• ADVISORY: Tropical Storm Arthur Intermediate Advisory Number 6a

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, June 17, 2026 17:54:05
    953=20
    WTNT31 KNHC 171753
    TCPAT1
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    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Arthur Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012026
    100 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
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    ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE=20
    TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COAST...
    ...LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
    SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...
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    SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...28.9N 95.7W
    ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
    ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM WSW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
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    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
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    None.
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    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
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    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Sargent, Texas to Morgan City, Louisiana
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    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected within the warning area.
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    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.
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    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Arthur was=20
    located near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 95.7 West. Arthur is=20
    moving toward the northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). On the forecast=20
    track, Arthur should move farther inland over southeastern Texas and=20 southwestern Louisiana through tonight.
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    Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.=20 Weakening is anticipated as the low moves farther inland, and it=20
    could dissipate by tonight or early Thursday.
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    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
    from the center. NOAA buoy 42035 east of Galveston recently reported
    a sustained wind of 47 mph (76 km/h) and a gust of 54 mph (86 km/h).
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    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
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    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Storm Arthur can be found in the Tropical
    Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header
    WTNT41 KNHC.
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    RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Arthur is expected to produce rainfall
    totals of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated higher totals near 20
    inches, through early Friday from the Mid and Upper Texas coast
    east-northeast into southern and central portions of Louisiana,
    Mississippi, and Alabama, along with western portions of Georgia and
    the Florida Panhandle. This could generate dangerous to
    life-threatening flash flooding.
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    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with=20
    Arthur, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall=20
    Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and=20
    the Flash Flood Risk graphic at=20
    hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero.
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    For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated=20
    with Arthur, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the=20
    WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link:=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc= 1.html__;!!DZ3fjg!5J2yFqUkW2FcNR4Tmu1KKNW-2Mfz8NhGu8fprkiYuAwa5kcGepxiBhtgt= G9AbI4iGtKMUREezc5QzbKi5rmQi-WulQI$ .
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    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area
    today.
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    STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
    tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
    rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
    reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
    areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
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    Port Bolivar, TX to Morgan City, LA...2-4 ft
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    The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
    the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
    accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding
    depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle,
    and can vary greatly over short distances. For information
    specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
    National Weather Service forecast office.
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    For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
    please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
    available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?peakSurge.
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    SURF: Swells generated by Arthur are likely to cause=20
    life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the=20
    northwestern Gulf Coast for the next day or two. Please consult=20
    products from your local weather office.
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    A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
    at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ripCurrents
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    TORNADO: A couple of tornadoes are possible through Thursday from
    the Upper Texas Coast into southern Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama,
    and the western Florida Panhandle.
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    NEXT ADVISORY
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    Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
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    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
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