812
AXNT20 KNHC 261826 CCA
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Jun 26 2025

Corrected Tropical Waves section

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Rainfall in Central America/Western Caribbean:
The interaction between a couple of tropical waves that are
described below, and abundant tropical moisture over the same
area will continue to enhance the chances for significant showers
and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean and across portions
of Central America through at least Fri. This will increase the
potential for flash flooding and mudslides, especially in hilly
terrains. According to the latest model guidance, the heaviest
rainfall is expected to be near the northeast coast of Nicaragua
and in northern Honduras. Please refer to the local Weather
Services in the region for more information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 30W from
04N to 15N, moving westward around 15 kt. No significant
convection is presently occurring with this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis extending from
18N46W to 12N45W to 02N45W. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Satellite imagery reveals scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms within 180 nm either side of the wave from 09N
to 12N.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 80W south of
17N. It is moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is near the northern portion of the wave. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are within 60-90 nm of the wave axis
from 09N to 12N.

A far western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 88W and
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. This wave
remains under a region of broad anticyclonic flow that is
helping to sustain numerous moderate to strong convection that
is between this wave and the one near 80W. This convection is
occurring from 14N to 21N between 80W-86W. Small clusters of
scattered moderate convection are along and just offshore the
coast of Nicaragua, with similar convection noted just offshore
Costa Rica and northern Panama. This wave is forecast to merge
into a broad cyclonic circulation that is over the eastern
Pacific Ocean associated to Invest-EP95.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis passes through the coast of Senegal near
14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N24W and west-southwestward
09N31W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N44W. It resumes
west of a tropical wave near 09N46W and continues to 08N57W.
Aside from convection related to the wave that is along a position
from 18N46W to 12N45W to 02N45W, scattered moderate convection is
within 180 nm south of the trough between the coast of Africa and
23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Atlantic high pressure extends westward across the northern Gulf.
A trough is analyzed from near Apalachicola, Florida southward to
25N85W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are north of
27N between 84W and 91W. Both buoy and scatterometer satellite
data indicate light to gentle east winds throughout, except for
east to southeast gentle winds over the far western Gulf. Seas are
in the 2 to 4 ft range.

For the forecast, the high pressure will dominate the Gulf waters
through early next week. Fresh to locally strong northeast
to east winds will pulse each evening and night north of the
Yucatan Peninsula and in the eastern Bay of Campeche due to local
effects induced by a thermal trough. Gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds and slight to moderate seas are expected elsewhere
through early next wee

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Refer to the Special Features section regarding the potential
for heavy rainfall over portions of the western Caribbean.

The present pressure gradient is sustaining fresh to strong
trades across the south-central portion of the basin as depicted
in recent scatterometer satellite data passes. Seas with these
winds are 8 to 11 ft. Mostly fresh trades with seas of 5 to 7 ft
are elsewhere across the basin east of 85W, except for seas of 6
to 9 ft in east swell north of 15N. Fresh trades are also in the
Gulf of Honduras with seas of 4 to 6 ft. Moderate east to
southeast winds are west of 85W with seas of 3 to 5 ft.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge of high
pressure in the Atlantic and lower pressure in the southwestern
Caribbean that is associated with the eastern Pacific monsoon
trough will support fresh to strong trades across most of the
central and SW Caribbean. Winds are expected to pulse to near-
gale force off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, with
moderate to rough seas. Strong winds will develop over the Gulf of
Honduras today and continue through the weekend. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas will prevail.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure of 1021 mb is analyzed at 27.5N64W while a 1027 is
analyzed north of the area at 34N30W. A trough extends from near
29N44W to 22N48W. High pressure covers the area north of about
20N and east of the Bahamas. Fresh to strong east winds are
south of 22N between 66W and 73W. Moderate to fresh east winds are
elsewhere south of 24N, except for fresh northeast winds east of
40W. Seas are 5 to 6 ft south of 24N east of the Bahamas and to
3 to 5 ft elsewhere except for lower seas of 3 to 4 ft over
the northwest part of the area and for seas of 3 ft or less west
of the Bahamas including the Straits of Florida.

A mid to upper-level low is located just east of central Florida
as seen in water vapor imagery. At the surface, a trough extends
from 29N79W to the near the NW Bahamas. Scattered moderate
convection is from 25N to 30N between 74W and the coast of
Florida. Farther east, an upper-level low dropping south is noted
near 27N58W. Scattered moderate convection associated with this
feature exists from 24N to 29N between 54W and 61W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High and associated
ridge will prevail across the region through early next week.
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas will prevail
south of 25N. Fresh to strong east winds will pulse late in the
afternoon and at night north of Hispaniola through early next
week. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas are
expected elsewhere.

$$
Aguirre

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656
AXNT20 KNHC 261832 CCA
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Jun 26 2025

Corrected Tropical Waves section

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Rainfall in Central America/Western Caribbean:
The interaction between a couple of tropical waves that are
described below, and abundant tropical moisture over the same
area will continue to enhance the chances for significant showers
and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean and across portions
of Central America through at least Fri. This will increase the
potential for flash flooding and mudslides, especially in hilly
terrains. According to the latest model guidance, the heaviest
rainfall is expected to be near the northeast coast of Nicaragua
and in northern Honduras. Please refer to the local Weather
Services in the region for more information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 30W from
04N to 15N, moving westward around 15 kt. No significant
convection is presently occurring with this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis extending from
18N46W to 12N45W to 02N45W. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Satellite imagery reveals scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are within 180 nm either side of the wave from 09N
to 12N.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 80W south of
17N. It is moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is near the northern portion of the wave. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are within 60-90 nm of the wave axis
from 09N to 12N.

A far western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 88W and
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. This wave
remains under a region of broad anticyclonic flow that is
helping to sustain numerous moderate to strong convection that
is between this wave and the one near 80W. This convection is
occurring from 14N to 21N between 80W-86W. Small clusters of
scattered moderate convection are along and just offshore the
coast of Nicaragua, with similar convection noted just offshore
Costa Rica and northern Panama. This wave is forecast to merge
into a broad cyclonic circulation that is over the eastern
Pacific Ocean associated to Invest-EP95.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis passes through the coast of Senegal near
14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N24W and west-southwestward
09N31W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N44W. It resumes
west of a tropical wave near 09N46W and continues to 08N57W.
Aside from convection related to the wave that is along a position
from 18N46W to 12N45W to 02N45W, scattered moderate convection is
within 180 nm south of the trough between the coast of Africa and
23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Atlantic high pressure extends westward across the northern Gulf.
A trough is analyzed from near Apalachicola, Florida southward to
25N85W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are north of
27N between 84W and 91W. Both buoy and scatterometer satellite
data indicate light to gentle east winds throughout, except for
east to southeast gentle winds over the far western Gulf. Seas are
in the 2 to 4 ft range.

For the forecast, the high pressure will dominate the Gulf waters
through early next week. Fresh to locally strong northeast
to east winds will pulse each evening and night north of the
Yucatan Peninsula and in the eastern Bay of Campeche due to local
effects induced by a thermal trough. Gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds and slight to moderate seas are expected elsewhere
through early next wee

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Refer to the Special Features section regarding the potential
for heavy rainfall over portions of the western Caribbean.

The present pressure gradient is sustaining fresh to strong
trades across the south-central portion of the basin as depicted
in recent scatterometer satellite data passes. Seas with these
winds are 8 to 11 ft. Mostly fresh trades with seas of 5 to 7 ft
are elsewhere across the basin east of 85W, except for seas of 6
to 9 ft in east swell north of 15N. Fresh trades are also in the
Gulf of Honduras with seas of 4 to 6 ft. Moderate east to
southeast winds are west of 85W with seas of 3 to 5 ft.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge of high
pressure in the Atlantic and lower pressure in the southwestern
Caribbean that is associated with the eastern Pacific monsoon
trough will support fresh to strong trades across most of the
central and SW Caribbean. Winds are expected to pulse to near-
gale force off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, with
moderate to rough seas. Strong winds will develop over the Gulf of
Honduras today and continue through the weekend. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas will prevail.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure of 1021 mb is analyzed at 27.5N64W while a 1027 is
analyzed north of the area at 34N30W. A trough extends from near
29N44W to 22N48W. High pressure covers the area north of about
20N and east of the Bahamas. Fresh to strong east winds are
south of 22N between 66W and 73W. Moderate to fresh east winds are
elsewhere south of 24N, except for fresh northeast winds east of
40W. Seas are 5 to 6 ft south of 24N east of the Bahamas and to
3 to 5 ft elsewhere except for lower seas of 3 to 4 ft over
the northwest part of the area and for seas of 3 ft or less west
of the Bahamas including the Straits of Florida.

A mid to upper-level low is located just east of central Florida
as seen in water vapor imagery. At the surface, a trough extends
from 29N79W to the near the NW Bahamas. Scattered moderate
convection is from 25N to 30N between 74W and the coast of
Florida. Farther east, an upper-level low dropping south is noted
near 27N58W. Scattered moderate convection associated with this
feature exists from 24N to 29N between 54W and 61W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High and associated
ridge will prevail across the region through early next week.
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas will prevail
south of 25N. Fresh to strong east winds will pulse late in the
afternoon and at night north of Hispaniola through early next
week. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas are
expected elsewhere.

$$
Aguirre

= = = = = = =
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803
AXNT20 KNHC 261835 CCA
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Jun 26 2025

Corrected Tropical Waves section

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Rainfall in Central America/Western Caribbean:
The interaction between a couple of tropical waves that are
described below, and abundant tropical moisture over the same
area will continue to enhance the chances for significant showers
and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean and across portions
of Central America through at least Fri. This will increase the
potential for flash flooding and mudslides, especially in hilly
terrains. According to the latest model guidance, the heaviest
rainfall is expected to be near the northeast coast of Nicaragua
and in northern Honduras. Please refer to the local Weather
Services in the region for more information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 30W from
04N to 15N, moving westward around 15 kt. No significant
convection is presently occurring with this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis extending from
18N46W to 12N45W to 02N45W. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Satellite imagery reveals scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are within 180 nm either side of the wave from 09N
to 12N.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 80W south of
17N. It is moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is near the northern portion of the wave. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are within 60-90 nm of the wave axis
from 09N to 12N.

A far western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 88W and
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. This wave
remains under a region of broad anticyclonic flow that is
helping to sustain numerous moderate to strong convection that
is between this wave and the one near 80W. This convection is
occurring from 14N to 21N between 80W-86W. Small clusters of
scattered moderate convection are along and just offshore the
coast of Nicaragua, with similar convection noted just offshore
Costa Rica and northern Panama. This wave is forecast to merge
into a broad cyclonic circulation that is over the eastern
Pacific Ocean associated to Invest-EP95.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis passes through the coast of Senegal near
14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N24W and west-southwestward
09N31W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N44W. It resumes
west of a tropical wave near 09N46W and continues to 08N57W.
Aside from convection related to the wave that is along a position
from 18N46W to 12N45W to 02N45W, scattered moderate convection is
within 180 nm south of the trough between the coast of Africa and
23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Atlantic high pressure extends westward across the northern Gulf.
A trough is analyzed from near Apalachicola, Florida southward to
25N85W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are north of
27N between 84W and 91W. Both buoy and scatterometer satellite
data indicate light to gentle east winds throughout, except for
east to southeast gentle winds over the far western Gulf. Seas are
in the 2 to 4 ft range.

For the forecast, the high pressure will dominate the Gulf waters
through early next week. Fresh to locally strong northeast
to east winds will pulse each evening and night north of the
Yucatan Peninsula and in the eastern Bay of Campeche due to local
effects induced by a thermal trough. Gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds and slight to moderate seas are expected elsewhere
through early next wee

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Refer to the Special Features section regarding the potential
for heavy rainfall over portions of the western Caribbean.

The present pressure gradient is sustaining fresh to strong
trades across the south-central portion of the basin as depicted
in recent scatterometer satellite data passes. Seas with these
winds are 8 to 11 ft. Mostly fresh trades with seas of 5 to 7 ft
are elsewhere across the basin east of 85W, except for seas of 6
to 9 ft in east swell north of 15N. Fresh trades are also in the
Gulf of Honduras with seas of 4 to 6 ft. Moderate east to
southeast winds are west of 85W with seas of 3 to 5 ft.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge of high
pressure in the Atlantic and lower pressure in the southwestern
Caribbean that is associated with the eastern Pacific monsoon
trough will support fresh to strong trades across most of the
central and SW Caribbean. Winds are expected to pulse to near-
gale force off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, with
moderate to rough seas. Strong winds will develop over the Gulf of
Honduras today and continue through the weekend. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas will prevail.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure of 1021 mb is analyzed at 27.5N64W while a 1027
high is analyzed north of the area at 34N30W. A trough extends
from near 29N44W to 22N48W. High pressure covers the area north
of about 20N and east of the Bahamas. Fresh to strong east winds
are south of 22N between 66W and 73W. Moderate to fresh east
winds are elsewhere south of 24N, except for fresh northeast
winds east of 40W. Seas are 5 to 6 ft south of 24N east of the
Bahamas and to 3 to 5 ft elsewhere except for lower seas of 3 to
4 ft over the northwest part of the area and for seas of 3 ft or
less west of the Bahamas including the Straits of Florida.

A mid to upper-level low is located just east of central Florida
as seen in water vapor imagery. At the surface, a trough extends
from 29N79W to the near the NW Bahamas. Scattered moderate
convection is from 25N to 30N between 74W and the coast of
Florida. Farther east, an upper-level low dropping south is noted
near 27N58W. Scattered moderate convection associated with this
feature exists from 24N to 29N between 54W and 61W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High and associated
ridge will prevail across the region through early next week.
Moderate to fresh east to southeast winds and moderate seas will
prevail south of 25N. Fresh to strong east winds will pulse late
in the afternoon and at night north of Hispaniola through early
next week. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
are expected elsewhere.

$$
Aguirre

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836=20
AXNT20 KNHC 070023 CCA
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jul 07 2025

Corrected Atlantic Ocean section

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning E of 35W: Latest Meteo-France High Seas Forecast=20
maintains a Gale Warning for the Canary Islands valid until=20
07/03Z. Seas in the area range from 8 to 10 ft. For more details,
please visit the Meteo France High Seas Forecast listed on the=20
website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!5rqx4= S33XjSr0ZSf1YgOQ4ByOzJXkMycSSYWxtYIReHCHP5giTn-H9jQOut5y92J8XGx5ogdDoxmh0dM= vYuRnTgkq4g$=20

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 24W from=20
near the Cabo Verde Islands southward, moving westward around
10 kt. This wave remains embedded within a deep moisture=20
envelope. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are along=20
and near the southern part of the wave.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 39W from 04N
to 19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers=20
are possible from 03N to 10N between 36W and 41W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 55W south of=20
16N, moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are within 60 nm either side of the wave axis=20
from 05N to 08N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 81W south
of 19N to central Panama and to the eastern Pacific near 06N.
It is moving westward at about 15 kt. Isolated showers and=20
thunderstorms are west of the wave axis from 14N to 19N,

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border=20
of Mauritania and Senegal, then curves southwestward through=20
12N24W and to 08N32W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to=20
09N38W, and continues to the west of a tropical near 09N41W
to just east of another tropical wave near 09N54W. Scattered=20
moderate convection is noted from 04N to 07N between 27W and
34W and from 07N to 11N between 16W and 19W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A trough is analyzed from northeast Florida southwestward to=20
across north-central Florida and extends southwestward across=20
central Florida and to the eastern Gulf reaching to near 27N87W.=20
A well pronounced upper-level low dropping southward as seen on=20
water vapor imagery is near 25N91W. Isolated showers and=20
thunderstorms are noted south of 26N east of 90W and just=20
offshore southwest of Louisiana. A weak 1018 mb high pressure=20
center is analyzed over the central Gulf at 27N91W. Its related=20
gradient is allowing for generally light to gentle winds across=20
the basin, except for moderate to fresh northeast to east winds=20
along and just offshore the the northern Yucatan Peninsula.=20
Gentle to moderate northeast to east winds are over the central=20
and eastern Bay of Campeche. Seas are in the 1 to 3 ft range,=20
except for slightly higher seas of 2 to 4 ft in the central Gulf=20
and over the central and eastern Bay of Campeche.

For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will persist across=20
the NE Gulf through this evening. Scattered showers and=20
isolated thunderstorms will continue near and south of the=20
trough through Mon. The weak high pressure will change little=20
through Fri night. Fresh to locally strong northeast to east=20
winds will pulse along and just north of the Yucatan Peninsula=20
each afternoon and evening through the forecast period as a=20
trough develops inland daily and then drifts westward over the=20
Bay of Campeche at night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure over the central and=20
western Atlantic and low pressure in Colombia continues to=20
support a broad area of fresh to strong trades over most of=20
the central section of the basin, and mostly fresh trades over=20
the western and northeast sections. Gentle to moderate trades=20
are elsewhere. Seas are in the range of 3 to 6 ft, except for
higher seas of 5 to 7 ft from 15N to 18N between 72W and 80W,=20
south of 15N between 68W and 72W, and even higher seas of 6 to 9=20
ft from 11N to 15N between 72W and 76W, where fresh to strong=20
trades are present.=20

For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure will continue to=20
support pulsing fresh to strong trades and rough seas across the=20
south- central Caribbean through Fri night. Moderate to fresh=20
winds and moderate seas are expected in the eastern Caribbean=20
while gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas will=20
prevail elsewhere, with the exception of fresh to strong east
winds in the Gulf of Honduras, mainly at night, going into=20
the upcoming week.
=20
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...Corrected

Please see the Special Features section for details on a
continuing Gale Warning issued by Meteo-France for the Canary=20
Islands.=20

A trough extends from near 29N64W to 25N70W. A mid to upper-level=20
trough is over this general area. This is helping to contribute=20
to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms over=20
an area from 24N to 30N between 62W and 69W. Farther to the east,
another trough extends from near 29N41W to 22N40W. Latest=20
scatterometer satellite data passes show a northeast to east
wind shift across the trough. These winds are of gentle to=20
moderate speeds along with seas of 4 to 6 ft. Fresh east winds=20
are to the east of the trough as also indicated by the=20
scatterometer satellite data passes. These winds cover an area=20
from 25N to 29N between 32W and 37W. Seas with these winds are 5
to 7 ft. Over the western part of the area, moderate to fresh=20
southerly winds are north of 26N between and 74W and 79W. Seas=20
with these winds are 4 to 6 ft. Gentle to moderate east winds are
elsewhere along with seas of 3 to 5 ft, except for higher seas=20
of 5 to 6 ft from 17N to 25N between 34W and 53W where fresh=20
trades are present.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are over the northwest part
of the area due to a surface trough that extends from 31N79W to
inland central Florida near New Smyrna Beach.

For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh southerly winds=20
and moderate seas related to Tropical Depression Chantal, inland=20
North Carolina, are still affecting the waters offshore=20
northeast Florida. As Chantal continues to move away from the=20
forecast area, Atlantic ridging will build westward toward=20
Florida and the Bahamas. This pattern will support generally=20
gentle to moderate winds, except for fresh to locally strong=20
east to southeast winds off the northern coast of Hispaniola=20
going into the upcoming week.

$$
Aguirre

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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913=20
AXNT20 KNHC 070023
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jul 07 2025

Corrected Atlantic Ocean section

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning E of 35W: Latest Meteo-France High Seas Forecast=20
maintains a Gale Warning for the Canary Islands valid until=20
07/03Z. Seas in the area range from 8 to 10 ft. For more details,
please visit the Meteo France High Seas Forecast listed on the=20
website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!6HmTT= EpS5vs__YwoGyFma5zW93ote532Dzk-WTlCVcjkhXHo9dfauSucFkuLw87ndI1jerd3FhuT2vD4= SLj1gKAtcPY$=20

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 24W from=20
near the Cabo Verde Islands southward, moving westward around
10 kt. This wave remains embedded within a deep moisture=20
envelope. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are along=20
and near the southern part of the wave.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 39W from 04N
to 19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers=20
are possible from 03N to 10N between 36W and 41W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 55W south of=20
16N, moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are within 60 nm either side of the wave axis=20
from 05N to 08N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 81W south
of 19N to central Panama and to the eastern Pacific near 06N.
It is moving westward at about 15 kt. Isolated showers and=20
thunderstorms are west of the wave axis from 14N to 19N,

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border=20
of Mauritania and Senegal, then curves southwestward through=20
12N24W and to 08N32W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to=20
09N38W, and continues to the west of a tropical near 09N41W
to just east of another tropical wave near 09N54W. Scattered=20
moderate convection is noted from 04N to 07N between 27W and
34W and from 07N to 11N between 16W and 19W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A trough is analyzed from northeast Florida southwestward to=20
across north-central Florida and extends southwestward across=20
central Florida and to the eastern Gulf reaching to near 27N87W.=20
A well pronounced upper-level low dropping southward as seen on=20
water vapor imagery is near 25N91W. Isolated showers and=20
thunderstorms are noted south of 26N east of 90W and just=20
offshore southwest of Louisiana. A weak 1018 mb high pressure=20
center is analyzed over the central Gulf at 27N91W. Its related=20
gradient is allowing for generally light to gentle winds across=20
the basin, except for moderate to fresh northeast to east winds=20
along and just offshore the the northern Yucatan Peninsula.=20
Gentle to moderate northeast to east winds are over the central=20
and eastern Bay of Campeche. Seas are in the 1 to 3 ft range,=20
except for slightly higher seas of 2 to 4 ft in the central Gulf=20
and over the central and eastern Bay of Campeche.

For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will persist across=20
the NE Gulf through this evening. Scattered showers and=20
isolated thunderstorms will continue near and south of the=20
trough through Mon. The weak high pressure will change little=20
through Fri night. Fresh to locally strong northeast to east=20
winds will pulse along and just north of the Yucatan Peninsula=20
each afternoon and evening through the forecast period as a=20
trough develops inland daily and then drifts westward over the=20
Bay of Campeche at night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure over the central and=20
western Atlantic and low pressure in Colombia continues to=20
support a broad area of fresh to strong trades over most of=20
the central section of the basin, and mostly fresh trades over=20
the western and northeast sections. Gentle to moderate trades=20
are elsewhere. Seas are in the range of 3 to 6 ft, except for
higher seas of 5 to 7 ft from 15N to 18N between 72W and 80W,=20
south of 15N between 68W and 72W, and even higher seas of 6 to 9=20
ft from 11N to 15N between 72W and 76W, where fresh to strong=20
trades are present.=20

For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure will continue to=20
support pulsing fresh to strong trades and rough seas across the=20
south- central Caribbean through Fri night. Moderate to fresh=20
winds and moderate seas are expected in the eastern Caribbean=20
while gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas will=20
prevail elsewhere, with the exception of fresh to strong east
winds in the Gulf of Honduras, mainly at night, going into=20
the upcoming week.
=20
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...Corrected

Please see the Special Features section for details on a
continuing Gale Warning issued by Meteo-France for the Canary=20
Islands.=20

A trough extends from near 29N64W to 25N70W. A mid to upper-level=20
trough is over this general area. This is helping to contribute=20
to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms over=20
an area from 24N to 30N between 62W and 69W. Farther to the east,
another trough extends from near 29N41W to 22N40W. Latest=20
scatterometer satellite data passes show a northeast to east
wind shift across the trough. These winds are of gentle to=20
moderate speeds along with seas of 4 to 6 ft. Fresh east winds=20
are to the east of the trough as also indicated by the=20
scatterometer satellite data passes. These winds cover an area=20
from 25N to 29N between 32W and 37W. Seas with these winds are 5
to 7 ft. Over the western part of the area, moderate to fresh=20
southerly winds are north of 26N between and 74W and 79W. Seas=20
with these winds are 4 to 6 ft. Gentle to moderate east winds are
elsewhere along with seas of 3 to 5 ft, except for higher seas=20
of 5 to 6 ft from 17N to 25N between 34W and 53W where fresh=20
trades are present.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are over the northwest part
of the area due to a surface trough that extends from 31N79W to
inland central Florida near New Smyrna Beach.

For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh southerly winds=20
and moderate seas related to Tropical Depression Chantal, inland=20
North Carolina, are still affecting the waters offshore=20
northeast Florida. As Chantal continues to move away from the=20
forecast area, Atlantic ridging will build westward toward=20
Florida and the Bahamas. This pattern will support generally=20
gentle to moderate winds, except for fresh to locally strong=20
east to southeast winds off the northern coast of Hispaniola=20
going into the upcoming week.

$$
Aguirre

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
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