only very
slowly decay, and seas of 12 ft or greater will reach as far as
15N by Thu. Seas should fall below 12 ft Thu night, although rough
seas will likely persist into the weekend.=20

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!-seWuc50zuWO9lsjcJL6OmTHVwm6GPIjMAZBVJyQLYvnLkxGlSTyOFQa4N_BPJy3V= b-_BwrcQGZJrQMoMSJnWsk0lMo$ for more details on
both the West Atlantic Gale Warning and the Significant Swell in
the East Atlantic.

East Atlantic Gale Warning: Meteo-France has issued a Gale=20
Warning for the forecast zone of Madeira. The forecast calls for=20
NW gales to 40 kt, with severe gusts from 08/12 UTC to 09/00 UTC=20
at least. Very rough seas in NW swell are also reaching the=20
islands.=20

For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast=20
listed on their website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int_= _;!!DZ3fjg!-seWuc50zuWO9lsjcJL6OmTHVwm6GPIjMAZBVJyQLYvnLkxGlSTyOFQa4N_BPJy3= Vb-_BwrcQGZJrQMoMSJns7dC7f0$=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 07N11W and continues=20
SW to 02N21W. The ITCZ extends west-southwestward from 02N21W to=20
00N44W. Scattered moderate convection is from 03S to 07N between=20
05W and 38W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A slow-moving cold front extends from the Florida Keys to a 1010
mb low pressure centered near 24N85W to just N of the Yucatan
Channel. ENE winds gradually increase N of this boundary, becoming
strong in the NE Gulf, where seas are rough. in the western Gulf,
mainly gentle NE winds and moderate seas prevail. A cluster of
moderate convection has developed early this morning within 90 nm
of the coast of Tampico, Mexico, otherwise no thunderstorms are
present in the Gulf.=20

For the forecast, the cold front will drift slowly E and out of=20
the basin by Thu, keeping strong to near gale-force NE winds and=20
rough seas in place over the NE Gulf into Thu. As high pressure=20
builds SW into the northern Gulf Fri through the weekend, moderate
to fresh E to SE winds will establish through the basin.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The Atlantic ridge extends SW reaching the NE Caribbean. This
system is supporting fresh to locally strong E to SE winds and=20
seas of 6 to 8 ft across the eastern part of the basin. Gentle to
moderate NE to E winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are ongoing across the=20
SW Caribbean while light and variable winds and slight seas=20
dominate the NW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is noted
between Jamaica, eastern Cuba, and Haiti, in association with a
trough to the north.=20

For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the=20
central and eastern basin into Thu, with gentle to moderate winds=20
to the west. Strong high pressure will then build southward from=20
the western Atlantic, with a tightening pressure gradient leading=20
to increasing winds, especially in the south-central basin.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western=20
Atlantic. A Gale Warning has also been issued by Meteo-France for
portions of the far eastern Atlantic. Please refer to the Special
Features section for details.

Aside from the cold front that is inducing the gales, a low=20
pressure trough along 68W from 31N southward to about 22W is=20
leading to fresh to strong S winds N of 26N between the trough=20
axis and 60W. The trough and cold front are leading to numerous=20
moderate to scattered strong convection extending northward from=20
Hispaniola and eastern Cuba between 65W and 75W.=20

E of 65W, broad northeast to east winds dominate the basin. Most
areas are having moderate to fresh breezes, but a zone of strong
easterly extend N of 20N and E of 40W, where some significant
northerly swell is leading to very rough seas. Details on the
swell and its forecast propagation can be found in the Special
Features section above. Moderate seas dominate the remainder of
the Atlantic.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features
Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details
related to the marine conditions caused by the previously=20
mentioned frontal boundary.


$$
Konarik

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651=20
AXNT20 KNHC 081652
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Apr 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1645 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning:=20
A frontal boundary, with a two surface lows along it, is slowly
moving eastward. Low-level convergence and lift near the boundary
and upper-level diffluence is causing widespread showers and
thunderstorms north of 24N between 64W and 73W. This activity is
mainly on the east side of the boundary, which currently extends
from a low near 32N67W to another low near 28N72W to the central
Bahamas. Gale-force northeast winds are occurring behind the
boundary due to the tight pressure gradient between the front and
high pressure over the northeastern U.S. Very rough seas have been
generated by these gales, and seas of up to 18 ft are occurring in
the warning area. The very rough seas will linger across portions
of the waters N of the Bahamas into Thu night, with rough seas in
N swell impacting much of the waters N of 25N into the weekend.=20

East Atlantic Large Swell: Long-period NW to N swell continues=20
propagating southward across portions of the far eastern=20
Atlantic, causing maximum seas of 12 to 14 ft over the subtropics
east of about 40W. Rough seas cover a much broader area N of 10N=20
and E of 55W. The swell will only very slowly decay, and seas of=20
12 ft or greater will reach as far south as 15N by Thu. Seas=20
should fall below 12 ft Thu night, although rough seas will likely
persist into the weekend.=20

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!890vCgWFZMFDQN5hL1kScuQAoz3XBdCSft0rAsrl_mXkXoHXDIlJurcPiiOFEqjTx= XSskpCdSxaa4oSboUd5SDp5tEY$ for more details on
both the West Atlantic Gale Warning and the significant swell in=20
the East Atlantic.

East Atlantic Gale Warning: Meteo-France has issued a Gale=20
Warning for the forecast zone of Madeira. The forecast calls for=20
NW gales to 40 kt, with severe gusts during the next several
hours. Very rough seas in NW swell are also reaching the islands.

For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast=20
listed on their website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int_= _;!!DZ3fjg!890vCgWFZMFDQN5hL1kScuQAoz3XBdCSft0rAsrl_mXkXoHXDIlJurcPiiOFEqjT= xXSskpCdSxaa4oSboUd59i1AKps$=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues=20
SW to 04N20W. The ITCZ extends west-southwestward from 04N20W to=20
00N30W to 01S45W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from
03S to the equator between 30W and 40W and from 01N to 05N=20
between 12W and 18W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak area of low pressure and associated trough over the=20
southeastern Gulf and the Florida Straits is producing scattered=20
showers and isolated thunderstorms. Similiar activity is=20
occurring along another trough over the far western Gulf, near the
coasts of Mexico and southern Texas. Winds and seas are highest=20
today (up to 30 kt and 10 ft) over the northeast and north-
central waters, where a tight pressure gradient exists between=20
strong high pressure over the northeast U.S. and the troughing=20
over the southeastern Gulf. Winds and seas are lightest over the
southwestern waters.=20

For the forecast, the trough over the southeastern waters will=20
drift slowly eastward and move out of the basin by Thu. However,=20
strong to near gale-force NE winds and rough seas will continue
over the northeast Gulf for another day or so. As high pressure=20
builds southwestward into the northern Gulf Fri through the=20
weekend, moderate to fresh E to SE winds will become established=20
through the basin.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Scattered moderate convection has been persisiting near Jamaica,
western Haiti, and eastern Cuba, primarily associated with an
upper-level jet. The remainder of the region is experienceing
generally fair weather supported by dry air in the mid- and
upper-levels of the atmosphere. Winds are strongest, up to 25 kt, over
the usual location, the south-central portion of the area off the
coasts of Colombia and Venezuela, where the pressure gradient is=20
tight between low pressure over Colombia and high pressure=20
northeast of the area. These winds are causing elevated seas, up
to about 8 ft. Winds and seas are lightest over the western
portion of the area.

For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the=20
central and eastern basin into Thu, with gentle to moderate winds=20
to the west. Strong high pressure will then build southward from=20
the western Atlantic, with a tightening pressure gradient leading=20
to increasing winds, especially in the south-central basin.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western=20
Atlantic. Meteo-France also has a gale warning in effect for=20
portions of the far eastern Atlantic. Please refer to the Special=20
Features section above for details on these hazardous weather=20
events.

The remainder of the basin is domninated by strong surface high
pressure, which along with dry air aloft, is supporting fair
weather across the majority of the subtropical and tropical
Atlantic. Most areas are experiencing moderate to fresh winds,=20
but a zone of strong easterly winds extend N of 20N and E of 40W,
where some significant northerly swell is leading to very rough=20
seas. Details on the swell and its forecast propagation can be=20
found in the Special Features section above. Moderate seas=20
dominate the remainder of the Atlantic.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features
Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details
related to the marine conditions caused by the previously=20
mentioned frontal boundary.


$$
Cangialosi

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804=20
AXNT20 KNHC 081652
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Apr 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1645 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning:=20
A frontal boundary, with a two surface lows along it, is slowly
moving eastward. Low-level convergence and lift near the boundary
and upper-level diffluence is causing widespread showers and
thunderstorms north of 24N between 64W and 73W. This activity is
mainly on the east side of the boundary, which currently extends
from a low near 32N67W to another low near 28N72W to the central
Bahamas. Gale-force northeast winds are occurring behind the
boundary due to the tight pressure gradient between the front and
high pressure over the northeastern U.S. Very rough seas have been
generated by these gales, and seas of up to 18 ft are occurring in
the warning area. The very rough seas will linger across portions
of the waters N of the Bahamas into Thu night, with rough seas in
N swell impacting much of the waters N of 25N into the weekend.=20

East Atlantic Large Swell: Long-period NW to N swell continues=20
propagating southward across portions of the far eastern=20
Atlantic, causing maximum seas of 12 to 14 ft over the subtropics
east of about 40W. Rough seas cover a much broader area N of 10N=20
and E of 55W. The swell will only very slowly decay, and seas of=20
12 ft or greater will reach as far south as 15N by Thu. Seas=20
should fall below 12 ft Thu night, although rough seas will likely
persist into the weekend.=20

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!_0qT_TKIH4QRSRychlWFMhkZgpf6TOSzzVcKlu5zrXENYZDdaxmD-hVot1kXz3a8a= WKM8hHdi8PzWntNBIngbfsQYfM$ for more details on
both the West Atlantic Gale Warning and the significant swell in=20
the East Atlantic.

East Atlantic Gale Warning: Meteo-France has issued a Gale=20
Warning for the forecast zone of Madeira. The forecast calls for=20
NW gales to 40 kt, with severe gusts during the next several
hours. Very rough seas in NW swell are also reaching the islands.

For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast=20
listed on their website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int_= _;!!DZ3fjg!_0qT_TKIH4QRSRychlWFMhkZgpf6TOSzzVcKlu5zrXENYZDdaxmD-hVot1kXz3a8= aWKM8hHdi8PzWntNBIngOiiMQ4E$=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues=20
SW to 04N20W. The ITCZ extends west-southwestward from 04N20W to=20
00N30W to 01S45W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from
03S to the equator between 30W and 40W and from 01N to 05N=20
between 12W and 18W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak area of low pressure and associated trough over the=20
southeastern Gulf and the Florida Straits is producing scattered=20
showers and isolated thunderstorms. Similiar activity is=20
occurring along another trough over the far western Gulf, near the
coasts of Mexico and southern Texas. Winds and seas are highest=20
today (up to 30 kt and 10 ft) over the northeast and north-
central waters, where a tight pressure gradient exists between=20
strong high pressure over the northeast U.S. and the troughing=20
over the southeastern Gulf. Winds and seas are lightest over the
southwestern waters.=20

For the forecast, the trough over the southeastern waters will=20
drift slowly eastward and move out of the basin by Thu. However,=20
strong to near gale-force NE winds and rough seas will continue
over the northeast Gulf for another day or so. As high pressure=20
builds southwestward into the northern Gulf Fri through the=20
weekend, moderate to fresh E to SE winds will become established=20
through the basin.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Scattered moderate convection has been persisiting near Jamaica,
western Haiti, and eastern Cuba, primarily associated with an
upper-level jet. The remainder of the region is experienceing
generally fair weather supported by dry air in the mid- and
upper-levels of the atmosphere. Winds are strongest, up to 25 kt, over
the usual location, the south-central portion of the area off the
coasts of Colombia and Venezuela, where the pressure gradient is=20
tight between low pressure over Colombia and high pressure=20
northeast of the area. These winds are causing elevated seas, up
to about 8 ft. Winds and seas are lightest over the western
portion of the area.

For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the=20
central and eastern basin into Thu, with gentle to moderate winds=20
to the west. Strong high pressure will then build southward from=20
the western Atlantic, with a tightening pressure gradient leading=20
to increasing winds, especially in the south-central basin.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western=20
Atlantic. Meteo-France also has a gale warning in effect for=20
portions of the far eastern Atlantic. Please refer to the Special=20
Features section above for details on these hazardous weather=20
events.

The remainder of the basin is domninated by strong surface high
pressure, which along with dry air aloft, is supporting fair
weather across the majority of the subtropical and tropical
Atlantic. Most areas are experiencing moderate to fresh winds,=20
but a zone of strong easterly winds extend N of 20N and E of 40W,
where some significant northerly swell is leading to very rough=20
seas. Details on the swell and its forecast propagation can be=20
found in the Special Features section above. Moderate seas=20
dominate the remainder of the Atlantic.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features
Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details
related to the marine conditions caused by the previously=20
mentioned frontal boundary.


$$
Cangialosi

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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969=20
AXNT20 KNHC 082327
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a=20
slow-moving cold front that extends from near Bermuda to the=20
central Bahamas and a strong high pressure of 1037 mb located=20
over the NE of the United States supports gale force winds with=20
rough to very rough seas up to 18 ft in the wake of the front.=20
These marine conditions will persist tonight into Thu. Then,=20
winds and seas will diminish through Fri as the front drifts=20
eastward and dissipates, although large NE swell will persist=20
between the central Bahamas and Bermuda through Sat.

East Atlantic Large Swell: Long-period NW to N swell continues=20
propagating southward across portions of the far eastern Atlantic,
causing maximum seas of 12 to 14 ft east of about 40W. Rough=20
seas cover a much broader area N of 10N and E of 55W. This swell
event will decay slowly, and seas of 12 ft or greater will reach
as far south as 15N by early Thu. Seas should fall below 12 ft=20
Thu night, although rough seas will likely persist into the=20
weekend.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!6rcYnK8K-D0nmydwKEVolvDxDJJw2XUCAGCjFC8WdW_WT9vUyzUKGtB8vwa8G7lPB= YwGPJ1sVcuvJ6y3qiv9Lgbysno$ for more details on
both the West Atlantic Gale Warning and the significant swell
event in the East Atlantic.

Gale Warning E of 35W: A Gale Warning remains in effect for the
Meteo-France marine zone of Madeira. The forecast calls for NW=20
gales to 40 kt, with severe gusts through 09/06Z. Very rough=20
seas in NW swell are also reaching the islands.

For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast=20
listed on their website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int_= _;!!DZ3fjg!6rcYnK8K-D0nmydwKEVolvDxDJJw2XUCAGCjFC8WdW_WT9vUyzUKGtB8vwa8G7lP= BYwGPJ1sVcuvJ6y3qiv9ty4mPds$=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues=20
SW to 03N21W. The ITCZ extends from 03N21W to the coast of Brazil
near 02S45W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 02N
to 05N between 15W and 20W, and S of 01N between 30W and 40W.
Clusters of moderate to strong convection are N of 03N and E of=20
10W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak area of low pressure and associated surface trough over=20
the southeastern Gulf and the Straits of Florida is producing=20
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Scattered showers=20
are likely occurring along another trough over the far west-
central Gulf, near the coast of Mexico. Fresh to strong NE winds
and rough seas are over the eastern Gulf where a tight pressure=20
gradient exists between strong high pressure over the northeast=20
U.S. and the troughing over the southeastern Gulf. Light to
gentle winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere, with the
exception of moderate to locally fresh NE winds offshore SW=20
Louisiana to about 28N.

For the forecast, the low pressure and trough will drift slowly=20
eastward and out of the basin through Thu. High pressure building
over the eastern U.S. will support fresh to strong NE winds and=20
rough seas across the northeast Gulf into Fri. Looking ahead,=20
this pattern will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds and=20
moderate seas across the basin, except for occasional strong E=20
winds off western Cuba early next week.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted over the Greater
Antilles, primarily associated with strong upper-level winds.=20=20
Low-topped trade wind showers are noted elsewhere. Winds are=20
strongest, up to 25 kt, over the usual location, the south-=20
central portion of the area off the coasts of Colombia and=20
Venezuela, where the pressure gradient is tight between low=20
pressure over Colombia and high pressure northeast of the area.=20
These winds are causing rough seas, up to about 8 ft. Mainly
light and variable winds dominate the western portion of the=20
area.

For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the=20
central and eastern parts of the basin into Thu, with gentle to=20
moderate winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build=20
southward from the western Atlantic, with a tightening pressure=20
gradient leading to increasing winds, especially in the south-=20
central Caribbean. Looking ahead, expect fresh to strong NE=20
winds and building seas early next week in the lee of Cuba and=20
across the Windward Passage.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western Atlantic. Meteo-France also has a Gale Warning in effect for the forecast=20
zone of Madeira. Please refer to the Special Features section above
for details on these hazardous weather events.

The remainder of the basin is dominated by strong surface high=20
pressure of 1038 mb located SW of the Azores near 36N34W. Patches
of low level moisture are observed on satellite imagery under=20
the influence of this system. Most areas are experiencing=20
moderate to fresh winds, but a zone of strong easterly winds=20
extend N of 20N and E of 40W, where some significant northerly=20
swell is leading to very rough seas. Details on the swell and its
forecast propagation can be found in the Special Features section
above. Moderate seas dominate the remainder of the Atlantic. A
gale center, spinning NE of the Madeira Islands, is forecast to
move southward toward the forecast area in about 24 hours.

For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features
Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details related
to the marine conditions caused by the previously mentioned frontal
boundary.


$$
GR

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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042=20
AXNT20 KNHC 082327
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a=20
slow-moving cold front that extends from near Bermuda to the=20
central Bahamas and a strong high pressure of 1037 mb located=20
over the NE of the United States supports gale force winds with=20
rough to very rough seas up to 18 ft in the wake of the front.=20
These marine conditions will persist tonight into Thu. Then,=20
winds and seas will diminish through Fri as the front drifts=20
eastward and dissipates, although large NE swell will persist=20
between the central Bahamas and Bermuda through Sat.

East Atlantic Large Swell: Long-period NW to N swell continues=20
propagating southward across portions of the far eastern Atlantic,
causing maximum seas of 12 to 14 ft east of about 40W. Rough=20
seas cover a much broader area N of 10N and E of 55W. This swell
event will decay slowly, and seas of 12 ft or greater will reach
as far south as 15N by early Thu. Seas should fall below 12 ft=20
Thu night, although rough seas will likely persist into the=20
weekend.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!69M5TZPEfcnoIfLeBmcJYQdjAQcucY3DJHX-6THtRtwC_Q65kpiGEu9wJRI7c0mqX= 0f0Gz19WCSoBrcGvrKALiqWcLI$ for more details on
both the West Atlantic Gale Warning and the significant swell
event in the East Atlantic.

Gale Warning E of 35W: A Gale Warning remains in effect for the
Meteo-France marine zone of Madeira. The forecast calls for NW=20
gales to 40 kt, with severe gusts through 09/06Z. Very rough=20
seas in NW swell are also reaching the islands.

For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast=20
listed on their website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int_= _;!!DZ3fjg!69M5TZPEfcnoIfLeBmcJYQdjAQcucY3DJHX-6THtRtwC_Q65kpiGEu9wJRI7c0mq= X0f0Gz19WCSoBrcGvrKA5S3bT0I$=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues=20
SW to 03N21W. The ITCZ extends from 03N21W to the coast of Brazil
near 02S45W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 02N
to 05N between 15W and 20W, and S of 01N between 30W and 40W.
Clusters of moderate to strong convection are N of 03N and E of=20
10W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak area of low pressure and associated surface trough over=20
the southeastern Gulf and the Straits of Florida is producing=20
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Scattered showers=20
are likely occurring along another trough over the far west-
central Gulf, near the coast of Mexico. Fresh to strong NE winds
and rough seas are over the eastern Gulf where a tight pressure=20
gradient exists between strong high pressure over the northeast=20
U.S. and the troughing over the southeastern Gulf. Light to
gentle winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere, with the
exception of moderate to locally fresh NE winds offshore SW=20
Louisiana to about 28N.

For the forecast, the low pressure and trough will drift slowly=20
eastward and out of the basin through Thu. High pressure building
over the eastern U.S. will support fresh to strong NE winds and=20
rough seas across the northeast Gulf into Fri. Looking ahead,=20
this pattern will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds and=20
moderate seas across the basin, except for occasional strong E=20
winds off western Cuba early next week.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted over the Greater
Antilles, primarily associated with strong upper-level winds.=20=20
Low-topped trade wind showers are noted elsewhere. Winds are=20
strongest, up to 25 kt, over the usual location, the south-=20
central portion of the area off the coasts of Colombia and=20
Venezuela, where the pressure gradient is tight between low=20
pressure over Colombia and high pressure northeast of the area.=20
These winds are causing rough seas, up to about 8 ft. Mainly
light and variable winds dominate the western portion of the=20
area.

For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the=20
central and eastern parts of the basin into Thu, with gentle to=20
moderate winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build=20
southward from the western Atlantic, with a tightening pressure=20
gradient leading to increasing winds, especially in the south-=20
central Caribbean. Looking ahead, expect fresh to strong NE=20
winds and building seas early next week in the lee of Cuba and=20
across the Windward Passage.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western Atlantic. Meteo-France also has a Gale Warning in effect for the forecast=20
zone of Madeira. Please refer to the Special Features section above
for details on these hazardous weather events.

The remainder of the basin is dominated by strong surface high=20
pressure of 1038 mb located SW of the Azores near 36N34W. Patches
of low level moisture are observed on satellite imagery under=20
the influence of this system. Most areas are experiencing=20
moderate to fresh winds, but a zone of strong easterly winds=20
extend N of 20N and E of 40W, where some significant northerly=20
swell is leading to very rough seas. Details on the swell and its
forecast propagation can be found in the Special Features section
above. Moderate seas dominate the remainder of the Atlantic. A
gale center, spinning NE of the Madeira Islands, is forecast to
move southward toward the forecast area in about 24 hours.

For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features
Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details related
to the marine conditions caused by the previously mentioned frontal
boundary.


$$
GR

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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526=20
AXNT20 KNHC 090526
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Apr 09 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a=20
slow-moving cold front that extends from near Bermuda to weak low=20
pressure of 1015 mb near 30N69W, and from the low to 25N74W and=20
strong high pressure of 1037 mb centered well north of the area
near Massachusetts is continuing to allow for gale-force winds=20
along with rough to very rough seas peaking up to around 18 ft
(5 m) over the waters north and northeast of the Bahamas and east
to a line from near 31N67W to 28N71W to 27N77W. These wind and=20
seas conditions will diminish through Fri, with seas lowering to=20
below 12 ft (4 m) as the front slowly moves eastward and weakens.

East Atlantic Large Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15
seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the=20
far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about
40W. Rough seas cover a much expansive area north of 08N and east
of 55W. This swell event will decay slowly, and seas of 12 ft or=20
greater will reach as far south as 15N by early Thu. Seas are=20
expected to lower below 12 ft late Thu night, although rough seas=20
will likely persist into the weekend.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!9s0RfwnC9-FUaPDMUkHauyJW88HYA0K6doxo-RzjyRHWya-BieYoI5Hb-PFzfdG4t= wSXhZSNCR2sTHvgDNZhyT4Bkhk$ for more details on
both the Western Atlantic Gale Warning and the significant swell
event in the East Atlantic.

Gale Warning E of 35W: A Gale Warning remains in effect for the
Meteo-France marine zone of Madeira through 09/06Z. Along with=20
the gale winds, very rough seas in northwest to north swell are=20
also reaching the islands.

For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast=20
listed on their website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int_= _;!!DZ3fjg!9s0RfwnC9-FUaPDMUkHauyJW88HYA0K6doxo-RzjyRHWya-BieYoI5Hb-PFzfdG4= twSXhZSNCR2sTHvgDNZh_GjyTNg$=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and
extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the=20
ITCZ to 01S30W and to near the coast of Brazil at 02S43W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm
north of the ITCZ between 38W-43.5W and within 60 nm north of the
ITCZ between 33W and 36W. Scattered moderate convection is from=20
02N to 04N between 18W-24W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak trough, previously the old stationary frontal boundary,=20
extends across the Straits of Florida to the far south-central=20
Gulf near 23N88.5W. Scattered to locally broken low and isolated=20
showers are near the trough. Scattered moderate convection is=20
confined to the southwest Gulf south of 22N west 95W to inland=20
Mexico, and over the far west- central Gulf from 24N to 25.5N=20
west of 96W. Latest Ascat satellite data show fresh to strong
northeast winds over the eastern Gulf where a tight pressure=20
gradient exists between strong high pressure over the northeast=20
U.S. and the troughing over the southeastern Gulf. Rough seas are=20
being produced by these winds.
=20
Light to gentle northeast to east winds and mostly moderate seas=20
are noted elsewhere, with the exception of moderate to locally=20
fresh east winds offshore Louisiana to near 27N.

For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will drift slowly=20
eastward and out of the basin through Thu. High pressure building=20
over the eastern U.S. will support strong northeast winds and=20
rough seas across the northeast Gulf through Thu night. This=20
pattern will maintain moderate to fresh east to southeast winds=20
and moderate seas across the basin, except for occasional strong
east winds off western Cuba through early next week.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms aided by a mid-level shortwave
trough are noted north of 20N and between 81W and just east of
the northeast part of the Yucatan Peninsula. This activity also=20
extends northeastward to inland west-central Cuba. Low-topped
trade wind isolated showers are noted elsewhere. Winds are=20
strongest, up to 25 kt, over the usual locations, the south-=20
central portion of the area off the coasts of Colombia and=20
Venezuela, where the pressure gradient is tight between low=20
pressure over Colombia and strong high pressure that is just
offshore New England. These winds are resulting in seas of up=20
to around 8 ft over these waters. Latest Ascat satellite data=20
indicates mostly light and variable winds over the western
part of the basin.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from=20
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and=20
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the=20
south- central Caribbean through the weekend. By early next week,=20
fresh to strong northeast winds along with building seas will=20
materialize south of Cuba and in the Windward Passage.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western Atlantic. Meteo-France also has a Gale Warning in effect for the forecast=20
zone of Madeira. Please refer to the Special Features section above
for details on these hazardous weather events.

The remainder of the basin is dominated by strong surface high=20
pressure of 1039 mb centered to the southwest of the Azores near=20
37N36W. Its associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing
the area north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. The related=20 anticyclonic wind flow is transporting patches of low-level=20
moisture in the form broken to scattered low-level clouds westward
to near 55W. Isolated showers are possible with these clouds.=20
Mostly moderate to fresh winds are evident in the basin, except=20
for a swath of fresh northeast winds over the far eastern part of=20
the basin north of about 15N and east 30W, where significant=20
northerly swell is leading to very rough seas. Details on the=20
swell and its forecast propagation can be found in the Special=20
Features section above. Moderate seas dominate the remainder of=20
the Atlantic basin. A gale low located northeast of the Madeira=20
Islands near 34N13W with a pressure of 1009 mb is forecast to=20
move south- southeastward toward the far northeast part of the=20
discussion area this morning. Scattered showers, under cold-air=20
instability, are presently occurring over the SE semicircle of the
low reaching to near 31N between 12W and 15W.

For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features
Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details related
to the marine conditions related to the slow moving cold front
mentioned in that section.=20

$$
Aguirre

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889=20
AXNT20 KNHC 090607
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Apr 09 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0545 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a=20
slow-moving cold front that extends from near Bermuda to weak low=20
pressure of 1015 mb near 30N69W, and from the low to 25N74W and=20
strong high pressure of 1037 mb centered well north of the area just=20
east of the New England coast is continuing to allow for gale-force=20
winds along with rough to very rough seas peaking up to around 18 ft=20
(5 m) over the waters north and northeast of the Bahamas and east to=20
a line from near 31N67W to 28N71W to 27N77W. These wind and seas=20
conditions will diminish through Fri, with seas lowering to below 12=20
ft (4 m) as the front slowly moves eastward and weakens.

East Atlantic Large Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15
seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the=20
far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about
40W. Rough seas cover a much expansive area north of 08N and east
of 55W. This swell event will decay slowly, and seas of 12 ft or=20
greater will reach as far south as 15N early today. Seas are=20
expected to lower below 12 ft late Thu night, although rough seas=20
will likely persist into the weekend.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!7yrlsF_5_Nfb78WlL92yCSvOwhbtoVesBFhd8OlMCJEc-SdjEb5SGtjNurKKcwLt8= 9bd1RZyE0ebx20ortKRbhNmYNI$ for more details on
both the Western Atlantic Gale Warning and the significant swell
event in the East Atlantic.

Gale Warning E of 35W: A Gale Warning remains in effect for the
Meteo-France marine zone of Madeira through 09/06Z. Along with=20
the gale winds, very rough seas in northwest to north swell are=20
also reaching the islands.

For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast=20
listed on their website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int_= _;!!DZ3fjg!7yrlsF_5_Nfb78WlL92yCSvOwhbtoVesBFhd8OlMCJEc-SdjEb5SGtjNurKKcwLt= 89bd1RZyE0ebx20ortKRLGnaUJg$=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and
extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the=20
ITCZ to 01S30W and to near the coast of Brazil at 02S43W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 nm
north of the ITCZ between 38W-43.5W and within 60 nm north of the
ITCZ between 33W and 36W. Scattered moderate convection is from=20
02N to 04N between 18W-24W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak trough, previously the old stationary frontal boundary,=20
extends across the Straits of Florida to the far south-central=20
Gulf near 23N88.5W. Scattered to locally broken low and isolated=20
showers are near the trough. Scattered moderate convection is=20
confined to the southwest Gulf south of 22N west 95W to inland=20
Mexico, and over the far west-central Gulf from 24N to 25.5N west of=20
96W. Latest Ascat satellite data show fresh to strong northeast=20
winds over the eastern Gulf where a tight pressure gradient exists=20
between strong high pressure over the northeast U.S. and the=20
troughing over the southeastern Gulf. Rough seas are being produced=20
by these winds.
=20
Light to gentle northeast to east winds and mostly moderate seas=20
are noted elsewhere, with the exception of moderate to locally=20
fresh east winds offshore Louisiana to near 27N.

For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will drift slowly=20
eastward and out of the basin today. High pressure building over the=20
eastern U.S. will support strong northeast winds and rough seas=20
across the northeast Gulf through tonight. This pattern will=20
maintain moderate to fresh east to southeast winds and moderate seas=20
across the basin, except for occasional strong east winds off=20
western Cuba through early next week.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms aided by a mid-level shortwave
trough are noted north of 20N and between 81W and just east of
the northeast part of the Yucatan Peninsula. This activity also=20
extends northeastward to inland west-central Cuba. Low-topped
trade wind isolated showers are noted elsewhere. Winds are=20
strongest, up to 25 kt, over the usual locations, the south-=20
central portion of the area off the coasts of Colombia and=20
Venezuela, where the pressure gradient is tight between low=20
pressure over Colombia and strong high pressure that is just
offshore New England. These winds are resulting in seas of up=20
to around 8 ft over these waters. Latest Ascat satellite data=20
indicates mostly light and variable winds over the western
part of the basin.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from=20
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and=20
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the=20 south-central Caribbean through the weekend. By early next week,=20
fresh to strong northeast winds along with building seas will=20
materialize south of Cuba and in the Windward Passage.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the portions of the western Atlantic. Meteo-France also has a Gale Warning in effect for the forecast=20
zone of Madeira. Please refer to the Special Features section above
for details on these hazardous weather events.

The remainder of the basin is dominated by strong surface high=20
pressure of 1039 mb centered to the southwest of the Azores near=20
37N36W. Its associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing
the area north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. The related=20 anticyclonic wind flow is transporting patches of low-level=20
moisture in the form broken to scattered low-level clouds westward
to near 55W. Isolated showers are possible with these clouds.=20
Mostly moderate to fresh winds are evident in the basin, except=20
for a swath of fresh northeast winds over the far eastern part of=20
the basin north of about 15N and east 30W, where significant=20
northerly swell is leading to very rough seas. Details on the=20
swell and its forecast propagation can be found in the Special=20
Features section above. Moderate seas dominate the remainder of=20
the Atlantic basin. A gale low located northeast of the Madeira=20
Islands near 34N13W with a pressure of 1009 mb is forecast to=20
move south- southeastward toward the far northeast part of the=20
discussion area this morning. Scattered showers, under cold-air=20
instability, are presently occurring over the SE semicircle of the
low reaching to near 31N between 12W and 15W.

For the forecast west of 55W, please refer to the Special Features
Western Atlantic Gale Warning section for forecast details related
to the marine conditions related to the slow moving cold front
mentioned in that section.=20

$$
Aguirre

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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751=20
AXNT20 KNHC 091018
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

East Atlantic Significant Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15
seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the=20
far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about=20
40W from 15N to 25N. Rough seas cover a much more expansive area,
nearly all waters E of 50W. This northerly swell is gradually
decaying, and should fall below 12 ft tonight. Rough seas,
however, will prevail over much of the eastern Atlantic through
Sat.

West Atlantic Significant Swell: Earlier NE Gales in the Atlantic
offshore Florida and NE and N of the Bahamas generated very rough
seas and decaying swell from these gradually diminishing winds
will continue to cause seas in excess of 12 ft today N and W of a
frontal boundary that will reside from roughly 31N65W to 25N75W.
Seas should fall below 12 ft tonight, with rough seas continuing
into the weekend as fresh to strong NE winds continue.=20

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!9GCwo2yCqbdpKcQvE7eckuXyyXRfB3kojnTZ-aT5Wbi7wMqHoMLLukw3-FAvjY2NL= O40pRzF4Mfx8HXohDMurw8NmgM$ for more details on
both areas of significant swell.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and
extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the=20
ITCZ and continues to 00N30W. Scattered moderate convection is=20
from 02N to 04N between 18W-24W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

As the trough over the SE basin as dissipated overnight,
convection has ended, leaving the basin dominated by high pressure
building southward toward the region from the NE U.S. Fresh to
strong NE to E winds are over the NE Gulf, along with rough seas.
Elsewhere, mainly gentle NE to E winds and moderate seas dominate.

For the forecast, high pressure building over the eastern U.S.=20
will support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast=20
Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh
E to SE winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin through=20
early next week, except for occasional strong E winds off western=20
Cuba.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Earlier convection offshore the Yucatan Peninsula dissipated early
this morning, leaving the Caribbean void of any showers and
thunderstorms. Trade winds dominate due to the pressure gradient
between subtropical ridging to the northern and lower pressure
along the Equator. Fresh to strong E winds dominate the SE and
south-central basin, with moderate to fresh E winds impacting the
remaining waters, except for the NW where light to gentle winds
prevail. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-central basin, moderate
elsewhere, except slight in the northwest Caribbean.=20

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from=20
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and=20
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the=20
south- central Caribbean through the weekend. By the start of next
week, fresh to strong NE winds and building seas will commence S=20
of Cuba and in the Windward Passage.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section above for information on
Significant northerly swell leading to very rough seas over
portions of the eastern Atlantic as well as Significant Swell
generated by earlier gales offshore Florida in the western
Atlantic.

Gale-force winds W of a stalling cold front in the western
Atlantic have ended early this morning, but strong NE winds up to
30 kt continue to the W of the boundary that extends from about
31N67W to a 1015 mb low pressure center near 29N70W to just E of
the Bahamas. The front then devolves into a surface trough that
continues into the Florida Straits. This trough is inducing
scattered moderate convection over the Bahamas. Very rough seas
prevail where the strong winds are ongoing, with seas of up to 15
ft offshore NE Florida. Ahead of this feature, a mid-level trough
oriented along 65W N of 22N is producing scattered moderate
convection within 90 nm on either side of its axis.

For most of the rest of the basin, strong surface high pressure of
1029 mb centered SW of the Azores near 37N36W dominates. Its=20
associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing the area=20
north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. This is leading to
widespread fresh east winds, with a zone of strong winds from 17N
to 25N between 25W and 45W. Much of the waters are being impacted
by northerly swell, as discussed in the Special Features section
above, but areas W of 50W, and E of the impacts of the
aforementioned frontal boundary, have generally moderate seas.

In the far eastern Atlantic, low pressure NE of Madeira is no
longer inducing gales, but is producing strong N winds N of the
Canary Islands and E of 25W, along with very rough seas.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, strong NE to E winds and very rough
seas will prevail into tonight N and W of the nearly stationary
front. Conditions will gradually improve Fri as the front drifts=20
eastward and weakens, but large NE swell will maintain rough seas=20
between Bermuda and the Bahamas into the start of next week.=20
Looking ahead, a cold front will move south of Bermuda, mainly=20
east of 70W, Sun night, and stall along roughly 27N through Mon.=20

$$
Konarik

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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883=20
AXNT20 KNHC 091019
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

East Atlantic Significant Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15
seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the=20
far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about=20
40W from 15N to 25N. Rough seas cover a much more expansive area,
nearly all waters E of 50W. This northerly swell is gradually
decaying, and should fall below 12 ft tonight. Rough seas,
however, will prevail over much of the eastern Atlantic through
Sat.

West Atlantic Significant Swell: Earlier NE Gales in the Atlantic
offshore Florida and NE and N of the Bahamas generated very rough
seas and decaying swell from these gradually diminishing winds
will continue to cause seas in excess of 12 ft today N and W of a
frontal boundary that will reside from roughly 31N65W to 25N75W.
Seas should fall below 12 ft tonight, with rough seas continuing
into the weekend as fresh to strong NE winds continue.=20

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!_CJxShlQEOYjrSLsjPsC4zmmYCB4RNo9Caiwgzmcb17IOHGaYaBI2GKQPwk8LTTZI= kmWc08Heyi8Eo9mFq6p7BMk6r8$ for more details on
both areas of significant swell.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and
extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the=20
ITCZ and continues to 00N30W. Scattered moderate convection is=20
from 02N to 04N between 18W-24W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

As the trough over the SE basin as dissipated overnight,
convection has ended, leaving the basin dominated by high pressure
building southward toward the region from the NE U.S. Fresh to
strong NE to E winds are over the NE Gulf, along with rough seas.
Elsewhere, mainly gentle NE to E winds and moderate seas dominate.

For the forecast, high pressure building over the eastern U.S.=20
will support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast=20
Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh
E to SE winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin through=20
early next week, except for occasional strong E winds off western=20
Cuba.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Earlier convection offshore the Yucatan Peninsula dissipated early
this morning, leaving the Caribbean void of any showers and
thunderstorms. Trade winds dominate due to the pressure gradient
between subtropical ridging to the northern and lower pressure
along the Equator. Fresh to strong E winds dominate the SE and
south-central basin, with moderate to fresh E winds impacting the
remaining waters, except for the NW where light to gentle winds
prevail. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-central basin, moderate
elsewhere, except slight in the northwest Caribbean.=20

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from=20
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and=20
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the=20
south- central Caribbean through the weekend. By the start of next
week, fresh to strong NE winds and building seas will commence S=20
of Cuba and in the Windward Passage.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section above for information on
Significant northerly swell leading to very rough seas over
portions of the eastern Atlantic as well as Significant Swell
generated by earlier gales offshore Florida in the western
Atlantic.

Gale-force winds W of a stalling cold front in the western
Atlantic have ended early this morning, but strong NE winds up to
30 kt continue to the W of the boundary that extends from about
31N67W to a 1015 mb low pressure center near 29N70W to just E of
the Bahamas. The front then devolves into a surface trough that
continues into the Florida Straits. This trough is inducing
scattered moderate convection over the Bahamas. Very rough seas
prevail where the strong winds are ongoing, with seas of up to 15
ft offshore NE Florida. Ahead of this feature, a mid-level trough
oriented along 65W N of 22N is producing scattered moderate
convection within 90 nm on either side of its axis.

For most of the rest of the basin, strong surface high pressure of
1029 mb centered SW of the Azores near 37N36W dominates. Its=20
associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing the area=20
north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. This is leading to
widespread fresh east winds, with a zone of strong winds from 17N
to 25N between 25W and 45W. Much of the waters are being impacted
by northerly swell, as discussed in the Special Features section
above, but areas W of 50W, and E of the impacts of the
aforementioned frontal boundary, have generally moderate seas.

In the far eastern Atlantic, low pressure NE of Madeira is no
longer inducing gales, but is producing strong N winds N of the
Canary Islands and E of 25W, along with very rough seas.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, strong NE to E winds and very rough
seas will prevail into tonight N and W of the nearly stationary
front. Conditions will gradually improve Fri as the front drifts=20
eastward and weakens, but large NE swell will maintain rough seas=20
between Bermuda and the Bahamas into the start of next week.=20
Looking ahead, a cold front will move south of Bermuda, mainly=20
east of 70W, Sun night, and stall along roughly 27N through Mon.=20

$$
Konarik

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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278=20
AXNT20 KNHC 091050
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

East Atlantic Significant Swell: Long-period north swell at 13-15
seconds continues propagating southward across portions of the=20
far eastern Atlantic leading to seas of 11 to 13 ft east of about=20
40W from 15N to 25N. Rough seas cover a much more expansive area,
nearly all waters E of 50W. This northerly swell is gradually
decaying, and should fall below 12 ft tonight. Rough seas,
however, will prevail over much of the eastern Atlantic through
Sat.

West Atlantic Significant Swell: Earlier NE Gales in the Atlantic
offshore Florida and NE and N of the Bahamas generated very rough
seas and decaying swell from these gradually diminishing winds
will continue to cause seas in excess of 12 ft today N and W of a
frontal boundary that will reside from roughly 31N65W to 25N75W.
Seas should fall below 12 ft tonight, with rough seas continuing
into the weekend as fresh to strong NE winds continue.=20

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!59ww9LKsuoHgMepxVn62JcQThgBeUe5G5ZeabqekhngbuMLaM9upi3C9spYvlw-mV= o6biON1aPDwk-IllxdzofNj5KU$ for more details on
both areas of significant swell.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and
extends southwestward to 03N22W, where it transitions to the=20
ITCZ and continues to 00N30W. Scattered moderate convection is=20
from 02N to 04N between 18W-24W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

As the trough over the SE basin as dissipated overnight,
convection has ended, leaving the basin dominated by high pressure
building southward toward the region from the NE U.S. Fresh to
strong NE to E winds are over the NE Gulf, along with rough seas.
Elsewhere, mainly gentle NE to E winds and moderate seas dominate.

For the forecast, high pressure building over the eastern U.S.=20
will support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast=20
Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh
E to SE winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin through=20
early next week, except for occasional strong E winds off western=20
Cuba.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Earlier convection offshore the Yucatan Peninsula dissipated early
this morning, leaving the Caribbean void of any showers and
thunderstorms. Trade winds dominate due to the pressure gradient
between subtropical ridging to the northern and lower pressure
along the Equator. Fresh to strong E winds dominate the SE and
south-central basin, with moderate to fresh E winds impacting the
remaining waters, except for the NW where light to gentle winds
prevail. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-central basin, moderate
elsewhere, except slight in the northwest Caribbean.=20

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from=20
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and=20
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the=20
south- central Caribbean through the weekend. By the start of next
week, fresh to strong NE winds and building seas will commence S=20
of Cuba and in the Windward Passage.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section above for information on
Significant northerly swell leading to very rough seas over
portions of the eastern Atlantic as well as Significant Swell
generated by earlier gales offshore Florida in the western
Atlantic.

Gale-force winds W of a stalling cold front in the western
Atlantic have ended early this morning, but strong NE winds up to
30 kt continue to the W of the boundary that extends from about
31N67W to a 1015 mb low pressure center near 29N70W to just E of
the Bahamas. The front then devolves into a surface trough that
continues into the Florida Straits. This trough is inducing
scattered moderate convection over the Bahamas. Very rough seas
prevail where the strong winds are ongoing, with seas of up to 15
ft offshore NE Florida. Ahead of this feature, a mid-level trough
oriented along 65W N of 22N is producing scattered moderate
convection within 90 nm on either side of its axis.

For most of the rest of the basin, strong surface high pressure of
1029 mb centered SW of the Azores near 37N36W dominates. Its=20
associated broad ridging reaches southward encompassing the area=20
north of about 10N and between 16W and 68W. This is leading to
widespread fresh east winds, with a zone of strong winds from 17N
to 25N between 25W and 45W. Much of the waters are being impacted
by northerly swell, as discussed in the Special Features section
above, but areas W of 50W, and E of the impacts of the
aforementioned frontal boundary, have generally moderate seas.

In the far eastern Atlantic, low pressure NE of Madeira is no
longer inducing gales, but is producing strong N winds N of the
Canary Islands and E of 25W, along with very rough seas.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, strong NE to E winds and very rough
seas will prevail into tonight N and W of the nearly stationary
front. Conditions will gradually improve Fri as the front drifts=20
eastward and weakens, but large NE swell will maintain rough seas=20
between Bermuda and the Bahamas into the start of next week.=20
Looking ahead, a cold front will move south of Bermuda, mainly=20
east of 70W, Sun night, and stall along roughly 27N through Mon.=20

$$
Konarik

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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000=20
AXNT20 KNHC 091749
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1700 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

West Atlantic Significant Swell: A long fetch of NE fresh to near
gale NE winds are generating very rough seas in the Atlantic=20
offshore of Florida and and north of the Bahamas. A SOFAR buoy=20
reported seas of up to 14 ft near 29N73W as of 17 UTC. Gradually=20
diminishing winds will continue to cause seas in excess of 12 ft=20
tonight north and west of a frontal boundary that will reside from
roughly 31N65W to 25N75W. Seas should fall below 12 ft by late=20=20
tonight, with rough seas continuing into the weekend as fresh to=20
strong NE winds continue.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!9K54XeQtmeUm4uwwCMlXKTzNmbnHWQFQNoGAn3Z3Fk7hUwrrGQaKGE78egAkcjz7t= Zxl395U0AZsgi7siLfzfc3VyU0$ for more details on
both areas of significant swell.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Guinea near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 03N18W, where it=20
transitions to the ITCZ and continues to 00N23W. Scattered=20
moderate and isolated strong convection is located south of 08N
east of 18W. Scattered convection is also occurring south of 30N
between 18W-35W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Strong high pressure over the SE United States is forcing fresh to
strong NE to E winds across the NE Gulf today with seas 6-10 ft.
Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker and seas are 3-6 ft. No
deep convection is occurring over the Gulf currently.

For the forecast, high pressure building over the eastern U.S.=20
will support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast=20
Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh
E to SE winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin through=20
early next week, except for occasional strong E winds off western=20
Cuba and off the northwest Yucatan. Locally rough seas will be in=20
the Straits of Florida through the next several days.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Only a weak north-south pressure gradient is present across the
Caribbean today, as a stationary front is located just north of
the Caribbean. As a result, fresh to locally strong E trades are
restricted to only over the S central Caribbean today with seas
6-8 ft. Elsewhere across the Caribbean winds are moderate or
weaker with seas 2-5 ft. No significant deep convection is noted
across the basin today.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from=20
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and=20
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the=20
south- central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next=20
week. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas will commence S=20
of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and S of Hispaniola starting Sat
night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section above for information on
a Significant Swell offshore Florida in the western Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from just east of Bermuda near 31N64W
to the central Bahamas near 24N79W. Scattered moderate convection
is occurring within 120 NM of the front. Winds west of the front
continue at NE fresh to strong over our waters with seas 10-14=20
ft. Up to around 200 NM east of the stationary front, winds are=20
gentle to moderate, but with a N swell of 8-10 ft. Elsewhere, a
strong 1038 mb Azores High is centered north of our waters at
37N36W with surface ridging extending to 25N65W on the west and to
23N17W on the east. The large pressure gradient between the
ridging and lower pressure over the ITCZ is forcing NE trades from
fresh to strong north of 12N and east of 50W. Seas are 10-14 ft=20
over the E Atlantic from 15N-31N east of 40W. Elsewhere, winds are
moderate with seas 5-10 ft in mainly N swell.

For the forecast west of 55W, a stalling front extends from near=20
Bermuda to the Central Bahamas. The boundary then becomes a trough
that extends to central Cuba. Strong NE to E winds and very rough
seas will prevail behind the front into tonight. Conditions will=20
gradually improve Fri as the front drifts eastward and weakens,=20
but large NE swell will maintain rough seas between Bermuda and=20
the Bahamas into the start of next week. Looking ahead, a cold=20
front will move south of Bermuda, mainly east of 70W, Sun night,=20
and stall along roughly 27N through Mon. $$ Landsea

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089=20
AXNT20 KNHC 091749
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1700 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

West Atlantic Significant Swell: A long fetch of NE fresh to near
gale NE winds are generating very rough seas in the Atlantic=20
offshore of Florida and and north of the Bahamas. A SOFAR buoy=20
reported seas of up to 14 ft near 29N73W as of 17 UTC. Gradually=20
diminishing winds will continue to cause seas in excess of 12 ft=20
tonight north and west of a frontal boundary that will reside from
roughly 31N65W to 25N75W. Seas should fall below 12 ft by late=20=20
tonight, with rough seas continuing into the weekend as fresh to=20
strong NE winds continue.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!5yeDHUnRou2nSDCh_kCCdmA2Xt51RFHPrcF7MkGt1-zivF7FGd81XFRA7QSc4m6xH= bva8kEdD1i15MSb7izGDOvDT3g$ for more details on
both areas of significant swell.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Guinea near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 03N18W, where it=20
transitions to the ITCZ and continues to 00N23W. Scattered=20
moderate and isolated strong convection is located south of 08N
east of 18W. Scattered convection is also occurring south of 30N
between 18W-35W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Strong high pressure over the SE United States is forcing fresh to
strong NE to E winds across the NE Gulf today with seas 6-10 ft.
Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker and seas are 3-6 ft. No
deep convection is occurring over the Gulf currently.

For the forecast, high pressure building over the eastern U.S.=20
will support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast=20
Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh
E to SE winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin through=20
early next week, except for occasional strong E winds off western=20
Cuba and off the northwest Yucatan. Locally rough seas will be in=20
the Straits of Florida through the next several days.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Only a weak north-south pressure gradient is present across the
Caribbean today, as a stationary front is located just north of
the Caribbean. As a result, fresh to locally strong E trades are
restricted to only over the S central Caribbean today with seas
6-8 ft. Elsewhere across the Caribbean winds are moderate or
weaker with seas 2-5 ft. No significant deep convection is noted
across the basin today.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from=20
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and=20
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the=20
south- central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next=20
week. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas will commence S=20
of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and S of Hispaniola starting Sat
night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section above for information on
a Significant Swell offshore Florida in the western Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from just east of Bermuda near 31N64W
to the central Bahamas near 24N79W. Scattered moderate convection
is occurring within 120 NM of the front. Winds west of the front
continue at NE fresh to strong over our waters with seas 10-14=20
ft. Up to around 200 NM east of the stationary front, winds are=20
gentle to moderate, but with a N swell of 8-10 ft. Elsewhere, a
strong 1038 mb Azores High is centered north of our waters at
37N36W with surface ridging extending to 25N65W on the west and to
23N17W on the east. The large pressure gradient between the
ridging and lower pressure over the ITCZ is forcing NE trades from
fresh to strong north of 12N and east of 50W. Seas are 10-14 ft=20
over the E Atlantic from 15N-31N east of 40W. Elsewhere, winds are
moderate with seas 5-10 ft in mainly N swell.

For the forecast west of 55W, a stalling front extends from near=20
Bermuda to the Central Bahamas. The boundary then becomes a trough
that extends to central Cuba. Strong NE to E winds and very rough
seas will prevail behind the front into tonight. Conditions will=20
gradually improve Fri as the front drifts eastward and weakens,=20
but large NE swell will maintain rough seas between Bermuda and=20
the Bahamas into the start of next week. Looking ahead, a cold=20
front will move south of Bermuda, mainly east of 70W, Sun night,=20
and stall along roughly 27N through Mon. $$ Landsea

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605=20
AXNT20 KNHC 092315
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Apr 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

West Atlantic Significant Swell: A long fetch of strong NE winds=20=20
are generating very rough seas in the Atlantic offshore of=20
Florida and north of the Bahamas. A SOFAR buoy located near=20
29N73W is reporting seas up to 13 ft. These marine conditions=20
are occurring in the wake of a stationary front that extends from
just E of Bermuda to the central Bahamas. Strong winds and very=20
rough seas will prevail behind the front into tonight. Winds will
gradually improve Fri as the front drifts eastward and weakens,=20
but large NE swell will maintain rough seas between Bermuda and=20
the Bahamas into the start of next week. Fresh to strong winds=20
are forecast to return Sat night into early next week as the=20
pressured gradient tightens.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!_3f9aIXWOND6KfQHyUgehkwT6dMDwQtTAg3oAkO5eeMvw7tSe6v1uzNZdCmCQ8cyB= Nu8Do2rQBVVXUPgSam_exrA6b4$ for more details on
both areas of significant swell.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Guinea near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 04N17W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ and continues to NE Brazil near 02S47W.=20
Scattered moderate convection is noted south of 07N b between=20
10W and 20W, and S of 04N between 20W and 40W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends across the SE of the United States into the Gulf
region. The associated pressure gradient is forcing fresh to strong
NE to E winds across the NE Gulf with seas 6 to 9 ft. Elsewhere,
winds are moderate or weaker and seas are 3 to 5ft. A few showers
are over the NW Gulf.=20

For the forecast, high pressure building over the eastern U.S.=20
will support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast=20
Gulf through tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to=20
fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin=20
through early next week, except for occasional strong E winds off
western Cuba and off the northwest Yucatan. Locally rough seas=20
will be in the Straits of Florida late in the weekend into early=20
next week.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Only a weak north-south pressure gradient is present across the
Caribbean, as a stationary front reaches the central Bahamas.=20=20
As a result, fresh to locally strong E trades are restricted to=20
only over the south-central Caribbean with seas of 6 to 8 ft.=20
Elsewhere across the Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker with=20
seas of 3 to 5 ft, except 1 to 3 ft in the NW part of the basin.
Some shower and thunderstorm activity is over the Greater=20
Antilles. Elsewhere, shallow moisture embedded in the trade wind
flow is moving across the basin producing brief showers.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from=20
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and=20
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the=20 south-central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next=20
week. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas will commence
south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola=20
starting Sat night.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section above for information on
a Significant Swell Event offshore Florida in the western=20
Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from just east of Bermuda near 31N64W
to the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate showers and thunderstorms
are occurring mainly ahead of the front. Fresh to strong NE winds
and rough to very rough seas are behind the front while gentle to
moderate winds and rough seas in N swell are up to around 200 NM
ahead of the front. Elsewhere, a strong 1036 mb Azores High is=20
centered north of the forecast waters at 36N35W with surface=20
ridging extending toward the NE Caribbean. The large pressure=20
gradient between the ridging and lower pressure in the vicinity
of the ITCZ is supporting fresh to strong NE trades north of 14N
and east of 50W. Seas are 8 to 12 ft E of 50W, and 5 to 8 ft E=20
of the front to 50W. Elsewhere, winds are moderate with seas 6 to
10 ft in mainly N swell.

For the forecast west of 55W, please, see the Special Features=20
section for details.=20

$$
GR

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107=20
AXNT20 KNHC 100419
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Apr 10 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

West Atlantic Significant Swell: Strong high pressure across the
NW Atlantic extends a ridge southwestward and across the local
western Atlantic waters, to the north of a stalled cold front
lingering from near Bermuda through the central Bahamas. A very
tight pressure gradient north of this front is producing a long=20
and sustained fetch of strong NE winds, which is generating very=20
rough seas in the Atlantic waters north of the front. Recent SoFar
Ocean buoys and altimeter data show a large area of 11 to 14 ft=20
seas persisting north of the front to 31N, and extending westward to
just offshore of the east coast of Florida. Strong NE winds and=20
very rough seas will prevail for the next few hours before winds=20
gradually diminish late tonight, as the front weakens. High seas=20
in large NE swell will maintain rough seas between Bermuda and the
Bahamas into the start of next week, but are expected to subside=20
below 12 ft Fri morning. Fresh to strong winds are forecast to=20
return Sat night into early next week as the pressured gradient=20
tightens again.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!_lTYYohIKVMBCmMWVMhZ_otaRS58RBqvtHbshoGFXMQd8_3RAegzqmFIEtksomUpx= TYf-7ZNkdTfpdFvdMObv504eQA$ for more details on
both areas of significant swell.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Guinea near 10.5N14.5W and extends southwestward to 03.5N20W,=20
where it transitions to the ITCZ and continues to NE Brazil near=20
01.5S46W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted=20
south of 06N between 11W and 24W, and S of 02.5N between 24W and=20
47W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A broad ridge extends across the SE United States and across the=20
Gulf region. A lingering frontal boundary is weakening from the
central Bahamas to along the NW coast of Cuba. The associated=20
pressure gradient north of this boundary is forcing fresh to=20
strong NE to E winds across the E and north-central Gulf, with
strongest winds across NE portions. Seas across this area and over
the open waters continue at 6 to 9 ft, and extend to offshore of
central Louisiana. Elsewhere, NE to E winds are moderate or=20
weaker, with seas 3 to 6 ft. Scattered showers are seen over the=20
NW Gulf moving toward the Texas coast.

For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf=20
through late tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh
east to southeast winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin=20
through early next week, except for occasional strong east winds=20
off western Cuba and off the northwest Yucatan. Locally rough seas
will continue in the Straits of Florida into early next week.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A weak north to south pressure gradient continues across the=20
Caribbean tonight, as a weakening stationary front extends
through the central Bahamas to the NW coast of Cuba. As a result,
fresh to locally strong E trades are restricted to only over the=20 south-central Caribbean S of 15N, where seas are 6 to 8 ft.=20
Elsewhere across the Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker with=20
seas of 3 to 5 ft, except 1 to 3 ft in the NW part of the basin.=20
Isolated evening showers and thunderstorms continue to diminish=20
over the Greater Antilles. Elsewhere, shallow moisture embedded=20
in the trade wind flow is moving across the Lesser Antilles and
into the eastern basin, producing brief showers.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the
northwestern Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and=20
increase winds over the basin, as a stalled frontal boundary
weakens into the weekend. This will lead to strong winds over the
south-central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next=20
week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will=20
commence south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of=20
Hispaniola starting Sat night.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section above for information on
a Significant Swell Event offshore Florida in the western=20
Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from just south of Bermuda through=20
31N66W to the central Bahamas, then more westward to along the NW
cost of Cuba, where it is quickly weakening. Scattered moderate=20
showers and thunderstorms are occurring ahead of the front to 60W,
and N of 24N. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough to very rough=20
seas to 14 ft are north the front, while gentle to moderate=20
winds and rough seas in N swell are up to around 240 NM ahead of=20
the front. Elsewhere, a strong 1036 mb Azores High is centered=20
north of the forecast waters at 35N37W with surface ridging=20
extending to the NE Caribbean. The large pressure gradient=20
between the ridging and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ
is supporting fresh to strong NE trades north of 13N and east of=20
50W. Seas are 8 to 14 ft E of 50W, and 5 to 8 ft E of the front=20
to 50W. S of 13N, moderate to fresh trade winds prevail, with=20
seas 7 to 10 ft in mainly N swell.

For the forecast west of 55W, a nearly stationary front extends=20
from just south of Bermuda through the Central Bahamas, where it=20
begins to weaken to the NW coast of Cuba. Strong high pressure
extends a ridge to the northwest of the frontal boundary. The=20
pressure gradient between these two features will continue to=20
allow for mostly strong NE winds and very rough seas north of=20
the front through the rest of tonight. These winds will then diminish
to fresh speeds Fri morning as the frontal boundary is nudged=20
southward by the high pressure. The main marine hazard will then be
large northeast swell that will maintain rough seas between=20
Bermuda and the Bahamas into the start of next week. Fresh to=20
strong winds look to return Sat night into early next week as the=20
pressure gradient tightens.=20

$$

Stripling

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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143=20
AXNT20 KNHC 100419
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Apr 10 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

West Atlantic Significant Swell: Strong high pressure across the
NW Atlantic extends a ridge southwestward and across the local
western Atlantic waters, to the north of a stalled cold front
lingering from near Bermuda through the central Bahamas. A very
tight pressure gradient north of this front is producing a long=20
and sustained fetch of strong NE winds, which is generating very=20
rough seas in the Atlantic waters north of the front. Recent SoFar
Ocean buoys and altimeter data show a large area of 11 to 14 ft=20
seas persisting north of the front to 31N, and extending westward to
just offshore of the east coast of Florida. Strong NE winds and=20
very rough seas will prevail for the next few hours before winds=20
gradually diminish late tonight, as the front weakens. High seas=20
in large NE swell will maintain rough seas between Bermuda and the
Bahamas into the start of next week, but are expected to subside=20
below 12 ft Fri morning. Fresh to strong winds are forecast to=20
return Sat night into early next week as the pressured gradient=20
tightens again.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!50Qzrkw2RN9_tP0a0yX_ZVthh5I4yEsQu_mSJILKWUgJpYdOE4_L765S6KIrKcXVj= D4F8DBqYsSsV_I0ADV72YrNLmc$ for more details on
both areas of significant swell.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Guinea near 10.5N14.5W and extends southwestward to 03.5N20W,=20
where it transitions to the ITCZ and continues to NE Brazil near=20
01.5S46W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted=20
south of 06N between 11W and 24W, and S of 02.5N between 24W and=20
47W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A broad ridge extends across the SE United States and across the=20
Gulf region. A lingering frontal boundary is weakening from the
central Bahamas to along the NW coast of Cuba. The associated=20
pressure gradient north of this boundary is forcing fresh to=20
strong NE to E winds across the E and north-central Gulf, with
strongest winds across NE portions. Seas across this area and over
the open waters continue at 6 to 9 ft, and extend to offshore of
central Louisiana. Elsewhere, NE to E winds are moderate or=20
weaker, with seas 3 to 6 ft. Scattered showers are seen over the=20
NW Gulf moving toward the Texas coast.

For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support strong NE winds and rough seas across the northeast Gulf=20
through late tonight. This pattern will maintain moderate to fresh
east to southeast winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin=20
through early next week, except for occasional strong east winds=20
off western Cuba and off the northwest Yucatan. Locally rough seas
will continue in the Straits of Florida into early next week.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A weak north to south pressure gradient continues across the=20
Caribbean tonight, as a weakening stationary front extends
through the central Bahamas to the NW coast of Cuba. As a result,
fresh to locally strong E trades are restricted to only over the=20 south-central Caribbean S of 15N, where seas are 6 to 8 ft.=20
Elsewhere across the Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker with=20
seas of 3 to 5 ft, except 1 to 3 ft in the NW part of the basin.=20
Isolated evening showers and thunderstorms continue to diminish=20
over the Greater Antilles. Elsewhere, shallow moisture embedded=20
in the trade wind flow is moving across the Lesser Antilles and
into the eastern basin, producing brief showers.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from the
northwestern Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and=20
increase winds over the basin, as a stalled frontal boundary
weakens into the weekend. This will lead to strong winds over the
south-central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next=20
week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will=20
commence south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of=20
Hispaniola starting Sat night.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section above for information on
a Significant Swell Event offshore Florida in the western=20
Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from just south of Bermuda through=20
31N66W to the central Bahamas, then more westward to along the NW
cost of Cuba, where it is quickly weakening. Scattered moderate=20
showers and thunderstorms are occurring ahead of the front to 60W,
and N of 24N. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough to very rough=20
seas to 14 ft are north the front, while gentle to moderate=20
winds and rough seas in N swell are up to around 240 NM ahead of=20
the front. Elsewhere, a strong 1036 mb Azores High is centered=20
north of the forecast waters at 35N37W with surface ridging=20
extending to the NE Caribbean. The large pressure gradient=20
between the ridging and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ
is supporting fresh to strong NE trades north of 13N and east of=20
50W. Seas are 8 to 14 ft E of 50W, and 5 to 8 ft E of the front=20
to 50W. S of 13N, moderate to fresh trade winds prevail, with=20
seas 7 to 10 ft in mainly N swell.

For the forecast west of 55W, a nearly stationary front extends=20
from just south of Bermuda through the Central Bahamas, where it=20
begins to weaken to the NW coast of Cuba. Strong high pressure
extends a ridge to the northwest of the frontal boundary. The=20
pressure gradient between these two features will continue to=20
allow for mostly strong NE winds and very rough seas north of=20
the front through the rest of tonight. These winds will then diminish
to fresh speeds Fri morning as the frontal boundary is nudged=20
southward by the high pressure. The main marine hazard will then be
large northeast swell that will maintain rough seas between=20
Bermuda and the Bahamas into the start of next week. Fresh to=20
strong winds look to return Sat night into early next week as the=20
pressure gradient tightens.=20

$$

Stripling

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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593=20
AXNT20 KNHC 101041
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Apr 10 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

West Atlantic Significant Swell: Strong high pressure over s the=20
NW Atlantic extends a ridge southwestward and across the local=20
western Atlantic waters, to the north of a stalled cold front=20
lingering from near Bermuda through the central Bahamas. A very=20
tight pressure gradient north of this front is producing a long=20
and sustained fetch of strong northeast winds that is generating=20
very rough seas in the Atlantic waters north of the front.
Overnight SoFar Ocean buoys and recent altimeter data show a=20
large area of 11 to 15 ft seas persisting north of the front to=20
31N, and extending westward to just offshore of the east coast of=20
Florida. Strong northeast winds and very rough seas will prevail=20
for the next few hours before winds gradually diminish late=20
tonight, as the front weakens. Large northeast swell at 12-13=20
seconds will maintain rough seas between Bermuda and the Bahamas=20
into the start of next week, but are expected to subside below 12=20
ft this morning. Fresh to strong winds are forecast to return Sat=20
night into early next week as the pressure gradient tightens=20
again.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!9L3LIGEUbRXRpBdt9wkYJhbDwenTxtcnNWVXWyWSMs1X_RqElKCn7-CvkVdfW4QUW= e-btDlka2ujUyy0r_EA4T4qqDU$ for more details on
both areas of significant swell.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Guinea near 10.5N14.5W and extends southwestward to 03.5N20W,=20
where it transitions to the ITCZ and continues to NE Brazil near=20
01.5S46W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
within 180 nm south of the ITCZ between 19W and 24W. Scattered
moderate convection is within 60 nm north of the trough between
16W-20.5N

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Broad ridging extends from the eastern U.S southwestward to=20
across the Gulf region. A lingering frontal boundary is weakening=20
from the central Bahamas to along the NW coast of Cuba. The=20
associated pressure gradient north of this boundary is leading to=20
fresh to strong northeast to east winds across the eastern and=20
north-central Gulf along with seas oi 6 to 8 ft. Elsewhere,
northeast to east winds are moderate or weaker, with seas 3 to 5
ft, except for higher seas of 5 to 7 ft north of 23N.

A mid-level disturbance moving across South Texas as seen in=20
water vapor imagery is triggering off a large area of light to=20
moderate rain, with embedded scattered showers and isolated=20
thunderstorms over the interior of South Texas. This activity also
extends into northeastern Mexico, and east from to the offshore=20
waters near 96W from 25N to 26N. This activity may hold together=20
as it generally moves eastward across the western Gulf through=20
this afternoon.

For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support strong northeast winds and rough seas across the=20
northeast Gulf through early this morning. Moderate to fresh east=20
to southeast winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin will=20
change little through the middle of next week, except for occasional
strong east winds off western Cuba and off the northwest Yucatan.
Locally rough seas will continue in the Straits of Florida into=20
early next week.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A weaker pressure gradient over the area is allowing for fresh to=20
strong trades to be confined to the south-central portion of the=20
basin, south of about 15N. Seas with these winds are in the range
of 6 to 9 ft. Elsewhere across the Caribbean winds are moderate=20
or weaker along with seas of 3 to 5 ft, except 1 to 3 ft in the=20
northwestern section of the basin.

Shallow moisture in the form of scattered to broken low clouds
embedded in the trade wind flow is moving across the Lesser=20
Antilles and into the eastern basin. Brief passing showers are=20
possible within this area of moisture.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from=20
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and=20
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the=20
south- central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next=20
week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will=20
commence south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of=20
Hispaniola starting Sat night.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section above for information on=20
western Atlantic significant swell offshore Florida.

A cold front extends from a 1015 mb low near 32N66W southwestward
to 30N67W, where it becomes a nearly stationary front to near=20
23N75W. Strong high pressure is building southward north of the=20
front. A surface trough is analyzed out ahead of the frontal=20
boundary from near 31N64W to 27N69W and to 24N73W. Meanwhile, and=20
upper shortwave trough shifting eastward is noted on water vapor=20
imagery just east of surface trough, and is helping to sustain=20
scattered moderate convection north of 26N between 60W and 65W,=20
and from 23N to 25N between 65W and 71W. Similar activity is seen=20
within 60 nm east of the cold front. Overnight scatterometer=20
satellite data indicates fresh to strong northeast winds and rough
to very rough seas of 11 to 15 ft north the front, while gentle=20
to moderate winds and rough seas in long-period north swell are up
to around 240 nm ahead of the front. Elsewhere, a strong 1034 mb=20
Azores High is centered north of the discussion area near 35N37W,=20
with a ridge stretching southwestward to near 21N62W. Broad=20
anticyclonic related to this feature covers the area north of=20
about 15N and between Africa and 64W. The large pressure gradient=20
between the high pressure and relatively lower pressure in the=20
vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting fresh to strong trades from 10N
to 26N and east of 50W. Seas are 8 to 12 ft east of 52W, and 5 to
8 ft E of the front to 50W. Moderate to fresh trades are south of
13N along with seas of 7 to 10 ft in long-period north to=20
northeast swell.

For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure difference between
the aforementioned frontal boundary and the strong high pressure=20
to its north will maintain mostly strong northeast winds for a few
more hours before they diminish to mostly fresh speeds. Rough=20
seas from large northeast swell will linger into this afternoon=20
and into the start of next week between Bermuda and the Bahamas.=20
Fresh to strong northeast winds are likely to return Sat night=20
into early next week as the pressure gradient tightens.

$$ Aguirre

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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494=20
AXNT20 KNHC 101050
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Apr 10 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

West Atlantic Significant Swell: Strong high pressure over s the=20
NW Atlantic extends a ridge southwestward and across the local=20
western Atlantic waters, to the north of a stalled cold front=20
lingering from near Bermuda through the central Bahamas. A very=20
tight pressure gradient north of this front is producing a long=20
and sustained fetch of strong northeast winds that is generating=20
very rough seas in the Atlantic waters north of the front.
Overnight SoFar Ocean buoys and recent altimeter data show a=20
large area of 11 to 15 ft seas persisting north of the front to=20
31N, and extending westward to just offshore of the east coast of=20
Florida. Strong northeast winds and very rough seas will prevail=20
for the next few hours before winds gradually diminish late=20
tonight, as the front weakens. Large northeast swell at 12-13=20
seconds will maintain rough seas between Bermuda and the Bahamas=20
into the start of next week, but are expected to subside below 12=20
ft this morning. Fresh to strong winds are forecast to return Sat=20
night into early next week as the pressure gradient tightens=20
again.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__= ;!!DZ3fjg!_KwSpMYFqvhfXwfDrvh_Q8u9Ztgrx4cUVbYU4qRpj7ytM0qa2UregMpwXmneAoSzK= 8C8_4Po415k1-dvgaVw0jmxfb0$ for more details on
both areas of significant swell.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Guinea near 10.5N14.5W and extends southwestward to 03.5N20W,=20
where it transitions to the ITCZ and continues to NE Brazil near=20
01.5S46W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
within 180 nm south of the ITCZ between 19W and 24W. Scattered
moderate convection is within 60 nm north of the trough between
16W-20.5N

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Broad ridging extends from the eastern U.S southwestward to=20
across the Gulf region. A lingering frontal boundary is weakening=20
from the central Bahamas to along the NW coast of Cuba. The=20
associated pressure gradient north of this boundary is leading to=20
fresh to strong northeast to east winds across the eastern and north-
central Gulf along with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Elsewhere, northeast to=20
east winds are moderate or weaker, with seas 3 to 5 ft, except for=20
higher seas of 5 to 7 ft north of 23N.

A mid-level disturbance moving across South Texas as seen in=20
water vapor imagery is triggering off a large area of light to=20
moderate rain, with embedded scattered showers and isolated=20
thunderstorms over the interior of South Texas. This activity also=20
extends into northeastern Mexico, and east from there to the=20
offshore waters near 96W from 25N to 26N. This activity may hold=20
together as it generally moves eastward across the western Gulf=20
through this afternoon.

For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support strong northeast winds and rough seas across the=20
northeast Gulf through early this morning. Moderate to fresh east=20
to southeast winds and moderate seas elsewhere across basin will=20
change little through the middle of next week, except for occasional
strong east winds off western Cuba and off the northwest Yucatan.
Locally rough seas will continue in the Straits of Florida into=20
early next week.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A weaker pressure gradient over the area is allowing for fresh to=20
strong trades to be confined to the south-central portion of the=20
basin, south of about 15N. Seas with these winds are in the range
of 6 to 9 ft. Elsewhere across the Caribbean winds are moderate or=20
weaker along with seas of 3 to 5 ft, except for 1 to 3 ft seas in=20
the northwestern section of the basin.

Shallow moisture in the form of scattered to broken low clouds
embedded in the trade wind flow is moving across the Lesser=20
Antilles and into the eastern basin. Brief passing showers are=20
possible within this area of moisture.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from=20
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and=20
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the=20
south- central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next=20
week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will=20
commence south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of=20
Hispaniola starting Sat night.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section above for information on=20
western Atlantic significant swell offshore Florida.

A cold front extends from a 1015 mb low near 32N66W southwestward
to 30N67W, where it becomes a nearly stationary front to near=20
23N75W. Strong high pressure is building southward north of the=20
front. A surface trough is analyzed out ahead of the frontal=20
boundary from near 31N64W to 27N69W and to 24N73W. Meanwhile, an=20
upper shortwave trough shifting eastward is noted on water vapor=20
imagery just east of surface trough, and is helping to sustain=20
scattered moderate convection north of 26N between 60W and 65W, and=20
from 23N to 25N between 65W and 71W. Similar activity is seen within=20
60 nm east of the cold front. Overnight scatterometer satellite data=20 indicates fresh to strong northeast winds and rough to very rough=20
seas of 11 to 15 ft north the front, while gentle to moderate winds=20
and rough seas in long-period north swell are up to around 240 nm=20
ahead of the front. Elsewhere, a strong 1034 mb Azores High is=20
centered north of the discussion area near 35N37W, with a ridge=20
stretching southwestward to near 21N62W. Broad anticyclonic flow=20
related to this feature covers the area north of about 15N and=20
between Africa and 64W. The large pressure gradient between the high=20 pressure and relatively lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ=20
is supporting fresh to strong trades from 10N to 26N and east of=20
50W. Seas are 8 to 12 ft east of 52W, and 5 to 8 ft east of the=20
front to 52W. Moderate to fresh trades are south of 13N along with=20
seas of 7 to 10 ft in long-period north to northeast swell.

For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure difference between
the aforementioned frontal boundary and the strong high pressure=20
to its north will maintain mostly strong northeast winds for a few
more hours before they diminish to mostly fresh speeds. Rough=20
seas from large northeast swell will linger into this afternoon=20
and into the start of next week between Bermuda and the Bahamas.=20
Fresh to strong northeast winds are likely to return Sat night=20
into early next week as the pressure gradient tightens.

$$ Aguirre

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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578
AXNT20 KNHC 101610
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Apr 10 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1555 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough is mainly confined to the African continent.
The ITCZ extends from near the coast of Sierra Leone near 07N13W
to 00N25W and to 02S45W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
within 120 nm on both sides of the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A strong ridge over the eastern United States is supporting
moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-8 ft north of a
line from SE Texas to the western tip of Cuba. Light to gentle
winds and moderate seas are noted south the aforementioned line. A
few showers are noted east of southern Texas, while generally dry
conditions persist across the remainder of the basin.

For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support strong northeast winds and rough seas across the
northeast Gulf through early this afternoon. Moderate to fresh
east to southeast winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere
across the basin through the middle of next week, except for
occasional strong east winds off western Cuba and off the
northwest Yucatan. Rough seas will continue in the Straits of
Florida into early next week. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are moving across the NW Gulf in the offshore waters of Texas.
This activity may hold together through this afternoon.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between the strong ridge over the eastern
United States and lower pressures in northern South America
results in fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 6-9
ft across the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the north- central,
SW and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
seas of 2-4 ft prevail. No significant convection is seen across
the basin. However, shallow pockets of moisture are causing
isolated showers in the eastern and central Caribbean.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the
south- central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next
week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will
prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of
Hispaniola starting on Sat night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N65W and
stretches southwestward to the SE Bahamas and eastern Cuba.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted north of
23N and between 60W and 72W. The tight pressure gradient between
this front and the ridge over the eastern United States sustains
fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas behind the front.
Fresh to locally strong southerly winds and rough seas are evident
ahead of the front to 57W and north of 28N.

The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of
an extensive subtropical ridge south of the Azores that forces
fresh to strong easterly trade winds over much of the central and
eastern Atlantic, especially north of 12N and east of 57W. Seas in
these waters are 8-12 ft. Moderate to locally fresh and seas of
6-10 ft are present elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between the
front and ridge over the eastern United States will maintain
strong northeast through tonight, then mostly fresh wind speeds
will prevail until Sun. Rough seas from large northeast swell will
linger into the start of next week between Bermuda and the
Bahamas. Fresh to strong northeast winds are expected early on Sun
and continue through early next week as the pressure gradient
tightens across the area.

$$
Delgado

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039
AXNT20 KNHC 102309
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Apr 11 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Sierra
Leone near 08N13W and extends southwestward to 04N17W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ and continues to NE Brazil near 02S44W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted south
of 04N between 10W and 40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends across the SE of the United States into the Gulf
region. The associated pressure gradient is supporting moderate
to fresh NE to E winds over the eastern Gulf with seas of 5 to 8
ft. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and moderate seas are
occurring over the western Gulf. A few showers with isolated
thunderstorms are currently noted mainly over the NW and SE
parts of the basin.

For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S.
will support moderate to fresh northeast winds and moderate seas
across the Gulf through the middle of next week. The exception
will be on Monday, when strong east winds will develop across the
eastern half of the basin. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are moving across the NW Gulf in the offshore waters of Texas.
This activity may hold together through tonight.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between the strong ridge over the eastern
United States and lower pressures in northern South America
results in fresh to strong trade winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft
across the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the north-central,
SW and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
and seas of 2 to 4 ft prevail. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are flared-up over easter Cuba, Jamaica and Hispaniola likely
associated with the southern end of a cold front over eastern
Cuba and a surface trough over Hispaniola. Elsewhere, shallow
moisture embedded in the trade wind flow is moving across the
basin producing brief showers.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the
south-central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next
week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will
prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of
Hispaniola starting on Sat night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from just E of Bermuda to eastern Cuba. A
band of showers and thunderstorms is ahead of the front, mainly N
of 22N. The tight pressure gradient between this front and the
ridge over the eastern United States sustains fresh to strong NE
winds and rough seas up to 10 ft behind the front. Moderate to fresh
southerly winds and rough seas are evident N of 27N ahead of the
front to about 55W. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area
is under the influence of an extensive subtropical ridge anchored
by a 1034 high pressure located SW of the Azores near 34N37W.
Fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas are observed
under the influence of the ridge, particularly N of 15N and E of
55W. Elsewhere, moderate winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure is building
southward north of the aforementioned front. The pressure gradient
between these two features will maintain strong northeast through
tonight, then mostly fresh wind speeds will prevail until Sun.
Rough seas from large northeast swell will linger into the start
of next week between Bermuda and the Bahamas. Fresh to strong
northeast winds are expected early on Sun and continue through
early next week as the pressure gradient tightens across the
area.

$$
GR

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881
AXNT20 KNHC 102310
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Apr 11 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Sierra
Leone near 08N13W and extends southwestward to 04N17W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ and continues to NE Brazil near 02S44W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted south
of 04N between 10W and 40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends across the SE of the United States into the Gulf
region. The associated pressure gradient is supporting moderate
to fresh NE to E winds over the eastern Gulf with seas of 5 to 8
ft. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and moderate seas are
occurring over the western Gulf. A few showers with isolated
thunderstorms are currently noted mainly over the NW and SE
parts of the basin.

For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S.
will support moderate to fresh northeast winds and moderate seas
across the Gulf through the middle of next week. The exception
will be on Monday, when strong east winds will develop across the
eastern half of the basin. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are moving across the NW Gulf in the offshore waters of Texas.
This activity may hold together through tonight.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between the strong ridge over the eastern
United States and lower pressures in northern South America
results in fresh to strong trade winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft
across the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the north-central,
SW and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
and seas of 2 to 4 ft prevail. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are flared-up over easter Cuba, Jamaica and Hispaniola likely
associated with the southern end of a cold front over eastern
Cuba and a surface trough over Hispaniola. Elsewhere, shallow
moisture embedded in the trade wind flow is moving across the
basin producing brief showers.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the
south-central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next
week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will
prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of
Hispaniola starting on Sat night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from just E of Bermuda to eastern Cuba. A
band of showers and thunderstorms is ahead of the front, mainly N
of 22N. The tight pressure gradient between this front and the
ridge over the eastern United States sustains fresh to strong NE
winds and rough seas up to 12 ft behind the front. Moderate to fresh
southerly winds and rough seas are evident N of 27N ahead of the
front to about 55W. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is
under the influence of an extensive subtropical ridge anchored by a
1034 high pressure located SW of the Azores near 34N37W. Fresh to
strong easterly trade winds and rough seas are observed under the
influence of the ridge, particularly N of 15N and E of 55W.
Elsewhere, moderate winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure is building
southward north of the aforementioned front. The pressure gradient
between these two features will maintain strong northeast through
tonight, then mostly fresh wind speeds will prevail until Sun.
Rough seas from large northeast swell will linger into the start
of next week between Bermuda and the Bahamas. Fresh to strong
northeast winds are expected early on Sun and continue through
early next week as the pressure gradient tightens across the
area.

$$
GR

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322
AXNT20 KNHC 110609
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Apr 11 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
05 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough remains mostly over the Africa Continent. An
ITCZ extends southwestward from 04N13W through 00N29W to near Sao
Luis, Brazil. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
noted up to 200 nm along either side of the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A broad surface ridge extends southwestward from northern Florida
to near Veracruz, Mexico. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds and
seas of 4 to 7 ft exist at the north-central Gulf, Florida Straits
and eastern Bay of Campeche. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds
with 2 to 4 ft seas prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

For the forecast, the broad surface ridge will maintain mostly
moderate to fresh E winds across the Gulf through Sat night. The
ridge is expected to strengthen some through late Sun night while
gradually shifting northward through early next week before
weakening into midweek. A tightening pressure gradient between
the ridge and lower pressure to its southeast associated with a
frontal boundary will funnel pulsing fresh to strong E winds
through the Straits of Florida and into the southeastern Gulf
starting on Mon. Seas across the Gulf will be at a mostly
moderate state, except reaching a rough state, at times, in the
Straits of Florida beginning on Mon.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A fair trade-wind regime persist across much of the Caribbean Sea.
Strong to locally near-gale NE to ENE winds and seas at 5 to 9 ft
are present at the south-central basin, including the Gulf of
Venezuela. Mostly fresh NE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas exist at the
lee of Cuba and near the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate NE
to E winds and seas of 3 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere in the
Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and
increase winds over the basin. This is going to sustain strong
winds over the south-central basin into early next week. Fresh to
strong NE winds and building seas will prevail south of Cuba, in
the Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola starting on Sat
night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends southwestward from just east of Bermuda
across 31N64W and Turks and Caicos Islands to eastern Cuba.
Convergent southerly winds are triggering scattered moderate
convection up to 210 nm southeast of this boundary east of 70W.
A surface trough embedded within the trades is producing
scattered showers east of the Lesser Antilles from 11N to 20N
between 50W and 60W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at
the beginning for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.

Moderate to fresh NE winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft are evident
behind the cold front, except seas in the Bahamas are 5 to 7 ft.
East of the front, fresh to strong SE to S winds and 8 to 10 ft
are noted north of 28N between 52W and the front. To the south,
gentle to moderate SE to S winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft are
present. For the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W,
moderate to fresh NE to E winds and seas of 7 to 9 ft in large NE
to E swell prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, a strong high pressure near the
U.S. Mid-Atlantic coast is building southward behind the
aforementioned cold front. The pressure gradient between these two
features will maintain mostly fresh NE winds west of the front
through Sun. Winds become locally strong starting Sun night as the
high pressure strengthens some. The winds then diminish back to
mostly fresh starting Tue south of 28N as the high pressure
weakens, with an associated ridge near 31N. Rough seas from large
NE swell will linger into the start of next week between Bermuda
and the Bahamas.

$$

Chan

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328
AXNT20 KNHC 111046
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Apr 11 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600| UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis remains mostly over the Africa Continent.
The ITCZ extends southwestward from 03N12W to 01N32W and to near
02N43W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within
120 nm north of the ITCZ between 11W and 18W and within 120 nm
south of the ITCZ between 13W and 17W. Scattered moderate convection
is within 180 nm north of the ITCZ between 32W and 36W and within
60 nm south of the ITCZ between 35W and the coast of Brazil.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Broad ridging stretches from the southeastern U.S. southwestward
to central Texas. The related gradient is allowing for mostly
moderate to fresh east winds across just about the entire
basin. Seas are 5 to 7 ft east of 90W and south of 26N and 4 to 6
ft elsewhere, except for slightly lower seas of 3 to 5 ft in the
SW Gulf.

For the forecast, the moderate to fresh east winds should persist
through tonight. The high pressure will strengthen some through
late Sun night as it shifts eastward over the western Atlantic
through early next week before it weakens into midweek. A ridge
will stretch west-southwestward from the high to across the
northern Gulf through the period. A tightening pressure gradient
between the ridge and lower pressure to its southeast associated
with a frontal boundary will funnel pulsing fresh to strong east
winds through the Straits of Florida and into the southeastern
Gulf starting on Mon. Seas across the basin will be at a mostly
moderate state, except, at times, reaching a rough state in the
Straits of Florida beginning on Mon.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The present synoptic weather pattern, with a frontal system over
the western Atlantic and building high pressure behind it is
keeping fresh to strong trades confined to the south-central
section of the sea, namely south of about 16N and between 70W and
78W. Seas with these winds are 7 to 10 ft. Fresh northeast winds
have recently develop in the lee of Cuba and in the Windward
Passage. Moderate to fresh trades are elsewhere south of 17N
east of 85W, and gentle to moderate northeast to east winds are
elsewhere in the western section of the basin. Seas of 4 to 6 ft
are elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, except north of 18N and
east of 85W where slightly lower seas of 3 to 5 ft are found.

For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from
the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the
south- central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next
week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will
prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of
Hispaniola starting tonight.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends southwestward from low pressure of 1011 mb
north of the area near 33N61W to 31N61W to 28N65W and to the
eastern tip of Cuba. Fresh to strong south winds are east of the
front to near 52W and north of 28N. Seas with these winds are in
the range of 8 to 10 ft. Scattered moderate convection is evident
within about 120 nm east of the front north of 24N. A trough
is analyzed from near 19N53W to 12N53W. Isolated showers are
possible near this trough.

Mostly fresh northeast winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft are evident
behind the cold front, except seas in the Bahamas are 5 to 7 ft.
Winds elsewhere east of the front are moderate to fresh in speeds,
and east to southeast in direction to near 40W along with seas of
7 to 9 ft in long-period east swell. East of 40W, east winds of
fresh speeds are present also with seas of 7 to 9 ft in long-
period northeast swell.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure centered over the
southeastern U.S. is building southward over the western Atlantic
behind the above described cold front. The pressure gradient
between the high pressure and the front will maintain mostly
fresh northeast winds west of the front through Sun. Winds become
locally strong starting Sun night as the high pressure strengthens
some. The winds then diminish back to mostly fresh speeds
starting Tue south of 28N as the high pressure weakens, with an
associated ridge near 31N. Rough seas from large NE swell will
linger into the start of next week between Bermuda and the
Bahamas.

$$
Aguirre

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487
AXNT20 KNHC 111550
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Apr 11 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1530 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N13W to 04N20W. The ITCZ
continues from 04N20W to 02S45W. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is from 00N to 08N between 13W and 20W.
Scattered moderate convection is elsewhere within 120 nm of
either side of the ITCZ.

GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure anchored over the SE United States continues to
impart surface ridging across the Gulf, providing for moderate or
weaker E to SE winds and 3-6 ft seas.

For the forecast, high pressure over the eastern U.S. will build
southward toward the region. The related gradient will continue to
maintain mostly moderate to fresh east winds across the basin
through tonight. The high pressure will strengthen some through
late Sun night as it shifts eastward over the western Atlantic
through early next week before it weakens into midweek. A ridge
will stretch west- southwestward from the high to across the
northern Gulf through the period. A tightening pressure gradient
between the ridge and lower pressure to its southeast associated
with a frontal boundary will funnel pulsing fresh to strong east
winds through the Straits of Florida and into the southeastern
Gulf starting on Mon. Seas across the basin will be at a mostly
moderate state, except reaching a rough state, at times, in the
Straits of Florida beginning on Mon.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

The present synoptic weather pattern, with a cold front north of
Hispaniola over the W Atlantic, and high pressures centered over
the SE United States and in the north-central Atlantic, limits
fresh to locally strong trades to the south-central Caribbean off
the coast of Colombia, with 7-9 ft seas. Within the Windward
Passage, fresh NE winds are analyzed as some of the post-frontal
airmass drains through the passage. Moderate NE winds prevail
elsewhere in the NW Caribbean, with 3-5 ft seas. In the remaining
sections of the Eastern and Central Caribbean, trades are
moderate or weaker with 4-7 ft seas.

For the forecast, high pressure building southward from the
western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and increase
winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the south-
central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next week.
Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will prevail
south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola
starting tonight. Winds and seas will diminish late next week.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from 31N61W to the coast of Hispaniola near
20N70W. Moderate to locally fresh N winds, and 7-9 ft seas,
prevail west of the frontal boundary across the W Atlantic.
Scattered showers and tstorms are along the front. The tropical
Atlantic is dominated by 1035 mb high pressure centered near the
Azores. Moderate to fresh trades prevail north of 15N, with
moderate or weaker trades south of 15N. 8-10 ft seas, in decaying
long period NE swell, are analyzed from 05N to 25N between 20W and
60W. Elsewhere, seas are 4-7 ft in open waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure is building behind the aforementioned cold front over the western Atlantic. The pressure
gradient between these two features will maintain moderate to
fresh northeast winds west of the front through Sun. Winds become
locally strong starting Sun night as the high pressure strengthens
some. The winds then diminish back to mostly fresh speeds
starting Tue south of 28N as the high pressure weakens, with an
associated ridge near 31N. Rough seas from large NE swell will
linger into the start of next week between Bermuda and the
Bahamas.

$$
Mahoney

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444=20
AXNT20 KNHC 112257
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Apr 12 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
2245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Meteo-France has issued a Gale warning for the area of Agadir,=20
which will begin on 12/15Z through 13/00Z. Sustained northerly=20
gale-force winds are expected in the area, with higher gusts.=20

For more details, refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast
product, listed on their website at https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwm= iws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!61Kb0SqlkKP0DuOticO6gD9E_ooIxGfMqyHa1IGOF_9Tdq7BfSx1= -SKzFl6Ue2_mYdUCNBf51_zIPYEWVi0mRvAFBMI$ .

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N14W to 04N20W. The ITCZ=20
continues from 04N20W to 03S45W. Scattered moderate isolated=20
strong convection is from 00N to 15N and E of 24W, and from=20
S of 03N and W of 32W.

GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure anchored over the SE United States continues to
impart surface ridging across the Gulf, providing for moderate or
weaker E to SE winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast, high pressure over the eastern United States will
maintain mostly moderate to fresh east winds across the basin=20
through tonight. The high pressure will strengthen some through=20
late Sun night as it shifts southward over the western Atlantic=20
through early next week before it weakens into midweek. A ridge=20
will stretch west- southwestward from the high to across the=20
northern Gulf through the period. A tightening pressure gradient=20
between the ridge and lower pressure to its southeast associated=20
with a frontal boundary will funnel pulsing fresh to strong east=20
winds through the Straits of Florida and into the southeastern=20
Gulf starting on Mon. Seas across the basin will be at a mostly=20
moderate state, except reaching a rough state, at times, in the=20
Straits of Florida beginning on Mon.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

The present synoptic weather pattern, with a cold front north of=20
Hispaniola over the W Atlantic, and high pressures centered over=20
the SE United States and in the north-central Atlantic, limits=20
fresh to strong trades to the south-central Caribbean off the=20
coast of Colombia, with 7-9 ft seas. Within the Windward Passage,=20
fresh NE winds are analyzed as some of the post-frontal airmass=20
drains through the passage. Moderate NE winds prevail elsewhere in
the NW Caribbean, with 3-5 ft seas. In the remaining sections of=20
the Eastern and Central Caribbean, trades are moderate or weaker=20
with 4-7 ft seas.

For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will=20
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds and rough=20
seas to 10 ft over the south-central Caribbean through the weekend
and into early next week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and=20
building seas will prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage,
and south of Hispaniola starting tonight. Winds and seas will=20
diminish late next week.=20

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from 31N61W to the coast of Hispaniola near
20N70W. Moderate to locally fresh N winds, and 7-9 ft seas,
prevail west of the frontal boundary across the W Atlantic.
Scattered showers and tstorms are along the front. The tropical
Atlantic is dominated by 1035 mb high pressure centered near the
Azores. Moderate to fresh trades prevail north of 15N, with
moderate or weaker trades south of 15N. 8-10 ft seas, in decaying
long period NE swell, are analyzed from 05N to 25N between 20W and
60W. Elsewhere, seas are 4-7 ft in open waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure is building behind the aforementioned cold front over the western Atlantic. The pressure gradient between these two features will maintain mostly fresh northeast=20
winds west of the front through Sun. Winds become fresh to strong=20
starting Sun night as the high pressure strengthens some. The=20
winds then diminish back to mostly fresh speeds starting Tue south
of 28N as the high pressure weakens, with an associated ridge=20
near 31N. Rough seas from large NE swell will linger into the=20
start of next week between Bermuda and the Bahamas.=20

$$
ERA

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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445=20
AXNT20 KNHC 112257
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Apr 12 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
2245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Meteo-France has issued a Gale warning for the area of Agadir,=20
which will begin on 12/15Z through 13/00Z. Sustained northerly=20
gale-force winds are expected in the area, with higher gusts.=20

For more details, refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast
product, listed on their website at https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwm= iws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!_UlE_V2W3e2fpCn5ShJP0vk5j6qMwHpfsx7JXs-xIZ64qcT36mid= PW3gI8-xu7xQL65idaGYd5-OV2QKsittzjhk2UU$ .

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N14W to 04N20W. The ITCZ=20
continues from 04N20W to 03S45W. Scattered moderate isolated=20
strong convection is from 00N to 15N and E of 24W, and from=20
S of 03N and W of 32W.

GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure anchored over the SE United States continues to
impart surface ridging across the Gulf, providing for moderate or
weaker E to SE winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast, high pressure over the eastern United States will
maintain mostly moderate to fresh east winds across the basin=20
through tonight. The high pressure will strengthen some through=20
late Sun night as it shifts southward over the western Atlantic=20
through early next week before it weakens into midweek. A ridge=20
will stretch west- southwestward from the high to across the=20
northern Gulf through the period. A tightening pressure gradient=20
between the ridge and lower pressure to its southeast associated=20
with a frontal boundary will funnel pulsing fresh to strong east=20
winds through the Straits of Florida and into the southeastern=20
Gulf starting on Mon. Seas across the basin will be at a mostly=20
moderate state, except reaching a rough state, at times, in the=20
Straits of Florida beginning on Mon.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

The present synoptic weather pattern, with a cold front north of=20
Hispaniola over the W Atlantic, and high pressures centered over=20
the SE United States and in the north-central Atlantic, limits=20
fresh to strong trades to the south-central Caribbean off the=20
coast of Colombia, with 7-9 ft seas. Within the Windward Passage,=20
fresh NE winds are analyzed as some of the post-frontal airmass=20
drains through the passage. Moderate NE winds prevail elsewhere in
the NW Caribbean, with 3-5 ft seas. In the remaining sections of=20
the Eastern and Central Caribbean, trades are moderate or weaker=20
with 4-7 ft seas.

For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will=20
increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds and rough=20
seas to 10 ft over the south-central Caribbean through the weekend
and into early next week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and=20
building seas will prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage,
and south of Hispaniola starting tonight. Winds and seas will=20
diminish late next week.=20

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from 31N61W to the coast of Hispaniola near
20N70W. Moderate to locally fresh N winds, and 7-9 ft seas,
prevail west of the frontal boundary across the W Atlantic.
Scattered showers and tstorms are along the front. The tropical
Atlantic is dominated by 1035 mb high pressure centered near the
Azores. Moderate to fresh trades prevail north of 15N, with
moderate or weaker trades south of 15N. 8-10 ft seas, in decaying
long period NE swell, are analyzed from 05N to 25N between 20W and
60W. Elsewhere, seas are 4-7 ft in open waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure is building behind the aforementioned cold front over the western Atlantic. The pressure gradient between these two features will maintain mostly fresh northeast=20
winds west of the front through Sun. Winds become fresh to strong=20
starting Sun night as the high pressure strengthens some. The=20
winds then diminish back to mostly fresh speeds starting Tue south
of 28N as the high pressure weakens, with an associated ridge=20
near 31N. Rough seas from large NE swell will linger into the=20
start of next week between Bermuda and the Bahamas.=20

$$
ERA

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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751=20
AXNT20 KNHC 120555
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Apr 12 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Meteo-France has issued Gale warnings for the marine zones of=20
Agadir from 12/09Z through 13/00Z, and Tarfaya from 12/15Z=20
through 13/00Z. Please refer to the Meteo-France High Seas=20
Forecast product, listed on the website at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http= s://wwmiws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!9oLSMq0GtUjIt86sDDN8yKqZGFzGRUmcEnjIhf_m8UhKF= GEPLsjzsL4ATOYSgPPXAGK_OznERUeKrfykfcjr78IfBdo$ .
for more information.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border Gambia
and southern Senegal, then extends southwestward to 02N25W. An ITCZ
continues from 02N25W across 00N30W to near Sao Luis, Brazil.=20
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is found near the
ITCZ from 10N to 13N near the Africa coast from Guinea-Bissau
northward to Gambia, and from 02S to 04N between 20W and 25W.
Similar convection is also seen up to 230 nm along either side of
the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A surface ridge reaches southwestward from a 1025 mb high near the
Florida Panhandle to near Veracruz, Mexico. Fresh with locally
strong NE to SE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are present at the
northwestern Gulf, north of the Yucatan Peninsula and across the
Florida Straits. Gentle winds and 1 to 3 ft seas are noted at the
northeastern Gulf and the western Bay of Campeche. Gentle to
moderate NE to SE winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft prevail for the rest
of the Gulf.

For the forecast, the aforementioned high will maintain mostly=20
moderate to fresh E winds across the Gulf through tonight. It is=20
expected to strengthen some through late Sun night, then weaken
into midweek next week, while shifting southward over the western
Atlantic. The ridge will persist across the Gulf through this=20
period. A tightening pressure gradient between the ridge and lower
pressure to its southeast associated with a frontal boundary will
funnel pulsing fresh to strong E winds through the Florida Straits=20
and into the southeastern Gulf starting on Sun. Seas across the=20
Gulf will mostly be moderate, except reaching rough at times in=20
the Florida Straits beginning on Mon.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A robust trade-wind pattern continues across much of the=20
Caribbean Sea. Convergent trades are causing scattered heavy=20
showers and isolated thunderstorms off the coast of Costa Rica.=20
Latest ASCAT satellite scatterometer and earlier altimetery data=20
reveal fresh to strong NE winds and seas of 5 to 8 ft at the=20
south-central basin, lee of Cuba and near the Windward Passage.=20
Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and 2 to 4 ft seas exist at the=20 north-central and northeastern basin. Moderate to fresh NE to E=20
winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean=20
Sea, including the Gulf of Venezuela.

For the forecast, building high pressure over the western=20
Atlantic will increase winds across the Caribbean Sea, leading to
strong winds and rough seas to 10 ft over the south-central=20
basin into early next week. Fresh to strong NE winds and rising=20
seas will prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and=20
south of Hispaniola starting tonight. Winds and seas will diminish
late next week.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A nearly stationary front extends southwestward from east of
Bermuda across 31N60W to the northern coast of the Dominican
Republic. Convergent southerly winds are producing scattered
moderate convection north of 24N between 56W and the front itself.
Similar convection is also occurring over northern Hispaniola.
Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at the beginning for
additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.=20

Moderate to fresh with locally strong NE winds and seas of 6 to 9
ft are evident behind the nearly stationary front, except seas=20
are 4 to 6 ft in the Great Bahama Bank. Farther southeast, gentle=20
winds and 5 to 7 ft seas in moderate mixed swells are noted north=20
of 20N between 60W and the front. To the east, a broad Atlantic=20
Ridge associated with a 1033 mb Azores High is supporting gentle=20
to moderate E to SSE winds with seas at 6 to 8 ft in large NE to E
swell dominate north of 20N between 35W and 60W. Moderate with=20
locally fresh ENE to ESE winds and 6 to 8 ft seas prevail for the=20
remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the fresh to locally strong=20
NE winds will expand in coverage from Sun through Mon night as=20
the northern portion of the frontal boundary transitions back to a
cold front reaching waters near 55W by late Mon. The winds will
then diminish to mostly fresh starting Tue south of 28N as the=20
high pressure weakens, with an associated ridge near 31N. Rough=20
seas from large NE swell will linger through Tue between Bermuda=20
and the Bahamas.=20

$$

Chan

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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